Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007

Ice Storm Warning 2, NWS State College, PA

December 9, 20077 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this ice storm warning at Dec 9, 2007, 4:50 AM EST for 7 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Dec 9, 2007, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 9, 2007, 4:50 AM EST (09:50 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 9, 2007, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 9, 2007, 9:09 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

Counties Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-12-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-12-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1000 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
89 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KCTP 090950
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION
TODAY INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...

PAZ012-041-042-092000-
/O.NEW.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1000Z-071209T1800Z/
NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EVENTUALLY BECOMING THE DOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ICE
ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND
SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR
PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL
ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW
YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE.

$$

PAZ005-006-011-037-092000-
/O.NEW.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/
MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-TIOGA-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EVENTUALLY BECOMING THE DOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ICE
ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND
SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR
PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL
ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW
YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE.

$$

PAZ024-033-034-091600-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1600Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

INTERMITTENT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
LATE THIS MORNING.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING
BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THE THREAT FOR ICING AND
CHANGING THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO PLAIN RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-091800-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/
CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-
SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT
TIMES THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING BY THE EARLY
AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THE THREAT FOR ICING AND CHANGING THE
MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO PLAIN RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

PAZ004-010-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
WARREN-ELK-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

PAZ018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1000Z-071210T1200Z/
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
SCHUYLKILL-
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS
WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS
ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

INTERMITTENT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

STEINBUGL/LAMBERT
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KCTP 091416
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AGAIN
LATER TODAY INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THE
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...

PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-091530-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/
CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-
SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
OR PATCHES OF DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO RECOVERING TO JUST
ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT
ICING HAS DIMINISHED.

$$

PAZ024-033-034-091530-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1600Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-
916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
OR PATCHES OF DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO RECOVERING TO JUST
ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT
ICING HAS DIMINISHED..

$$

PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-092230-
/O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/
MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-
916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
OR PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER MORE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY AND LAST INTO
TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED TO RECOVER TO WITHIN A
COUPLE OF DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING...THE THREAT FOR ICING
WILL REMAIN.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS
EVENT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA.
RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD
VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY
AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES.
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE
FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS
OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A
CELLULAR PHONE.

$$

PAZ004-010-018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-092230-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
WARREN-ELK-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
SCHUYLKILL-
916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
OR PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER MORE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY AND LAST INTO
TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED TO RECOVER TO WITHIN A
COUPLE OF DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING...THE THREAT FOR ICING
WILL REMAIN.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS
EVENT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA.
RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD
VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY
AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KCTP 091737
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...A NEW AREA OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION
THROUGH LATE DAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...

PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-100500-
/O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/
MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32
DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE IN
MANY AREAS BELOW FREEZING.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...
CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS
WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL
REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS
COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF
A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER
LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER
OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED
ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL
PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE.

$$

PAZ017-100500-
/O.EXB.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/
CLEARFIELD-
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32
DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW
FREEZING.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...
CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS
WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL
REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS
COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

PAZ004-010-018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-100500-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
WARREN-ELK-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON-
SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-
SCHUYLKILL-
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32
DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW
FREEZING.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...
CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS
WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL
REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS
COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KCTP 091952
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...A NEW AREA OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION THROUGH LATE DAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING EXPECTED ACROSS
THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...

PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-100400-
/O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-
252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32
DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE IN
MANY AREAS BELOW FREEZING.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...
CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS
WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL
REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS
COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF
A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER
LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER
OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED
ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL
PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE.

$$

PAZ004-010-017>019-045-046-049-051>053-058-100400-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
WARREN-ELK-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-
COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING
AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE.

A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32
DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW
FREEZING.

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...
CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS
WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL
REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS
COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE
LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KCTP 100209
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES WILL PRODUCE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.

PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-101015-
/O.CAN.KCTP.IS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-
909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE
ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. 

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS
CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO
STAY COLDEST...WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST
A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR
ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST
PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. HOWEVER..IT TAKES
VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

PAZ004-010-017>019-045-046-049-051>053-058-101015-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/
WARREN-ELK-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-
COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. 

WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS
CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO
STAY COLDEST...WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST
A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR
ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST
PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE.

ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. HOWEVER...IT TAKES
VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED
ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Dec 9, 4:50 AM EST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 9, 4:50 AM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A WAVY FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA
TODAY...WILL MEANDER TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE NORTHEAST ALONG IT FROM THE
THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL OCCUR WITH EACH STORM...THE FIRST OCCURRING TODAY AND
TONIGHT...THE SECOND AFFECTING THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND A THIRD COMING THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

BETWEEN EACH WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY...TRANQUIL
WEATHER AS WEAK AREAS OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVE EAST ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
OPERATIONAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE QUITE SIMILAR
TO WHAT WE OBSERVED WITH RESPECT TO PRECIP TIMING (AND TYPE) 24
HOURS AGO. SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS IN REGARD TO
NEAR SFC TEMPS AND WET BULBS MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN EXACT
AREAS THAT WILL RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT. OBSERVED TEMPS TRENDING CLOSER TO THE WARMER MAVMOS
GUIDANCE IN MOST LOCATION THIS MORNING. GFS SFC WET BULB IS ABOUT 1
DEG C WARMER THAN THE ETAS TONIGHT ACRS MUCH OF THE
REGION...POSSIBLE KEEPING MOST TEMPS AT OR JUST ABOVE 32F OVER NRN
PENN.

BASED ON THE 925-850 HPA THERMAL/WET BULB STRUCTURE...AND THE FAIRLY
WEAK AREA LOW PRESSURE TRACK ACROSS SCENT PENN TONIGHT...FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR FOR A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM THROUGHOUT THE
NORTHERN MTNS OF PENN...ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1600
MSL...WHERE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION APPEARS LIKELY PER 06Z NAM AND SREF PLUME QPF AND
PRECIP TYPE.

ELSEWHERE...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN (WITH SOME ICE PELLETS EARLY
TODAY) SHOULD BECOME STEADIER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PENN...AND CHANGE TO MAINLY RAIN. ADDITIONALLY...THE
FRZA WILL SLOWLY BECOME LIMITED TO ELEVATION NEAR OR ABOVE 1600 FT
MSL ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTNS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS TEMPS
IN THE VALLEY FLOORS WARM TO BETWEEN 33 AND 37F.

PRECIP WILL TAPER OFF TO JUST A FEW SHOWERS OF RAIN OR FREEZING
RAIN DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PRECIP (MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN SHOWERS - MIXED WITH FZRA
ACROSS THE NRN MTNS EARLY MONDAY) WILL DIMINISH/MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND POCKET
OF 850-700 COLD ADVECTION MOVES EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. PARTIAL
CLEARING LATE MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE FLEETING AS THE NEXT WAVE
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY
MORNING.

SREFS AND 00Z MREF SHOW THIS NEXT STORM BEING SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
THE PRESENT ONE SPREADING THE WINTRY MIX AND ICE ACROSS THE STATE
TODAY/TONIGHT. STILL RAIN OVERSPREADING THE AREA TUESDAY...SHOULD
BEGIN AS FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET UP NORTH...BEFORE CHANGING TO
MAINLY RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY OVER THE STATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WED...AGAIN WITH A 12 TO 18 HOUR PERIOD OF
PARTIAL CLEARING...LOW POPS AND NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE 3RD IN THE PARADE OF STORMS WILL STREAM NE INTO THE AREA
THURSDAY. THIS FINAL WAVE WILL ACT SWEEP THE RATHER DEEP MOISTURE
OFF THE EAST COAST FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A LARGE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE USHERING IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPS (MAINLY IN THE 30S) WITH
BELOW NORMAL CLIMATOLOGICAL POPS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

QPF WITH THIS STORM WILL LIKELY BE THE GREATEST OF ALL THREE WITH
MEAN AMOUNTS AROUND 0.75 OF AN INCH. AGAIN...LLVL THERMAL
STRUCTURE WILL BRING THE CHC FOR MIXED PRECIP OR FREEZING RAIN
DURING ROUGHLY THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVENT...MAINLY THURSDAY
MORNING .

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS POCKETS OF SLEET /PL/ AND LIGHT RAIN
OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. PATCHY FROZEN PCPN WILL
BE THE MOST COMMON PTYPE ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN TERMINALS WITH AREAS
OF RAIN CONFINED TO THE FAR SRN TIER AIRFIELDS WHERE MESONET OBS
CONFIRM SFC TEMPS HOVERING JUST ABV FZG. HOWEVER...CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME PATCHY/ISOLD -PL/FZRA. MOST TERMINALS STILL HOLDING AT VFR
BLW GRADUALLY LOWERING MID LVL CLOUD DECK WITH BASES GNRLY 5-8KFT.
HOWEVER...OCNL MVFR/IFR VIS WILL BE PSBL ESP AT JST WHICH HAS BEEN
DOWN FOR THE LAST FEW HOURS.

SFC HIGH PRES WILL STAY PARKED OVER THE NORTHEAST
TODAY...EFFECTIVELY BANKING/DAMMING COLD /NEAR TO SUB-FZG/ AIR
ACROSS THE REGION. BROAD SSWLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO CHANNEL
MOISTURE NEWD INTO THE AREA...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED IMPULSES MOVG
ALONG A NEARLY STNRY FNTL BNDRY DRAPED FM THE SRN PLAINS AND ACROSS
THE OH VLY. XPECT CONDS TO DETERIORATE THRU THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS AHEAD OF A WEAK...BUT DISCERNIBLE SFC WAVE RIPPLING NEWD
ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED BNDRY. FZRA APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT
PTYPE AFT 12Z...AS SHALLOW SUB-FZG AIR REMAINS TRAPPED BLW WARM
WEDGE STREAMING IN SEVERAL THOUSAND FEET AGL.

WE MAY SEE A BRIEF BREAK IN CONDITIONS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM BRINGS A REPEAT PERFORMANCE FOR
LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HATE TO BE VAGUE AND REDUNDANT...
BUT IT JUST LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MAINLY
DIMINISHED FLYING CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

IT MAY BE LATE IN THE WEEK UNTIL THE FINAL WAVE MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA...AND WE GET INTO A NW FLOW OF COLDER AIR WITH THE TYPICAL
MID DEC SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ICE STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY
FOR PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
PAZ012-041-042.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
PAZ005-006-011-017-025>028-035>037-050-056-057-059-063>066.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ018-019-
045-046-049-051>053-058.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
PAZ024-033-034.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ004-010.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LAMBERT
NEAR TERM...LAMBERT
SHORT TERM...LAMBERT
LONG TERM...LAMBERT/GARTNER
AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 10:11 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007

PAZ024-033-034-100315-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-
1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-100315-
CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SNYDER-
PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ012-018-019-041-042-045-046-049-051>053-058-100315-
NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ004>006-010-011-037-100315-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-TIOGA-
1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MARTIN

Nearby

Ice Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.