Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007
Ice Storm Warning 2, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this ice storm warning at Dec 9, 2007, 4:50 AM EST for 7 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Dec 9, 2007, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 9, 2007, 4:50 AM EST (09:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 9, 2007, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 9, 2007, 9:09 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
Counties Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1000 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 89 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 76 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KCTP 090950 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... PAZ012-041-042-092000- /O.NEW.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1000Z-071209T1800Z/ NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EVENTUALLY BECOMING THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE. $$ PAZ005-006-011-037-092000- /O.NEW.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/ MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-TIOGA- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EVENTUALLY BECOMING THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE. $$ PAZ024-033-034-091600- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1600Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. INTERMITTENT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THE THREAT FOR ICING AND CHANGING THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO PLAIN RAIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-091800- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/ CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN- SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING THE THREAT FOR ICING AND CHANGING THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO PLAIN RAIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ004-010-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ WARREN-ELK- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. INTERMITTENT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1000Z-071210T1200Z/ NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- SCHUYLKILL- 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. INTERMITTENT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ STEINBUGL/LAMBERT
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KCTP 091416 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AGAIN LATER TODAY INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-091530- /O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/ CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN- SNYDER-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OR PATCHES OF DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO RECOVERING TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT ICING HAS DIMINISHED. $$ PAZ024-033-034-091530- /O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1600Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD- 916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OR PATCHES OF DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO RECOVERING TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING. AS A RESULT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT ICING HAS DIMINISHED.. $$ PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-092230- /O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/ MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN- 916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OR PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER MORE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY AND LAST INTO TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED TO RECOVER TO WITHIN A COUPLE OF DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING...THE THREAT FOR ICING WILL REMAIN. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE. $$ PAZ004-010-018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-092230- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ WARREN-ELK-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- SCHUYLKILL- 916 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED TO JUST A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OR PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY. HOWEVER MORE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY AND LAST INTO TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED TO RECOVER TO WITHIN A COUPLE OF DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING...THE THREAT FOR ICING WILL REMAIN. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$
000 WWUS41 KCTP 091737 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...A NEW AREA OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH LATE DAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-100500- /O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071209T1800Z/ MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN- 1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE IN MANY AREAS BELOW FREEZING. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT... CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE. $$ PAZ017-100500- /O.EXB.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.071209T1800Z-071210T1200Z/ CLEARFIELD- 1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW FREEZING. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT... CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ004-010-018-019-045-046-049-051>053-058-100500- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ WARREN-ELK-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- SCHUYLKILL- 1237 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW FREEZING. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT... CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$
000 WWUS41 KCTP 091952 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...A NEW AREA OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH LATE DAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-100400- /O.CON.KCTP.IS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN- 252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE IN MANY AREAS BELOW FREEZING. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT... CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND SNAPPED POWER LINES. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED FOR PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO MAKE TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL PLANS AND CARRY A CELLULAR PHONE. $$ PAZ004-010-017>019-045-046-049-051>053-058-100400- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ WARREN-ELK-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND- COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 252 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF INTERMITTENT WINTRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...AS WARM...MOIST AIR ALOFT OVERRUNS A COLD...SUB-FREEZING AIRMASS ENTRENCHED NEAR THE SURFACE. A NEW AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS STREAMING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE AREA...ICING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE RAIN COMES IN CONTACT WITH SURFACES THAT ARE BELOW FREEZING. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING FOR THIS EVENT... CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COOLEST WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. WHILE OVERALL ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$
000 WWUS41 KCTP 100209 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PRODUCE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042-101015- /O.CAN.KCTP.IS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ MCKEAN-POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN- 909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COLDEST...WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. HOWEVER..IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$ PAZ004-010-017>019-045-046-049-051>053-058-101015- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-071210T1200Z/ WARREN-ELK-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND- COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 909 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA OVERNIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED VERY NEAR FREEZING OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS CAN VARY GREATLY OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. RIDGE TOPS WILL TEND TO STAY COLDEST...WHILE VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD VERY WELL REMAIN JUST A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ICING OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHILE VALLEY AREAS COULD SEE JUST PLAIN RAIN OR DRIZZLE. ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. HOWEVER...IT TAKES VERY LITTLE GLAZING TO CREATE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOP FIRST. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Dec 9, 4:50 AM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 9, 4:50 AM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 450 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 .SYNOPSIS... A WAVY FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...WILL MEANDER TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE NORTHEAST ALONG IT FROM THE THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH EACH STORM...THE FIRST OCCURRING TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE SECOND AFFECTING THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AND A THIRD COMING THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. BETWEEN EACH WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY...TRANQUIL WEATHER AS WEAK AREAS OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVE EAST ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... OPERATIONAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLES ARE QUITE SIMILAR TO WHAT WE OBSERVED WITH RESPECT TO PRECIP TIMING (AND TYPE) 24 HOURS AGO. SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS IN REGARD TO NEAR SFC TEMPS AND WET BULBS MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN EXACT AREAS THAT WILL RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. OBSERVED TEMPS TRENDING CLOSER TO THE WARMER MAVMOS GUIDANCE IN MOST LOCATION THIS MORNING. GFS SFC WET BULB IS ABOUT 1 DEG C WARMER THAN THE ETAS TONIGHT ACRS MUCH OF THE REGION...POSSIBLE KEEPING MOST TEMPS AT OR JUST ABOVE 32F OVER NRN PENN. BASED ON THE 925-850 HPA THERMAL/WET BULB STRUCTURE...AND THE FAIRLY WEAK AREA LOW PRESSURE TRACK ACROSS SCENT PENN TONIGHT...FAVORABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR FOR A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN MTNS OF PENN...ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1600 MSL...WHERE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION APPEARS LIKELY PER 06Z NAM AND SREF PLUME QPF AND PRECIP TYPE. ELSEWHERE...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN (WITH SOME ICE PELLETS EARLY TODAY) SHOULD BECOME STEADIER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENN...AND CHANGE TO MAINLY RAIN. ADDITIONALLY...THE FRZA WILL SLOWLY BECOME LIMITED TO ELEVATION NEAR OR ABOVE 1600 FT MSL ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTNS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS TEMPS IN THE VALLEY FLOORS WARM TO BETWEEN 33 AND 37F. PRECIP WILL TAPER OFF TO JUST A FEW SHOWERS OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... PRECIP (MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN SHOWERS - MIXED WITH FZRA ACROSS THE NRN MTNS EARLY MONDAY) WILL DIMINISH/MOVE EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND POCKET OF 850-700 COLD ADVECTION MOVES EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. PARTIAL CLEARING LATE MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE FLEETING AS THE NEXT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY MORNING. SREFS AND 00Z MREF SHOW THIS NEXT STORM BEING SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN THE PRESENT ONE SPREADING THE WINTRY MIX AND ICE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY/TONIGHT. STILL RAIN OVERSPREADING THE AREA TUESDAY...SHOULD BEGIN AS FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET UP NORTH...BEFORE CHANGING TO MAINLY RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY OVER THE STATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WED...AGAIN WITH A 12 TO 18 HOUR PERIOD OF PARTIAL CLEARING...LOW POPS AND NEAR NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... THE 3RD IN THE PARADE OF STORMS WILL STREAM NE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY. THIS FINAL WAVE WILL ACT SWEEP THE RATHER DEEP MOISTURE OFF THE EAST COAST FOR FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE USHERING IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPS (MAINLY IN THE 30S) WITH BELOW NORMAL CLIMATOLOGICAL POPS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. QPF WITH THIS STORM WILL LIKELY BE THE GREATEST OF ALL THREE WITH MEAN AMOUNTS AROUND 0.75 OF AN INCH. AGAIN...LLVL THERMAL STRUCTURE WILL BRING THE CHC FOR MIXED PRECIP OR FREEZING RAIN DURING ROUGHLY THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVENT...MAINLY THURSDAY MORNING . && .AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS POCKETS OF SLEET /PL/ AND LIGHT RAIN OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. PATCHY FROZEN PCPN WILL BE THE MOST COMMON PTYPE ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN TERMINALS WITH AREAS OF RAIN CONFINED TO THE FAR SRN TIER AIRFIELDS WHERE MESONET OBS CONFIRM SFC TEMPS HOVERING JUST ABV FZG. HOWEVER...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY/ISOLD -PL/FZRA. MOST TERMINALS STILL HOLDING AT VFR BLW GRADUALLY LOWERING MID LVL CLOUD DECK WITH BASES GNRLY 5-8KFT. HOWEVER...OCNL MVFR/IFR VIS WILL BE PSBL ESP AT JST WHICH HAS BEEN DOWN FOR THE LAST FEW HOURS. SFC HIGH PRES WILL STAY PARKED OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY...EFFECTIVELY BANKING/DAMMING COLD /NEAR TO SUB-FZG/ AIR ACROSS THE REGION. BROAD SSWLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO CHANNEL MOISTURE NEWD INTO THE AREA...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED IMPULSES MOVG ALONG A NEARLY STNRY FNTL BNDRY DRAPED FM THE SRN PLAINS AND ACROSS THE OH VLY. XPECT CONDS TO DETERIORATE THRU THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AHEAD OF A WEAK...BUT DISCERNIBLE SFC WAVE RIPPLING NEWD ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED BNDRY. FZRA APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT PTYPE AFT 12Z...AS SHALLOW SUB-FZG AIR REMAINS TRAPPED BLW WARM WEDGE STREAMING IN SEVERAL THOUSAND FEET AGL. WE MAY SEE A BRIEF BREAK IN CONDITIONS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM BRINGS A REPEAT PERFORMANCE FOR LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HATE TO BE VAGUE AND REDUNDANT... BUT IT JUST LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF MAINLY DIMINISHED FLYING CONDITIONS TO DOMINATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. IT MAY BE LATE IN THE WEEK UNTIL THE FINAL WAVE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...AND WE GET INTO A NW FLOW OF COLDER AIR WITH THE TYPICAL MID DEC SNOW SHOWERS. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ICE STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ005-006-011-012-037-041-042. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PAZ012-041-042. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PAZ005-006-011-017-025>028-035>037-050-056-057-059-063>066. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ018-019- 045-046-049-051>053-058. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR PAZ024-033-034. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR PAZ004-010. && SYNOPSIS...LAMBERT NEAR TERM...LAMBERT SHORT TERM...LAMBERT LONG TERM...LAMBERT/GARTNER AVIATION...STEINBUGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 10:11 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 PAZ024-033-034-100315- CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD- 1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ017-025>028-035-036-050-056-057-059-063>066-100315- CLEARFIELD-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-SNYDER- PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ012-018-019-041-042-045-046-049-051>053-058-100315- NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- 1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ004>006-010-011-037-100315- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-TIOGA- 1011 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MARTIN
Nearby
Ice Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.