Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
112 AM CDT MON JUL 2 2007

.UPDATE...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS INCREASED MARKEDLY OVER THE
NORTHERN COASTAL BEND AS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS HAVE RISEN WITH
GUSTS OVER 24 KNOTS AT KCRP. APPEARS TO BE ISALLOBARIC RESPONSE
TO SURFACE LOW ANALYZED BY MSAS EAST OF LAREDO. HAVE SEEN AN
ASSOCIATED INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION IN THE PAST HOUR. UPDATE TO INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY AND
OVER VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  87  76  88  77  /  50  60  30  40  10
VICTORIA          74  87  74  88  74  /  60  70  30  50  10
LAREDO            77  93  75  92  78  /  40  50  60  40  40
ALICE             76  89  75  89  75  /  40  70  50  50  20
ROCKPORT          79  87  79  88  77  /  60  50  30  40  10
COTULLA           75  91  74  89  74  /  40  50  60  50  40
KINGSVILLE        77  88  76  90  76  /  50  60  40  40  10
NAVY CORPUS       80  87  79  88  79  /  50  50  30  40  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BEE...DUVAL...JIM WELLS...LA SALLE...LIVE
     OAK...MCMULLEN...WEBB.

GM...NONE.

&&

TMT/89...UPDATE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
515 AM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-021015-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
515 AM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTH TEXAS TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS A VERY MOIST AIRMASS COMBINES
WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL REMAIN
STATIONARY FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2
INCHES PER HOUR. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS
OF HIGHER RAINFALL. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN....MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE REMAINING
NEARLY STATIONARY FROM NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
ISOLATED TOTAL AMOUNTS OVER 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ISOLATED ON SATURDAY. THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRIMARILY BE ASSOCIATED WITH DAYTIME HEATING
AND THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

TMT/TE