Wind Chill Advisory 4, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 150219
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
919 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

OHZ011>014-021>023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-151030-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070215T0200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0004.070215T0300Z-070215T1500Z/
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...
ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
919 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 15 MPH MOST AREAS THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND WIDESPREAD
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. SOME SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT.

WIND CHILLS WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO FOR A COUPLE
HOURS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. 

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 1O DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO
THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ009-010-019-020-029>031-038-150330-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070215T0200Z/
ERIE OH-LORAIN-HURON-MEDINA-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-HOLMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...
MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...MILLERSBURG
919 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN 10 MPH THIS EVENING AND
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.  

$$

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-028-036-037-047-150330-
/O.EXP.KCLE.BS.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0200Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-SENECA-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-
MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...
MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
919 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO LESS THAN 10 MPH THIS EVENING AND
WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.  

$$
KUBINA

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 150922
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
422 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007

OHZ011>014-021>023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-151500-
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070215T1500Z/
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...
ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
422 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST OHIO.

TEMPERATURES ARE IN SINGLE DIGITS THIS MORNING AND WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES MAY RANGE FROM 10 BELOW TO 15 BELOW AT TIMES THIS
MORNING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. 

ONE OF THE CRITERIA FOR ISSUING A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS
WINDS SPEEDS OF 10 MPH OR MORE THAT WOULD CAUSE WINDS CHILLS OF 10
BELOW OR COLDER. TEMPERATURES ARE COLD THIS MORNING AND WIND
SPEEDS ARE FLIRTING WITH THE 10 MPH MARK.

PEOPLE NEED TO DRESS APPROPRIATELY WHEN GOING OUTSIDE THIS MORNING
MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE AVOID
PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD.

$$

KIELTYKA

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 151503
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1003 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007



OHZ011>014-021>023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-151615-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070215T1500Z/
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...
ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1003 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
330 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

.SHORT TERM(TONIGHT-FRI)...

THE WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO WIND DOWN. STILL SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT
TO DEAL WITH THIS EVENING...BUT THE WORST IS OVER. IN GENERAL...8 TO
16 INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...BUT A FEW SPOTS JUST
SOUTH AND EAST OF KCLE MAY HAVE CLOSE TO 20 INCHES.

AS EXPECTED...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IN THE STRONGLY CYCLONIC FLOW
CONTINUES FROM NORWALK AND POINTS EAST. THE HEAVIEST HURON
CONNECTION IS NOW OVER FAR WESTERN LORAIN COUNTY...AND SLOWLY MOVING
EAST. THE NAM HAS A VERY CLEAR SIGNAL OF THIS BAND...AND IT SHOWS
THAT THE BAND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE CLE METRO AREA BY 00Z AS THE
FLOW TURNS NW. THEN...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
LIGHT LES FOR THE SNOWBELT FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE FLOW
BACKS VERY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IN THE
MEANTIME...HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE BLSN ADVY FOR THE WESTERN AREAS.
ALTHOUGH THE WINDS ARE MARGINAL AT BEST AND SNOW IS DONE...THE FACT
REMAINS THAT MANY ROADS ARE STILL VERY TREACHEROUS OR
IMPASSABLE...AND BLSN CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF THE WEST WITH WINDS
LOCALLY GUSTING TO 25 MPH...COULD STILL BE A FEW AREAS WITH DRIFTING
PROBLEMS. AS FOR THE WARNING AREAS...WILL OPT TO DROP THEIR WARNING
TO A SNOW AND BLSN ADVY TIL 9 PM MAINLY DUE TO LAKE ENHANCEMENT AND
WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING. DO NOT THINK ACCUMS ANYWHERE WILL
BE MUCH...GENERALLY UP TO 2 INCHES BUT WITH THE POOR ROAD CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS AM THINKING AN ADVY IS THE BEST
APPROACH FOR THOSE AREAS.

ANOTHER PROBLEM FOR TONIGHT ARE WIND CHILLS. WITH TEMPS ZERO TO 5
ABOVE TONIGHT EXPECT WIND CHILLS TO DROP TO -10F. PROBLEM IS THAT
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MARGINAL ESPECIALLY FOR THE WESTERN SECTIONS
WHERE THE WINDS MAY TRY TO DECOUPLE. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL LIKELY
STAY 10-15 MPH ACROSS THE EAST. SINCE OUR WIND CHILL ADVY CRITERIA
REQUIRES WIND CHILL VALUES -10F AND WIND SPEEDS GREATER OR EQUAL TO
10 MPH...HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A WIND CHILL ADVY FOR AREAS GENERALLY
EAST OF A CLE TO CAK LINE. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL STILL BE AROUND
-10C OVER THE WEST...BUT THE WIND SPEED CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THRU THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO
THU...THEN AGAIN THU NIGHT. WITH WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH
HIGH CHC POPS FOR THE SNOWBELT EACH PERIOD. DO NOT THINK
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
SINCE THERE ARE SOME BREAKS IN THE LAKE ICE DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS
OVER THE PAST 36 HOURS.

WILL GO WITH TEMPS 1 OR 2 CATEGORIES BELOW GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT 4
PERIODS DUE TO SNOW PACK. ALSO THINK THERE WILL BE MORE CLEAR SKIES
THAN MODELS SUGGEST.

&&

.LONG TERM(SAT-WED)...
NOT A GREAT DEAL OF TIME TO LOOK AT THE LONG TERM DUE TO ONGOING
STORM...BUT ALL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A WARMUP BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS THE PATTERN BECOMES ZONAL. BUT FIRST...WE
WILL NEED TO DEAL WITH A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM MOVING THRU SAT/SAT
NIGHT. THIS LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY STRONG CLIPPER PER THE GFS AND THINK
LIKELY POPS ARE APPROPRIATE SATURDAY...WITH HIGH CHC POPS SAT NIGHT.
WILL HAVE SOME LIGHT LES WITH NW FLOW AND COLD 850MB TEMPS SUN AND
SUN NIGHT. THEN...DRY WX AS HIGH PRES MOVES INTO THE OH VLY. IT
MIGHT ACTUALLY WARM UP BY WED FOR A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW WITH THE
MID WEEK SYSTEM NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE BELOW NORMAL THRU THE
PERIOD...EXCEPT WED WITH TEMPS NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION(18Z-18Z)...
BACK EDGE OF SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SNOW FROM ABOUT ASHTABULA TO
CANFIELD MOVG E ABOUT 30 MPH AND SHOULD CLEAR YNG AND ERI IN THE
NEXT HOUR. SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND LIGHTER SNOW/BLOWING SNOW
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS OVER NE OH/NW PA COMPOUNDED BY SOME
LAKE SNOW SHOWERS. WIND TO GRADUALLY BACK FROM NORTH TO WEST LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY TONIGHT AND BEST LAKE EFFECT BANDS COMING OF LAKE
HURON WILL ROTATE EAST UP THE LAKESHORE. ONCE THE LAKE HURON BANDS
PASS EAST OF EACH SITE I THINK THE DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE WILL
DOMINATE AND THE SNOW WILL END AND THE VFR CONDTIONS OVR NW OH
SHOULD SPREAD ENE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     OHZ009>014-019>023-029>033-038-089.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR OHZ011>014-021>023-032-033-089.

     BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR OHZ003-
     006>008-017-018-027-028-036-037-047.

PA...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     PAZ001>003.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR PAZ001>003.

&&

SHORT TERM...MRD
LONG TERM...MRD
AVIATION...KOSARIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
511 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-151015-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
511 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THE STRONGEST GUSTS WILL BE THIS
MORNING BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. PLENTY OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
WILL CONTINUE AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL COULD BE DANGEROUS IN THE AREAS
THAT HAVE THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS. THE WINDS WILL BE MORE OF A
PROBLEM THAN THE SNOW TODAY. SNOWFALL TODAY WILL BE AROUND AN INCH
NORTHWEST AND 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTHEAST AREA. WINTER STORM WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT THIS MORNING AND FOR THE EXTREME NORTHEAST FORECAST
AREA ALL DAY. WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT WILL BE IN
SINGLE DIGITS MAINLY BELOW ZERO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIND CHILLS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAY BE LOW ENOUGH TO PROMPT
AND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LEZ142>149-162>169-151015-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
511 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.