Severe Thunderstorm Warning 243, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 081747
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
147 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

OHC033-081757-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0243.000000T0000Z-070908T1800Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
147 PM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO IS CANCELLED...


LAT...LON 4085 8302 4100 8274 4099 8273 4071 8273
      4071 8286 4070 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 259DEG 18KT 4081 8264

$$

THOMPSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1043 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT RIGHT ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE WILL SLOWLY MOVE
SOUTH AND STALL OUT OVER CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHERN PENNYLVANIA.
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ALONG THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE TO
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST DURING MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND PUSH THE
FRONT FURTHER TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ON GOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AKRON CANTON AREAS TO
YOUNGSTOWN. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR THE LAKE ERIE FROM EAST OF TOLEDO
OHIO TO ERIE PENNYSLVANIA THESE SHOWERS WERE ALONG THE FRONT. DECREASED
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEAR TERM OVER NORTHERN
AREAS AND BEST CHANCE WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN AREAS FROM SOUTH OF
ERIE PA. TO MARION OHIO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL BE WET AS A WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT
AND MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LEANED TOWARD THE FASTER GFS
WHICH HAS THE LOW INTO NW OHIO BY 12Z SUNDAY. COULD SEE SOME
LINGERING SHOWERS IN THE EAST SUNDAY EVENING...BUT SHOWERS SHOULD
BE ENDING FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF KEEP THE LONG WAVE TROF AXIS FROM HUDSON BAY
SOUTH INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
DETAILS OF SMALLER SHORT WAVES ARE INCONSISTENT BETWEEN THE TWO
MODELS BUT THE MAIN MESSAGE IS THAT COOLER MORE SEASONABLE AIR
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND EARLY THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF A COLD
FRONT ENTERING NW OHIO. CONDITIONS GENERALLY VFR AT THIS TIME
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY IN ANY SHOWERS. EXPECTING MVFR CIGS
FOR AWHILE CLOSE TO THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THIS MORNING.
EXPECT CIGS THEN TO IMPROVE BACK TO VFR FEW HOURS AFTER FRONT
PASSES. THREAT OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL CONTINUE ALL DAY ESPECIALLY OVER
SOUTHERN TAF SITES NEAR FRONT. SHOWERS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
AGAIN ESPECIALLY W LATE IN PERIOD AS LOW MOVES NE ALONG FRONT
TOWARD REGION WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS DEVELPING.

FRONT STILL IN THE PICTURE FOR SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE MON INTO TUE...BUT NEXT FRONT APPROACHES FOR WED/THU.

&&

.MARINE...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE LAKE THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE
BEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS AHEAD OF IT IN OPEN WATERS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
NW THEN NE LATER THIS MORNING GRADUALLY DECREASING  TO 5 TO 15
KNOTS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT 10 AM...HOWEVER WITH
SHIFT TO NW THEN NE EXPECTING 2 TO 4 FOOT WAVES AT LEAST INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON THOUGH NOT QUITE SCA CRITERIA SHOULD BE CHOPPY ON THE LAKE
FOR AWHILE. THREAT FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS ON THE LAKE SHOULD DIMINISH
WITH FRONT PASSAGE SO BOATER SHOULD GET BREAK THERE BUT MORE SHOWERS
AND TSTMS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH OF THE LAKE ON SUNDAY...QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE LAKE ON
TUESDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE JUST SOUTH OF THE LAKE AND WILL
NEED TO MONITOR WHERE THIS FRONT ENDS UP PLACING ITSELF.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMPSON
NEAR TERM...THOMPSON
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...REL
AVIATION...RANDEL
MARINE...RANDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-091430-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OHIO-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO-CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
1016 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.