Severe Thunderstorm Warning 241, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 250030
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
831 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

OHC063-250100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0241.000000T0000Z-070825T0100Z/
HANCOCK OH-
831 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTY...

AT 822 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VANLUE...OR ABOUT 8
MILES SOUTH OF FOSTORIA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LAT...LON 4116 8342 4099 8342 4098 8346 4095 8346
      4094 8348 4091 8348 4090 8351 4086 8352
      4085 8360 4116 8373

$$

WILLARD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 250043
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
843 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

OHC063-250053-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0241.000000T0000Z-070825T0100Z/
HANCOCK OH-
843 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED THE COUNTY.


LAT...LON 4116 8342 4099 8342 4098 8346 4095 8346
      4094 8348 4091 8348 4090 8351 4086 8352
      4085 8360 4116 8373

$$

WILLARD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
724 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DURING THE REST
OF TODAY. HOWEVER A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...
WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY AND LINGER OVER THE AREA
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH
NEXT THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
LATEST VIS SAT SHOWING SOME SCATTERED CU TRYING TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DECENT MID LEVEL CAP HAS HELPED
TO KEEP THINGS RATHER QUIET SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON. FOR THIS
EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT...WENT CHC POPS ACROSS EASTERN HALF OF
FORECAST AREA IN THE EVENT THAT SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS DO DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE EAST. FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS...INCREASED POPS
THIS EVENING. WATER VAPOR SHOWING SOME INCREASED DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS MO IN ASSOCIATION WITH DISTURBANCE....AND EXTENDING LINE INTO
IL/IN. WITH THAT...MENTIONED LIKELY POPS ACROSS NW ZONES
OVERNIGHT...AND WITH MODERATE RISK ACROSS NW OH ALSO MENTIONED
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND POSSIBILITY IN FCST. BOTH NAM AND GFS
IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT KEEPING BULK OF ACTIVITY ALONG FRONT.

IN REGARDS TO FLOOD WATCH...EXTENDED THE WATCH UNTIL NOON
TOMORROW. WITH RAINFALL POSSIBILITY TONIGHT DID NOT WANT TO ALLOW
FOR WATCH TO EXPIRE THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO...WITH GROUND BEING
SATURATED AND SOME AREAS STILL DEALING WITH RECEDING FLOOD WATERS
ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WOULD QUICKLY BRING BACK FLOODING THREATS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BRINGING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA TOMORROW. KEPT CHC TO LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
DAY TOMORROW...BUT DID KEEP CHC POPS ACROSS THE FAR EAST UNTIL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH FRONT EXPECTED TO CROSS
THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR TEMPS TO COME
UP A BIT ABOVE GUIDANCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. COLD
FRONT FINALLY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SAT AND HIGH PRESS BEGINS
BUILDING IN FOR SUNDAY.

HIGH PRESS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES ALLOWING FOR
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS AND COOLER TEMPS ON SUNDAY. MAV GUIDANCE
LOOKING REASONABLE WITH 70S ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES AND THEN MOVING EAST INTO NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND
THROUGH MONDAY. HIGH WILL CONTINUE RIDGING INTO THE AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY...THEN ATTENTION WILL SHIFT TOWARDS AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
ECMWF...GFS..AND DGEX IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH ON WED...BUT GFS STILL CONTINUING TO BE FASTER THAN
OTHER MODELS. WITH THAT MAINTAINED CHC POPS THROUGH WED AND WED
NIGHT TIME FRAME IN FORECAST. KEPT SOME CHANCE POPS FOR THU WITH
FRONT MOVING THROUGH...BUT THINKING AT THIS TIME WOULD BE THAT ANY
ACTIVITY IN THE AREA WOULD BE MORE CONFINED TO THE MORNING
HOURS...THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ANOTHER LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN FOR THE
END OF THE PERIOD.

LOOKS LIKE TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY WARM UP ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY AS FLOW TURNS FROM NORTHEASTERLY WITH THE HIGH INFLUENCE
TO BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FOR MIDWEEK.
AT THIS TIME HAVE TEMPS WARMING UP WELL ON TUESDAY WITH AROUND +18C
H850 TEMPS. FOR WEDNESDAY...EXPECTING COLD FRONT TO STILL REMAIN
NORTH OF THE AREA...SO TRENDED A BIT ABOVE THE MEX GUIDANCE TO
PROTECT FOR WARMING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AT SAME TIME...WITH THE CHC
FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS AROUND TEMPS MAY WIND UP A BIT COOLER. AT ANY
RATE THINKING GOING A FEW ABOVE CURRENT GUIDANCE WILL BE REASONABLE
TREND.

BEHIND COLD FRONT MODELS AVERAGING H850 TEMPS AROUND +12C OR SO LATE
IN THE WEEK. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TEMPS WILL TREND A FEW EACH
DAY FROM THU INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY FROM WRN LAKE ERIE THRU NW OHIO AND
INTO INDIANA SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE MOVE EAST AND AWAY FROM
THE BEST FORCING. THE STORMS COULD REACH CLE AND MFD BUT IT DOES
NOT LOOK LIKE THEY WILL REACH EASTERN SECTIONS. WILL SEE IFR TO
LIFR CONTITIONS UNDER THE STRONGER STORMS. MEANWHILE...EXPECT SOME
3-5SM BR TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BUT CIGS SHOULD STAY VFR.
THE NAM SUGGESTS ANOTHER WAVE OF PCPN WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT
INTO NW OHIO LATER TONIGHT. THE MAIN FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
ON SATURDAY. MAY SEE REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ACROSS CENTRAL OHIO AND MOVE EAST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. WILL
PLACE VCTS AFT 18Z FROM I-71 EAST.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS PRIMARILY FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT IN
ADVANCE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE LAKE OVERNIGHT WITH ACTIVITY GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HIGH
WINDS AND WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS. MAY COME CLOSE TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS
APPROACHING 15 TO 25 KNOTS NEAR FRONT TOMORROW. WINDS THEN SHIFT
WEST TO NORTHWEST BEHIND FRONT. WIND AND WAVE SHOULD DIMINISH FOR
SUNDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH WILL BE EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR OHZ003-006>009-
     017>019.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ABE
NEAR TERM...ABE
SHORT TERM...ABE
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...MRD
MARINE...RANDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
428 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

LEZ144>149-164>169-OHZ010>014-020>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-252030-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OHIO-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO-CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-
GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-
KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
428 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE. DAMAGING WIND IS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
ON SATURDAY. HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT. HEAVY
RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

OHZ009-018-019-252030-
ERIE OH-SENECA-HURON-
428 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND MORE
TORRENTIAL RAIN. WITH SATURATED GROUND... RUNOFF FROM STORMS WILL
BE QUICK AND CAUSE MORE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FLOOD WATCH WHICH IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
ON SATURDAY. HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ003-006>008-017-252030-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-
428 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 648 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND MORE
TORRENTIAL RAIN. WITH SATURATED GROUND... RUNOFF FROM STORMS WILL
BE QUICK AND CAUSE MORE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FLOOD WATCH WHICH IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
ON SATURDAY. HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

LEZ142-143-162-163-252030-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
428 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 648 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE WESTERN THIRD OF LAKE ERIE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN LAKE ERIE WITH
STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
ON SATURDAY. HAIL AND STRONG WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
553 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

OHZ003-006>008-242300-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT
553 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS NORTHWEST OHIO
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STORMS WILL REACH WESTERN LUCAS COUNTY
AROUND 630 PM AND THE TOLEDO AREA AROUND 645 PM AND BOWLING GREEN
AROUND 7 PM. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN STRONG TO DAMAGING
WINDS... AS WELL AS SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH AND A FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT.

KOSARIK