Alert archive / Ohio / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2007
Lake Effect Snow Warning 5, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 28, 2007, 3:31 AM EST for Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; 6 counties in Ohio. It took effect at Jan 28, 2007, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 26 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 28, 2007, 3:31 AM EST (08:31 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 28, 2007, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 29, 2007, 3:25 PM EST
- In force
- 26 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Medina County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 733 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 100 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KCLE 280831 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 331 AM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-281645- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0003.070128T1700Z-070129T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0005.070128T1800Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 331 AM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ENHANCE THE SNOW SHOWERS TODAY ACROSS THE REGION. THIS EVENING COLDER AIR WILL FILL IN ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE TROUGH INCREASING THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH A FEW SQUALLS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SHIFTING NORTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY KEEP THE BANDS OF SNOW ON THE MOVE TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY DURING THE DAY POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR MORE INTENSE BANDS TO DEVELOP. SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SNOWBELT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. MONDAY WE COULD SEE FROM 4 TO LOCALLY 8 INCHES WITH HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AWAY FROM THE LAKE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
9 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KCLE 281527 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1027 AM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-282330- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.070128T1800Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 1027 AM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ENHANCE THE SNOW SHOWERS TODAY ACROSS THE REGION. THIS EVENING COLDER AIR WILL FILL IN ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE TROUGH INCREASING THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH A FEW SQUALLS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SHIFTING NORTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY KEEP THE BANDS OF SNOW ON THE MOVE TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY DURING THE DAY POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR MORE INTENSE BANDS TO DEVELOP. SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SNOWBELT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT. MONDAY WE COULD SEE FROM 4 TO LOCALLY 8 INCHES WITH HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AWAY FROM THE LAKE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KCLE 282035 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 335 PM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-290445- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 335 PM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR THE SNOWBELT OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO CAUSE SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ENHANCE THE SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY DURING THE DAY POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR MORE INTENSE BANDS TO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS INLAND OF THE LAKE. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY...WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ KIELTYKA
000 WWUS41 KCLE 290151 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 851 PM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-291000- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 851 PM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THOUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. EXPECT LOCAL SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR UNDER THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY DURING THE DAY POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR MORE INTENSE BANDS TO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ MRD
000 WWUS41 KCLE 290517 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1217 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 OHZ010-011-020-291330- /O.EXB.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-MEDINA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MEDINA 1217 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR LORAIN CUYAHOGA AND MEDINA COUNTIES IN NORTHERN OHIO UNTIL 10 AM. BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THOUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. EXPECT LOCAL SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR UNDER THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-291330- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 1217 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 7 PM. HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THOUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. EXPECT LOCAL SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR UNDER THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY DURING THE DAY POSSIBLY ALLOWING FOR MORE INTENSE BANDS TO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KCLE 290928 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 428 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-291730- /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 428 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKESHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW BANDS SHIFT NORTHEAST UP THE LAKE SHORE AND WEAKEN. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ011-291500- /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 428 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SUBURBS AND POSSIBLY THE LAKESHORE AREA INCLUDING THE CITY OF CLEVELAND. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST THIS MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OF CLEVELAND AND WEAKEN BY LATE THIS MORNING. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ010-020-291500- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ LORAIN-MEDINA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...MEDINA 428 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNING FOR LORAIN AND MEDINA COUNTIES. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF MEDINA AND WELLINGTON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST BY LATE THIS MORNING. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ023-291730- /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ TRUMBULL- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 428 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR TRUMBULL COUNTY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS WHICH MAY REACH INTO TRUMBULL COUNTY ESPECIALLY NORTHERN TRUMBULL COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. $$ KOSARIK
000 WWUS41 KCLE 291105 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 605 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 OHZ010-020-291215- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ LORAIN-MEDINA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...MEDINA 605 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS SHIFTED TO THE EAST AND THEY ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO AFFECT LORAIN AND MEDINA COUNTIES. $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-291915- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 605 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKESHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW BANDS SHIFT NORTHEAST UP THE LAKE SHORE AND WEAKEN. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ011-291500- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 605 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SUBURBS AND POSSIBLY THE LAKESHORE AREA INCLUDING THE CITY OF CLEVELAND. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST THIS MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OF CLEVELAND AND WEAKEN BY LATE THIS MORNING. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ023-291915- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ TRUMBULL- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 605 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS WHICH MAY REACH INTO TRUMBULL COUNTY ESPECIALLY NORTHERN TRUMBULL COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. $$ LOMBARDY
000 WWUS41 KCLE 291402 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 902 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 OHZ011-292215- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T1500Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ CUYAHOGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND 902 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR FOR THE REST OF TODAY WITH AN INCH OR LESS OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SUBURBS AND POSSIBLY THE LAKE SHORE AREA INCLUDING THE CITY OF CLEVELAND. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-292215- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 902 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKE SHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW BANDS SHIFT NORTHEAST UP THE LAKE SHORE AND WEAKEN. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. $$ OHZ023-292215- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ TRUMBULL- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 902 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS WHICH MAY REACH INTO TRUMBULL COUNTY ESPECIALLY NORTHERN TRUMBULL COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. $$ KIELTYKA
000 WWUS41 KCLE 291609 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1109 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-300015- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE 1109 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED AND THE SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL NOT OCCUR FOR THE REST OF TODAY. SOME FLURRIES OR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKE SHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ PAZ001-002-300000- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO 1109 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW BANDS SHIFT NORTHEAST UP THE LAKE SHORE AND WEAKEN. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE POOR DURING HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKE SHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. $$ OHZ011-023-300015- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ CUYAHOGA-TRUMBULL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...WARREN 1109 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SUBURBS AND POSSIBLY THE LAKE SHORE AREA INCLUDING THE CITY OF CLEVELAND. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ KIELTYKA
000 WWUS41 KCLE 292025 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 325 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 PAZ001-002-300430- /O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070130T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0006.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO 325 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A NEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE OTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS IN ERIE COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL BECOME MORE INTENSE BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ011>014-089-PAZ003-300430- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0006.070130T1200Z-070131T1500Z/ CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE 325 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW SQUALLS IN THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE LAKE SHORE AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER A FOOT OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH THE WIND DIRECTION CHANGES WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH ANY SPOT WILL GET. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL GET MORE INTENSE BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ023-300430- /O.EXT.KCLE.LE.A.0004.070130T1700Z-070131T1500Z/ TRUMBULL- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 325 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WESTERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN SNOW SQUALLS ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. THE QUESTION IS HOW MUCH WILL THE WIND DIRECTION VARY FROM THE WEST. IF IT STAYS MORE WESTERLY THE HEAVY SNOW WILL NOT REACH TRUMBULL COUNTY...IF IT BECOMES MORE NORTHEST FOR A TIME THEN SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WILL GET INTO TRUMBULL COUNTY ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN PORTION. IF NORTHERN TRUMBULL COUNTY GETS THE HEAVY SNOW...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ KIELTYKA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 28, 3:30 AM EST, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 28, 3:30 AM EST, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 330 AM EST SUN JAN 28 2007 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)... FOR TODAY MODELS SHOW A SHARP UPPER TROF MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WITH MOST FORCING REACHING THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. GFS SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHTS RUN IN THAT IT STILL DEPICTS POTENTIAL VORTICITY GETTING WRAPPED UP INTO THE SYSTEM AND DECENDING TO AROUND 500MB ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE BULLSEYE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON SUGGESTS UVV WILL BE WORKING ON A RATHER MOIST AIRMASS AS WELL. BELIEVE THIS WILL BE GOOD FOR OCNL SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. NOT LOOKING FOR ANY BIG ACCUMS TODAY BUT WILL GO WITH 1 TO 3 IN THE SNOW BELT WITH LESS ELSEWHERE. TONIGHT COLDER AIR DROPS ACROSS THE LAKE BEHIND THE TROF. THIS SHOULD ENHANCE THE LAKE EFFECT ACROSS THE SNOWBELT. ONLY PROBLEM IS THAT THE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING THROUGH THE PERIOD...FIRST STARTING OUT AROUND 350 AND ENDING UP AROUND 300 DEGREES BY 12Z MONDAY. THIS COULD BE A PROBLEM AND SHIFT OR BREAK UP THE BANDS BUT INSTABILITY GOES TO MODERATE WHICH WOULD HELP REDEVELOP BANDS. MONDAY WINDS BACK TO WESTERLY AND EXPECT LONG FETCH BANDS TO DEVELOP. AT THIS TIME WINDS WOULD BRING BAND INTO NERN OHIO AND THEN ACROSS NWRN PA. HAVE COORDINATED WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES AND WILL ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR SNOWBELT FROM 18Z TODAY THROUGH 00Z TUES. WITH SHIFTING WINDS EXPECT LULLS BUT LOOKING FOR 24 HOUR LOCAL AMOUNTS 8 TO 12 INCHES...POSSIBLY MORE IF MONDAYS BAND PRODUCES WELL. MONDAY NIGHT SFC HIGH TO OUR SOUTH WILL INTRODUCE SHEAR TO THE LOWER LEVELS THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT ALTHOUGH NAM12 SHOWS 850-925MB WINDS LINING UP AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND A GOOD AREA OF LOW LEVEL LIFT EXTENDING FROM ERIE COUNTY PA INTO NY SO WE MAY NOT BE FINISHED WITH THE LES. WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPS. && .AVIATION(06Z-06Z)... SCT SHSN REMAIN OVER NERN OH AND NW PA BUT MOST OF THIS SNOW REMAINS LIGHT. SUM CLEARING ACTUALLY MOVING ACROSS SERN LOWER MICH SO AIR MOVING IN APPEARS TO FAIRLY DRY. THUS...LIKE BEFORE...EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT AND SUN AS COLD AIR ALOFT WILL BE SLOW IN ARRIVING. APPEARS CIGS MAY GO VFR MOST AREAS LATER TONIGHT AND WILL TRY TO USE TEMPS TO ACCOUNT FOR OCNL MVFR CIGS. SHOULD BE A GRADUAL DETERIORIATION FROM LATE AM ON AS COLDER AIR ALOFT DOES ARRIVE. WINDS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME MORE NLY AND THIS WILL PUSH HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOWS INTO KMFD AND KCAK AT END OF PERIOD. && .LONG TERM (TUESDAY-SATURDAY)... GFS/ECMWF/DIGEX ARE ALL IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN MOVING THROUGH SYSTEMS FOR THE EXTENDED. SOME DIFFERENCES FOR SATURDAY. COLD FRONT AND LOW SHOULD BE EXITING THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY MORNING. WITH HIGH MOISTURE...FORECASTING 50 POPS OR HIGHER EVERYWHERE IN THE FORECAST AREA AND LIKELY POPS IN THE SNOWBELT WITH A LAKE AND 850 MB TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE NEAR 19C. S/WV MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AND THE FLOW IS FORECAST TO BE WESTERLY...THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE IN THE SNOWBELT IF THAT HOLD TRUE. HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY...A THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY IN THE MORNING AS THE FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST. WITH TIMING ISSUES WILL NOT PUT ANY RESOLUTION IN BUT GO WITH CHANCE POPS. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. ALL MODELS IN AGREEMENT. CHANCE POPS AND CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE FLOW REMAINS SOUTHWEST. AS THE FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY THURSDAY NIGHT MAINLY SNOW SHOWERS IN THE LAKE EFFECT AREAS. WITH RIDGING FOR FRIDAY...JUST CHANCE POPS IN THE SNOW BELT. AS THE RIDGE SINKS SOUTH LAKE EFFECT OVER THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. DIGEX AND GFS DIVERGE FOR SATURDAY. THE DIGEX BRINGS A LOW UP THE EAST COAST WHILE THE GFS PUSHED IN PLENTY OF COLD AIR WITH A LOT OF LAKE EFFECT. WITH SO MUCH COLD AIR BOTTLED UP...GOING WITH THE GFS SOLUTION FOR THE COLD AIR TO KEEP POURING IN SO PLENTY OF LAKE EFFECT. IF THE FLOW REMAINS WESTERLY AS FORECAST THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN GENERALLY DRY. COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW IN FOR SATURDAY. CHANCE POPS FOR THE PRIMARY SNOWBELT AND SURROUNDING AREAS. WITH SOME QUESTIONS AS TO WHAT MODEL WILL BE RIGHT THE DIGEX IN MOVING THE LOW UP NEAR OHIO AND SINCE IT IS DAY 7 WILL BE CONSERVATIVE. NORTHWEST OHIO DRY. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING SUNDAY 1PM THROUGH MONDAY 7PM. OHZ012>014-089 PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING SUNDAY 1PM THROUGH MONDAY 7PM. PAZ001>003 && SHORT TERM...TK LONG TERM...KIELTYKA AVIATION...KUBINA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 27, 6:51 AM EST, 20 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 651 AM EST SAT JAN 27 2007 OHZ011>014-089-PAZ001>003-281200- CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- 651 AM EST SAT JAN 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>010-017>023-027>033-036>038-047- 281200- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON- THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA- SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK- MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- 651 AM EST SAT JAN 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE... NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Ohio, 2007Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Every lake effect snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.