Heat Advisory 2, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS71 KCLE 081444
NPWCLE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1044 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2007

OHZ017-027-028-036-037-047-082245-
/O.CON.KCLE.HT.Y.0002.070808T1600Z-070809T0000Z/
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINDLAY...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
1044 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2007

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER
90S THIS AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN WARMER. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 100 TO 104 DEGREES MOST OF THE AFTERNOON.

PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE ADVISED TO AVOID PROLONGED WORK
IN SUN...OR IN POORLY VENTILATED AREAS. ALSO...KEEP PLENTY OF
LIQUIDS ON HAND AND TRY TO STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED
ENVIRONMENT.

$$
KUBINA

000 
WWUS71 KCLE 081911
NPWCLE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
311 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2007

OHZ017-027-028-036-037-047-090000-
/O.CON.KCLE.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070809T0000Z/
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FINDLAY...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MOUNT VERNON
311 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2007

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN WARMER. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 100 TO 104 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN THIS EVENING AND REDUCE THE
THREAT OF HEAT RELATED HAZARDS. 

PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE ADVISED TO AVOID PROLONGED WORK
IN SUN...OR IN POORLY VENTILATED AREAS. ALSO...KEEP PLENTY OF
LIQUIDS ON HAND AND TRY TO STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED
ENVIRONMENT.

$$

LOMBARDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
125 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONT NEAR LAKE ERIE WILL WAVER BACK AND FORTH IN THE AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY AS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE ALONG THE FRONT FROM WEST TO
EAST.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND LAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/...
UPDATED TO INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY WRN TWO THIRDS OR FORECAST AREA
FOR TONIGHT. MORE TSRA NW IN WILL MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT...NOT SURE
HOW FAR THEY WILL HOLD TOGETHER...BUT ENOUGH TO WARRANT LIKELY
POPS VICE CHC.

A NUMBER OF THINGS TO LOOK AT THIS EVENING RANGING FROM POSSIBLE
ADDITIONAL FLOODING TO SEVERE TSRA. MORNING INTO MIDDAY PRECIP HAS
HELPED TO STABILIZE THE NORTHEASTERN 2/3 OF THE AREA SO THINK SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED TO MAINLY THE SOUTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WED SHOULD HELP TO
DECREASE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR LAKE ERIE
AS LIGHT FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHERLY.  FURTHER SOUTH SHOULD SEE SCT
TSRA OCCUR BUT MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
AGAIN BE SEVERE.

NEXT WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ON TRACK FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
PER NGM AND NAM FOR MORE WIDESPREAD TSRA WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND
SEVERE WEATHER AS AIRMASS REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH PWS
OF AROUND 2 INCHES AND LIS PROGGED OF MINUS 4 TO 5. GFS DIFFERS
WITH WAVE ON WED THEN EVERYTHING TO OUR SOUTH ON THU AND THU NITE.
WL SMOOTH DIFFERENCES WITH MODELS AS EXPECT FRONT TO REMAIN IN AREA
AS WEAKS WAVES MOVE ALONG SO CHANCE OF PRECIP IN EVERY PERIOD SEEMS
A REASONABLE MOVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WITH ENOUGH WRAP MOISTURE AND UPPER TROFINESS LINGERING WILL
CONTINUE SMALL CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIP ON FRIDAY.  AFTER THIS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN SHOULD MEAN DRY WEATHER ON THE WEEKEND AND
PROBABLY THROUGH MONDAY. WILL BRING IN SLIGHT CHANCE FOR TUESDAY PER
GUIDANCE AS WEAK FRONT SAGS NEAR LAKE ERIE.  GUIDANCE APPEARS TOO
WARM FRI AND SAT WITH EXPECTED NLY FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A BREAK IN STORMS CURRENTLY AS WEAK RIDGING HAS BUILT OVER THE
AREA ALLOWING FOR SOME CLEARING. THIS MAY END UP ALLOWING FOR SOME
MVFR/BORDERLINE IFR FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE THE MID
CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE NEXT MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX CURRENTLY WEST OF CHICAGO. THIS IS WHERE THE FORECAST BECOMES
TRICKY. MODELS HAVE A VERY POOR HANDLE ON THIS FEATURE...AND SPC
MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AXIS OF HIGH INSTABILITY FROM JUST
WEST OF CHICAGO INTO WESTERN OHIO. THE CONCERN IS THAT THIS
COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS AND
INTO WESTERN OHIO BY SUNRISE. ONE DISSENTING FACTOR FOR THIS
COMPLEX MOVING EAST IS THE DRY AIR ACROSS INDIANA PER WATER VAPOR.
THEREFORE...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT THE
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS ACROSS WESTERN OHIO AND ESPECIALLY TOLEDO.

THE NEXT PROBLEM IS THE SHORT WAVE THE MODELS SHOW MOVING INTO THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH 3000+ J/KG CAPE VALUES THIS
AFTERNOON...EXPECT THIS FEATURE TO ONCE AGAIN TRIGGER STORMS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THEY WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED GIVEN THE
WARM TEMPS AT 850MB POTENTIALLY CAPPING THE ATMOSPHERE...BUT
THERE SHOULD BE A FEW STORMS AROUND ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
ANY STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY QUIET DOWN BY 00Z AS WINDS TURN NW-N.

OUTLOOK... FRONT COULD MOVE BACK NORTH INTO AREA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY RETURNING THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. RISK OF
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END FRIDAY NIGHT AS FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST FOR
GOOD AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT FLOW WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL PERIODS AS STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE LAKE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A PROBLEM FOR MARINE INTERESTS BY PRODUCING
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES. WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LAKE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. NEXT COLD
FRONT DUE IN ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ADAMS/DJB
NEAR TERM...ADAMS
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...MRD
MARINE...LOMBARDY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
627 AM EDT TUE AUG 7 2007

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-007>014-018>023-028>033-038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-081030-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OHIO-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO-CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-
HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-
STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
627 AM EDT TUE AUG 7 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERE STORMS WOULD LIKELY HAVE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

OHZ006-017-027-036-037-081030-
WOOD-HANCOCK-WYANDOT-MARION-MORROW-
627 AM EDT TUE AUG 7 2007

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OFF AROUND 100 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THE HEAT ADVISORY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERE STORMS WOULD LIKELY HAVE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1128 PM EDT TUE AUG 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAVENNA                 41.16N 81.24W
08/07/2007                   PORTAGE            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FEW TREES DOWN

&&

RANDEL