Severe Thunderstorm Warning 200, NWS Columbia, SC

000 
WWUS52 KCAE 132045
SVSCAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
445 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

GAC033-132055-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0200.000000T0000Z-070913T2100Z/
BURKE GA-
445 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BURKE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
THE THUNDERSTORM OVER BURKE COUNTY HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. 

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA TOLL FREE
AT 1 800 7 7 5 7 1 9 9.

LAT...LON 3306 8194 3322 8183 3318 8176 3316 8176
      3312 8170 3312 8168 3309 8164 3309 8162
      3306 8157 3294 8173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 301DEG 11KT 3303 8173

$$

LM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
245 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

.SYNOPSIS...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH
FRIDAY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION
SATURDAY...THEN STALL OFFSHORE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS JUST TO OUR SOUTH CURRENTLY BUT WILL
BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT AS SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE THAT IS MOVING INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS QUITE HIGH THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND WITH SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT THINK
THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR RAIN. WILL START THE EVENING WITH
LIKELY POPS IN THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA WHERE CONVECTION IS
ONGOING. EXPECT PLENTY OF CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING MUCH OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A STRONG
SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AT THIS TIME. THIS WILL
BRING AN INCREASE TO THE ALREADY VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST. THE SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMBINED WITH SOME ISENTROPIC
LIFT AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTING NORTH ON FRIDAY SHOULD
PROVIDE A GOOD CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. HAVE INCREASED
THE POPS FOR FRIDAY TO CATEGORICAL FAR NORTHWEST AND KEPT LIKELY
POPS ELSEWHERE...ALTHOUGH THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA
PROBABLY WILL NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL UNTIL LATE FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC FRIDAY
NIGHT STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL PUSH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THROUGH THE MIDLANDS BY SATURDAY. WILL KEEP HIGH POPS
FRIDAY EVENING AND DECREASE TOWARDS MORNING.

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY DRY AIR WILL
SLOWLY PUSH INTO FROM THE NORTHWEST. WILL CARRY LOW CHANCE POPS
SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY AND THEN CARRY A DRY FORECAST SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OFF THE COAST.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW NORMAL DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
ALONG THE EAST COAST.  THERE ARE SIGNS OF POSSIBLE LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD BY MIDWEEK...BUT THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE APPEARS STRONG
ENOUGH AT THIS POINT TO KEEP THAT FEATURE AT SEA.  MODELS WERE IN
RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LONGWAVE PATTERN AND THEREFORE WILL
CONTINUE THE DRY FORECAST.  TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL...WITH A PERSISTENT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

STATIONARY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  WILL INCLUDE MENTION OF CB
IN TAFS FOR NOW...AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR.  MVFR CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.   WITH
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING ACROSS THE AREA...AND WITH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL IN PLACE...MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY.  MOISTURE AND
RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TD HUMBERTO WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...
WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE STALLED FRONT AND AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
TD HUMBERTO.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HC
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM...HC
LONG TERM...HC
AVIATION...CL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
500 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-140900-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
500 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1127 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW GASTON            33.80N 81.15W
09/12/2007                   LEXINGTON          SC   NWS STORM SURVEY

            A MICROBURST MOVED ACROSS A FIELD THROUGH A MOBILE HOME
            COMMUNITY AND TOOK DOWN A COUPLE OF TREES, DID MINOR
            DAMAGE TO THE SKIRTING AROUND A DOZEN MOBILE HOMES, AND
            LIFTED A CARPORT OFF ITS FOUNDATION AND ROLLED ABOUT 40
            YARDS. THE CARPORT WAS OPEN TO THE FRONT SIDE AND CLOSED
            ON THE SIDES AND BACK.

&&

SJN