Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2007

Winter Storm Watch 5, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 30, 200716 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm watch at Nov 30, 2007, 4:46 AM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 1, 2007, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2007, 4:46 AM EST (09:46 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 1, 2007, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 1, 2007, 4:32 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 312 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1603 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
94 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 300946
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
446 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...

COLD AIR SWEEPING ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS TODAY...ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN
DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

NYZ006>008-301800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-071130T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
446 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ALSO ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WIDE AND SOMEWHAT DIFFUSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER OSWEGO
COUNTY AT DAYBREAK WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE
TUG HILL DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING...THEN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AS THEY LIFT TO THE NORTH...BUT NOT BEFORE
DEPOSITING ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY THIS EVENING COULD REACH ONE FOOT
OVER THE TUG HILL.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION COULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A LARGER
MORE WIDESPREAD EVENT LATE IN THE WEEKEND WHEN A STORM LIFTING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL SPREAD STEADY SNOW ACROSS MUCH
OF NEW YORK STATE. THIS SNOW COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES
OVER OSWEGO COUNTY...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-301800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
446 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON COULD AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS STATES
ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...THEN MILDER AIR COULD CHANGE THE SNOW TO
A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO
SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-301800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
446 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...THEN MILDER AIR COULD CHANGE
THE SNOW TO A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A
TIME SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND..

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-301800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
446 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY...
THEN MILDER AIR COULD BRIEFLY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A MIX OF
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO
SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

RSH
9 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 301457
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
957 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SO THE LAKE 
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO SPREAD A MIXED BAG OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION 
ACROSS WESTERN AREAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN SPREADING EAST 
ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... 

.LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO HAVE WEAKENED SO THE LAKE 
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. ONLY AN INCH OR LESS OF 
SNOW IS EXPECTED AS THE BAND CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS 
JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS 
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH A GENERAL 
SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE SATURDAY EVENING...THE 
FINGER LAKES REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE 
ONTARIO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES LATE 
SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW IS THEN 
EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
THEN CHANGE BACK TO SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES EAST OF LAKE 
ONTARIO LATE SUNDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW..SLEET 
OR ICE DURING THIS PERIOD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.


NYZ006>008-302300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-071130T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T1000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
957 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO HAVE WEAKENED SO THE LAKE 
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. ONLY AN INCH OR LESS OF 
SNOW IS EXPECTED AS THE BAND CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS 
JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
LARGER MORE WIDESPREAD EVENT LATE IN THE WEEKEND WHEN A STORM
LIFTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL SPREAD STEADY SNOW
ACROSS MUCH OF NEW YORK STATE. THIS SNOW COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET
AT TIMES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY MONDAY
MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
957 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON COULD AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...THEN MILDER AIR COULD CHANGE THE SNOW TO
A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE
BACK TO SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
957 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY...THEN MILDER AIR COULD CHANGE
THE SNOW TO A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR
A TIME SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND..

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T1000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
957 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY...
 THEN MILDER AIR COULD BRIEFLY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A MIX OF
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND POSSIBLY RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM WILL MOVE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$


JJP
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 302035
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A QUICK BURST OF HEAVY SNOW. WINDS WILL
THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST AND BECOME ALIGNED THIS EVENING THROUGH THE
EARLY OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND OSWEGO COUNTY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A 6 TO 8 HOUR PERIOD BEFORE
SHIFTING SOUTH OUT OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH A
GENERAL SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE SATURDAY
EVENING...THE FINGER LAKES REGION AN GENESEE VALLEY LATER SATURDAY
NIGHT...AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES LATE
SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW IS THEN
EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY NIGHT
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO ALL
SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW.


NYZ006-010445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0005.071201T2300Z-071203T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
SATURDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
SATURDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL
SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT...THEN
SHIFT OUT OF THE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION
TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
LARGER MORE WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY MONDAY MORNING WITH ACCUMULATING
SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY. 

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THERE WILL BE
A COMBINATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ008-010445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0005.071201T2100Z-071203T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
SATURDAY TO 3 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
SATURDAY TO 3 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY ALSO
MIX WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-007-010445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL BE AFFECTED BY A WIDESPREAD
WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY ALSO MIX WITH
SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-010445-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS STATES
ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME
EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-010445-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS STATES
ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE MIXED PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 302127
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A QUICK BURST OF HEAVY SNOW. WINDS WILL
THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST AND BECOME ALIGNED THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE EARLY OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND OSWEGO COUNTY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A 6 TO 8 HOUR PERIOD BEFORE
SHIFTING SOUTH OUT OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH A
GENERAL SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE SATURDAY
EVENING...THE FINGER LAKES REGION AN GENESEE VALLEY LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES LATE
SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW IS THEN
EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW.

NYZ006-010530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0005.071201T2300Z-071203T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.071130T2127Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
5 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM
EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL
SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT...THEN
SHIFT OUT OF THE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION
TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
LARGER MORE WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED
TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY MONDAY MORNING WITH ACCUMULATING
SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THERE WILL BE
A COMBINATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ008-010530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0005.071201T2100Z-071203T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.071130T2127Z-071201T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM
EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY
ALSO MIX WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE MIXED PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION
MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE
MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-007-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN
427 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL BE AFFECTED BY A WIDESPREAD
WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY ALSO MIX WITH
SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 302128
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A QUICK BURST OF HEAVY SNOW. WINDS WILL
THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST AND BECOME ALIGNED THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE EARLY OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND OSWEGO COUNTY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A 6 TO 8 HOUR PERIOD BEFORE
SHIFTING SOUTH OUT OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH A
GENERAL SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE SATURDAY
EVENING...THE FINGER LAKES REGION AN GENESEE VALLEY LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES LATE
SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW IS THEN
EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW.

NYZ006-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL
SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT...THEN
SHIFT OUT OF THE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE
AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
LARGER MORE WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY MONDAY MORNING WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THERE WILL BE
A COMBINATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ008-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.
IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY
ALSO MIX WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE MIXED PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION
MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE
MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-007-010530-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN
428 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL BE AFFECTED BY A WIDESPREAD
WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY ALSO MIX WITH
SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 010302
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...

.WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT AND
BECOME ALIGNED THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW A BAND OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND OSWEGO COUNTY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR A 6 TO 8 HOUR
PERIOD BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTH OUT OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO A MAJOR WINTER STORM THAT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH A
GENERAL SNOW MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF THE STATE SATURDAY
EVENING...THE FINGER LAKES REGION AN GENESEE VALLEY LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY MORNING.

THE LOW IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO LIFT INTO THE CENTRAL LAKES LATE
SUNDAY. A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE LOW IS THEN
EXPECTED TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME SUNDAY
NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW.

NYZ006-011115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY EVENING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL SHIFT SOUTH
THROUGH THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFT OUT OF
THE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION TO THE
SNOWFALL...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOULD THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
LARGER MORE WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTRY MIX
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BY MONDAY MORNING WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THERE WILL BE
A COMBINATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ008-011115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO
3 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL
AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. IN ADDITION TO THE
SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW.

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL THEN BE AFFECTED BY A
WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY
ALSO MIX WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-011115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE MIXED PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE COULD MAKE FOR
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-011115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

THE FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE YOUNG SEASON WILL AFFECT THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND. A WELL DEVELOPED STORM OVER THE PLAINS
STATES ON SATURDAY WILL LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION
MAY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE
MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-007-011115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WILL BE AFFECTED BY A WIDESPREAD
WINTER EVENT LATER THIS WEEKEND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY ALSO MIX WITH
SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 011032
WSWBUF

WWUS41 KBUF 011030
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY IMPACT
THE REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY...PUTTING AND END
TO THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...BUT A DEEP COLORADO LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY
NORTHEAST INTO THE NATIONS MID SECTION THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES SUNDAY. EVENTUALLY THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO
TRACK JUST TO THE NORTH OF WESTERN NEW YORK SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN
REORGANIZE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY.

THE ABOVE SCENARIO WOULD BRING THE FIRST TASTE OF WIDESPREAD
WINTRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. THE QUESTION UNANSWERED AT THIS
TIME IS PRECIPITATION TYPE. IT APPEARS THAT MOST AREAS WILL START
AS SNOW AND END AS SNOW BUT IN BETWEEN THERE IS A THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS MAY COME ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. 

NYZ006-011830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. A WINTER STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BE
A PROBLEM MONDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-011830-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SN.Y.0007.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1800Z-071203T1000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. SNOW
IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES
OVERNIGHT. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-011830-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN
AND RAIN. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-011830-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.
THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005-007-008-011830-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
530 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BE
A PROBLEM MONDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 011040
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
540 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY IMPACT
THE REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY...PUTTING AND END
TO THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...
BUT A DEEP COLORADO LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEAST
INTO THE NATIONS MID SECTION THIS EVENING AND INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES SUNDAY. EVENTUALLY THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO TRACK
JUST TO THE NORTH OF WESTERN NEW YORK SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN
REORGANIZE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY.

THE ABOVE SCENARIO WOULD BRING THE FIRST TASTE OF WIDESPREAD
WINTRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. THE QUESTION UNANSWERED AT THIS
TIME IS PRECIPITATION TYPE. IT APPEARS THAT MOST AREAS WILL START
AS SNOW AND END AS SNOW BUT IN BETWEEN THERE IS A THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS MAY COME ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.

NYZ012-019>021-085-011845-
/O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0007.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1800Z-071203T1000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
540 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.
SNOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES
OVERNIGHT. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-011845-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
540 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN
AND RAIN. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-011845-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
540 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.
THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005>008-011845-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
540 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BE
A PROBLEM MONDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 011457
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
957 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY IMPACT
THE REGION LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...ACCOMPANIED BY GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER... BUT A DEEP
COLORADO LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO THE
NATIONS MID SECTION THIS EVENING AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
SUNDAY. EVENTUALLY THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST TO THE
NORTH OF WESTERN NEW YORK SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN REORGANIZE OFF THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY.

THE ABOVE SCENARIO WOULD BRING THE FIRST TASTE OF WIDESPREAD
WINTRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. THE QUESTION UNANSWERED AT THIS
TIME IS PRECIPITATION TYPE. IT APPEARS THAT MOST AREAS WILL START
AS SNOW AND END AS SNOW BUT IN BETWEEN THERE IS A THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS MAY COME ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.

NYZ012-019>021-085-012300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SN.Y.0007.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1800Z-071203T1000Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
957 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.
SNOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES
OVERNIGHT. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-012300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
957 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN
AND RAIN. THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-012300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
957 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA FROM TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.
THE WORST CONDITIONS MAY COME MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM WITH STRONG WINDS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

NYZ005>008-012300-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE
957 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STORM SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO IS EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BE
A PROBLEM MONDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 012132
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER KANSAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL IMPACT OUR REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER KANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS
FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEAST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SUNDAY.
EVENTUALLY THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST TO THE NORTH OF
WESTERN NEW YORK SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN REORGANIZE OFF THE SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY.

THE ABOVE SCENARIO WOULD BRING THE FIRST TASTE OF WIDESPREAD
WINTRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW
IN ALL AREAS BUT IT WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER NORTHWARD AS FAR AS OSWEGO COUNTY
DURING SUNDAY AS MILDER AIR IS DRAWN IN ALOFT. SOME AREAS WILL
CHANGE OVER TO MOST RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ESPECIALLY
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS. PRIMARILY SNOW IS FORECAST FOR THE
NORTH COUNTRY WHERE UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW IS LIKELY SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

AFTER THE STORM REORGANIZES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY MUCH
COLDER AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION.
BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE LIKELY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE WEEK SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. STAY TUNED FOR
MORE ADVISORIES WATCHES OR WARNINGS BEGINNING MONDAY.

NYZ012-019>021-085-020545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SN.Y.0007.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1800Z-071203T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T0300Z-071202T2100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY...
...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING WITH AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 5 INCHES BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX SUNDAY WITH MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. THERE MAY
BE AS MUCH AS A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICING IN THE MORNING AS
FREEZING RAIN MIXES IN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ007-008-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.071202T1500Z-071203T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION SUNDAY WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES BY
EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 5 TO 8
INCHES. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD WHERE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIX
IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. THE
SNOW WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND IT WILL BECOME QUITE WINDY AS THE
STORM MOVES OFF THE COAST.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0000Z-071203T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T0500Z-071202T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION TOWARD MIDNIGHT WITH AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A
WINTRY MIX SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF SNOW AND SLEET.
THERE MAY BE SOME ICING TOO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN FOR AWHILE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ003-013-014-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T0700Z-071202T2100Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH AS MUCH
AS 2 TO 4 INCHES BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX
SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. THERE MAY BE
SOME ICING TOO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN FOR AWHILE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ005-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T0900Z-071202T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT WITH AROUND AN
INCH ACCUMULATION BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
MORNING AND THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL BE 2 TO 4 INCHES. THERE MAY BE SOME
ICING TOO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN FOR AWHILE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ004-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T0600Z-071203T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T0900Z-071202T2100Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT WITH 1 TO 2
INCHES BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY MORNING AND THEN
CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION
WILL BE 2 TO 4 INCHES. THERE MAY BE SOME ICING TOO DUE TO FREEZING
RAIN FOR AWHILE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NYZ006-020545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0005.071202T1200Z-071203T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0014.071202T1100Z-071202T2200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
432 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EXPECT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE TONIGHT WITH LESS THAN AN
INCH ACCUMULATION BY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
MORNING AND THEN CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL BE 3 TO 5 INCHES. THERE MAY BE SOME
ICING TOO DUE TO FREEZING RAIN FOR AWHILE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

SAGE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Nov 30, 4:08 AM EST, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 4:08 AM EST, 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
IT WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COLD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
FAIRLY FREQUENT BOUTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN THE LEE OF THE LAKES.
THE REGION WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE ITS FIRST SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC
WINTER STORM WITH WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE LATER THIS
WEEKEND. THIS STORM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
MESOSCALE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE CENTER STAGE TODAY AS
ACCUMULATING SNOWS EAST OF LK ONTARIO WILL PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON. A NEAR STEADY STATE WESTERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT HAS KEPT
OSWEGO COUNTY IN THE HEART OF THE LAKE SNOW ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH
THE BAND IS MORE DIFFUSE THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED.

DURING THE COURSE OF TODAY...THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL BACK IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. THIS WILL SENT THE
LAKE SNOWS BACK TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND
JEFFERSON/LEWIS COUNTIES. AT THE SAME TIME...INCREASED SHEAR
WITHIN THE LAYER IS EXPECTED. THE CAT POPS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FOR
THE ACTIVITY WILL TAPER OFF TO LIKELY BY MIDDAY THEN TO LOW CHC
FOR THE MID AFTERNOON AS THE DYING ACTIVITY MAKES ITS WAY TO THE
ST LAWRENCE VALLEY.

OFF LK ERIE...A LOWER CAP AND THE LACK OF A SIGNIFICANT SNOW
CRYSTAL GROWTH AREA HAS LIMITED THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY
OVERNIGHT. BOTH OF THESE PARAMTERS WILL BECOME EVEN LESS FAVORABLE
TODAY WITH SHEAR INCREASING WITHIN A BACKING BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW.
WILL ONLY MENTION FLURRIES WITH THIS NEGLIGIBLE ACTIVITY AS THE
LAKE CLOUDS MOVE NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY.

ELSEWHERE...TODAY WILL GENERALLY FEATURE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOWER 40S FOR MANY
LOCATIONS WITH 30S EXPECTED FOR THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGIONS. IT WILL ALSO BE ANOTHER WINDY DAY
FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. GALES
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LAKES (SEE MARINE BELOW).

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT COULD GENERATE SOME SCATTERD SNOW
SHOWERS AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCE
COMING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE REALIGNING WINDS WILL BRING THE
LAKE BACK INTO PLAY. WILL KEEP THE LIKELY POPS EAST OF LK ONTARIO
FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON FOR THIS SCENARIO.

WHILE THERE WILL BE A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AROUND TONIGHT...THE
FOCUS WILL ONCE AGAIN TURN TO A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW AND LAKE
EFFECT. A SERIOUS LACK OF ANY SNOW GROWTH AREA (AT LEAST ACCORDING
TO THE NAM/WRF BUFKIT DISPLAYS) EAST OF LAKE ERIE SHOULD KEEP ANY
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS FROM DEVELOPING. I AM SOMEWHAT SKEPTICAL OF
THE MODEL SOLUTION GIVEN H85 TEMPS OF -10C AND A W-NW FLOW OVER
THE WIDE OPEN LAKE...SO WILL LEAVE CHC POPS FOR NOW. THE NAM IS
SUGGESTING SLIGHTLY BETTER CONDITIONS DURING THE WEE HOURS OF THE
MORNING...BUT STILL NOT THE MOST FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ANYTHING
SIGNIFICANT.

EAST OF LK ONTARIO TONIGHT...A WESTERLY FLOW WILL VEER TO
NORTHWEST AS THE NIGHT MATURES. THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE GFS
AND NAM/WRF ALONG WITH ONE OF THE LOCALLY RUN MESOSCALE MODELS ARE
ALL SUGGESTING THAT THE LAKE ONTARIO BAND WILL HAVE AN UPSTREAM
CONNECTION WITH LAKE HURON. WHILE THE WINDS WILL BE VEERING DURING
THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT...THE PRIMED BAND SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER
WHILE MOVING SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TO WAYNE AND MONROE
COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK. SNOWFALL WITHIN THIS BAND SHOULD ONLY REACH
A COUPLE INCHES...BUT IT COULD BE ENOUGH TO MAKE SOME ROADS SLICK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE RESIDUAL BAND OF LAKE EFFECT FROM LAKE HURON/ONTARIO WILL FALL
APART ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND GENESEE VALLEY BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AS CIRRUS WILL RACE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. WHILE A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER OUR
REGION FOR SATURDAY...OUR ATTENTION WILL TURN TO A DEVELOPING
STORM OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION.

THIS STORM WILL LIFT ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL CIRCULATE LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS WESTERN
NEW YORK IN THE PROCESS. MEANWHILE...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE
CENTERED OVER QUEBEC SO OUR LOW LEVEL COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE. AS OUR AIRMASS BECOMES MORE SATURATED...IT WILL BECOME RIPE
FOR WIDESPREAD SNOW TO BREAK OUT. SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN TIER EARLY IN THE EVENING WITH THE SNOW SPREAD ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE VALLEY AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH ACCUMS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE
BY SUNDAY MORNING OVER THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE SRN TIER.

THE WELL DEVELOPED STORM WILL LIFT TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES ON
SUNDAY. WHILE SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION...THE COLD AIR OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES WILL BE TOUGH TO
DISPLACE. IT WILL GRUDGINGLY GIVE WAY WARMER AIR DURING THE
COURSE OF THE MORNING AND MIDDAY THOUGH...WITH THE SNOW CHANGING
OVER TO SLEET THEN TO RAIN FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THIS MIX
COULD ALSO INCLUDE SOME FREEZING RAIN...ESPECIALLY LATER INTHE
AFTERNOON AS TEMPS HEAD BACK TOWARDS FREEZING. THE MIX COULD
INCLUDE UP TO A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET/ICE...SO THAT IN
COMBINATION WITH THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING SNOW COULD MAKE FOR
SOME TOUGH TRAVEL CONDITIONS. EAST OF LK ONTARIO...THE PCPN SHOULD
REMAIN ALL SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. AS A RESULT...WE HAVE ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT FOR THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND ICE.

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT...THE SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO CROSS SOUTHERN
ONTARIO. THE MILD AIR IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM WILL GRADUALLY BE
REPLACED BY COLD AIR ON ITS BACKSIDE. THIS WILL CHANGE THE MIXED
PCPN BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW SHOWERS AND LAKE EFFECT
MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF MUCH COLDER AIR
WILL FLOOD BACK INTO THE AREA WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO
1 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATION BELOW NORMAL...NEAR MINUS 16C WHICH WILL
SET THE STAGE FOR POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ACROSS AREAS
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. DELTA TS AND LAKE
INSTABILITY LOOK TO BE AT THEIR GREATEST MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY MORNING.

THE FLOW BACKS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING CLIPPER TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
SHEAR TO KEEP LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO A MINIMUM FOR THE BUFFALO AND
WATERTOWN AREAS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
KEEP A CHANCE OF A SURFACE LOW AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AREA
THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A BRISK WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND A DEPARTED COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN A
WELL DEFINED LAKE SNOW BAND OFF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT. THE STEADIEST
SNOW HAS NOW SETTLED INTO SRN OSWEGO AND NRN CAYUGA COUNTIES AND
SHOULD REMAIN INTACT THROUGH THE NIGHT. AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO
LAKE HURON WILL ALLOW WEAKER LAKE SNOW BANDS TO HUG THE WESTERN
SHORES OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. THESE SNOW
BANDS MAY CAUSE VSBYS TO BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR VCNTY OF KROC. THE
DIFFUSE BANDS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT..BUT
VSBYS MAY LOWER TO MVFR FOR BRIEFS PERIODS. THE REST OF THE AREA
WILL SEE MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES
ON FRIDAY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO
IMPACT ALL TAF SITES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL
JET TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED
40S KNOTS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES.

LOOKING AHEAD...A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLDER AIR WILL SET UP BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND GENERATE MORE SNOW SHOWERS. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL WIND DOWN SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE. A POTENT STORM SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS ON MONDAY...IF THE DEEPENING STORM TRACKS NORTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL LIKELY LAST INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PICK UP AGAIN ON TODAY AS ANOTHER LOW
TRACKS JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH OF
THIS LOW WILL ALSO HELP TO CHANNEL THE WINDS UP THE LAKES.
THEREFORE...THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH FRIDAY ON
BOTH LAKES AND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT ON LAKE ONTARIO. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO NEW YORK
STATE.

A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM LIFTING TO THE WEST OF THE AREA LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN NORTH OF THE AREA BY MONDAY WILL BRING GALE
FORCE WINDS ON BOTH LAKES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ005>008.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
     SUNDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ003-004-013-014.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
         FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...RSH
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...APB
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 29, 3:50 PM EST, 12 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

NYZ006>008-302100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY.

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ORGANIZE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY THEN TRACK TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY
NIGHT THEN CONTINUE INTO QUEBEC BY MONDAY. THIS INTENSE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS TO THE REGION.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE FORM OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER
TO ALL RAIN DURING SUNDAY. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST
TO CROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LEFTOVER
PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO SNOW BY MONDAY.

AS THE INTENSE LOW MOVES BY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION...
STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

A WESTERLY FLOW OF MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER SNOW
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY THEIR SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-302100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ORGANIZE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY THEN TRACK TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY
NIGHT THEN CONTINUE INTO QUEBEC BY MONDAY. THIS INTENSE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS TO THE REGION.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE FORM OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER
TO ALL RAIN DURING SUNDAY. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST
TO CROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LEFTOVER
PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO SNOW BY MONDAY.

AS THE INTENSE LOW MOVES BY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION...
STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

A WESTERLY FLOW OF MUCH COLDER AIR BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER SNOW
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY THEIR SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-302100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ORGANIZE OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY THEN TRACK TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY
NIGHT THEN CONTINUE INTO QUEBEC BY MONDAY. THIS INTENSE AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS TO THE REGION.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE FORM OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER
TO ALL RAIN DURING SUNDAY. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST
TO CROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANY LEFTOVER
PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO SNOW BY MONDAY.

AS THE INTENSE LOW MOVES BY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION...
STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-302100-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A POWERFUL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AND THEN INTO QUEBEC ON MONDAY. GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND THERE IS A
CHANCE WINDS MAY APPROACH STORM FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-302100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A POWERFUL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AND THEN INTO QUEBEC ON MONDAY. GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND THERE IS A
CHANCE WINDS MAY APPROACH STORM FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-SLZ022-024-302100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
350 PM EST THU NOV 29 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A POWERFUL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AND THEN INTO QUEBEC ON MONDAY. GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND THERE IS A
CHANCE WINDS MAY APPROACH STORM FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 9:25 AM ESTWind AdvisoryBUFCayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Monroe and 5 more14 hr
Nov 30, 3:35 PM ESTLake Effect Snow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryBUFLewis, Oswego52 min
Nov 30, 4:27 PM ESTLake Effect Snow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryBUFLewis, Oswego13 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in New York, 2007Every winter storm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.