Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Watches in 2007

Lake Effect Snow Watch 9, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 4, 2007Cayuga County, Wayne County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow watch at Feb 4, 2007, 3:26 PM EST for Cayuga County, Wayne County, New York. It took effect at Feb 5, 2007, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 4, 2007, 3:26 PM EST (20:26 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 5, 2007, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 5, 2007, 3:51 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cayuga County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-02-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-02-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1105 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 042026
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ012-021-085-050430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0001.070204T2026Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1100Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
EST MONDAY. 

A 20 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH OVER
SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES...AND MOVE SOUTH THIS EVENING
INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES. HEAVY SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST ALLEGANY
TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER
MONDAY AND WEAKEN A BIT AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT WILL BE A FOOT OR MORE IN
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THE SNOW BANDS WILL SETTLE FURTHER SOUTH LATER MONDAY AS WINDS
BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES IN
THE 25 TO 30 BELOW RANGE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AND 15 TO 25
BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ019-020-050430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0001.070204T2026Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

A 20 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL MOVE SOUTH THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA... AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HEAVY SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST
ALLEGANY TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH INTO THE
SOUTHERN TIER MONDAY AND WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY AS WINDS BECOME
MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WILL BE A FOOT OR MORE
IN PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THE SNOW BANDS WILL SETTLE FURTHER SOUTH LATER MONDAY AS WINDS
BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES IN
THE 25 TO 30 BELOW RANGE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AND 15 TO 25
BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.


A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ013-014-050430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.W.0001.070204T2026Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO
TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS COLD
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, WITH HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUING.
THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ006-050430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE SNOW WILL EDGE SOUTH INTO NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING AND DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH MUCH
OF MONDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH TWO TO THREE FEET WHERE
THE BAND PERSISTS...MOST LIKELY NEAR LACONA AND REDFIELD. LITTLE
IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF FULTON IN THE MORNING. THE BAND WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATE MONDAY...WHERE SHOULD REMAIN
MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN DURING
TUESDAY. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE FOR HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS WITH
2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS...MAKING TRAVEL NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL
VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

NYZ007-008-050430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

INTENSE LAKE SNOW WHICH DROPPED OVER A FOOT ON THE WATERTOWN AREA
WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF THE CITY THIS EVENING... THEN BECOME
STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON... NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS
AND FAR NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATER TONIGHT BEFORE SETTLING
FURTHER SOUTH DURING MONDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS CAN REACH TWO TO
THREE FEET OR MORE WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS THE LONGEST.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES 25 BELOW TONIGHT AND THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 20 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS...BUT CHILLS
OF 15 BELOW CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR THE UNPREPARED. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

NYZ010-050430-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF BUFFALO WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTH. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN
SUBURBS. BRISK WINDS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES
IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN
IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

NYZ004-005-050430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0009.070205T1700Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH OSWEGO COUNTY AND COULD
REACH THE SOUTH LAKE ONTARIO SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN
CAYUGA COUNTIES WITH ANOTHER 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.
THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD DRIFT BACK NORTH DURING TUESDAY.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN
TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-011-050430-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BATAVIA
326 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN
TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.


$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 042329
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ010-050730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE AREA. SOME
LINGERING LIGHTER LAKE SNOWS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BAND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO
LONGER EXPECTED. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT
TIMES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IN ADDITION...WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH 
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF
15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST
WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO
THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-021-085-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY.
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A 20 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH OVER
SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES...AND MOVE SOUTH THIS EVENING
INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES. SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST ALLEGANY
TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN 
TIER MONDAY AND WEAKEN A BIT AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT WILL BE A FOOT OR MORE IN
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THE SNOW BANDS WILL SETTLE FURTHER SOUTH LATER MONDAY AS WINDS
BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES IN
THE 25 TO 30 BELOW RANGE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AND 15 TO
25 BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ019-020-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A 20 MILE WIDE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL MOVE SOUTH THIS
EVENING INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA... AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. HEAVY SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST
ALLEGANY TONIGHT. SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER
HOUR. 

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER
MONDAY AND WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY AS WINDS BECOME MORE
NORTHWESTERLY. THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WILL BE A FOOT OR
MORE IN PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THE SNOW BANDS WILL SETTLE FURTHER SOUTH LATER MONDAY AS WINDS
BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES IN
THE 25 TO 30 BELOW RANGE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AND 15 TO
25 BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ006-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE SNOW WILL EDGE SOUTH INTO NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY LATE THIS EVENING AND DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH
MUCH OF MONDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH TWO TO THREE FEET
WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS...MOST LIKELY NEAR LACONA AND REDFIELD.
LITTLE IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF FULTON IN THE MORNING. THE BAND WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATE MONDAY...WHERE SHOULD
REMAIN MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN
DURING TUESDAY. COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE FOR HEAVY
ACCUMULATIONS WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS...MAKING TRAVEL NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL
VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

NYZ007-008-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

INTENSE LAKE SNOW WHICH DROPPED OVER A FOOT ON THE WATERTOWN AREA
WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF THE CITY BY 7 PM THIS EVENING...THEN BECOME
STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS
AND FAR NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY LATER TONIGHT BEFORE SETTLING
FURTHER SOUTH DURING MONDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS CAN REACH TWO TO
THREE FEET OR MORE WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS THE LONGEST.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES 25 BELOW TONIGHT AND THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 20 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS...BUT CHILLS
OF 15 BELOW CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR THE UNPREPARED. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

NYZ013-014-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO
TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS COLD
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUING.
THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ004-005-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0009.070205T1700Z-070206T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY.
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH OSWEGO COUNTY AND COULD
REACH THE SOUTH LAKE ONTARIO SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES WITH ANOTHER 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD DRIFT BACK NORTH DURING
TUESDAY.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN
TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-011-050730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BATAVIA
629 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN
IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050318
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ012-021-085-051100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY.
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN ERIE...SOUTHERN
WYOMING AND NORTHERN ALLEGANY COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL FALL
AT A RATE OF 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES PER HOUR. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT COULD BE AS MUCH AS A FOOT OR MORE IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT WILL BE A FOOT OR MORE IN
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 BELOW RANGE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING AND 15 TO 25 BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SCHOOL
CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ019-020-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE
LIKELY TO FOCUS ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WHERE SNOW WILL FALL AT
A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY WILL BE A FOOT OR
MORE IN PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER MONDAY AND
WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THERE IS
A GOOD POSSIBILITY THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT AND
THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 BELOW RANGE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING AND 15 TO 25 BELOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SCHOOL
CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ006-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE SNOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM OSWEGO TO PARISH. SNOW
WILL FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR BRINGING OVERNIGHT
TOTALS OVER A FOOT IN SOME AREAS. 

THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
LATE IN THE DAY MONDAY...WHERE IT SHOULD REMAIN MONDAY NIGHT. THE
LAKE SNOWS SHOULD THEN DRIFT NORTH AGAIN DURING TUESDAY. 

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH THREE TO FOUR FEET WHERE THE LAKE
SNOWS PERSIST.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS...MAKING TRAVEL NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL
VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SCHOOL
CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

$$

NYZ007-008-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE TUG
HILL OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 4
INCHES PER HOUR. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH THREE TO FOUR
FEET WHERE THE LAKE SNOWS PERSIST.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES 25 BELOW OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH TUESDAY.  
SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 20 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS...BUT CHILLS
OF 15 BELOW CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR THE UNPREPARED. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

NYZ013-014-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T1500Z-070206T1500Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS COLD
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUING.
THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE
OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY.

$$

NYZ004-005-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0009.070205T1700Z-070206T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY.
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH OSWEGO COUNTY AND COULD
REACH THE SOUTH LAKE ONTARIO SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES WITH ANOTHER 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD DRIFT BACK NORTH DURING
TUESDAY.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE
SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD BE
DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>003-010-011-051130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA
1018 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 20
BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER
WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN
SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050851
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

NYZ012-021-085-051700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1100Z/
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T0851Z-070206T1500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY.

ONLY A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION. HOWEVER...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH
ROADS. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DIFFICULT AT TIMES. LAKE SNOWS MAY
REORGANIZE LATER TUESDAY.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE
WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 15 TO 25 BELOW RANGE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY
TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-051700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T0851Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE BECOME MORE SCATTERED THIS MORNING. SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A FEW BANDS OF
HEAVIER SNOW STILL POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH AS
HIGH AS 6 INCHES BUT MOST AREAS WITH ONLY SEE AN INCH OR TWO. STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY BE NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES IN THOSE AREAS. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD DRIFT
NORTH LATER TUESDAY.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE 15 TO 25 BELOW RANGE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY
TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ013-014-051700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070205T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.070205T0851Z-070206T1500Z/
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO
TODAY AND TONIGHT. IT WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS COLD MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUING. THIS IS
THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND
WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD
CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS
15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF
YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING
SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID
PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND
HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-051700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0009.070205T1700Z-070206T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE SNOW JUST OFFSHORE THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO
THE LAKESHORE REGION THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A WEAK
FRONT. THE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE MOST OF TONIGHT
BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATION WILL VARY...BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR
MORE OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY BY THE TIME
THE SNOW LIFTS OUT TUESDAY.|

IN ADDITION...WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE HAVE SEEN
IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED
APPROPRIATELY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY
TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-051700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070206T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO CONTINUES THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY. 

BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT VARIOUS
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY WILL
BE NORTH OF FULTON AND MEXICO THIS MORNING BUT WILL SETTLE SOUTH
DURING THE AFTERNOON FOLLOWING A WEAK WIND SHIFT LINE. IT WILL
MEANDER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTH AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

SNOW WILL FALL AT RATES OF TWO INCHES PER HOUR WITHIN THE BAND
WITH TOTALS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY OF TWO FEET OR MORE WHERE
BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS...MAKING TRAVEL NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL
VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCHOOL CHILDREN
SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

$$

NYZ007-008-051700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070205T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS AND FAR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY THIS
MORNING BEFORE SETTLING SOUTH AND OUT OF THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE BAND MOVES SOUTH. IT WILL STAY DRY IN THE WATERTOWN
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOWS MAY MOVE BACK NORTH LATER TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. TRAVEL MAY
BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THEY WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES 25 BELOW TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCHOOL
CHILDREN SHOULD BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 20 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS...BUT CHILLS
OF 15 BELOW CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR THE UNPREPARED. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL
EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE
TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

NYZ002-003-051700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0013.070205T0851Z-070206T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIE JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE REGION
THIS MORNING BUT BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH FOLLOWING A WEAK FRONTAL
PASSAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND PUSH INTO LAKESHORE AREAS. THEY
MAY SETTLE FURTHER SOUTH TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE
AREA TUESDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD JUST SEE AN
INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
CLOSER TO THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND
20 BELOW ZERO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE
HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD
BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-010-011-051700-
/O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070206T1500Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
351 AM EST MON FEB 5 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO TO CREATE WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND
20 BELOW ZERO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS IS THE COLDEST WEATHER WE
HAVE SEEN IN TWO YEARS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SCHOOL CHILDREN SHOULD
BE DRESSED APPROPRIATELY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$
SFM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow watch went out at Feb 4, 3:04 PM EST, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 3:04 PM EST, 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
304 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL DRIFT SOUTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY, BUT
CONTINUE WITH HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS IN THE COLD AIR.

OFF LAKE ERIE THE SNOW SHOULD MOVE INTO NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES AROUND 8 TO 9 PM. IT SHOULD MOVE OUT OF
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY BY 10 PM, BUT WE HAVE LEFT THE WARNING UP TO
MIDNIGHT TO ALLOW FOR A POSSIBLE MEANDER OR DEVELOPMENT OF A
NORTHERN BRANCH. PERSISTENT SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE A FOOT OR MORE,
WITH RECENT REPORTS OF 5 INCHES IN 2 HOURS NEAR EAST AURORA. THE
NAM SHOWS WEAKENING OMEGA DURING MONDAY, BUT THE SNOWS SHOULD BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO CONTINUE THE WARNING THROUGH THE DAY OVER
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE NAM SHOWS REGENERATION IS
LIKELY TUESDAY WITH THE BAND MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY
TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT WE WILL NOT ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS TIME.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO THE BAND HAS BEEN STUBBORN OVER WATERTOWN TODAY,
BUT THE NAM SHOWS A DEFINITE MOVE SOUTH TO THE TUG HILL TONIGHT, AND
WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE NUMBERS ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE OVER A FOOT.
THE BAND BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY MONDAY
AFTERNOON, AND BRUSHES NORTHEAST WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES. IF CONFIRMED BY LATER MODEL RUNS, OUR NEWLY ISSUED WATCH
WILL NEED TO BE RAISED TO A WARNING.

WINDS WILL BE STRONGER MONDAY THAN TODAY, AND WITH TEMPERATURES
STAYING COLD, WE HAVE RAISE THE ADVISORY TO A WARNING IN THE
INTERIOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING WHERE -25 TO -30 WIND CHILLS
WILL BE COMMON. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

ARCTIC CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE DURING MIDWEEK AND ONLY SLIGHT
MODERATION OF 850MB TEMPS DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK. GFS SHOWS A
SERIES OF WAVES REPLENISHING THE COLD AIR ALOFT AND CONTINUING THE
LAKE EFFECT ON LAKE ONTARIO AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER OFF LAKE
ERIE. THERE WILL BE VARIATIONS IN THE WINDS WHICH WILL CAUSE LAKE
ONTARIO SNOW TO CENTER MORE ON WAYNE/NORTHERN CAYUGA/OSWEGO COUNTIES AND
ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...POSSIBLY GRAZING
EASTERN SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER BUT LEAVING BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN OUT
OF THE WORST OF THE SNOW. WITH EACH RIPPLE MOVING THROUGH THERE WILL
BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
DAILY TEMPERATURES MAY REACH THE MID 20S ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY AND
SUNDAY...BUT WILL FALL BACK TO THE TEENS ON SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL STAY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WITH ONLY SINGLE DIGITS FOR MOST OF
THE TIME...SOME MID TEENS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z-18Z/...

THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...FLYING CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY FALL INTO
ONE OF TWO DISTINCT REGIMES ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW
YORK...GENERALLY EITHER LIFR/IFR IN HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...OR VFR
OUTSIDE THE SNOW BANDS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF BRIEF REDUCTIONS TO
MVFR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...A 220-240 FLOW WILL KEEP THE LAKE SNOWS GENERALLY
LYING BETWEEN KBUF AND KJHW TODAY...WITH THE MAIN BAND REMAINING
LARGELY CENTERED ACROSS AND NORTH OF KDKK INTO EARLY EVENING. AT
THAT TIME...A WEAK TROUGH WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA...CAUSING THE
FLOW TO VEER TO 260-280...AND THE LAKE SNOWS TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO
KJHW AND VICINITY.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN ACROSS KART THROUGH
AROUND 22Z THEN START TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND WILL GENERALLY
AFFECT AREAS BETWEEN KFZY AND KART THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

AS FOR THE KBUF/KIAG/KROC TERMINALS...THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD
EXPERIENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...

LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH WILL APPROACH AND
CROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION...WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO GALE
FORCE AGAIN ON LAKE ONTARIO. WILL NOT PUT UP ANY NEW HEADLINES JUST
YET GIVEN THE EXISTING GALE WARNING...BUT ADDITIONAL FLAGS WILL
LIKELY NEED TO BE HOISTED ON THE DAY SHIFT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ001>008-010-
     011.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ006-019-
     020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ004-005.
     WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012>014-
     019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-021-
     085.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
     NYZ012>014-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ010.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SHORT TERM...APB
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...WCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 9:42 AM EST, 5 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
942 AM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-050930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
942 AM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BITTERLY COLD BUT DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN
EFFECT TODAY AND THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF BUFFALO
FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019>021-085-050930-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
942 AM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
FEET LIKELY WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WARNING AND WIND CHILL ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE WITH UP
TO 6 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE MONDAY. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-050930-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
942 AM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS AND HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2
FEET LIKELY WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WARNING AND WIND CHILL ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE WITH UP
TO 6 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE MONDAY. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-050930-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
942 AM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO
THROUGH THIS MORNING...AND MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN BY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

GALE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR LAKE ONTARIO ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 4, 1:24 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
124 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-050230-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
124 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE
REGION...

AT 120 PM, A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE,
CONTINUED TO POUND CENTRAL ERIE, ALONG WITH THE NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF WYOMING COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY STRETCHED FROM STURGEON
POINT TO WEST SENECA, TO ELMA CENTER AND ATTICA ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE, AND FROM LAKE ERIE BEACH TO BOSTON, TO VARYSBURG AND WYOMING
ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
LIKELY IN THIS ACTIVITY, WITH TRAVEL TREACHEROUS AT BEST IN MANY
LOCATIONS. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE. VISIBILITY WILL BE
REDUCED TO ZERO IN THE HEAVY SNOWFALL, ALONG WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. THIS BAND
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY, OR OSCILLATE A FEW MILES
NORTH OR SOUTH THROUGH 230 PM.

OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE BAND, AND ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO IT, GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW,
THAT IS LIKELY TO REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES TO NEAR ZERO, AND
CREATE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS.
Special weather statement, Feb 4, 1:37 PM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
137 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ006>008-042015-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
137 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT TO CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION...

AT 130 PM, A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUED ACROSS
CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES. THE HEAVIEST
ACTIVITY STRETCHED FROM HENDERSON HARBOR TO WATERTOWN, TO JUST
SOUTH OF NATURAL BRIDGE ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE, AND FROM CHAUMONT
TO LA FARGEVILLE, TO ANTWERP ON THE NORTHERN EDGE. SNOWFALL RATES
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THIS BAND, WITH VISIBILITY
REDUCED TO ZERO. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.
TRAVEL WILL BE TREACHEROUS AT BEST IN MANY LOCATIONS WITHIN THIS
BAND, WITH ROADS BEING SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY. THIS BAND
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OR OSCILLATE A FEW MILES
NORTH OR SOUTH THROUGH 3 PM.
Special weather statement, Feb 4, 2:25 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
225 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-042045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
225 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...HEAVY BAND OF LAKE EFFECT CONTINUES...

AT 225 PM, A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW, THE HEAVIEST OF WHICH,
STRETCHED FROM LAKE ERIE BEACH TO NORTH BOSTON, THEN TO VARYSBURG
AND WYOMING ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE, AND FROM LACKAWANNA TO ELMA
CENTER TO ALDEN, AND AND THEN TO ALEXANDER AND BETHANY CENTER ON
THE NORTHERN EDGE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
OCCURRING WITHIN THIS AREA. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
DRIVING WILL BE TREACHEROUS AT BEST IN MANY LOCATIONS, WITH
VISIBILITY REDUCED TO ZERO, ALONG WITH SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
ROADS. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY, OR
OSCILLATE A FEW MILES NORTH OR SOUTH THROUGH 330 PM.

WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY, CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW, AND CREATING SLIPPERY SPOTS, AND NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES, ON ROADS OUTSIDE OF, AND ALSO WITHIN THE LAKE
EFFECT BAND.
Special weather statement, Feb 4, 3:09 PM EST, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
309 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

NYZ006>008-042130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
309 PM EST SUN FEB 4 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION...

AT 310 PM, A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUED ACROSS MUCH OF JEFFERSON,
THE NORTHERN PORTION OF LEWIS, AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES.
THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY WAS IN A LINE THAT STRETCHED FROM HENDERSON
HARBOR TO CARTHAGE, AND THEN TO HARRISVILLE ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE,
AND FROM CHAUMONT TO DEPAUVILLE, THEN TO ANTWERP ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE. SOME OF, BUT NOT ALL OF THE CITIES AFFECTED INCLUDE WATERTOWN,
FORT DRUM, SACKETS HARBOR, AND BROWNVILLE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 5
INCHES PER HOUR ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY, AND A RUMBLE OF
THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DRIVING WILL BE TREACHEROUS AT BEST WITHIN
THIS AREA, WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO ZERO, AND ROADS SNOW COVERED
AND SLIPPERY. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OR
OSCILLATE A FEW MILES NORTH OR SOUTH THROUGH 430 PM.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 10:24 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFLivingston5 hr
Feb 4, 3:26 PM ESTWind Chill WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Ontario and 1 more12 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Watches in New York, 2007Every lake effect snow watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.