Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Watches in 2007

Lake Effect Snow Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 15, 20077 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow watch at Jan 15, 2007, 3:49 PM EST for 7 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 16, 2007, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2007, 3:49 PM EST (20:49 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 16, 2007, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 16, 2007, 4:38 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 553 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
482 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
553 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
812 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 152049
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ005-006-160000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA HAS TAPERED OFF. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN AND ICING HAS ENDED.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND POCKETS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD
INTO THE AREA LATER LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF
PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THE TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-160000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA HAS TAPERED OFF. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN AND ICING HAS ENDED.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN 
AND LIGHT SNOW THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO
THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION
OVER TO ALL SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003-004-160000-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ085-160000-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>014-160000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-160500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
349 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 152324
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ003-004-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL
SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE
SNOWS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD
EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ085-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AREAS OF DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>014-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ005-006-160030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA HAS TAPERED OFF. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN AND ICING HAS ENDED.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND POCKETS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD
INTO THE AREA LATER LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF
PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE
SNOWS DURING THE TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD
EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-160030-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA HAS TAPERED OFF. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN AND ICING HAS ENDED.

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
LIGHT SNOW THROUGH EARLY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE
AREA LATER THIS EVENING AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER
TO ALL SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-160730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
624 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 152334
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ005-006-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THERE WILL BE A MIX OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND POSSIBLY SOME
SLEET THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT
SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE
SNOWS DURING THE TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD
EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-160500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

THERE WILL BE A MIX OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND POSSIBLY SOME
SLEET THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT
SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003-004-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL
SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE
SNOWS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD
EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ085-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AREAS OF DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING
DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-010>014-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
CHANGE THE MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO LIGHT SNOW.

UNTREATED ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM
THE THE COATING OF ICE WHICH FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. DRIVE WITH
EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-160745-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
634 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160250
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
950 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ003>006-161100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
950 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
6 AM EST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY LIGHT SNOW AS
COLDER AIR IS OVERSPREADING THE REGION. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH AN ACCUMULATION
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE
SNOWS DURING THE TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD
EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ085-161100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
950 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
6 AM EST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY LIGHT SNOW AS
COLDER AIR IS OVERSPREADING THE REGION. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH AN ACCUMULATION
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-007-008-010>014-160400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070116T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...WATERTOWN...
LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
950 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY LIGHT SNOW AS
COLDER AIR IS OVERSPREADING THE REGION. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH AN ACCUMULATION
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

$$

NYZ019-020-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
950 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST TUESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER THE UNSEASONABLY WARM WATER OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS COULD EXCEED 7 INCHES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 160938
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
438 AM EST TUE JAN 16 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO FOLLOW MONDAYS FREEZING RAIN EVENT...

.THE STORM CENTER THAT BROUGHT FREEZING RAIN TO THE AREA MONDAY
HAS MOVED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING
THIS SYSTEM WILL SET UP NARROW BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST
OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT. WHILE THE TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE CRITERIA FOR
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...THE COMBINATION OF THE NEW SNOWFALL
AND THE COATING OF ICE WHICH ACCUMULATED MONDAY WILL MAKE
UNTREATED ROADS VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION
AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

NYZ003>006-019-020-085-161045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.A.0002.070116T1100Z-070117T1300Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
438 AM EST TUE JAN 16 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH. 

NARROW BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SET UP SOUTHEAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OFF
LAKE ERIE WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVER CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY. 

MULTIPLE SNOW BANDS OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALSO PRODUCE 2 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED
TO FALL ACROSS WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. 

WHILE THE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER
THE CRITERIA FOR A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...THE COMBINATION OF
THE NEW SNOWFALL AND THE COATING OF ICE WHICH ACCUMULATED MONDAY
WILL MAKE UNTREATED ROADS VERY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO. DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow watch went out at Jan 15, 3:32 PM EST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:32 PM EST, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
332 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL SOUTHERN TIER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT. COLD AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW
WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA. RAIN...WITH SOME POCKETS OF FREEZING
RAIN...WILL CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS THEN CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW SHOWERS EARLY TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES IN EFFECT WILL BE CONTINUED THROUGH 7PM
WHILE THE WARNINGS WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO ADVISORIES. NOT MUCH
ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED STILL THE BITS OF ZR COULD
POSE SOME ADDITIONAL PROBLEMS THROUGH THE EVENING.

THE COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...SOME OF THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON. 850MB TEMPS
FALL FROM AROUND 0C THIS EVENING TO MINUS 10 TO 15C TUESDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE FALLING TO MINUS 20 TO 25 BY TUESDAY EVENING.
IT WILL TAKE THE FLOW AWHILE TO LINE UP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
TROUGH. FLOW A MORE NORTH NORTHWEST DIRECTION WOULD RESULT IN MORE
OF A MULTI BAND STRUCTURE TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HOWEVER WITH
SUCH COLD AIR CONCERN IS THAT THE FLUFF FACTOR COULD RESULT IN
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES. THUS WILL HOIST A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH FOR TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER SRN
ERIE...CHAUT AND CATT COUNTIES OFF LAKE ERIE AND ALONG THE LAKE
ONTARIO SHORE COUNTIES FROM MONROE THROUGH OSWEGO. BELIEVE WE ARE
LOOKING AT HIGH END ADVISORY/LOW WARNING CRITERIA SO MID SHIFT
WILL BE ABLE TO DIFFERENTIATE BETWEEN ADV/WRNG COUNTIES.

RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE REGION SHUTTING DOWN THE LAKE
EFFECT ON WEDNESDAY. THE SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE SOUTHWEST FLOW
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL BRING SOME RELIEF TO THE
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPS. IN FACT...MID SHIFT WILL ALSO HAVE TO
WATCH THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR POSSIBLE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A COLDER THAN NORMAL PERIOD WITH
PLENTY OF ARCTIC AIR PUSHING DOWN ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL OR ABOVE TEMPERATURES BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

UPPER TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BRINGING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
COLD AIR. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE SNOWS IN FAVORED NORTHWEST
FLOW AREAS. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS LOOKS TO
BE OVER THE WEEKEND AS GFS SUGGESTING 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING
TO AROUND -22C WITH A MODEST AMOUNT OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE AVAILABLE.
RIDGING DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD AND SHOULD
LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR LAKE SNOWS.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z-18Z/...

PRECIPITATION WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE
WAVE LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA AND DRY SLOT MOVES NORTHEAST
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN/FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. PRIMARILY IFR CONDITIONS WILL
GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO MVFR THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY IN FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW AREAS.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS AT ALL
TAF SITES EXCEPT WATERTOWN.

&&

.MARINE...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE MAINTAINED ALONG LAKE ONTARIO AND
EXTENDED THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...AS SURFACE WAVE LIFTS OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST AND INCREASING NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO. THESE WINDS SHOULD GENERATE WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5 FEET.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ001>008-010>014-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ003>006-019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ042>044.

&&

SHORT TERM...LEVAN
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 11:02 AM EST, 4 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ019>021-161615-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
1102 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON A NORTHWEST FLOW COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION TUESAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-161615-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1102 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE
THRUWAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES. ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY LATER TODAY WHICH
WOULD CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. THIS WOULD HELP MITIGATE
THE SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON A NORTHWEST FLOW COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION TUESAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-161615-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1102 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE
LESS PROBABLY IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...FREEZING RAIN WILL
LIKELY LEAVE A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE COATING ON EXPOSED
UNTREATED SURFACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-161615-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1102 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 11:51 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCayuga, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 7 more10 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Watches in New York, 2007Every lake effect snow watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.