Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2007
Lake Effect Snow Warning 6, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 30, 2007, 10:49 AM EST for 7 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 31, 2007, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2007, 10:49 AM EST (15:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2007, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 31, 2007, 11:06 PM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 612 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 82 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 211 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 301549 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1049 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY... .WHILE THE LAKE SNOWS FROM THE OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND OVER OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO...THE STAGE IS BEING SET FOR ANOTHER IMPRESSIVE ROUND OF LAKE SNOW. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL PASS JUST JUST TO THE SOUTH OF NEW YORK STATE TODAY IS RESPONSIBLE FOR DISRUPTING AND DISSIPATING LAST NIGHTS LAKE SNOW BANDS. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT...WESTERLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL ONCE AGAIN GENERATE SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL FOR AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW FOR THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. NYZ006>008-310000- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0007.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0006.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1049 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON AS THE ACTIVITY WILL ORGANIZE INTO A WELL DEFINED PLUME. THIS PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES AS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT PROGRESS. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE COMMERCE ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-310000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.070131T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 1049 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED OFF LAKE ERIE THIS MORNING. ABOUT ANOTHER INCH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE COURSE OF TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE NEW YORK BORDER. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER 4 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS 12 HOUR TIME PERIOD. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO $$ RSH
12 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 302055 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 355 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .COLD AIR CROSSING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ONCE AGAIN CRANK UP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE AS THE PREVIOUS EVENT WHEN THE SNOW WAS MEASURED IN FEET...BUT ENOUGH SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO PRODUCE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT IS ANTICIPATED. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. NYZ006>008-310500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 355 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON AS THE ACTIVITY WILL ORGANIZE INTO A WELL DEFINED PLUME. THIS PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES AS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT PROGRESS. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE COMMERCE ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-310500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.070131T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 355 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT WILL DEPOSIT A FRESH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN THEN BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING 24 HOUR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO 6 TO 10 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF FRESH POWDERY SNOW AND WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO $$ RSH
000 WWUS41 KBUF 310244 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 944 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .COLD AIR CROSSING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ONCE AGAIN CRANK UP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE AS THE PREVIOUS EVENT WHEN THE SNOW WAS MEASURED IN FEET...BUT ENOUGH SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO PRODUCE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT IS ANTICIPATED. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. NYZ006>008-311045- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 944 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON AS THE ACTIVITY WILL ORGANIZE INTO A WELL DEFINED PLUME. THIS PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO A HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES AS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT PROGRESS. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE COMMERCE ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-311045- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 944 PM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT WILL DEPOSIT A FRESH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN THEN BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING 24 HOUR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO 6 TO 10 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF FRESH POWDERY SNOW AND WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 310823 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 323 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TODAY... .COLD AIR CROSSING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BRING MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TODAY AND TONIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE AS EARLIER THIS WEEK...BUT ENOUGH SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO PRODUCE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT IS ANTICIPATED. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START THIS MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. NYZ006>008-311630- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 323 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON TODAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE SNOW BAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A BIT AND DRIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ019-020-085-311630- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 323 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TODAY. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS... MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT. THE COMBINATION OF FRESH POWDERY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ BLACKBURN
000 WWUS41 KBUF 310843 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 343 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TODAY... .COLD AIR CROSSING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BRING MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TODAY AND TONIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE AS EARLIER THIS WEEK...BUT ENOUGH SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO PRODUCE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT IS ANTICIPATED. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START THIS MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. NYZ006>008-311645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.070131T1100Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 343 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON TODAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE SNOW BAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A BIT AND DRIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ005-311500- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T1500Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 343 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE MOVING NORTH THIS MORNING. COMMUTERS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME THIS MORNING AND BE PREPARED FOR POOR VISIBILITY AND SLIPPERY ROADS. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE AN INCH OR LESS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ019-020-085-311645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 343 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TODAY. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS... MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT. THE COMBINATION OF FRESH POWDERY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ BLACKBURN
000 WWUS41 KBUF 311232 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 732 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TODAY... .COLD AIR CROSSING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BRING MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TODAY AND TONIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE COLD WESTERLY FLOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE AS EARLIER THIS WEEK...BUT ENOUGH SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO PRODUCE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT IS ANTICIPATED. UNLIKE PREVIOUS LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BANDS THAT HAVE TARGETED AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE (IE. SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY)...THE UPCOMING LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL START THIS MORNING...THEN WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A SINGLE PLUME OF HEAVY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. NYZ005-311345- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T1500Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 732 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE MOVED OUT OF NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA THE REST OF THE DAY...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NYZ006>008-311700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 732 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON TODAY AS A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SUBSTANTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME HEAVIER DURING THE COURSE OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAINLY TARGET THE TUG HILL REGION WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN PARTS OF OSWEGO COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE SNOW BAND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A BIT AND DRIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE WELL DEFINED SNOW BAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ019-020-085-311700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 732 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TODAY. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS... MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT. THE COMBINATION OF FRESH POWDERY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ APB/JJR
000 WWUS41 KBUF 311459 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 959 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT TODAY... .A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST OF AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE MORE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGHOUT TODAY. THE FLUFFY LOW WATER CONTENT LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...SO ALONG WITH THE ACCUMULATIONS... THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TO CONTENT WITH AS WELL. FRESH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...BUT A VERY IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MORE THAN A FOOT OF FRESH POWDER TO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE PRESENT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WELL. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. WHILE THE LAKE ERIE SNOWS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH ACCUMULATIONS CLIMBING WELL PAST A FOOT. NYZ019-020-085-312100- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 959 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS A MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW TODAY WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL COME AS A RESULT OF SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COMING OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...NORTHWEST CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR LAKE SNOW PRODUCTION ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ROUND OF LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...AND BECAUSE OF THE LOW WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW...THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. THE VISIBILITY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY DROP TO A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EVEN MORE DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-312100- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 959 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS A MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW TODAY WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL COME AS A RESULT OF SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST AND SOUTH OF WARSAW. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR LAKE SNOW PRODUCTION ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ROUND OF LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...AND BECAUSE OF THE LOW WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW...THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. THE VISIBILITY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY DROP TO A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EVEN MORE DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006>008-312300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 959 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONCENTRATE OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WILL RESULT IN FRESH ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT TODAY. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES REMAINING INTACT AS WELL. THE SNOWS WILL THEN GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT NOT BEFORE TOTAL SNOWFALL OVER THE TUG HILL REACHES 2 TO 3 FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ RSH
000 WWUS41 KBUF 311714 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE MORE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE TODAY...AND OFF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE FLUFFY LOW WATER CONTENT LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...SO ALONG WITH THE ACCUMULATIONS... THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. OFF LAKE ERIE FRESH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AS WELL AS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. OFF LAKE ONTARIO A VERY IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MORE THAN A FOOT OF FRESH POWDER TO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU REGION. GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE PRESENT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WELL. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. WHILE THE LAKE ERIE SNOWS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH ACCUMULATIONS CLIMBING WELL PAST A FOOT. NYZ006>008-010115- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONCENTRATE OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND AREAS BETWEEN ADAMS CENTER AND PULASKI THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WILL RESULT IN FRESH ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT TODAY. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CONTINUING. THE SNOWS WILL THEN GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT NOT BEFORE TOTAL SNOWFALL OVER THE TUG HILL REGION REACHES 2 TO 3 FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019-020-085-312100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS A MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW TODAY WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL COME AS A RESULT OF SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COMING OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...NORTHWEST CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR LAKE SNOW PRODUCTION ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ROUND OF LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...AND BECAUSE OF THE LOW WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW...THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. THE VISIBILITY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY DROP TO A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EVEN MORE DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ013-312100- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.070131T1714Z-070131T2100Z/ LIVINGSTON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO EXTEND WELL INLAND INTO LIVINGSTON COUNTY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION...WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH MAY DROP VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 500 FEET AT TIMES MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 311727 RRA WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...RETRANSMITTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE MORE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE TODAY...AND OFF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE FLUFFY LOW WATER CONTENT LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...SO ALONG WITH THE ACCUMULATIONS... THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. OFF LAKE ERIE FRESH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AS WELL AS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. OFF LAKE ONTARIO A VERY IMPRESSIVE PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MORE THAN A FOOT OF FRESH POWDER TO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU REGION. GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR WILL BE PRESENT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WELL. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH OVER A FOOT OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. WHILE THE LAKE ERIE SNOWS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH ACCUMULATIONS CLIMBING WELL PAST A FOOT. NYZ006>008-010115- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONCENTRATE OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND AREAS BETWEEN ADAMS CENTER AND PULASKI THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WILL RESULT IN FRESH ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT TODAY. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CONTINUING. THE SNOWS WILL THEN GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT NOT BEFORE TOTAL SNOWFALL OVER THE TUG HILL REGION REACHES 2 TO 3 FEET. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO FEET OF WIND BLOWN FRESH POWDERY SNOW REDUCING THE VISIBILITY TO ZERO AT TIMES. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019-020-085-312100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS A MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW TODAY WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL COME AS A RESULT OF SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AN HOUR...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COMING OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...NORTHWEST CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR LAKE SNOW PRODUCTION ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ROUND OF LAKE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 30 MILES AN HOUR...AND BECAUSE OF THE LOW WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW...THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW TO CONTEND WITH AS WELL. THE VISIBILITY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY DROP TO A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL EVEN MORE DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ013-312100- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.070131T1714Z-070131T2100Z/ LIVINGSTON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO 1214 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE MAINLY ICE FREE LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO EXTEND WELL INLAND INTO LIVINGSTON COUNTY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION...WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH MAY DROP VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 500 FEET AT TIMES MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 312013 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT... .A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE INTO THIS EVENING...AND OFF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH TONIGHT. OFF LAKE ERIE A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND NIAGARA FRONTIER THIS EVENING...WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL DEVELOPING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE METRO AREA DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS BAND. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH INTO NIAGARA COUNTY LATER THIS EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING BY MIDNIGHT. OFF LAKE ONTARIO A PLUME OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR CONTINUING. LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH THROUGH JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES BEFORE WEAKENING BY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 500 FEET AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. NYZ019-020-312115- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070131T2100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH OUT OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEN CANCELLED. ROADS MAY REMAIN SNOW COVERED ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. $$ NYZ012-085-010100- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T0100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE THE BAND LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA BY LATE EVENING. THIS WILL BRING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE DAY TO 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006>008-010415- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER EXTENDING EAST INTO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING WATERTOWN. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN AREAS BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER EXTENDING EAST INTO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 FEET ON THE TUG. AS THE BAND LIFTS NORTH THROUGH JEFFERSON COUNTY LATER TONIGHT...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ001-010-011-010400- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070201T0400Z/ NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. A BAND OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN MORE OPEN AREAS. VISIBILITY MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN 500 FEET AT TIMES IN BLOWING SNOW. WHILE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FOR SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ013-010100- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070201T0100Z/ LIVINGSTON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO 313 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND INLAND OFF LAKE ERIE THROUGH PORTIONS OF LIVINGSTON COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. LATER THIS EVENING THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY. IN ADDITION TO SNOWFALL...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW INTO THIS EVENING WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO LESS THAN 500 FEET AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 312335 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 635 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 NYZ012-085-010045- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T0100Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 635 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ NYZ001-010-011-010045- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070201T0400Z/ NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 635 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE WEAKENED THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION HAS ENDED. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE. $$ NYZ013-010045- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070201T0100Z/ LIVINGSTON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO 635 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ NYZ006>008-010745- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 635 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A PLUME OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER EXTENDING EAST INTO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES... INCLUDING WATERTOWN. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN AREAS BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER EXTENDING EAST INTO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 FEET ON THE TUG. AS THE BAND LIFTS NORTH THROUGH JEFFERSON COUNTY LATER TONIGHT...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 010303 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1003 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 NYZ006>008-011100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1003 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. TWO BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WERE AFFECTING AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATE THIS EVENING. ONE BAND EXTENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY BETWEEN WATERTOWN AND ADAMS...WHILE THE OTHER BAND WAS OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY FROM PULASKI TO REDFIELD. THESE BANDS WILL LIKELY CONSOLIDATE INTO A SINGLE BAND OF HEAVY SNOW OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE TUG HILL OF SOUTHERN JEFFERSON... NORTHERN OSWEGO AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS BAND WILL THEN LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN AREAS BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER EXTENDING EAST INTO THE TUG HILL PLATEAU WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 FEET ON THE TUG. AS THE BAND LIFTS NORTH THROUGH JEFFERSON COUNTY...4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATERTOWN AREA. THE SNOW WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MILES AN HOUR AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. TRAVEL THROUGHOUT THIS AREA WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 BETWEEN PULASKI AND ADAMS CENTER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 010406 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1106 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 NYZ006>008-010515- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070201T1100Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1106 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE WEAKENED. SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...BUT THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION HAS ENDED. LOCALIZED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE. $$ TMA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 30, 7:01 AM EST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 7:01 AM EST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
701 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007
.UPDATE...
AFD UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION PACKAGE.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z-12Z/...
SHIFTING WINDS AHEAD OF A LOW MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM MICHIGAN HAS
DISRUPTED THE SNOW BANDS ORIGINATING OFF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.
EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE AS THE LOW TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF NEW
YORK STATE THIS AFTERNOON. CIGS AND VSBYS THIS MORNING WILL VARY
FROM VFR WHERE IT IS NOT SNOWING TO IFR IN LINGERING LAKE SNOWS OFF
LAKE ERIE. EXPECT GENERAL CONDITIONS TO LOWER TO MVFR LATER THIS
MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON AS LIGHT SNOW SPREADS ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THE APPROACHING LOW. BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z...THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST...ALLOWING THE LAKE
SNOWS TO REORGANIZE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE RIDING IN
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL THEN CAUSE THE WINDS TO BACK MORE TO
THE WEST SOUTHWEST TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE THE
LAKE SNOWS TO MIGRATE NORTH TOWARD BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 409 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007/
UPDATE...
SNOW BAND OVER LAKE ERIE HAS BECOME DIFFUSE OVER LAND WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW. THE LAKE SNOW
WARNING FOR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY HAS BEEN DROPPED.
PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 340 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007/
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD BECOME MORE
DIFFUSE AS THE DAY WEARS ON, AND A CLIPPER SURFACE LOW BRINGS IN
WIND SHEAR. OVER LAKE ONTARIO, THE BAND ACROSS EASTERN WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES HAS WEAKENED, HOWEVER THE BAND HAS
STRENGTHENED FURTHER WEST, WITH A COUPLE INCHES NOW POSSIBLE ALONG
THE SHORE IN NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES. THE 06Z NAM KEEPS THE 925
MB OMEGA FEATURE JUST OFF SHORE.
OFF LAKE ERIE, THE STRONG OMEGA AT 12Z OVER ERIE COUNTY
DISSIPATES AT 15Z, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE BAND TO WEAKEN. WITH THE
BAND STILL SHOWING GOOD REFLECTIVITY ON RADAR, WE WILL LET THE DAY
SHIFT DROP THE WARNINGS WHEN THE BAND WEAKENS.
THE CLIPPER BRINGS A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW TODAY SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO, AND THEN OROGRAPHIC CONVERGENCE BRINGS GOOD UPLIFT IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE ERIE...WE HAVE THUS ISSUED LAKE SNOW
ADVISORIES FOR CHAUTAUQUA CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES
FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO FLOW IS MORE WESTERLY, AND THE OMEGA IS
IMPRESSIVE INDEED. ANOTHER MODEL RUN IS NEEDED FOR CONFIRMATION,
SO WE HAVE ISSUED A LAKE SNOW WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. IF THE NAM IS CORRECT, OVER 2 FEET OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.
A QUICK BURST OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW MAY MOVE THROUGH THE BUFFALO AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS WINDS BACK AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
WHILE THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO DOUBT THAT TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD WILL AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL...WE WILL BE LOSING OUR MUCH
PUBLICIZED CROSS POLAR FLOW. INSTEAD...A DEEP POLAR VORTEX WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER EASTERN CANADA WITH SOME OF COLDEST AIR OF
THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE CONTAINED WITHIN IT. IN A SENSE...WHAT
WILL BE MORE EVIDENT DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE A HIGH AMPLIFIED
+PNA PATTERN ALTHOUGH THE EFFECTS OF THE NAO CANNOT BE IGNORED.
THE BLOCKING GREENLAND RIDGE (-NAO) THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE IS
EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY WEAKEN...AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE VORTEX TO
SETTLE TO THE SOUTH BEFORE TRYING TO LIFT OUT TO THE EAST. MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT JUST AS THIS VORTEX TRIES TO LIFT OUT TO
THE NORTHEAST...THE GREENLAND BLOCK WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME
ESTABLISHED. THIS WILL KEEP THE DEEP LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF NORTH AMERICA WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD AIR
REMAINING FIRMLY LOCKED IN PLACE.
THE WEAKENED STATE OF THE CURRENT EL NINO MAY HAVE HAD A HAND IN
ALLOWING THIS WHOLE PATTERN TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...BUT
THAT IS A DISCUSSION FOR A LATER TIME.
THE EFFECTS OF ALL OF THIS WILL BE THAT THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON IS FORECAST TO DROP OUT OF EASTERN CANADA DURING THE COURSE
OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. H8 TEMPS HAVE BEEN AVERAGING -15
TO -20C IN THE MOST RECENT COLD SPELL...BUT H8 TEMPS WILL LOWER TO
BETWEEN -22 AND -26C BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD (SUN-MON).
SINCE THE LAKES ARE STILL WIDE OPEN (FOR THE TIME BEING)...THE
BITTERLY COLD AIR WILL CERTAINLY CONTINUE TO GENERATE LAKE SNOWS
WITH THE LAKE SNOW BELTS SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES BEING THE FAVORED
REGIONS FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. REGIONWIDE...SCT -SHSN
WILL BE COMMON PLACE DURING THE PERIOD WITH SFC TEMPS AVERAGING AT
LEAST 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. NOW FOR SOME DETAILS...
A FAIRLY VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON
FRIDAY. H8 TEMPS LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE JUST A LITTLE TOO MILD AT
THAT TIME FOR ANY REAL LAKE EFFECT...ALTHOUGH WEAK SYNOPTIC LIFT
FROM THE PASSING SHORTWAVE COUPLED WITH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL
BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT AT LEAST CHC POPS FOR SOME -SHSN.
AS THE SHORTWAVE WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS QUEBEC FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY...THE LEADING EDGE OF THE NEXT ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL POUR
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD -SHSN
FOR THE REGION WITH SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ANTICIPATED FOR SITES
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
A REINFORCING SHOT OF TRUE ARCTIC AIR MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH THE LAKE EFFECT MACHINE IN HIGH GEAR. SFC
TEMPS ACROSS THE REGION FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL NOT MAKE IT OUT
OF THE TEENS WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS
IN MOST AREAS TO BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND IN SOME OF
THE DEEPER SOUTHERN TIER VALLEYS.
MARINE...
A CLIPPER LOCATED OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE EAST AND CROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK
STATE/NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE THIS AFTERNOON. VARIABLE WINDS WILL
KEEP WAVES UNDER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY...BUT AS THE
WESTERLY GRADIENT TIGHTENS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW...WINDS AND
WAVES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER
THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ERIE TONIGHT AND ALONG ALL NEARSHORES ON
BOTH LAKES ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ006>008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
&&
AVIATION...TJPHazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 4:32 AM EST, 6 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 432 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 NYZ001>005-010>014-021-310945- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 432 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019-020-085-310945- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 432 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-310945- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 432 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OVER A FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-310945- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 432 AM EST TUE JAN 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 4:58 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Watch | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 6 hr |
| Jan 30, 4:58 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie | 29 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every lake effect snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.