Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2007
Lake Effect Snow Warning 3, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 23, 2007, 4:45 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It took effect at Jan 23, 2007, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2007, 4:45 AM EST (09:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 23, 2007, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 24, 2007, 10:00 AM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 499 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 230945 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 NYZ007-008-231745- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.070123T2300Z-070124T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070123T2100Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL GENERATE SOME DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE BY LATE AFTERNOON... MAINLY OVER JEFFERSON COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO BECOME CONCENTRATED OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BIT OF THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT BEFORE ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006-231745- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.070123T2300Z-070124T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070124T0600Z-070125T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE COUNTY TODAY...THEN DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT...A BAND OF STEADIER LAKE SNOW WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW LATER TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE TUG HILL. A BIT OF THUNDER AND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LAKE SNOWS CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY BY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ON WEDNESDAY COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ010-231745- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T1800Z-070124T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. DISORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY WILL DRIFT NORTH AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A WELL DEVELOPED BAND OF LAKE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR WILL LIKELY PRODUCE 3 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE THE BAND SHIFTS BACK TO THE SOUTH. SINCE THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL DURING AND JUST PRIOR TO THE LATE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR...COMMUTERS SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-231745- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE COLD AIR CROSSING LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE SOME DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...STEADIER AND HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHEN WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GREATEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED TO BE HEAR THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE NEW YORK THRUWAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-005-231745- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 445 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 231505 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 NYZ007-008-232315- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070123T2100Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL GENERATE SOME DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE BY LATE AFTERNOON... MAINLY OVER JEFFERSON COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO BECOME CONCENTRATED OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BIT OF THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT BEFORE ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006-232315- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070124T0600Z-070125T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE COUNTY TODAY...THEN DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT...A BAND OF STEADIER LAKE SNOW WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW LATER TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE TUG HILL. A BIT OF THUNDER AND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LAKE SNOWS CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY BY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ON WEDNESDAY COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ085-232315- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T1505Z-070125T1200Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED OFF AND ON FROM TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON A NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP THE MOST OF THE ACCUMULATION OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-232315- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING AS STEERING WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR OFF AND ON RIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE WITH ADDITIONAL SIMILAR AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE FOUND OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ011-232315- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T1505Z-070124T0000Z/ GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE COUNTY THIS EVENING. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-232315- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T1505Z-070124T1100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ010-232315- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T1505Z-070124T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AS STEERING WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWEST. ONLY MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. SINCE THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL DURING AND JUST PRIOR TO THE LATE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR...COMMUTERS SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-005-232315- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 1005 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE
000 WWUS41 KBUF 232000 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 NYZ006-240400- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070124T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE COUNTY THIS EVENING...THEN DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT A BAND OF STEADIER LAKE SNOW WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW LATER TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING 6 TO 12 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE TUG HILL...AND THUNDER AND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LAKE SNOWS CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY BY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ON WEDNESDAY COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-240400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070123T2100Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL GENERATE SOME DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL TOTALS BY MIDNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS WATERTOWN AND FORT DRUM..AND AREAS NORTHWARD TO THE THOUSAND ISLANDS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO BECOME CONCENTRATED OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT BEFORE ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ010-011-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS RANGING FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AS STEERING WINDS SHIFT TO WESTERLY. ONLY MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SINCE THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL DURING AND JUST PRIOR TO THE EVENING RUSH HOUR...COMMUTERS SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY AS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ085-240400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON A NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP THE MOST OF THE LINGERING ACCUMULATION OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-240400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T1100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. BRISK WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-240400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING AS STEERING WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR OFF AND ON RIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE WITH ADDITIONAL SIMILAR AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE FOUND OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-005-240400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 300 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 232212 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 NYZ010-011-232315- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE HEAVIER SNOWBAND HAS MOVED SOUTH. LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ NYZ007-008-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL GENERATE SOME DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN AS THE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL TOTALS BY MIDNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS WATERTOWN AND FORT DRUM..AND AREAS NORTHWARD TO THE THOUSAND ISLANDS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN TO BECOME CONCENTRATED OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 10 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...BUT NOT BEFORE ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.070124T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE COUNTY THIS EVENING...THEN DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT A BAND OF STEADIER LAKE SNOW WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. THE SNOW LATER TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING 6 TO 12 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE TUG HILL...AND THUNDER AND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LAKE SNOWS CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY BY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ON WEDNESDAY COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ085-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON A NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP THE MOST OF THE LINGERING ACCUMULATION OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T1100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. BRISK WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.070123T2300Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING AS STEERING WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR OFF AND ON RIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE WITH ADDITIONAL SIMILAR AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE FOUND OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-005-240615- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 512 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 240247 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 NYZ007-008-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOWS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE ACTIVITY WILL FOCUS ON SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES WHERE A FOOT OR MORE CAN PILE UP BY MORNING. THE ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WEAKEN AS WINDS TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY. THE HEAVIER SNOW MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE SNOW OVER THE TUG HILL AND FAR NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW LATER TONIGHT COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO THREE INCHES AN HOUR PRODUCING 6 TO 12 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE TUG HILL...AND THUNDER AND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LAKE SNOWS CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY BY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ON WEDNESDAY COULD ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ085-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. BANDS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT....WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS SOUTH OF COLDEN AND BOSTON. BRISK WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON A NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP THE MOST OF THE LINGERING ACCUMULATION OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T1100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES...MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. BRISK WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE...BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT CAN BE AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MORE SNOWS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY BUT THEY WILL BE MORE SCATTERED AND OF VARYING INTENSITIES. AGAIN...THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE FOUND OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-005-241100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 947 PM EST TUE JAN 23 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 240925 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 NYZ007-008-241030- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070124T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS HAVE ALLOWED THE STEADY LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THUS ENDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. LEFTOVER SNOW SHOWERS THOUGH COULD STILL ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR TWO OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN SECTIONS BEFORE MID MORNING. $$ NYZ019-020-085-241030- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070125T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. WHILE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL STILL BE LIKELY TODAY WITH NUISANCE ACCUMULATIONS...UNFAVORABLY CONDITIONS ALOFT WILL PREVENT SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS FROM CONTINUING. $$ NYZ012-241030- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070124T1100Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. WHILE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL STILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE ENDED. $$ NYZ004-005-241030- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.A.0005.070124T1200Z-070126T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. $$ NYZ006-241500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070124T1500Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 425 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW STRETCHING ACROSS THE HEART OF OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME DISORGANIZED SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK AS THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE LESS FAVORABLE WINDS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE MULTI BAND AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...MOST OF WHICH WILL FALL BEFORE 10 AM. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH
000 WWUS41 KBUF 241503 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1003 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 NYZ006-241615- /O.EXP.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070124T1500Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1003 AM EST WED JAN 24 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE AREA AND HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME. SNOW SHOWERS WILL STILL BE LIKELY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT ONLY AN INCH OR SO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ SAGE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 23, 4:30 AM EST, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 4:30 AM EST, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO ADD MARINE AND AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EST TUE JAN 23 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
LOTS OF FLAGS OUT TODAY
THE BENIGN WEATHER OF THE PAST COUPLE DAYS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT INTO
A VERY ACTIVE MODE AS LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BECOME MORE COMMON...
WITH SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED IN THE LEE OF BOTH LAKES
LATER TODAY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
A LAKE SNOW ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY FOR A
BAND THAT WILL LIFT INTO THE METRO AREA LATER TODAY...WHILE LAKE
SNOW WARNINGS WILL BE HOISTED FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE COMPLETE BREAK DOWN ON THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN
BE FOUND WITHIN THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION AND ALSO IN THE WATCH/
WARNING/ADVISORY SECTION AT THE BOTTOM.
THE FREQUENT LAKE SNOWS WILL BE COURTESY OF A PERSISTENT LONG WAVE
TROUGH THAT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS.
A STRONG -NAO IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC COUPLED WITH A +PNA PATTERN
OVER THE NORTH AMERICA WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS COLD SPELL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MARGINALLY COLD AIR OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE SOME
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TODAY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
WHILE LAKE DELTA TS WILL ONLY BE IN THE RANGE OF 12-14 TO START
TODAY...A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER OVER BOTH LAKES WILL HELP IN
PRODUCING A LARGER AND MORE FAVORABLE DENDRITIC SNOW CRYSTAL
GROWTH AREA. LETS GET RIGH TO THE DETAILS....
OFF LK ERIE...
WEAK DISORGANIZED MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT ARE ALREADY
VISIBLE OVER CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY. AS THE BOUDNARY LAYER FLOW BACKS
FROM 290 TO 270 THIS MORNING...THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND WILL START TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. BY MIDDAY...
THE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BACK TO ABOUT 250. THIS WILL ALLOW A
FAIRLY WELL DEFINED BAND TO TAKE SHAPE AND LIFT TOWARDS THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA.
THE DENDRITIC GROWTH AREA IS NOT EXPECTD TO BE VERY DEEP AT
MIDDAY...BUT SHOULD DEEPEN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN THE BAND IS
FORECAST TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS NORTEHRN ERIE COUNTY. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE...WITH A LARGE PORTION
OF THIS COMING JUST PRIOR TO AND DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVE
COMMUTE. AS A RESULT...A LAKE SNOW ADVISORY FOR RNN ERIE COUNTY
WILL BE ISSUED.
THE LAKE SNOW WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AS WINDS VEER
TO 270 BY LATE EVENING...THEN TO 290 OVERNIGHT. WHILE GUIDANCE IS
NOT IMPRESSED WITH QPF SOUTH OF BUFFALO TONIGHT...FAIRLY WELL
ALIGNED WINDS AND A DEEP MOISTURE FIELD SHOULD HELP TO PRODUCE
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWS FOR THE SNOW BELTS SOUTH OF BUFFALO. A
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR NOW FOR CHAUTAUQUA...
CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THE DAYSHIFT WILL RE-EXAMINE AND WILL LIKELY ISSUE ADVISORIES OR
WARNINGS LATER TODAY.
THE LAKE SNOWS OFF LK ERIE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS A VERY COLD NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL BE IN PLACE. THE ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION IN TWO
PIECES...WITH THE INITIAL FRONT COMING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...THEN THE REAL PUSH OF ARCTIC AIR WILL FOLLOW A SECONDARY
FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
OFF LK ONTARIO...
A WESTERLY FLOW OF MARGINALLY COLD AIR WILL PRODUCE SOME LAKE
EFFECT ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY THIS MORNING...THEN LIKE LK ERIE...THE
FLOW WILL BACK TO ABOUT 250 BY MIDDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL MOVE
NORTH ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTY WITH A DEEPER MOISTURE
FIELD AND LOWER SHEAR ENVIRONMENT LIKELY PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT
LAKE SNOWS OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF BOTH COUNTIES FROM MID
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...HAVE
UPGRADED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES TO A WARNING THAT WILL BEGIN AT 21Z.
TONIGHT THE FLOW WILL VEER TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION AND SEND A
STEADY STATE PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW ACROSS THE TUG
HILL REGION. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THIS REGION TONIGHT...WITH A LAKE SNOW WARNING FOR OSWEGO
COUNTY GOING INTO EFFECT AT 06Z. SINCE THE LAKE SFC IS STILL NEAR
40 DEGREES...SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
ON WEDNESDAY...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE REST OF OSWEGO COUNTY. THE STEADY SNOW SHOULD BE OUT OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE FLOW WILL
VEER TO ABOUT 290 IN THE WAKE OF THE FIRST FRONTAL PASSAGE. WHILE
THE COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN WITH GREATER INSTABILITY FOUND OVER THE
LAKE...DRIER AIR AT MID LEVELS MAY MIX DOWN ENOUGH TO CUT DOWN ON
THE AMOUNT OF LAKE SNOW.
NEVERTHELESS...OSWEGO COUNTY WILL BE TARGETED IN THE MORNING...
WITH THE FLOW POSSIBLY VEERING TO ABOUT 300 DEG IN THE AFTERNOON.
THIS WOULD THEN SEND MULTIPLE BANDS ACROSS AN AREA FROM OSWEGO
COUNTY TO WAYNE COUNTY...PROMPTING A LES WATCH FOR NRN CAYUGA AND
WAYNE COUNTIES FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
OUTSIDE THE LAKE EFFECT AREAS...THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.
THURSDAY SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY COLD ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGHS
FOR MOST SITES IN THE TEENS. THIS WILL MOST LIKELY BE THE COLDEST
DAY OF THE WINTER SEASON THUS FAR.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES COMBINED WITH A
DEEP UPPER LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND IN THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WILL
ASSURE THE CONTINUATION OF A NORTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR OVER OUR
REGION INTO FRIDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT IMPLICATIONS.
THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW A BRIEF DISRUPTION IN THE ARCTIC
AIR FLOW AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS EASTWARD JUST TO OUR NORTH LATE
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PROBABLY BRING A SYNOPTIC SNOW TO
OUR REGION.
ARCTIC AIR WILL RETURN IN FULL FORCE THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS
A POLAR VORTEX BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC. WE ARE
LOOKING AT WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
MORE LAKE EFFECT PROBLEMS LIKELY. THE MUCH TALKED ABOUT PHASED
-NAO/+PNA WILL BE IN FIRM CONTROL. THE PHASED PATTERN HAS A HIGH
CORRELATION TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
CIGS AND VSBYS WILL LOWER TO THE MVFR RANGE IN LIGHT SNOW AND FOG
THIS MORNING WITH SOME LAKE SNOWS DEVELOPING NE OF LAKE ERIE
ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE DAY AND THIS EVENING WITH THE BAND OFF LAKE
ERIE DRIFTING SOUTH OF BUFFALO BY AROUND 00Z. VSBYS AND CIGS WILL
DROP TO AT LEAST IFR FOR A TIME IN THE BAND AS IT MOVES THROUGH
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF NIAGARA
FALLS. THE BAND WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTH REACHING THE SOUTHERN TIER
LATER THIS EVENING WHERE CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME IFR TO LIFR IN THE
HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. AT WATERTOWN CONDITIONS SHLD START OUT VFR
WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW BY AROUND 16Z LOWERING CONDITIONS TO THE MVFR
RANGE THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD BUT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WILL PROBABLY LOWER CONDITIONS TO IFR OR LOWER AS IT SHIFTS
SOUTH INTO OSWEGO COUNTY LATER TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
LOWER CONDITIONS AS IT PASSES ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT.
&&
.MARINE...
ISSUING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE NEARSHORES OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO WITH VARIOUS STARTING TIMES AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
TODAY AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES. THESE ADVISORIES CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY BUT ONLY
THROUGH 17Z FOR LAKE ERIE WHERE WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD DECREASE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. LAKES SNOWS WILL
DEVELOP AS WELL AT THE EAST ENDS OF BOTH LAKES.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR NYZ006.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR NYZ004-005.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR NYZ019-020-085.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING FOR NYZ010.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM
EST WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ044.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RSH
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...SAGE
AVIATION...JJP
MARINE...JJPHazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 1:20 PM EST, 15 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 120 PM EST MON JAN 22 2007 NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-231430- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 120 PM EST MON JAN 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW. AGAIN IT APPEARS THAT THE STEERING WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL GIVE AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THE BEST CHANCE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-231430- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 120 PM EST MON JAN 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING AS FAR NORTH AS WATERTOWN LATE TUESDAY THEN DRIFTING SOUTHWARD LAKE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW. AGAIN IT APPEARS THAT THE STEERING WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL GIVE AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THE BEST CHANCE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-231430- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 120 PM EST MON JAN 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE... LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SAGE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 4:45 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Watch | BUF | Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Wayne | 24 hr |
| Jan 23, 4:45 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming | 24 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every lake effect snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.