Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2007

Lake Effect Snow Warning 15, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 3, 200715 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Dec 3, 2007, 11:24 AM EST for 15 counties in New York. It was in force for 50 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 3, 2007, 11:24 AM EST (16:24 UTC)
Expired
Dec 5, 2007, 1:00 PM EST
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
586 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 031624
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1124 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.LOW PRESSURE REORGANIZING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL DRAW MUCH
COLDER AIR INTO OUR REGION THE REST OF TODAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS COLDER
AIR CROSSING THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL
BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE LEE OF BOTH
LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.

NYZ019-020-085-040030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0015.071203T1624Z-071204T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1124 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND
THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON HILLS...WITH MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS
CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TODAY.
THE WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.
THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES
WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS WHICH WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS
OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-040030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0004.071203T2100Z-071205T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0015.071203T2100Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
1124 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER THIS AFTERNOON... CONTINUING
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. THE COMBINATION OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

SAGE
13 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 031631
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1131 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.LOW PRESSURE REORGANIZING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL DRAW
MUCH COLDER AIR INTO OUR REGION THE REST OF TODAY INTO TUESDAY.
THIS COLDER AIR CROSSING THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GREAT
LAKES WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
LEE OF BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO.

NYZ019-020-085-040045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1131 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND
THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON HILLS...WITH MUCH LESSER
AMOUNTS CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TODAY.
THE WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.
THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES
WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS WHICH WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS
OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-040045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.071203T2100Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
1131 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER THIS AFTERNOON... CONTINUING
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. THE COMBINATION OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 032106
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
406 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.A STRONG AND COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT NARROW BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOWS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING. 

NYZ012-021-040515-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
406 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
WYOMING AND AT LEAST WESTERN PORTIONS OF ALLEGANY COUNTY. EXPECT
SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES ALONG WITH STRONG
WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE
STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH WIND GUSTS APPROACHING 50
MPH OVERNIGHT. SNOW TOTALS SHOULD EXCEED 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-040515-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
406 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON HILLS
WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-040515-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
406 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ002-011-040515-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SB.Y.0002.071203T2106Z-071204T1500Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA
406 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
ORLEANS AND GENESEE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR AT
TIMES ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.
WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 45 MPH OVERNIGHT. SNOW TOTALS SHOULD BE
RANGE FROM 1 INCH TO NEAR 7 INCHES DEPENDING ON HOW THE LAKE BANDS
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DECREASE DURING THE
DAY ON TUESDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$


ZAFF
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 040212
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
912 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.A STRONG AND COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT NARROW BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOWS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

NYZ012-019>021-085-041015-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
912 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON
HILLS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-041015-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
912 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COMBINATION
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT
TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ007-008-041015-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0026.071204T0212Z-071204T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
912 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

$$

NYZ002-011-041015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA
912 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
ORLEANS AND GENESEE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR AT
TIMES ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 45 MPH OVERNIGHT. SNOW TOTALS
SHOULD BE RANGE FROM 1 INCH TO NEAR 7 INCHES DEPENDING ON HOW THE
LAKE BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 040455
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1155 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.A STRONG AND COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT NARROW BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOWS TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

NYZ007-008-041300-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1155 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1155 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON
HILLS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
1155 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TUESDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COMBINATION
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT
TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ002-011-041300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA
1155 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST TUESDAY...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
ORLEANS AND GENESEE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR AT
TIMES ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 45 MPH OVERNIGHT. SNOW TOTALS
SHOULD BE RANGE FROM 1 INCH TO NEAR 7 INCHES DEPENDING ON HOW THE
LAKE BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 040538
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.A STRONG AND COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT NARROW BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOWS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

NYZ014-041345-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CANANDAIGUA
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A VICTOR TO CANANDAIGUA TO GORHAM LINE. THE
HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL AFFECT THE GENEVA...
CLIFTON SPRINGS AND VICTOR AREAS. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-041345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON
HILLS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-041345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COMBINATION
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT
TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ007-008-041345-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ002-011-041345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA
1238 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST THIS MORNING...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST THIS MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF
ORLEANS AND GENESEE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AN HOUR AT
TIMES ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS. WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 45 MPH OVERNIGHT. SNOW TOTALS
SHOULD BE RANGE FROM 1 INCH TO NEAR 7 INCHES DEPENDING ON HOW THE
LAKE BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DECREASE
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 040732
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
AREA...

.A STRONG AND COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. EXPECT NARROW BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOWS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

NYZ002-011-041545-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-071204T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF ORLEANS AND GENESEE
COUNTIES OVERNIGHT...LASTING THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. EXPECT
SNOWFALL RATES UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES ALONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS CREATING PERIODS OF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. SNOWFALL TOTALS
SHOULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN
BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ013-041545-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GENESEO
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND 
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY NORTH OF GENESEO. THE HEAVIEST AND MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL AFFECT THE CALEDONIA...AVON AND YORK 
AREAS. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ014-041545-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CANANDAIGUA
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A VICTOR TO CANANDAIGUA TO GORHAM
LINE. THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL AFFECT THE
GENEVA... CLIFTON SPRINGS AND VICTOR AREAS. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ007-008-041545-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-041545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON
HILLS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-041545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
232 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED ONE FOOT BY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATING SNOW...NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 20 TO
30 MPH RANGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE COMBINATION
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT
TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 041001
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE TO BRING COLDER AIR INTO THE
REGION. THIS COLDER AIR FLOWING ACROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF THE
LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF TONIGHT.

NYZ014-041815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CANANDAIGUA
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH AN
INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGEST BANDS. IN ADDITION...STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...WITH NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...THE HEAVIEST OF THESE 
SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A VICTOR TO GENEVA
LINE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE...WITH THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS FALLING WHERE THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS SET UP.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-041815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH THIS. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON HILLS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CLOSER
TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER
30 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...
WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN
BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-041815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY...
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
EXCEED ONE FOOT BY LATE THIS EVENING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
EFFECT BANDS.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER
30 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...
WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN
BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ007-008-041815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ002-011-013-041815-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA...GENESEO
501 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH AN
INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGEST BANDS. IN ADDITION...STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...WITH NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY OF 3 TO 8 INCHES WILL BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...THE HEAVIEST OF THESE SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A MEDINA TO BATAVIA TO GENESEO 
LINE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE...WITH THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS FALLING WHERE THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS SET UP.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN
BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 041449
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE TO BRING COLDER AIR INTO THE
REGION. THIS COLDER AIR FLOWING ACROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF THE
LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF TONIGHT.

NYZ014-042130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CANANDAIGUA
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH
AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGEST BANDS. IN ADDITION...STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...WITH NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
WILL BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...THE HEAVIEST OF
THESE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A VICTOR TO
GENEVA LINE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE...WITH
THE GREATEST AMOUNTS FALLING WHERE THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS SET
UP.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-042130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER 2 TO 6 INCHES WILL
FALL IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...BRINGING STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND THE BOSTON HILLS WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS CLOSER TO LAKE ERIE.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER
30 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...
WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ003>006-042130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY...
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE IN THE 3
TO 6 INCH RANGE...WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS EXCEEDING ONE FOOT
BY LATE THIS EVENING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT BANDS. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWS TODAY WILL BE ACROSS THE ROCHESTER METRO AREA.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER
30 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...
WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ007-008-042130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF
LOWVILLE...BRINGING TOTALS ON THE TUG HILL TO A FOOT. GUSTY WESTERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG THE WEST
SIDE OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ002-011-013-042130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA...GENESEO
949 AM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST TODAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH
AN INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGEST BANDS. IN ADDITION...STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...WITH NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WILL BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...THE HEAVIEST OF THESE SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A MEDINA TO BATAVIA TO GENESEO
LINE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE... WITH THE
GREATEST AMOUNTS FALLING WHERE THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS SET UP.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 042007
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
307 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT...

.NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES INTO THIS EVENING...BUT THE ACTIVITY OFF
LAKE ERIE WILL WEAKEN. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
BEFORE ACTIVITY TAPERS OFF THERE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

NYZ002-007-008-011>014-019>021-085-042115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071204T2200Z/
ORLEANS-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
307 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR WHICH PRODUCED THE LAKE SNOWS
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS
EVENING AND DRIER AIR WILL ALSO BE DRAWN ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED DECREASE IN LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT. SOME
AREAS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER COULD STILL RECEIVE ANOTHER INCH
OR TWO BUT SIGNIFICANT FURTHER ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
MOTORISTS SHOULD STILL USE CAUTION AS MANY ROADS IN THE AREA WILL
REMAIN SLICK TONIGHT.

$$

NYZ003>006-050415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
OSWEGO
307 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING BUT WILL HAVE A
TENDENCY TO SHIFT FURTHER EAST AND CLOSER TO THE LAKE AS THE
NIGHT WEARS ON AS WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE IN THE 2 TO 6 INCH RANGE...MOST LIKELY FROM THE EASTERN
SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER TO CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS SINCE MONDAY AFTERNOON MAY EXCEED A FOOT OVER SOME
PORTIONS OF WAYNE AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH GUSTING OVER 30 MPH
AT TIMES WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW EARLY THIS
EVENING...BUT THEY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

MCLAUGHLIN
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050334
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH THE INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE OF THE LAKE
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON THE ROCHESTER AREA EAST
TO OSWEGO COUNTY THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE
EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OUT OF ROCHESTER BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BUT CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY FROM WAYNE THROUGH OSWEGO
COUNTIES. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
PASSING BY TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO DISRUPT THE
WIND FIELDS AND CAUSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO WEAKEN.

NYZ004>006-051145-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1034 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES WEDNESDAY MORNING
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS INTO THE 1 TO 2 FOOT RANGE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WELL INLAND FROM THE LAKE
ONTARIO SHORE. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY EARLY
AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE SOME LIMITED BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL MAY BE VERY
DIFFICULT AT TIMES. BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ003-051000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1000Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
1034 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS TO AROUND 1 FOOT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH
THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WELL INLAND FROM THE LAKE ONTARIO
SHORE. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST OUT OF
THE COUNTY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE SOME LIMITED BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL MAY BE VERY
DIFFICULT AT TIMES. BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050950
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
450 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

.A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS FROM WAYNE COUNTY TO OSWEGO COUNTY.
WHILE THESE SNOWS WILL PERSIST TODAY WITH ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS... THEIR INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD
DIMINISH. 

NYZ003-051100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1000Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
450 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

WHILE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF FLUFFY LAKE SNOW IS POSSIBLE
EARLY THIS MORNING...DRIER AIR AT UPPER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN THE LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE COUNTY TODAY.

$$

NYZ004>006-051800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
450 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIDESPREAD LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...WITH
AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LOWER OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF WAYNE COUNTY
THOUGH...AS DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THE ACTIVITY CLOSER
TO ROCHESTER.

THE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL BRING STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
INTO THE 1 TO 2 FOOT RANGE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH THE
GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WELL INLAND FROM THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE.
THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL MAY BE VERY
DIFFICULT AT TIMES. BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

$$

RSH
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 051550
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1050 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

.A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS HERE MAY PRODUCE SOME
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IN THE VICINITY OF MEXICO BAY AND SANDY
CREEK THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

NYZ004-005-051700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1050 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS WEAKENED TO JUST SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS. THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ006-051800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1800Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1050 AM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

AN AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY NEAR MEXICO BAY. THIS
INCLUDES COMMUNITIES SUCH AS SANDY CREEK AND LACONA. AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL BRING TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS TO OVER 1 FOOT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 051806
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
106 PM EST WED DEC 5 2007


NYZ006-051915-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071205T1800Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
106 PM EST WED DEC 5 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL ONLY BE AROUND AN
INCH IN A FEW LOCALIZED AREAS NEAR MEXICO BAY INCLUDING SANDY
CREEK AND LACONA. THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Dec 3, 10:35 AM EST, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 3, 10:35 AM EST, 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1035 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL WEAKEN AS A
COASTAL SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AND MOVES TOWARD THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
OVERNIGHT. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE LOW WILL USHER IN
MUCH COLDER AIR GENERATING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES THROUGH TUESDAY. A FAST MOVING LOW WILL CROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND BRING A CHANCE OF A MORE GENERAL LIGHT
SNOWFALL. MORE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY...THEN ANOTHER LOW
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A CHANCE OF A GENERAL
SNOW ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW JUST NORTH OF KMSS AT 15Z. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
PLACE BUT MAIN WIND EVENT APPEARS TO BE OVER WITH MOST LOCATIONS
UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA...EXCEPT FOR ALLEGANY COUNTY. THIS LONE
COUNTY APPEARS TO STICK OUT AS ITS NOT UNDER ANY WINTER/SNOW
PRODUCT...BUT ITS RELEVANT DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE HIGHER
WINDS ALOFT. WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER ASIDE...WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO
DIE OFF BUT THERE IS NOT MUCH NEED FOR CONTINUING THE ADVISORY AND
WILL CANCEL IT. WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT THROUGH
1PM EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALSO BE CANCELED AS THE MAIN PRECIP
EVENT FROM OVERNIGHT HAS PASSED.

WITH THOSE OUT OF THE WAY...WE CAN FOCUS ON THE DEVELOPING SNOW
EVENT COMBINED WITH BLOWING SNOW. HAVE MADE SUBTLE ADJUSTMENTS TO
SNOW...PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION...AND WEATHER VARIABLES IN OUR
DIGITAL DATASET...BUT THE MAIN WORDING COMES OUT ABOUT THE SAME.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONGEST OVER THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER WHERE WIND SPEEDS ALOFT ARE STRONGER AND MORE LIKELY TO MIX
DOWN IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

850 MB TEMPERATURES PLUNGING TO NEAR MINUS 15C BY EVENING WILL
CREATE IMPRESSIVE LAKE INSTABILITY. WELL ALIGNED NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
GENERATE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS SOUTH OF BUFFALO. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES...WILL
THEREFORE MAINTAIN WINTER STORM WARNING. SAME CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP LATER TODAY SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. WILL THEREFORE POST A
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MONROE COUNTY OVER TO OSWEGO COUNTY.

ALL AVAILABLE MESOSCALE MODELS SUGGESTING HEAVY LAKE SNOWS WILL
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES TONIGHT AS WELL ALIGNED NORTHWEST
FLOW PERSISTS. OUTSIDE OF PRIMARY LAKE EFFECT AREAS...MESOSCALE
MODELS SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODIC HEAVY LAKE BANDS ACROSS
THE NIAGARA FRONTIER FROM UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS WITH GEORGIAN BAY
AND LAKE HURON...STRONG WINDS MAY ALSO BRING BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE
SNOWS FATHER INLAND ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES. HEADLINES MAY NEED TO
BE RAISED TONIGHT FOR OTHER AREAS AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE MAINTAIN THROUGH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FULL LATITUDE TROUGH OVER MUCH OF NORTH AMERICA AT THE START OF
THIS PERIOD WILL BASICALLY REMAIN IN PLACE INTO NEXT WEEKEND...
BUT A SPLIT FLOW WILL DEVELOP TO ITS WEST. THIS SPLIT IN THE JET
WILL FEATURE A NEAR ZONAL FLOW FROM THE PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION...BASICALLY SERVING AS A BOUNDARY BETWEEN VERY MILD AIR
TO THE SOUTH AND WINTRY CONDITIONS TO THE NORTH. OUR REGION WILL BE
STUCK IN THE MIDDLE.

AS A RESULT...THE PERIOD WILL FEATURE MODERATING TEMPERATURES WITH
MERCURY READINGS RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. DESPITE THIS
MODERATION...IT WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH ALOFT TO GENERATE MORE
LAKE SNOWS FOR THE SNOWBELTS. SOME DETAILS...

A SHORTWAVE WITHIN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL DROP ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH MORE FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS
FOUND IN AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKE
SHORES. HAVE RAISED CHC POPS TOP LIKELY IN THESE AREAS AS A RESULT.
THIS SHORTWAVE WILL ALSO REINFORCE THE SEASONABLY COLD AIR THAT WILL
BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION.

THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY ON THURSDAY AS A ZONAL FLOW WILL
BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL LIFT THE LAKE
SNOWS A BIT TO THE NORTH...WHILE DIMINISHING THE LIKELIHOOD OF
ACCUMULATING SNOWS EAST OF LK ERIE.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. GUIDANCE IS NOT
AS MUCH IN AGREEMENT OVER THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THIS FEATURE AS
ONE WOULD LIKE...SO WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN PLACE FOR NOW WITH A
CHANCE OF A GENERAL SNOWFALL IN ALL ZONES.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
WEEKEND...AND THIS WILL GENERALLY TRANSLATE INTO FAIR SEASONABLE
CONDITIONS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ADIRONDACKS AS OF 12Z WILL REORGANIZE AND
DEEPEN OFF THE COAST OF MAINE DURING THE COURSE OF TODAY. THE
STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA
TONIGHT BEFORE MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES ON TUESDAY.

STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY
LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ERIE TODAY...AND SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT IN THESE AREAS WILL RESULT
IN IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS DURING THE PERIOD...PARTICULARLY IN KJHW
AND KFZY.

THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL EXPERIENCE
MVFR AND OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DURING THE PERIOD.

SFC WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL
AVERAGE 25 TO 35 KNOTS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 45
KNOTS POSSIBLE OVER THE EIGHT WESTERN COUNTIES.

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO MOST AREAS ON TUESDAY AS THE EXITING
STORM MOVES FURTHER AWAY...BUT MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD...WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL OHIO VALLEY TO THE NEW JERSEY COAST
WILL BRING A THREAT OF MORE SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME LAKE SNOWS
POSSIBLE INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT FOR
ALL OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY THIS
EVENING WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. IN THE WAKE OF THIS
STRENGTHENING STORM...THE TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
COMBINE WITH SIGNIFICANT ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES AND WELL ALIGNED
SFC TO 10K WINDS TO PRODUCE 35 TO 40 KNOT WALES ON BOTH LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO INTO AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF TONIGHT.

NEAR STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES TODAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER LAKE ERIE WHERE THERE WILL BE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT.
GIVEN THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION THAT WILL TAKE PLACE TODAY...THE
HIGHER WINDS FROM ALOFT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO MIX TO THE SFC.

WINDS ACROSS BOTH LAKES WILL START TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT...WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS LIKELY ENDING OVER LK ERIE SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
BUT NOT UNTIL ABOUT DAYBREAK ON LK ONTARIO. WHILE THE HIGH WINDS
WILL DROP OFF LATER TONIGHT...WINDS WILL STILL BE GUSTY ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY. THESE WILL BE
ISSUED AS THE GALE WARNINGS EITHER EXPIRE OR ARE CANCELED.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL WAVES WITH NO FLAGS
ANTICIPATED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ019-020-085.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST
     TUESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ003>006.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA/ZAFF
NEAR TERM...TMA/ZAFF
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...RSH
MARINE...RSH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 3, 10:41 AM EST, 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

NYZ019-020-085-041545-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010-011-041545-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE POOR
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES ALTHOUGH SNOW AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
MORE THAN 2 TO 4 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS WILL STILL BE A PROBLEM AT TIMES TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-041545-
ALLEGANY-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012>014-041545-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE POOR
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES ALTHOUGH SNOW AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
MORE THAN 2 TO 4 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS WILL STILL BE A PROBLEM AT TIMES TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>006-041545-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-041545-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE POOR
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES ALTHOUGH SNOW AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
MORE THAN 2 TO 4 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS WILL STILL BE A PROBLEM AT TIMES TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-041545-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-041545-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-041545-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-041545-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1041 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SAGE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 3, 12:04 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCayuga, Oswego4 hr
Dec 3, 4:06 PM ESTSnow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryBUFGenesee, Orleans10 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every lake effect snow warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.