Lake Effect Snow Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 090309
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1009 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

...WINTER RETURNS TO FIRE UP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW MACHINE...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLDER AIR WILL CROSS THE UNSEASONABLY WARM
WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TO PRODUCE NARROW LOCALIZED
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO WEDNESDAY.

SLIGHT CHANGES IN WIND DIRECTION WILL MOVE THE SNOWBANDS BACK AND
FORTH ACROSS THE COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF BOTH LAKES DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME.

NYZ006>008-091115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1009 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE ORGANIZED ON WESTERLY WINDS OVER
NORTHERN OSWEGO... SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THIS
EVENING. THEY SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND STRENGTHEN
OVERNIGHT. THE TUG HILL COULD SEE OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW BY
MORNING.

TUESDAY MORNING THE BAND IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NORTH TOWARD
WATERTOWN FOR A FEW HOURS...WHERE A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES COULD
FALL...BEFORE HEADING BACK SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
SETTLING ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 7PM. THE BAND IS THEN
FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OVER OSWEGO
COUNTY DURING THAT TIMEFRAME COULD RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO FEET.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY GREATLY ACROSS THE REGION. VERY SLIGHT
CHANGES IN WIND DIRECTION WILL MOVE THE BAND OF SNOW SEVERAL
MILES AND RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN TOTAL SNOWFALL.
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING AND THUNDER AT TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-091115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070109T1500Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1009 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A BURST OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW DUMPED A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHERN TIER AND ALSO SECTIONS OF WYOMING AND SOUTHERN
ERIE COUNTIES EARLY MONDAY EVENING. THE ACTIVITY BECAME QUITE
DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED AFTER 7 PM. HOWEVER REORGANIZATION IS
BEGINNING AGAIN AT THIS TIME ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK. THIS IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTHWARD
OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING. NEW ACCUMULATIONS
FROM OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 3 TO 5
INCH RANGE.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A BIT DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPS OVER CHAUTAUQUA
AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. LATER
STATEMENTS WILL PINPOINT THE EXACT TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE
BAND DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 090827
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
327 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLDER AIR WILL CROSS THE UNSEASONABLY WARM
WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO WEDNESDAY. SLIGHT VARIATIONS IN WIND
DIRECTION WILL OSCILLATE THE LAKE BANDS NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE
COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF BOTH LAKES DURING THAT TIME FRAME.

NYZ012-019-020-085-091630-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070109T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
327 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A BAND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT WITH THUNDER
AND LIGHTNING WILL MAINTAIN ITSELF ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING.
SNOW WILL FALL AT A RATE OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE MORNING WILL BE 3 TO 6 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THE LAKE ACTIVITY IS EXPECT TO BECOME DISORGANIZED FOR A PERIOD
LATER THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE AREA.

BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH...A WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF EVEN COLDER
AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL RE-INTENSIFY AND
ADDITIONAL HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY.

THIS VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS APPROACHING A FOOT AND A HALF IN SOME
AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-091630-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
327 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SOUTH
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. SOME LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE IN EXCESS OF A FOOT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-091630-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
327 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE ORGANIZED ON WESTERLY WINDS OVER
NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES EARLY
THIS MORNING. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY TODAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THE LAKE ACTIVITY IS EXPECT TO BECOME DISORGANIZED FOR A PERIOD
THIS THE AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA.

BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH...A WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF EVEN COLDER
AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL RE-INTENSIFY
AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY.

AS THE WEST NORTHWEST FLOW ALIGNS...THE LAKE BANDS WILL DRIFT
SOUTH OUT OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND FOCUS
THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ON CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

THIS VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS APPROACHING 2 FEET OR MORE IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ021-091500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070109T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
327 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
THIRD OF THE COUNTY. ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 091451
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL CROSS THE UNSEASONABLY WARM
WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO WEDNESDAY. THE FLOW WILL BECOME WEST
NORTHWEST TONIGHT...SHIFTING LAKE BANDS TODAYS BANDS SOUTHWARD SLIGHTLY.

NYZ006>008-092300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
951 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE ORGANIZED ON WESTERLY WINDS OVER
NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES TODAY. THE
LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THE LAKE ACTIVITY IS EXPECT TO BECOME DISORGANIZED FOR A PERIOD
THIS THE AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA.

BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH...A WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF EVEN COLDER
AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL RE-INTENSIFY
AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY.

AS THE WEST NORTHWEST FLOW ALIGNS...THE LAKE BANDS WILL DRIFT
SOUTH OUT OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND FOCUS
THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ON CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

THIS VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS APPROACHING 2 FEET OR MORE IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-092300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
951 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A BAND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT WITH
OCCASIONAL THUNDER AND LIGHTNING WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND BECOME
DISORGANIZED SOME THIS AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE AREA. THROUGH NOON...EXPECT SOME SNOW TO FALL AT A RATE OF 1
TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR. BY THE DAYS END...EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO
8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH...A WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF EVEN COLDER
AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL RE-INTENSIFY AND
ADDITIONAL HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

THIS VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH
LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS APPROACHING A FOOT AND A HALF IN SOME
AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-092300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
951 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SOUTH
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF
1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. SOME LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE IN EXCESS OF A FOOT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ021-091800-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070109T1800Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
951 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS THROUGH ABOUT 1 PM ACROSS
ALLEGANY COUNTY. ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

ZAFF

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 091803
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
103 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS THAT FORMED MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUED
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO
ARE WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH
WESTERN NEW YORK. BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE WEST NORTHWEST AND AN EVEN COLDER AIRMASS CROSS THE RELATIVELY
WARM LAKES. LAKE BANDS WILL REFORM AND INTENSIFY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER...OVER OSWEGO AND PORTIONS WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

NYZ021-091915-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070109T1800Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
103 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY END WITHIN BETWEEN 1 PM AND 2
PM WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS AS
THOUGH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED FROM ABOUT OLEAN
WESTWARD TO THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. 

$$

NYZ006>008-100215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
103 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN THIS
AFTERNOON MOVE TO THE EAST. EXPECT ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES INCHES
UNDERNEATH THE BAND...THEN A BREAK FOR SEVERAL HOURS. 

HOWEVER AN NEW BAND IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL INTENSIFY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO
COUNTY AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS
APPROACHING 2 FEET OR MORE IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-100215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
103 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...A WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OF EVEN COLDER AIR
WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL RE-INTENSIFY
WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED
STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING A FOOT AND A HALF IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-100215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
103 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW THAT DEVELOPED NORTH OF WAYNE AND CAYUGA COUNTIES
LAST NIGHT IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO THE
EAST. HOWEVER AN NEW BAND IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY AFFECTING
OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

VERY COLD FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED STORM TOTALS
APPROACHING 2 FEET OR MORE IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

ZAFF

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 092117
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
417 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS DEVELOPING DOWNWIND OF LAKE
ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON. OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...A WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW COMBINED WITH A COLD ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE IDEAL
CONDITIONS FOR A SINGLE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TONIGHT...WITH THE BAND ORIGINATING OVER LAKE SUPERIOR...TRAVELING
ACROSS LAKE HURON...AND FINALLY ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. A
PARTICULARLY HARD HIT AREA WILL BE ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO AFFECT NORTHERN
CAYUGA...EASTERN WAYNE...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS INTENSE
AS THE BAND OVER LAKE ONTARIO...BUT TRAVEL WILL STILL BE
DIFFICULT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...INCLUDING
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...AS WELL AS IN THE HILLS
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS IN SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY.

NYZ006>008-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
417 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY EARLY THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY AS
WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.
SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT
EVENT...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS UNDER
THIS BAND COULD SEE STORM TOTALS APPROACHING 2 FEET OR MORE. THE
TUG HILL REGION INCLUDING SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY ALREADY RECEIVED
AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT. THIS AREA WILL BE ON THE
NORTHERN END OF THIS BAND. HOWEVER...BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEK COULD APPROACH 3 FEET
OVER OVER PORTIONS OF THE TUG HILL REGION.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
417 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INTENSIFY THIS EVENING. THE AREA THAT WILL
BE HARDEST HIT WILL BE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES WHERE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ARE EXPECTED. IN THE
HILLS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS AND OVER SOUTHERN WYOMING
COUNTY...SLIGHTLY LESS IS EXPECTED WITH NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 5 INCHES. THROUGHOUT THE AREA...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE. WHEN COMBINING SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT...SOME LOCATIONS
WILL SEE STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 2 FEET.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
417 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. SNOW COULD
FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT...WITH
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS UNDER THIS BAND COULD
SEE STORM TOTALS UP TO A FOOT...WITH MORE OVER OSWEGO COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

ZAFF

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 092121
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
421 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS DEVELOPING DOWNWIND OF LAKE
ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON. OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...A
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW COMBINED WITH A COLD ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE
IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR A SINGLE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TONIGHT...WITH THE BAND ORIGINATING OVER LAKE SUPERIOR...
TRAVELING ACROSS LAKE HURON...AND FINALLY ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. A
PARTICULARLY HARD HIT AREA WILL BE ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO AFFECT NORTHERN
CAYUGA...EASTERN WAYNE...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS INTENSE
AS THE BAND OVER LAKE ONTARIO...BUT TRAVEL WILL STILL BE
DIFFICULT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...
INCLUDING CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...AS WELL AS IN THE
HILLS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS IN SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY EASTWARD
INTO SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY.

NYZ007-092230-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
421 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND IS REDEVELOPING...BUT IT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN SOUTH OF JEFFERSON COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

NYZ006-008-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
421 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY EARLY THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY
AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
ACCUMULATIONS UNDER THIS BAND COULD SEE STORM TOTALS APPROACHING
2 FEET OR MORE. THE TUG HILL REGION INCLUDING SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTY ALREADY RECEIVED AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS AREA WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN END OF THIS BAND. HOWEVER...BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE COURSE OF THE
WEEK COULD APPROACH 3 FEET OVER OVER PORTIONS OF THE TUG HILL
REGION.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
421 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INTENSIFY THIS EVENING. THE AREA THAT
WILL BE HARDEST HIT WILL BE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES WHERE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ARE EXPECTED. IN THE
HILLS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS AND OVER SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY...
SLIGHTLY LESS IS EXPECTED WITH NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO
5 INCHES. THROUGHOUT THE AREA...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE. WHEN COMBINING SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT...SOME LOCATIONS
WILL SEE STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 2 FEET.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-100530-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
421 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL
AS PORTIONS OF WESTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT
EVENT...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS UNDER
THIS BAND COULD SEE STORM TOTALS UP TO A FOOT...WITH MORE OVER
OSWEGO COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 092128 CCA
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
424 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A NEW ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS DEVELOPING DOWNWIND OF LAKE
ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON. OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...A
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW COMBINED WITH A COLD ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE
IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR A SINGLE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
TONIGHT...WITH THE BAND ORIGINATING OVER LAKE SUPERIOR...
TRAVELING ACROSS LAKE HURON...AND FINALLY ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. A
PARTICULARLY HARD HIT AREA WILL BE ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ALSO AFFECT NORTHERN
CAYUGA...EASTERN WAYNE...AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS INTENSE
AS THE BAND OVER LAKE ONTARIO...BUT TRAVEL WILL STILL BE
DIFFICULT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...
INCLUDING CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...AS WELL AS IN THE
HILLS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS IN SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY EASTWARD
INTO SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY.

NYZ007-092230-
/O.COR.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
424 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND IS REDEVELOPING OFF LAKE ONTARIO.
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY UP TO 4 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT WILL REMAIN
MAINLY SOUTH OF JEFFERSON COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ006-008-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
424 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY EARLY THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY
AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES. SNOW COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
ACCUMULATIONS UNDER THIS BAND COULD SEE STORM TOTALS APPROACHING
2 FEET OR MORE. THE TUG HILL REGION INCLUDING SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTY ALREADY RECEIVED AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS AREA WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN END OF THIS BAND. HOWEVER...BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE COURSE OF THE
WEEK COULD APPROACH 3 FEET OVER OVER PORTIONS OF THE TUG HILL
REGION.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
424 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INTENSIFY THIS EVENING. THE AREA THAT
WILL BE HARDEST HIT WILL BE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES WHERE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ARE EXPECTED. IN THE
HILLS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHTOWNS AND OVER SOUTHERN WYOMING COUNTY...
SLIGHTLY LESS IS EXPECTED WITH NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO
5 INCHES. THROUGHOUT THE AREA...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE. WHEN COMBINING SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT...SOME LOCATIONS
WILL SEE STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 2 FEET.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-100545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.070110T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
424 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A NEW LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SNOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM...AND IT WILL
INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY AFFECTING OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL
AS PORTIONS OF WESTERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. SNOW
COULD FALL AT A RATE OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE THUNDER AND LIGHTNING. THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT
EVENT...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS UNDER
THIS BAND COULD SEE STORM TOTALS UP TO A FOOT...WITH MORE OVER
OSWEGO COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 100322
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1022 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.COLD AIR POURING ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL INTENSIFY
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP GENERATING
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW...WITH SOME PARTS OF THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGIONS RECEIVING
MORE THAN 2 FEET OF SNOW.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS A WARMER
NORMAL LAKE SURFACE WILL GENERATE SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
IN THE FORM OF A SINGLE PLUME. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3
INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE FOUND WITHIN THIS BAND...WITH THE CHANCE
FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT THUNDER SNOW AS WELL.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL NOT BE QUITE AS INTENSE
AS THE BAND OVER LAKE ONTARIO...AS THE FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL CROSS
THE LAKE AT A SHARPER ANGLE. THIS WILL RESULT IN MULTIPLE BANDS OF
SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF TO ONE INCH MORE COMMON.

THE LAKE SNOWS OFF BOTH LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. 

NYZ008-100430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
1022 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO SHOULD
KEEP THE MAJORITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF LEWIS
COUNTY. WHILE SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY
COULD ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT...SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS ARE
NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ006-101130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1022 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A SINGLE BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OVER THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO AS
MUCH AS 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HEART OF THE SNOW
BAND...WHICH SHOULD REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE COUNTY
OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIER SNOW SQUALLS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BIT OF
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING AS WELL.

THIS WILL CERTAINLY BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT AS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OVERNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER 4
TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY BRING SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 2 TO 3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-101130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1022 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND
THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY WITH MOST AREAS PICKING UP A FRESH 3 TO
6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES ON
WEDNESDAY. AMOUNTS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER FOR THE ELEVATED TERRAIN
OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...WHILE LESSER AMOUNTS WILL BE COMMON OVER
WYOMING COUNTY.

ALL IN ALL...WHEN COMBINING SNOW SINCE MONDAY NIGHT...MANY
LOCATIONS WILL SEE STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 2 FEET.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-101130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1022 PM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A SINGLE BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEAR THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE OVERNIGHT BEFORE SETTLING A BIT
FURTHER SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN
HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

WHILE MOST AREAS WILL PICK UP 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
OVERNIGHT...AREAS CLOSER TO THE LAKE COULD PICK UP AS MUCH AS 10
INCHES BY DAYBREAK. IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A FEW OF
THE HEAVIER SNOW SQUALLS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY A RUMBLE OF
THUNDER AS WELL. 

AN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS TO A FOOT OR
MORE IN SOME AREAS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

RSH

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 100841
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
341 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...

.COLD AIR POURING ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH TODAY...WITH
SOME PARTS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGIONS RECEIVING MORE THAN 2 FEET OF SNOW.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL FROM WAYNE TO OSWEGO COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 
3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PART OF THE
SNOWBAND. THE HEAVY SNOW MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER. 

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN A SHORTER
FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE...BUT SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THE MOIST AIR IS LIFTED ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. 

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT LINGER INTO THE EVENING SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING
OVER 25 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND VERY
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

NYZ006-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
341 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 6 TO 12
INCHES BY THIS EVENING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE GREATER THAN 2
FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOW AREAS. NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
341 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE
FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES...WITH
ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. BY THE TIME THE SNOW WINDS
DOWN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...MANY LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE
STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 2 FEET. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH
WILL ALSO RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-101645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
341 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT WILL INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER WAYNE COUNTY...WITH ANOTHER 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. BY THE TIME THE SNOW BEGINS TO WIND DOWN
LATER IN THE EVENING...SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOWFALL TOTALS OVER
1 FOOT. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO RESULT IN
FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY.
IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 101142
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
642 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...

.COLD AIR POURING ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERATE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH TODAY...
WITH SOME PARTS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGIONS RECEIVING MORE THAN 2 FEET OF SNOW.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL FROM WAYNE TO OSWEGO COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES OF
1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PART OF
THE SNOWBAND. THE HEAVY SNOW MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN A SHORTER
FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE...BUT SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THE MOIST AIR IS LIFTED ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THE HEAVY LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON...
BUT LINGER INTO THE EVENING SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING OVER 25 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

NYZ012-085-101245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
642 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LOCALIZED LAKE SNOWS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT ONLY AN
ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF NEW SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ006-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
642 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

HEAVY LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 6 TO
12 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE GREATER
THAN 2 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOW AREAS. NORTHWEST
WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS
AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-020-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
642 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE
FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. BY THE TIME THE SNOW WINDS DOWN LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...MANY LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE STORM TOTALS
EXCEEDING 2 FEET. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO
RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-101945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
642 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT WILL INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER WAYNE COUNTY...WITH ANOTHER 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. BY THE TIME THE SNOW BEGINS TO WIND DOWN
LATER IN THE EVENING...SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOWFALL TOTALS
OVER 1 FOOT. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO RESULT
IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 101603
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1103 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

.COLD AIR POURING ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE
TODAY. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FURTHER WEST TOWARD ROCHESTER. THE
ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON WITH
ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES IN SPOTS. 

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...THE HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL FROM WAYNE TO OSWEGO COUNTIES. SNOWFALL RATES OF
1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HEAVIEST PART OF
THE SNOWBAND.

THE LAKE SNOWS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING OVER 25 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS AND
VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

NYZ006-101715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070111T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1103 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON BUT 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF OSWEGO.

$$

NYZ019-020-101715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1103 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LAKE SNOWS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER
INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE IN SPOTS MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF CATTARAUGUS
COUNTY.  

$$

NYZ004-005-102300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1103 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER WAYNE
COUNTY...WITH 6 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY.
BY THE TIME THE SNOW BEGINS TO WIND DOWN LATER IN THE
EVENING...SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOWFALL TOTALS OVER 1 FOOT.
NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 MPH WILL ALSO RESULT IN FREQUENT
WHITEOUTS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003-102200-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.070110T1603Z-070110T2200Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
1103 AM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE COUNTY. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS
EVENING. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER
RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 102123
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
423 PM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE SNOWS TO PERSIST SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BUT IN A
WEAKENED FORM...

.SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT SOUTHEAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO BUT AMOUNTS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3
INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS MAINLY OVER WAYNE AND NORTHERN
CAYUGA COUNTIES WITH AN INCH POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF MONROE COUNTY.

NYZ004-005-102230-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2300Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
423 PM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ONLY
IN TH 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. 

$$

NYZ003-102230-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070110T2200Z/
MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER
423 PM EST WED JAN 10 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS WEAKENED SO THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELED. SOME LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY EAST OF ROCHESTER WITH AMOUNTS OF
UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE IN SPOTS.

$$


JJP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1031 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

.UPDATE...
HAVE ISSUED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR TUG HILL REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EVENTUALLY SETTLING PRIMARILY OVER OSWEGO
COUNTY BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
NO REAL CHANGES FOR TODAY...BUT MAY CONSIDER ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW
FALL FOR WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHERN ERIE IN AFTERNOON
PACKAGE. MAIN UPDATE IS FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
INITIALLY THIS WILL BE ELEVATION BASED WITH TUG HILL EXPECTED TO
RECEIVE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT
COOLING AIRMASS AND EXCELLENT FETCH ACROSS MULTIPLE LAKES SHOULD
INTENSIFY AND CONSOLIDATE BAND OVER PRIMARILY OSWEGO COUNTY LATE
TUESDAY THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF WEDNESDAY.

WATCH ISSUED EARLIER THIS MORNING...ZONES COMING BY 11AM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 634 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007/

MARINE...

GALE FORCE WINDS ALREADY OBSERVED AT THE DUNKIRK C-MAN WILL
THEREFORE START GALE WARNING ON LAKE ERIE EARLIER.

PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 329 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

SURFACE LOW PASSING OVER WESTERN NY THIS MORNING WILL MAINTAIN
WIDESPREAD RAIN OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE
THROUGH THE MORNING. COLD FRONT OVER OHIO WILL LIFT TO WESTERN
ZONES BY MID MORNING AND TEMPS WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD TREND THROUGH
THE DAY.

WEST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY...EARLY HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S WILL
GIVE WAY TO AFTERNOON TEMPS IN THE LOWER 30S OR EVEN UPPER 20S BY
THE END OF THE DAY. BOTH GFS AND NAM SHOW 850MB TEMPS FALLING
ACCORDINGLY...-2C TO -4C BY 12Z/7AM AND -6C TO -8C BY 18Z/1PM. SAT
AND RADAR SHOW WELL DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE WITH UPPER TROUGH YET
TO CROSS THE AREA AND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN THEN SNOW THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY. THE COLDER AIR OVER LAKE ERIE WILL
LIKELY FORM LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF LAKE
ERIE...OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND NORTH OF
JAMESTOWN...EASTWARD INTO WESTERN WYOMING COUNTY. HIGH WINDS
FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT WILL KEEP ANY ORGANIZED LAKE BAND FROM
FORMING BUT THE OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL ADD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LATE TODAY. THE GREATER RISK WILL BE
LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS A SPEED MAX ROUNDS THE
BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...THE MAIN AXIS OF WHICH WILL STILL BE
JUST TO THE WEST...AND SPINS UP A SMALLER SURFACE LOW. THIS WILL
BACK THE WINDS ALONG LAKE ERIE AND BRING A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...OR RAIN/SNOW MIX...NORTHWARD TO METRO BUFFALO AND EVEN
NIAGARA COUNTY. WILL HAVE A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW ACCUM IN THE
GRIDS FOR METRO BUFFALO/NIAGARA FALLS DURING TUESDAY MORNING
COMMUTE TIME. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLIDE SOUTH AGAIN DURING LATE
MORNING AS THE LOW PASSES AND PLACE THE SNOW OVER THE MORE
TRADITIONAL SNOWBELT AREA SOUTH OF BUFFALO. TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE MUCH COLDER AIR ARRIVING WITH 850BM TEMPS
DROPPING TO AROUND -15C ON WEST NORTHWEST WINDS. THIS PLACES A
SHORTER FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE BUT LAKE INDUCED CAPES RISE TO 500
TO NEAR 700 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS ARE NEAR 12KFT. PERSISTENT
LAKE SNOWS ARE LIKELY OVER THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...PRECIP WILL REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING ALTHOUGH THERE WERE AREAS OF SNOW
EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DYNAMIC COOLING AT THE ONSET OF PRECIP.
THAT HAS ALL GONE BACK OVER TO ALL RAIN AS 850MB TEMPS WARMED TO
+4C. THE COLD AIR WILL REACH THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY
18Z TO 21Z TIMEFRAME AND STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL AGAIN SHRED
THE INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER LAYERS...KEEPING CONCENTRATED LAKE
SNOWS FROM FORMING. THERE WILL BE ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER THE TUG
HILL JUST FROM THE OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND HIGHER TERRAIN INTERCEPTING
THE SNOW. 850MB TEMPS FALL TO AROUND -10C OVERNIGHT BUT THE
APPROACHING SECONDARY LOW SHOULD BACK THE SURFACE WINDS ENOUGH TO
CREATE SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AND LIFT ANY LAKE SNOWS FARTHER NORTH
ALONG THE TUG HILL...AND THE BEST OROGRAPHIC LIFT. A COUPLE INCHES
STILL EXPECTED...BUT NOT AS BAD IS IT COULD BE. WIND SHIFTING AND
BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG
WITH MUCH COLDER AIR WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A SUBSTANTIAL LAKE SNOW
BAND ALONG THE MAJOR AXIS OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH ADDITIONAL
UPSTREAM INFLUENCE FROM GEORGIAN BAY EXPECTED. THIS WILL PLACE THE
LAKE SNOW BAND OVER NORTHERN CAYUGA AND MUCH OF OSWEGO COUNTY FROM
09Z/WED THROUGH 21Z/WED. WILL PLACE 4-6 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE GRIDS
FOR NOW...BUT BUFKIT IS SHOWING AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES AT SYRACUSE
FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WED AFTERNOON...DEPENDING ON WHICH SNOW
ALGORITHM IS USED.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BRING NOTHING MORE THAN AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS...THEN A SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING A RETURN TO
MILD TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE CHANCE OF RAIN
FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE A PROBLEM AS
COLD AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH.  THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
FREEZING RAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO STARTING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH
RAIN SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO.  THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SAG
SOUTHWARD AND STALL NEAR THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. COLD AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE AND WARMER AIR ALOFT ENHANCED BY LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG
THE FRONT WILL BRING A GREATER RISK OF FREEZING RAIN FOR THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WITH THE CIRCULATION
AROUND THE LOW BRINGING IT BACK TO ALL RAIN DURING SUNDAY.  GIVEN
THE HISTORY OF MODELS BEING TOO COLD THIS SEASON, THE PRECIPITATION
MAY BE ALL RAIN.  STAY TUNED.

AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...

LOW PRESSURE BETWEEN BUFFALO AND JAMESTOWN WILL LIFT NORTH INTO
ONTARIO AND QUEBEC TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS WITH A GRADUAL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AS COLDER AIR
ADVECTS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. MVFR AND OCCASIONALLY IFR
CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY LATE AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN AREAS
DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL MAINTAIN
MVFR AND OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THIS MORNING IN WAKE OF THE LOW WITH POTENTIAL
GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS.

MARINE...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS MORNING. STRONG
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
TODAY AS THE SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES...LIFTING INTO QUEBEC AND
DRAWING MUCH COLDER AIR DOWN ACROSS THE LAKES. A WELL MIXED LOWER
LAYER WILL CREATE SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS...AND WOULD NOT RULE
OUT SOME WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO STORM FORCE. WAVES WILL LIKELY EXCEED
10FEET BY THIS EVENING.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.

&&

SHORT TERM...ZAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-091615-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A CHANGE TO WINTRY CONDITIONS IS IN STORE FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
FOLLOWING A PERIOD OF VERY MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS. LOW PRESSURE
WILL LIFT NORTH FROM WESTERN NEW YORK THIS MORNING REACHING THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN DOWN OUT OF CANADA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS FLOW OF COLDER AIR OVER
THE UNSEASONABLY WARM LAKE ERIE WATERS WILL RESULT IN BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

BEST ESTIMATES ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...WITH MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
FOCUSED ON THE BUFFALO METRO AREA DURING THIS PERIOD WITH A
GRADUAL SHIFT SOUTH DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.

TRAVEL WILL BECOME MORE DIFFICULT ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY WITH AN EVEN GREATER POTENTIAL IMPACT ACROSS THE
BUFFALO METRO AREA DURING THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING
FRIDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-013-014-021-091615-
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A RETURN TO WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING FRIDAY...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-091615-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A CHANGE TO WINTRY CONDITIONS IS IN STORE FOR THE REGION
FOLLOWING A PERIOD OF VERY MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS. LOW PRESSURE
WILL LIFT NORTH FROM WESTERN NEW YORK THIS MORNING REACHING THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN DOWN OUT OF CANADA BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS FLOW OF COLDER AIR OVER
THE UNSEASONABLY WARM LAKE ONTARIO WATERS WILL RESULT IN BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY AFFECT THE TUG HILL
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THESE SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE FLOW TURNS NORTHWEST. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE
EXPECTED OVER OSWEGO COUNTY...BUT MAY AFFECT AREAS FROM FAR
NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO
COUNTIES.

AT THIS POINT...THE BEST ESTIMATE WOULD BE FOR TOTALS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES...BUT THE POTENTIAL DOES EXISTS FOR EVEN HEAVIER AMOUNTS.
IF CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO LOOK FAVORABLE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH
MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING
FRIDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-091615-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND LEWIS COUNTIES FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE TUG HILL REGION COULD SEE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW BY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS COULD DROP ANOTHER FOOD OF SNOW...PRIMARILY OVER
THE TUG HILL REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND OVER OSWEGO
COUNTY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FOR LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING
FRIDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-091615-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1111 AM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS THE
SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES...LIFTING INTO QUEBEC AND DRAWING MUCH
COLDER AIR DOWN ACROSS THE LAKES. A WELL MIXED LOWER LAYER WILL
CREATE SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS...AND WOULD NOT RULE OUT SOME
WIND GUSTS CLOSE TO STORM FORCE. WAVES WILL LIKELY EXCEED 10 FEET
BY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF