Alert archive / New York / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2007

Heavy Snow Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 14, 2007Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this heavy snow warning at Jan 14, 2007, 4:51 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Jan 15, 2007, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 14, 2007, 4:51 AM EST (09:51 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 15, 2007, 3:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 15, 2007, 6:45 AM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-01-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-01-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -45 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 140951
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ010>014-085-141500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EST THIS MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE
SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY MUCH IN
QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A
LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A DEFINITE
PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAYBE A
DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A FURTHER
SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW. THE
FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BUT IT IS WISE
TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-141800-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE
BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ001>006-141800-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL
BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM
NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER
OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER
NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019>021-141500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE
SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR
AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON
TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT
CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE
8 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 141201
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ010>014-085-141500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL
BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL
BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM
NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER
OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER
NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-141500-
/O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL
BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY
MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES
A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A
DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND
MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A
FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF
SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH
BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-142015-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH
RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ019>021-141500-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE
SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR
AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON
TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL
NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 141321 CCA
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ010>014-085-141500-
/O.COR.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.COR.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL
BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY
MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES
A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A
DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND
MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A
FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF
SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH
BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-141500-
/O.COR.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
/O.COR.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING
BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL
BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY 
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK 
BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE MOST 
LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM NIAGARA 
FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. 
IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING 
RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY 
DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-142145-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH
RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ019>021-141500-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE
SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR
AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON
TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL
NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE/TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 141445
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ010>014-085-142100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH 4 PM. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A
COATING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON
UNTREATED SURFACES. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND IN
DOWNTOWN BUFFALO SHOULD EVENTUALLY GET ABOVE FREEZING SO ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THERE.

MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY
MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES
A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A
DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND
MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A
FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF
SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH
BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-142100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS NOW EXPECTED THROUGH 4 PM.
UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A COATING TO A TENTH
OF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON UNTREATED SURFACES.
THERE COULD BE SOME AREAS THAT WILL JUST GET RAIN AS TEMPERATURES
EDGE ABOVE FREEZING IN SPOTS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL
BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM
NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER
OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER
NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-142245-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH
RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ019>021-141700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING
BUT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO
RISE SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON. A COATING TO A TENTH OF
AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED SURFACES ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AWAY FROM LAKE ERIE.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR
AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON
TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL
NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

JJP
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 142100
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-142315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
1 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET HAS TEMPORARILY ENDED ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION AND SHOULD END SHORTLY OVER WAYNE, NORTHERN CAYUGA AND
OSWEGO COUNTIES. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION BACK ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE
EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT A SIGNIFICANT
ICING EVENT IS POSSIBLE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE
ARE POSSIBLE. THIS COULD CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES TO COME
DOWN. THERE IS STILL A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN PRECIPITATION
TYPE SO STAY TUNED TO THIS RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER SITUATION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-142315-
/O.EXT.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH
RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ019>021-142315-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIX OF RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT, BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING
BACK TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A QUARTER TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF
ICE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER QUARTER TO A TENTH OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.

FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL
DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE
LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT
CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

JJP
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 142136
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ007-008-150400-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH
RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED.

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-150400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

THE FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET HAS TEMPORARILY ENDED ACROSS THE
REGION. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE EVENING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ALONG WITH SOME SNOW 
BACK ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME DANGEROUS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WIDESPREAD UTILITY OUTAGES
ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES CAUSED BY THE 
ICE ACCUMULATION.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPREAD INTO 
THE AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019>021-150400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN... SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT... BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE
CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH
OF ICE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF
ICE POSSIBLE MONDAY.

FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL
DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE
LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT
CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 150321
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

NYZ007-008-151130-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE SNOW
DURING MONDAY...BUT TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO
12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED. DURING POWER OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR
IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS
DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
WILL SPREAD A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY FROM BUFFALO TO
SYRACUSE. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
WIDESPREAD UTILITY OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES CAUSED BY THE ICE ACCUMULATION.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPREAD INTO THE
AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. DURING POWER
OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF
THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN
ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019>021-151130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...
BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO
SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE
POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY.

FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL
DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE
LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT
CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 150941
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ007-008-151745-
/O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 10 INCH
RANGE. SOME WARMER AIR MAY INTRUDE ALOFT FROM THE SOUTH. THIS
WOULD CAUSE SLEET TO MIX IN. IF THERE IS TOO MUCH SLEET THE SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE LESS THAN FORECAST. MUCH COLDER AIR IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD IN AS THE LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST TONIGHT.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH
YOUR DESTINATION...AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE
YOU BECOME STRANDED. DURING POWER OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR
IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS
DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151745-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD FREEZING RAIN ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF UP
TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO
CAUSE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. ABOVE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY LATER TODAY WHICH WOULD CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. THIS WOULD HELP MITIGATE THE
SITUATION.

MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT INTO MIDWEEK WITH LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SINCE THERE MAY BE POWER OUTAGES FROM
THIS ICE STORM PLEASE REMEMBER THAT DURING BUFFALOS POWER OUTAGES
IN THE OCTOBER STORM THAT A FEW PEOPLE DIED FROM CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING BECAUSE THEY RAN THEIR GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED INDOOR
AREAS. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS
DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019>021-151600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070115T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

FREEZING RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED OVER SOME AREAS THROUGH MID TO
LATE MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN
INCH. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
BUT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. SOME OF THE AREA ALREADY
HAS ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 10 OR 20 MILES
OF LAKE ERIE. OTHER AREAS WILL WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS
MORNING WITH IMPROVEMENTS EXPECTED EARLIER THAN THOUGHT YESTERDAY.
THEREFORE THE ADVISORY TIME HAS BEEN SHORTENED.

IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...ALLOW EXTRA
CARE AND TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 151145
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

NYZ007-008-151945-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN OHIO THIS MORNING IS NOW
EXPECTED TO TAKE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED.
THIS WILL ALLOW WARMER AIR TO MOVE IN ALOFT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE
LESS PROBABLY IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE BAD NEWS IS THAT FREEZING
RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAVE A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE COATING ON
EXPOSED UNTREATED SURFACES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151945-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN OHIO THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF UP TO A
HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE DOWNED TREE
LIMBS AND POWER LINES. ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
LATER THIS MORNING WHICH WOULD CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. THIS
WOULD HELP MITIGATE THE SITUATION.

MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT INTO MIDWEEK WITH LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SINCE THERE MAY BE POWER OUTAGES FROM
THIS ICE STORM PLEASE REMEMBER THAT DURING BUFFALOS POWER
OUTAGES IN THE OCTOBER STORM THAT A FEW PEOPLE DIED FROM CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING BECAUSE THEY RAN THEIR GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED
INDOOR AREAS. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS
DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019>021-151600-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070115T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

FREEZING RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED OVER SOME AREAS THROUGH MID TO
LATE MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN
INCH. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
BUT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. SOME OF THE AREA
ALREADY HAS ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 10 OR
20 MILES OF LAKE ERIE. OTHER AREAS WILL WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING
LATER THIS MORNING WITH IMPROVEMENTS EXPECTED EARLIER THAN
THOUGHT YESTERDAY. THEREFORE THE ADVISORY TIME HAS BEEN
SHORTENED.

IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...ALLOW EXTRA
CARE AND TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Jan 14, 3:05 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 3:05 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
305 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007

.SYNOPSIS...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC PRODUCING
A COLD NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE LOW IS FORECAST
TO BE OVER CENTRAL OR EASTERN PA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK
WILL LIKELY BRING WINTRY WEATHER PROBLEMS ACROSS MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA.

ARCTIC AIR WILL FOLLOW IN A NORTHWEST FLOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...POSSIBLY OUR COLDEST DAY OF THE SEASON FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

IN THE VERY SHORT TERM WE STILL HAVE A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UP FOR
THE SOUTHERN TIER UNTIL 8 AM AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS PARTS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND THE FINGER LAKES
SOUTH OF ROCHESTER. WE WILL EXTEND IT TO 10 AM. AS OF 115 AM WERE
HAD GOTTEN A REPORT OF SEVERAL ACCIDENTS OVER ONTARIO COUNTY FROM
GLAZED SURFACES FROM LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE. RADARS ECHOES
ARE VERY WEAK. WE WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING THROUGH THE SCHEDULED
END AT THIS TIME.

THE REST OF TODAY SHOULD BE GENERALLY OKAY WITH DAYLIGHT IMPROVING
ROAD CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME SMALL DIURNAL HEATING. WE WILL KEEP
POPS IN THE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL RANGE. P-TYPE A MIXTURE FOR A LOT
OF THE AREA.

THE BIGGEST FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WE WILL
ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE BULK OF THE AREA EXCEPT HEAVY
SNOW WARNING FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES WHERE EVEN THE WARMEST
WRF-NAM KEEPS P-TYPE SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE POSTED
FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
TO GO ABOVE FREEZING WHICH WILL HELP MITIGATE ANY WARNING CRITERIA
FOR FREEZING RAIN. THE MOST DIFFICULT PART OF THE FORECAST WILL BE
FOR AREAS IN BETWEEN INCLUDING THE BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER CORRIDOR.
THE WRF-NAM INDICATES A MUCH HIGHER PROBABILITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET WHERE AS THE GFS WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE MAIN LOW
WOULD GIVE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW. IN EITHER CASE WE BELIEVE
THAT WARNING CRITERIA HAS ENOUGH OF A CHANCE TO ISSUE WARNINGS. THE
UNCERTAINTIES WILL NOT GO AWAY THOUGH AT THIS TIME. A STRONG JET AT
850 AND STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE INDICATE THAT QPF WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT.

AFTER THE SYSTEM PASSES  TO THE EAST MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP
SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA. AT THIS TIME IS LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE TOO
MUCH WIND SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

TUESDAY NIGHT UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. THIS, ALONG WITH VERY
COLD (-18C AIR AT 850), NW FLOW OFF THE LKS JUSTIFIES KEEPING CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WILL LIMIT THREAT TO AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES AS SFC RIDGE OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES MOVES EAST AND FLOW BECOMES MORE W-SW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED TO OUR SOUTH WHILE A WARM
FRONT MOVES ACROSS ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. WILL ONLY GO WITH SLGT CHC
SNOW SHOWERS IN GRIDS MNLY LK ONTARIO NORTHWARD. BEST LIFT WITH WARM
FRONT STAYS NORTH OF OUR FCST AREA.

ON THURSDAY THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND BEGIN TO
CIRCULATE A SW FLOW OF MILDER AIR. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE WITH
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES TO START BUT THEN AN UPPER LVL DISTURBANCE MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE GRT LKS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS DURG THE
AFTERNOON. THURSDAY NIGHT AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE IS PROGGED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SO WILL CONTINUE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL LAKES CONNECTED TO LOW PRESSURE
OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT SO WILL CONTINUE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE FRONT
BECOMES WEST TO EAST ORIENTED ALONG THE NY/PA BORDER SATURDAY WHILE
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THE
DAY. THIS WILL KEEP THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...

ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH OF A STALLED COLD FRONT AND THE
NORTHEAST FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN IFR CIGS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH LIFR CIGS COMMON ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THE MAIN EXCEPTION TO THIS GENERAL TREND WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE NORTHEAST FLOW IS ADVECTING DRIER AIR FROM
SOUTHERN QUEBEC. THIS WILL KEEP CIGS AT MVFR TO VFR LEVELS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD VCNTY KART. VSBYS WILL RANGE FROM VFR TO MVFR AS
THE LIGHT PCPN DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA...BUT IFR CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

A WEAK LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE SOME FREEZING
RAIN/DRIZZLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND UPPER GENESEE VALLEY.

&&

.MARINE...

WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS A WEAK HIGH DRIFTS ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY.  CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY RANGE MONDAY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
DUE TO STRENGTHENING NE WINDS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY
     FOR NYZ007-008.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY
     FOR NYZ001>006-010>014-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR NYZ019>021.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NYZ019>021.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NYZ010>014-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SAGE
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...JJP
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...TJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 13, 5:17 AM EST, 23 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

NYZ019>021-141030-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE TRAVEL
PROBLEMS ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY
ENOUGH THOUGH TO CAUSE AND TREE OR POWER LINE PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS.

THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR
BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010>014-085-141030-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

COLD AIR WILL BECOME ENTRENCHED OVER THIS AREA LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FREEZING RAIN MIXED IN TO
CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS BUT AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE TREE
OR POWER LINE PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER PRECIPITATION SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS A TOUGH CALL AT THIS TIME.
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET WOULD KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DOWN.

THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR
BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-141030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL COME SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD JUST TO OUR SOUTH. MILDER
AIR ALOFT MAY CAUSE SLEET TO MIX IN. THIS WOULD CUT DOWN ON SNOW
AMOUNTS.

THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR
BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-141030-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

LOW PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING WITH IT A
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PIN DOWN
ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME. WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ONLY WHEN
HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS BECOME MORE CERTAIN.

THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR
BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-141030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 14, 4:51 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningBUFCayuga, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 7 more35 hr
Jan 14, 4:51 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua28 hr

Nearby

Heavy Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every heavy snow warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.