Alert archive / New York / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2007
Heavy Snow Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this heavy snow warning at Jan 14, 2007, 4:51 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Jan 15, 2007, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 14, 2007, 4:51 AM EST (09:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 15, 2007, 3:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 15, 2007, 6:45 AM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 632 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 140951 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ010>014-085-141500- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-141800- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION, AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ001>006-141800- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019>021-141500- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.070115T0000Z-070115T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 451 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE
8 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 141201 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ010>014-085-141500- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-141500- /O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-142015- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ019>021-141500- /O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 701 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE
000 WWUS41 KBUF 141321 CCA WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ010>014-085-141500- /O.COR.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ /O.COR.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-141500- /O.COR.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ /O.COR.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM UP A FEW DEGREES. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-142145- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ019>021-141500- /O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 818 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING BUT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE/TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 141445 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ010>014-085-142100- /O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO... CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 4 PM. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A COATING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON UNTREATED SURFACES. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND IN DOWNTOWN BUFFALO SHOULD EVENTUALLY GET ABOVE FREEZING SO ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THERE. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL VERY MUCH IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN COULD BE A DEFINITE PROBLEM WITH ENOUGH TO CAUSE SERIOUS TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAYBE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A FURTHER SOUTHERLY TRACK WOULD MEAN AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW. THE FAVORED TRACK AT THIS TIME IS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BUT IT IS WISE TO EXPECT EITHER EVENT OR A COMBINATION OF BOTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-142100- /O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO 945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS NOW EXPECTED THROUGH 4 PM. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SLICK AND DANGEROUS. A COATING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THERE COULD BE SOME AREAS THAT WILL JUST GET RAIN AS TEMPERATURES EDGE ABOVE FREEZING IN SPOTS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE MOST LIKELY WITH AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES BY LATE MONDAY FROM NIAGARA FALLS TO ROCHESTER AND AS MUCH AS 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH...THEN FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN AND CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IT WOULD ALSO CUT WAY DOWN ON SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-142245- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ019>021-141700- /O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T1700Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 945 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING BUT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON. A COATING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED SURFACES ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AWAY FROM LAKE ERIE. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AGAIN OVERNIGHT AND FOR AWHILE MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ JJP
000 WWUS41 KBUF 142100 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ001>006-010>014-085-142315- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070114T2100Z/ /O.EXT.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET HAS TEMPORARILY ENDED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION AND SHOULD END SHORTLY OVER WAYNE, NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION BACK ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS STILL IN QUESTION DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK BUT AT THE PRESENT TIME IT APPEARS THAT A SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT IS POSSIBLE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. THIS COULD CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES TO COME DOWN. THERE IS STILL A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN PRECIPITATION TYPE SO STAY TUNED TO THIS RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER SITUATION. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-142315- /O.EXT.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ019>021-142315- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 400 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A QUARTER TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER QUARTER TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ JJP
000 WWUS41 KBUF 142136 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ007-008-150400- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-085-150400- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET HAS TEMPORARILY ENDED ACROSS THE REGION. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ALONG WITH SOME SNOW BACK ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WIDESPREAD UTILITY OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES CAUSED BY THE ICE ACCUMULATION. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPREAD INTO THE AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019>021-150400- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.070115T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 436 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN... SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT... BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE MONDAY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 150321 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 NYZ007-008-151130- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.070115T0800Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE SNOW DURING MONDAY...BUT TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE BY LATE MONDAY. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION... AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. DURING POWER OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151130- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.070115T0600Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WILL SPREAD A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY FROM BUFFALO TO SYRACUSE. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WIDESPREAD UTILITY OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES CAUSED BY THE ICE ACCUMULATION. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPREAD INTO THE AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. DURING POWER OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019>021-151130- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1021 PM EST SUN JAN 14 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT... BECOMING MAINLY RAIN FOR A TIME MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY. FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TRAVEL DISRUPTIONS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE A DANGEROUS COATING ON TREE LIMBS OR POWER LINES. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL NOT CERTAIN. IF IT TRACKS A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 150941 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 NYZ007-008-151745- /O.CON.KBUF.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 10 INCH RANGE. SOME WARMER AIR MAY INTRUDE ALOFT FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WOULD CAUSE SLEET TO MIX IN. IF THERE IS TOO MUCH SLEET THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE LESS THAN FORECAST. MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN AS THE LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN 7 OR MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ON UNPLOWED ROADS. IF YOU MUST DRIVE...ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION...AND KEEP AN EMERGENCY KIT IN YOUR CAR IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED. DURING POWER OUTAGES...NEVER USE A GENERATOR IN AN ENCLOSED SPACE BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151745- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY LATER TODAY WHICH WOULD CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. THIS WOULD HELP MITIGATE THE SITUATION. MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT INTO MIDWEEK WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SINCE THERE MAY BE POWER OUTAGES FROM THIS ICE STORM PLEASE REMEMBER THAT DURING BUFFALOS POWER OUTAGES IN THE OCTOBER STORM THAT A FEW PEOPLE DIED FROM CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING BECAUSE THEY RAN THEIR GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED INDOOR AREAS. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019>021-151600- /O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070115T1600Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 441 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED OVER SOME AREAS THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS BUT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. SOME OF THE AREA ALREADY HAS ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 10 OR 20 MILES OF LAKE ERIE. OTHER AREAS WILL WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING WITH IMPROVEMENTS EXPECTED EARLIER THAN THOUGHT YESTERDAY. THEREFORE THE ADVISORY TIME HAS BEEN SHORTENED. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...ALLOW EXTRA CARE AND TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE
000 WWUS41 KBUF 151145 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 NYZ007-008-151945- /O.CAN.KBUF.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN OHIO THIS MORNING IS NOW EXPECTED TO TAKE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED. THIS WILL ALLOW WARMER AIR TO MOVE IN ALOFT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS PROBABLY IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE BAD NEWS IS THAT FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAVE A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE COATING ON EXPOSED UNTREATED SURFACES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-085-151945- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN OHIO THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND SPREAD FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY LATER THIS MORNING WHICH WOULD CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. THIS WOULD HELP MITIGATE THE SITUATION. MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT INTO MIDWEEK WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SINCE THERE MAY BE POWER OUTAGES FROM THIS ICE STORM PLEASE REMEMBER THAT DURING BUFFALOS POWER OUTAGES IN THE OCTOBER STORM THAT A FEW PEOPLE DIED FROM CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING BECAUSE THEY RAN THEIR GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED INDOOR AREAS. EVEN RUNNING A GENERATOR IN AN ATTACHED GARAGE IS DANGEROUS STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019>021-151600- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070115T1600Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 645 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED OVER SOME AREAS THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS BUT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. SOME OF THE AREA ALREADY HAS ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN 10 OR 20 MILES OF LAKE ERIE. OTHER AREAS WILL WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING WITH IMPROVEMENTS EXPECTED EARLIER THAN THOUGHT YESTERDAY. THEREFORE THE ADVISORY TIME HAS BEEN SHORTENED. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...ALLOW EXTRA CARE AND TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SAGE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Jan 14, 3:05 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 3:05 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
305 AM EST SUN JAN 14 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC PRODUCING
A COLD NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. LOW PRESSURE WILL
MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE LOW IS FORECAST
TO BE OVER CENTRAL OR EASTERN PA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRACK
WILL LIKELY BRING WINTRY WEATHER PROBLEMS ACROSS MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA.
ARCTIC AIR WILL FOLLOW IN A NORTHWEST FLOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...POSSIBLY OUR COLDEST DAY OF THE SEASON FOR TUESDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
IN THE VERY SHORT TERM WE STILL HAVE A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UP FOR
THE SOUTHERN TIER UNTIL 8 AM AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS PARTS OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND THE FINGER LAKES
SOUTH OF ROCHESTER. WE WILL EXTEND IT TO 10 AM. AS OF 115 AM WERE
HAD GOTTEN A REPORT OF SEVERAL ACCIDENTS OVER ONTARIO COUNTY FROM
GLAZED SURFACES FROM LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE. RADARS ECHOES
ARE VERY WEAK. WE WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING THROUGH THE SCHEDULED
END AT THIS TIME.
THE REST OF TODAY SHOULD BE GENERALLY OKAY WITH DAYLIGHT IMPROVING
ROAD CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME SMALL DIURNAL HEATING. WE WILL KEEP
POPS IN THE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL RANGE. P-TYPE A MIXTURE FOR A LOT
OF THE AREA.
THE BIGGEST FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WE WILL
ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE BULK OF THE AREA EXCEPT HEAVY
SNOW WARNING FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES WHERE EVEN THE WARMEST
WRF-NAM KEEPS P-TYPE SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE POSTED
FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
TO GO ABOVE FREEZING WHICH WILL HELP MITIGATE ANY WARNING CRITERIA
FOR FREEZING RAIN. THE MOST DIFFICULT PART OF THE FORECAST WILL BE
FOR AREAS IN BETWEEN INCLUDING THE BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER CORRIDOR.
THE WRF-NAM INDICATES A MUCH HIGHER PROBABILITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET WHERE AS THE GFS WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE MAIN LOW
WOULD GIVE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SNOW. IN EITHER CASE WE BELIEVE
THAT WARNING CRITERIA HAS ENOUGH OF A CHANCE TO ISSUE WARNINGS. THE
UNCERTAINTIES WILL NOT GO AWAY THOUGH AT THIS TIME. A STRONG JET AT
850 AND STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE INDICATE THAT QPF WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT.
AFTER THE SYSTEM PASSES TO THE EAST MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP
SOUTHWARD FROM CANADA. AT THIS TIME IS LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE TOO
MUCH WIND SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TUESDAY NIGHT UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. THIS, ALONG WITH VERY
COLD (-18C AIR AT 850), NW FLOW OFF THE LKS JUSTIFIES KEEPING CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WILL LIMIT THREAT TO AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES AS SFC RIDGE OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES MOVES EAST AND FLOW BECOMES MORE W-SW.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED TO OUR SOUTH WHILE A WARM
FRONT MOVES ACROSS ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC. WILL ONLY GO WITH SLGT CHC
SNOW SHOWERS IN GRIDS MNLY LK ONTARIO NORTHWARD. BEST LIFT WITH WARM
FRONT STAYS NORTH OF OUR FCST AREA.
ON THURSDAY THE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND BEGIN TO
CIRCULATE A SW FLOW OF MILDER AIR. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE WITH
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES TO START BUT THEN AN UPPER LVL DISTURBANCE MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE GRT LKS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS DURG THE
AFTERNOON. THURSDAY NIGHT AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE IS PROGGED TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION SO WILL CONTINUE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL LAKES CONNECTED TO LOW PRESSURE
OVER NORTHERN QUEBEC IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT SO WILL CONTINUE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE FRONT
BECOMES WEST TO EAST ORIENTED ALONG THE NY/PA BORDER SATURDAY WHILE
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THE
DAY. THIS WILL KEEP THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH OF A STALLED COLD FRONT AND THE
NORTHEAST FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN IFR CIGS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH LIFR CIGS COMMON ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER. THE MAIN EXCEPTION TO THIS GENERAL TREND WILL BE EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE NORTHEAST FLOW IS ADVECTING DRIER AIR FROM
SOUTHERN QUEBEC. THIS WILL KEEP CIGS AT MVFR TO VFR LEVELS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD VCNTY KART. VSBYS WILL RANGE FROM VFR TO MVFR AS
THE LIGHT PCPN DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE AREA...BUT IFR CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
A WEAK LOW MOVING EAST ALONG THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE SOME FREEZING
RAIN/DRIZZLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND UPPER GENESEE VALLEY.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS AND WAVES WILL STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS A WEAK HIGH DRIFTS ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL STRENGTHEN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REACH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY RANGE MONDAY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
DUE TO STRENGTHENING NE WINDS.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY
FOR NYZ007-008.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY
FOR NYZ001>006-010>014-085.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY FOR NYZ019>021.
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ019>021.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ010>014-085.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SAGE
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...JJP
AVIATION...TJP
MARINE...TJPHazardous weather outlook, Jan 13, 5:17 AM EST, 23 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 NYZ019>021-141030- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE TRAVEL PROBLEMS ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY ENOUGH THOUGH TO CAUSE AND TREE OR POWER LINE PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ010>014-085-141030- NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT COLD AIR WILL BECOME ENTRENCHED OVER THIS AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. A MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH FREEZING RAIN MIXED IN TO CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS BUT AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE TREE OR POWER LINE PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECIPITATION TYPE IS A TOUGH CALL AT THIS TIME. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WOULD KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DOWN. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>005-141030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL COME SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EASTWARD JUST TO OUR SOUTH. MILDER AIR ALOFT MAY CAUSE SLEET TO MIX IN. THIS WOULD CUT DOWN ON SNOW AMOUNTS. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-141030- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LOW PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING WITH IT A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PIN DOWN ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME. WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ONLY WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS BECOME MORE CERTAIN. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS COLDER AIR BUILDS IN DURING MID WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-141030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 517 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 4:51 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston and 7 more | 35 hr |
| Jan 14, 4:51 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 28 hr |
Nearby
Heavy Snow Warnings in New York, 2007Every heavy snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.