Alert archive / Vermont / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 9, NWS Burlington, VT

November 15, 20076 counties in Vermont; 4 counties in New York

NWS Burlington, VT issued this winter storm warning at Nov 15, 2007, 4:48 AM EST for 6 counties in Vermont; 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Nov 15, 2007, 9:49 AM EST. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2007, 4:48 AM EST (09:48 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 15, 2007, 9:49 AM EST
Expired
Nov 16, 2007, 6:59 PM EST
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Burlington, VT

Counties Clinton County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orleans County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 9 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2007-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 276 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
604 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBTV 150948
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
448 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...FIRST SIGNIFICAT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

.DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND THIS
AFTERNOON...AND INTO NORTHERN MAINE BY FRIDAY MORNING. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.
AS THE LOW CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEAST TONIGHT...SHARPLY COLDER AIR
ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SOUTHEASTWARD...ALLOWING RAIN TO MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW
AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL THEN
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION DURING FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY NIGHT. CURRENT ESTIMATES WOULD SUGGEST THAT SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 1000 FEET IN
THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS.

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-152000-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0009.071115T2300Z-071116T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.WS.W.0009.071116T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
448 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS NORTHEASTERN AND MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
VERMONT. THE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AS
COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND
CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MOST AREAS. SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION DURING FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
4 TO 9 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
AREA...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS AT OR ABOVE 1000 FEET. ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND VALLEYS FLOORS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE
SOMEWHAT LESS...GENERALLY AVERAGING BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES BY
FRIDAY EVENING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL LIKELY MAKE
TRAVEL HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE AREA.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-152000-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0009.071115T1800Z-071116T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071115T1800Z-071117T0000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
448 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AS
COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO 
TONIGHT...RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE AREA.
SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION DURING
FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY
AT ELEVATIONS AT OR ABOVE 1000 FEET. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ018-019-152000-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0009.071115T2300Z-071116T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071116T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
448 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. THE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AS
COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR 
CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MOST AREAS. SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION DURING FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY
AT ELEVATIONS AT OR ABOVE 1000 FEET. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ008-010-152000-
/O.NEW.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071116T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH
448 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALL OF WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
VERMONT. THE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AS
COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND
CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MOST AREAS. SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION DURING FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF
FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
AREA...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS AT OR ABOVE 1000 FEET. ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND VALLEYS FLOORS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE
SOMEWHAT LESS...GENERALLY AVERAGING BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES BY
FRIDAY EVENING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$
7 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 151449
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
949 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON UNDERWAY ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TO
THE SOUTHERN MAINE COASTLINE BY THIS EVENING. SHARPLY COLDER AIR
ALOFT IS WORKING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST...AND HAS ALLOWED
RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW ABOVE 1000 FT IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND
ABOVE 1500 FT IN NORTHERN VERMONT AS OF 9 AM. AS TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO DROP...THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL OCCUR AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. CURRENT ESTIMATES WOULD SUGGEST THAT SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 1000 FEET IN
THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND IMMEDIATE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY. SNOW TAPERS OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT...BUT WITH
PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING AND CONCENTRATED ALONG WEST AND
NORTHWEST FACING MOUNTAINS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY. 

NYZ029>031-034-160300-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071115T1800Z-071117T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBTV.WS.W.0009.071115T1449Z-071117T0000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
949 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING IN THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 9
INCHES BY EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 1500
FEET. THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW MAY RESULT IN DOWNED
BRANCHES AND POWER LINES DURING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS. ROAD CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY HAZARDOUS AND 
SLICK...ESPECIALLY AS WATER FROM EARLIER RAINFALL FREEZES BENEATH
THE ACCUMULATING SNOW.

PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY
DECREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH FRIDAY.  

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-160300-
/O.EXT.KBTV.WS.W.0009.071115T1500Z-071117T0000Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
949 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST VERMONT...INCLUDING THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS...
UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CHANGE TO HEAVY WET SNOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO BE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THIS
EVENING...WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY MIDNIGHT. THE
HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR ABOVE 1000 FT...WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS BELOW THAT ELEVATION WHERE THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL
TAKE SOMEWHAT LONGER TO OCCUR LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW MAY RESULT IN DOWNED BRANCHES
AND POWER LINES DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. ROAD CONDITIONS WILL BECOME VERY
HAZARDOUS AND SLICK...ESPECIALLY AS WATER FROM EARLIER RAINFALL
FREEZES BENEATH THE ACCUMULATING SNOW.

PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...AND WILL BE
CONCENTRATED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS WITH
SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-011-012-160300-
/O.EXB.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071115T1500Z-071117T0000Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...
MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION
949 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. 

HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH AND
CHANGE TO PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE FIRST AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...AND GRADUALLY DEVELOP AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS 
WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES BY MIDNIGHT...WITH THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS ABOVE 700 FEET IN ELEVATION. AS THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
OCCURS...WATER FROM EARLIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO FREEZE ON
ROADWAYS...CREATING A HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITION...ESPECIALLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN ADDITION...SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES...RESULTING IN VERY LOW VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ008-010-018-019-160300-
/O.EXT.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.071115T1500Z-071117T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
949 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE GREEN MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT AND ACROSS
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT.  

HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MIX WITH
AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE FIRST AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND
GRADUALLY DEVELOP AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES BY MIDNIGHT...WITH THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS ABOVE 700 FEET IN ELEVATION. AS THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
OCCURS...WATER FROM EARLIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO FREEZE ON
ROADWAYS...CREATING A HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITION...ESPECIALLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN ADDITION...SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES...RESULTING IN VERY LOW VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE LATE TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

BANACOS
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 152036
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
336 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON ONGOING ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE NEAR PORTLAND MAINE AT 3 PM WILL CONTINUE TO
DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MAINE COAST. 
SHARPLY COLDER AIR ALOFT IS WORKING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE
WEST...AND HAS ALLOWED RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW ABOVE 1000 FEET IN
NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND ABOVE 1000 TO 1500 FEET IN ACROSS CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN VERMONT. A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL OCCUR AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. CURRENT ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF HEAVY WET SNOW ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 1000 FEET IN
THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND IMMEDIATE CONNECTICUT
RIVER VALLEY. SNOW TAPERS OFF TO FRIDAY MORNING...BUT WITH PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING AND CONCENTRATED ALONG WEST AND NORTHWEST
FACING MOUNTAINS AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE DEPARTING LOW DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 

NYZ029>031-034-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
336 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY FRIDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 9
INCHES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS AT
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP OVERNIGHT...ROAD CONDITIONS WILL BECOMING
INCREASINGLY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY AS WATER FROM
MELTING SNOW AND EARLIER RAINFALL BEGINS TO FREEZE BENEATH THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW. ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES WILL TEND TO
BECOME ICY FIRST. 

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
336 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST VERMONT...AS WELL AS THE WEST SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN
GREEN MOUNTAINS...UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY.

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS EVENING...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 9 INCHES BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP OVERNIGHT...ROAD CONDITIONS WILL BECOMING
INCREASINGLY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY AS WATER FROM
MELTING SNOW AND EARLIER RAINFALL BEGINS TO FREEZE BENEATH THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW. ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES WILL TEND TO
BECOME ICY FIRST. 

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-008>012-018-019-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-
WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...BRISTOL...RIPTON...
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
336 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY.

PERIODS OF RAIN WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE FIRST AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...AND GRADUALLY DEVELOP AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY.

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
FRIDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ABOVE 700 FEET IN ELEVATION. 
THROUGH THE GREEN MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...HIGHER
ELEVATIONS WILL RECEIVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3
AND 6 INCHES. 

AS THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW OCCURS TONIGHT...WATER FROM EARLIER RAIN
WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO FREEZE ON ROADWAYS...CREATING A HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITION...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY LEAD TO...OR RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

BANACOS
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 160303
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1003 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT IN THE
ADIRONDACKS AND IN VERMONT TOWARD DAWN FRIDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MAINE WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT
AND FRIDAY AND WILL PULL COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION CHANGING ALL
THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO SNOW. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

NYZ029>031-034-162100-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID
1003 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR THE ADIRONDACKS FOR 2
TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND TAPER OFF TO MAINLY SNOW SHOWERS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING.
BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
BELOW FREEZING FRIDAY.

WATCH FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.


$$

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-162100-
/O.EXT.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
1003 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY FOR 4
TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST VERMONT...INCLUDING THE WEST SLOPES OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS.

A MIX OF OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW BEFORE DAWN. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AND TAPER OFF TO MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ABOVE 1000 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING JUST BEFORE DAWN...SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST.
TEMPERATURES ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR
MOST OF THE DAY FRIDAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-008>012-018-019-162100-
/O.EXT.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-
WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...BURLINGTON...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...BRISTOL...RIPTON...
EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
1003 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.

A MIX OF OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW TOWARD DAWN. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AND TAPER OFF TO MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH DURING THE MORNING. THE HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
ABOVE 1000 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO AROUND FREEZING AROUND DAWN...SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS
DRIVING. BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST. TEMPERATURES
ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE
DAY FRIDAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

SISSON
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 160831
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
331 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MAINE WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY
TODAY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.-..ALLOWING COLDER AIR TO PUSH
INTO THE REGION UNDER GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS. AS A
RESULT...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION BY EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS VERMONT.
RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS AS WELL...THOUGH WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINOR.

NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-011-012-160945-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-
WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE...
SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...
PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...
BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION
331 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THE ENTIRE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AS WELL AS RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES IN
VERMONT.

RAIN AND SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING
BEFORE TAPERING TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. DUE TO RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST
ABOVE FREEZING...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MINOR AND GENERALLY LESS THAN 2 INCHES.

$$

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-162100-
/O.EXT.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
331 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR 4 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN VERMONT INCLUDING LAMOILLE COUNTY...AND
THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW THIS MORNING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
TAPERING TO MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1000 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING JUST BEFORE DAWN...SNOW WILL
BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS
DRIVING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BRIDGES WILL TEND
TO BECOME ICY FIRST. TEMPERATURES ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN AT
OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE DAY TODAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ008-010-018-019-162100-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
331 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING WASHINGTON...ORANGE...EASTERN ADDISON...AND
EASTERN RUTLAND COUNTIES IN VERMONT.

A MIX OF OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING..ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000
FEET. SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS...WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS LATE. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET.

AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO AROUND FREEZING AROUND DAWN...SNOW WILL
BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION ROADS CAUSING
LOCALLY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME
ICY FIRST. TEMPERATURES ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW
FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE DAY TODAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

JMG
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 161511
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1011 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR EASTPORT MAINE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS NEW BRUNSWICK
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW COLDER
AIR TO PUSH INTO THE REGION UNDER GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS.
AS A RESULT...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING... AND CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SEVERAL INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION BY EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN VERMONT. RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO
SNOW ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS AS WELL...THOUGH WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINOR.

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-162315-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
1011 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...INCLUDING
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.  

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE TO ALL
SNOW THIS MORNING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
TAPERING TO MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1000 FEET.

WITH TEMPERATURES NOW DROPPING BELOW FREEZING...SNOW WILL BEGIN
TO ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST.
TEMPERATURES ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR
MOST OF THE DAY TODAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

VTZ008-010-018-019-162100-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
1011 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL VERMONT AND EASTERN RUTLAND COUNTY IN
SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.  

A MIX OF OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME STEADIER AND CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW THIS MORNING..ESPECIALLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
1000 FEET. SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES ACROSS
LOWER ELEVATIONS...WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS LATE. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET.

WITH TEMPERATURES NOW DROPPING BELOW FREEZING IN SOME AREAS...
SNOW WILL BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE ON SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION
ROADS CAUSING LOCALLY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. BRIDGES WILL
TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST. TEMPERATURES ABOVE 1000 FEET WILL REMAIN
AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE DAY TODAY.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

BANACOS
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 162006
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
306 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT
THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW BRUNSWICK CONTINUES
TO BRING UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
VERMONT. THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT...WITH AN END TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW BY LATE THIS
EVENING EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER SUMMITS.

VTZ008-010-018-019-162115-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071116T2100Z/
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
306 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL VERMONT AND EASTERN RUTLAND
COUNTY. 

LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AND THEN TAPER
OFF TO FLURRIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR ALLOWING THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO BE
CANCELLED.

$$

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-170300-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
306 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...INCLUDING
THE WEST SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. 

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES LATE TONIGHT. SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 PM. 

WITH TEMPERATURES NOW DROPPING BELOW FREEZING...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE
ON SOME ROADS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. BRIDGES WILL TEND TO BECOME ICY FIRST.

WITH THE STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE OF THIS STORM...WATCH FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS IF TRAVELING IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

BANACOS
000 
WWUS41 KBTV 162359
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
659 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT
THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW BRUNSWICK CONTINUES TO
BRING UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT.
THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...WITH AN END
TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW BY LATE THIS EVENING EXCEPT IN THE HIGHER
SUMMITS.

VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017-170100-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-071117T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL
659 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
VERMONT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE ONLY A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES.

$$

LAHIFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 15, 3:26 AM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:26 AM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
326 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TODAY. AS COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION BEHIND THIS SYSTEM
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSTION TO ALL SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA...WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GREEN AND ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 326 AM EST THURSDAY

ACTIVE NEAR TERM PERIOD ON TAP FOR TODAY AS DEEPENING SFC LOW
PRESSURE NEAR KAVP EARLY THIS MORNING TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO
CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON. COPIOUS LOW TO MID LVL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT COMBINED WITH INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT/BACKING UPPER FLOW
AND FAVORABLE UPPER JET SUPPORT ALL SPELL WIDESPREAD RAFL ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. INDEED...LATEST IR IMAGERY SHOWING NICE
BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OUR AREA THIS MORNING...
INDICATIVE OF STRENGTHENING CYCLOGENESIS. THEREFORE...NO REASON TO
ALTER FORECAST TRENDS...AND WILL MAINTAIN CATEGORICAL POPS ALL AREAS
THROUGH THE DAY. AS SFC LOW SWINGS TO OUR IMMEDIATE EAST LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON...LOWER BNDRY LAYER WINDS WILL SHIFT
SHARPLY TO THE NORTHWEST FROM THE CHVLY WESTWARD...USHERING IN
COLDER TEMPS AND STEADY TO SLOWLY FALLING TEMPS BY MID AFTERNOON.
TAKING A LOOK AT REGIONAL SFC OBSERVATIONS OFF TO OUR
NORTHWEST...TEMPS/TDS REMAIN FAIRLY MARGINAL...SO DESPITE WIND
SHIFT...ONSET OF SHARPLY COLDER READINGS SHOULD BE DELAYED INTO THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS. BASED OFF 925-850 HPA THICKNESS/TEMP
PROFILES
AND USING AVBL SOUNDING DATA...DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS WOULD ARGUE FOR A
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE DACKS...BUT GENERALLY REMAINING ALL LIQUID OTHER AREAS UNTIL
AFTER SUNSET. USING THIS IDEA...IT DOES APPEAR NAM BUFKIT SOUNDING
ANALYSIS IS OVERDONE ON MAGNITUDE OF SNOWFALL ACROSS THE DACKS
TODAY...SHOWING A CHANGEOVER NEAR SUNRISE. THUS WILL DISCOUNT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 326 AM EST THURSDAY

PRIMARY EMPHASIS ON SHORT TERM PORTIONS OF THE FCST WAS FOCUSED ON
PERIODS THROUGH FRIDAY. LATEST OPERATIONAL/SREF ANALYSIS STILL IN
GENERALL AGREEMENT ON OVERALL PLACEMENT/TIMING OF FEATURES ACROSS
THE AREA...WITH A FEW NOTABLE DIFFERENCES...MAINLY IN REGARDS TO QPF
ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. AS SFC LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN
AND LIFT INTO NRN MAINE OVERNIGHT...IT WILL SLOW AS IT BECOMES
CAPTURED BY SHARPLY DIGGING/CLOSING UPPER TROUGH/LOW ACROSS FA.
THIS WILL ALLOW STRONG MID TO UPPER LVL DEFORMATION ZONE TO EVOLVE
ACROSS THE FA WITH WIDESPREAD PCPN CONTINUING UNDER DEEPENING
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. ANALYSIS OF 1000-850 HPA THICKNESS FIELDS AND
MID LVL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WOULD SUGGEST A MORE PRONOUNCED AND
DEEPER COLD SURGE PUSHING WEST TO EAST ACROSS AREA BTWN 03-09Z. THIS
WILL ALLOW PCPN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO ALL SNOW DURING THIS
PERIOD...WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUM POSSBL ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
MOS GUIDANCE SHOWING MIN TEMPS FAIRLY MARGINAL IN THE VALLEY FLOORS
TONIGHT...NONETHELESS WITH SHARPLY FALLING TEMPS ALOFT AND FREEZING
LVL LOWERING TO 1000 KFT OR LOWER...MIXED RA/SN AND/OR A COMPLETE
CHANGEOVER LIKELY IN THESE LOCALES AS WELL. IN REGARDS TO SNOW
ACCUM...HAVE CONFINED HEAVIER ACCUM TO ELEV GENERALLY ABV 1000-1500
FT...USING AN 8:1 SNOW/LIQUID RATIO IN THE VALLEY FLOORS... 10:1 ABV
1500 FT...AND 12:1 ABV 2500 FT INITIALLY. OF NOTE...DUE TO ABV
MENTIONED QPF DIFFERENCES...ESP ACROSS THE DACKS WITH THIS
EVENT...HAVE OPTED FOR A 50/50 NAM/GFS BLENDED SOLN.

BY FRIDAY...OCCLUDING SFC LOW ACROSS FAR NRN MAINE WILL LIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWARD INTO CANADIAN MARITIMES WITH LINGERING/WEAKENING
DEFORMATION PCPN CONTINUING ACROSS CENTRAL/NRN PORTIONS OF THE FA.
AGAIN...TEMPS ALOFT PLENTY COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW ALOFT.
DIFFICULTY LIES IN LOWER BNDRY LYR TEMPS...ESP ACROSS THE VALLEYS
WHERE TEMPS MAY EDGE ABV FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THUS HAVE INTRODUCED AT LEAST A CHC OF SOME
MIXED RA/SN IN THESE LOCATIONS DURING THE ABV TIME FRAME.
ELSEWHERE...P-TYPE ISSUES NOT A PROBLEM...WITH MAINLY LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL -SN AND/OR -SW CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE SLOWLY
TAPERING OFF EAST TO WEST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY RUN
DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS SUPPORT PRIOR ANALYSIS IN SUGGESTING OVERALL
HEAVIER SNOW ACCUM WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...MAINLY
ABV 1000 FT...TYPICAL FOR AN EARLY SEASON EVENT. HOWEVER...EVEN
VALLEY FLOORS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME ALL IS SAID AND DONE FRIDAY EVENING. BASED OFF EXPECTED ACCUM
HAVE UPGRADED/EXPANDED WATCHES TO WARNINGS/ADVISORIES ACCORDINGLY
ACROSS THE REGION...AGAIN...MAINLY FOR THE HIGHER ELEV.

ANY LINGERING LIGHT SNOW/SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE OVERNIGHT
AS COLUMNAR MOISTURE PROFILES WANE. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD
PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION...AND ALONG WITH LINGERING NORTHWESTERLY
GRADIENT FLOW HAVE OPTED TO RAISE MIN TEMPS SLIGHTLY FROM BLENDED
MOS GUIDANCE...WHICH APPEARS MORE HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY COLDER FWC
NUMBERS.

THEREAFTER...HAVE GENERALLY LEFT SENSIBLE WX FOR SATURDAY UNCHANGED.
ADDITIONAL WEAK NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKE STATES WILL DIVE ESE INTO BASE OF LARGE UPPER POLAR GYRE ACROSS
THE NERN CONUS. SOME NOTABLE DIFFERENCES ON TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM...WITH GFS TAKING THE NORTHERLY/HIGHER QPF TRACK...AND NAM
FURTHER SOUTH. BEST ESTIMATE WOULD ARGUE FOR THE MORE SOUTHERLY NAM
TRACK...WHICH HAS BROAD SUPPORT FROM THE 03Z SREF PROGS. THUS WILL
MAINTAIN MAINLY SLT TO LOW CHC POPS FOR SCT -SHSN AND/OR
-SHRASN...MAINLY FOR THE SWRN HALF OF THE FA DURING THE DAY.
OVERALL...FAIRLY INCONSEQUENTIAL IN LIEU OF SYSTEM AFFECTING REGION
CURRENTLY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 326 AM EST THURSDAY

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUES SAT NITE...ESPECIALLY SRN
ZONES...AS WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF FORECAST AREA
AND MOVES OFF COAST OF SRN NEW ENGLAND. INCREASING SUNSHINE DURING
SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM GRTLKS. THIS HIGH WILL
RESIDE OVER FORECAST AREA THRU MONDAY. AS THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES EAST
OF THE REGION MON NITE/TUES...EXPECT AN INCR IN CLOUD COVER WITH
ONSET OF WARM AIR ADVECTION...ALONG WITH A CHC OF OF LIGHT
SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY ACRS NRN TIER OF ZONES. CHC SHWRS
CONTINUES WEDNESDAY WITH APRCH OF FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM GRTLKS. TEMPS
WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THRU MONDAY...BUT THEN MODERATE TO NEAR OR

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS AS COMPLEX LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS THE NORTH COUNTRY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
LOWER TO MVFR THRU 12Z...WITH OCNL IFR AFT 18Z. RAIN SHOWERS WILL
BECOME STEADY RAIN OVERNIGHT AND THEN CHANGE TO SNOW THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. CHANGEOVER WILL OCCUR AT KSLK BY 18Z AND KMPV BY
AROUND 00Z FRI. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AT REMAINDER OF TAF SITES
BY 00Z FRI AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AROUND 06Z. LIGHT WINDS WILL
BECOME NW THURSDAY MORNING AND BECOME GUSTY DURING THE PM/NIGHT
WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS.

06Z FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...EXPECT STEADIER PRECIP AND MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BECOME MORE
SHOWERY IN NATURE AND MORE OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND.
THEREFORE...MOUNTAIN SITES WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE WORST
CONDITIONS...IFR IN HEAVIER SHOWERS...WHILE VALLEYS WILL GENERALLY
BE MVFR. THE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT AS ANOTHER...WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEARS THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR CONDITIONS FINALLY RETURN SUNDAY/MONDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 326 AM EST THURSDAY

AS STATED ABOVE...HAVE OPTED TO USE A 50/50 GFS/NAM BLEND WITH
CURRENT SYSTEM BASED OF ABVL SREF ANALYSIS...AND NOTED DIFFERENCES
IN OPERATIONAL MODEL SUITES. THIS WOULD PRODUCE PCPN TOTALS OF 0.5
TO 1 INCH ACROSS THE DACKS INTO THE SLV...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
VT. DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE LATTER HALF OF THE EVENT WILL BE IN
TRANSITION OR CHANGEOVER TO SNOW...OVERALL RUNOFF SHOULD WANE LATER
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...THUS LIMITING OVERALL FLOODING THREAT. LATEST
12-24 HEADWATER FFG WOULD SUGGEST THREAT LEVEL WOULD OCCUR WITH
LIQUID TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2.5 INCHES...WHICH CURRENT QPF ESTIMATES
WOULD NOT EXCEED. NONETHELESS...SCT MODERATE TO SHARP RISES QUITE
POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE HSA LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
AND CONDITIONS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR VTZ008-010-018-019.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY
     FOR VTZ003-004-006-007-016-017.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ029>031-034.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS
HYDROLOGY...JMG
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 11:00 PM EST, 5 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

NYZ029>031-034-160400-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE ADIRONDACKS OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR OBSERVED SNOW AMOUNTS
AND/OR CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BURLINGTON.

VTZ003-004-006-007-016>019-160400-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHEAST
VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN VERMONT OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR OBSERVED SNOW/ICE
AMOUNTS AND/OR CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BURLINGTON.

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-011-160400-
EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN ADDISON-WESTERN RUTLAND-
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD WESTERN VERMONT OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN VERMONT THURSDAY AND MAY CHANGE
TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR OBSERVED SNOW AMOUNTS
AND/OR CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BURLINGTON.

VTZ008-010-012-160400-
WASHINGTON-ORANGE-WINDSOR-
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD EAST CENTRAL VERMONT OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL VERMONT THURSDAY AND MAY CHANGE TO
LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY WITH SOME ACCUMULATION
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR OBSERVED SNOW AMOUNTS
AND/OR CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BURLINGTON.

NYZ026-027-087-160400-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
1100 PM EST WED NOV 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY THURSDAY WILL CHANGE
TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR OBSERVED SNOW AMOUNTS
AND/OR CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BURLINGTON.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Burlington, VT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 4:48 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBTVAddison, Chittenden, Franklin, Grand Isle, Orange, Rutland and 1 more34 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Vermont, 2007Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.