Alert archive / Vermont / Blizzard Warnings in 2007
Blizzard Warning 1, NWS Burlington, VT
NWS Burlington, VT issued this blizzard warning at Feb 14, 2007, 4:39 AM EST for 11 counties in Vermont; 4 counties in New York. It was in force for 23 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2007, 4:39 AM EST (09:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2007, 3:34 AM EST
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Burlington, VT
Counties Clinton County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT
The radar
The Burlington radar (KCXX), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1751 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 203 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBTV 140939 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 439 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...INTENSE WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IMPACTING VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY... .A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPING ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY TODAY. THIS LOW WILL BE NEAR CAPE COD EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL BECOME HEAVY...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. NORTH WINDS WILL BE INCREASING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...12 TO 24 INCHES ACROSS RUTLAND...WINDSOR... AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT...AND 16 TO 26 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT DUE TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATER TODAY. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-142215- /O.CAN.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.070214T0939Z-070215T1200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 439 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND VERMONT...AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT... WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING REPLACES THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 16 TO 26 INCHES BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ VTZ010>012-019-142215- /O.CAN.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.070214T0939Z-070215T1200Z/ ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...RUTLAND... SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 439 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE BLIZZARD WARNING REPLACES THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...SLEET MAY MIX IN AT TIMES AS WELL. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ACROSS RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BY AFTERNOON. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ NYZ026-027-087-142215- /O.CON.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG... POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR 439 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TODAY...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK DUE TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. $$ BANACOS
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBTV 141553 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 1053 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...INTENSE WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO IMPACT VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF MAINE BY TONIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...12 TO 24 INCHES ACROSS RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT...AND 16 TO 26 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT TO CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL THEREFORE HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE DUE TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATER TODAY OVER THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-150000- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 1053 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF VERMONT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT IN TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 16 TO 26 INCHES BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ VTZ010>012-019-150000- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...RUTLAND... SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 1053 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...SLEET WILL MIX IN AT TIMES AS WELL. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE BY AUTOMOBILE ACROSS RUTLAND... WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BY AFTERNOON. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ NYZ026-027-087-150000- /O.CON.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG... POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR 1053 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY... RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK DUE TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. $$ EVENSON
000 WWUS41 KBTV 142045 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 345 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...INTENSE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE NORTH COUNTY WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY... .AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE GULF OF MAINE LATER TONIGHT...IT WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. NOT ONLY WILL SNOW CONTINUE...WHICH WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...BUT NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AND RESULT IN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...12 TO 24 INCHES ACROSS RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT...AND 16 TO 26 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 30 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT ANY TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE DUE TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. DO NOT TRAVEL UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-151100- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 345 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF VERMONT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 16 TO 26 INCHES BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 30 INCHES OVER THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT. NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE... RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT ANY TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DO NOT TRAVEL TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ VTZ010>012-019-151100- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...RUTLAND... SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 345 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES OF VERMONT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS WINDS GUST TO 35 MPH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW... COMBINED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...WILL RESULT IN VERY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT ANY TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS RUTLAND... WINDSOR...AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BY AFTERNOON. DO NOT TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ NYZ026-027-087-151100- /O.CON.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG... POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR 345 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT...BUT BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK DUE TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. $$ EVENSON
000 WWUS41 KBTV 150346 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 1046 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLUSTERY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DELIVER BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY... .AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS FROM THE GULF OF MAINE ACROSS MAINE OVERNIGHT...IT WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES AND RESULT IN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT ANY TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE DUE TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY. DO NOT TRAVEL UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY NYZ026-027-087-150500- /O.CAN.KBTV.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...OGDENSBURG... POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR 1046 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING SNOW. $$ NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-151200- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 1046 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF VERMONT. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW AND CONSIDERABLE DRIFTING SNOW. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY TO 2 TO 6 INCHES IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY THURSDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 30 INCHES. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT TRAVEL HAS BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DO NOT TRAVEL OVERNIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ VTZ010>012-019-151200- /O.CON.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...RUTLAND... SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 1046 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT DUE TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS RESULTING FROM BLOWING SNOW. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. THIS IS A DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION BE AWARE THAT ANY TRAVEL WILL BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS RUTLAND... WINDSOR... AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN VERMONT DUE TO DEVELOPING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS... WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. DO NOT TRAVEL OVERNIGHT UNLESS IT IS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY $$ SLW
000 WWUS41 KBTV 150834 WSWBTV URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 334 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ENDING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY... ...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND LOW WIND CHILL VALUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .THE INTENSE AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE...WHICH BROUGHT YESTERDAY/S HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD FAR DOWNEAST MAINE EARLY THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VERMONT...CONTINUED EFFECTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FELT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ACROSS THE HARDEST HIT AREAS IN TERMS OF SNOWFALL...FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD ACROSS VERMONT...AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AS REGION REMAINS EMBEDDED IN MODERATELY STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT. AREAS OF SEVERELY REDUCED VISIBILITY NECESSITATE A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT. THIS SAME NORTHWEST GRADIENT FLOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS...MEETING WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ028-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-151700- /O.CAN.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.BS.Y.0001.070215T0834Z-070215T2200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS- ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON- WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY... TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY... MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH... RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS... RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 334 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOWFALL ASSOCIATED WITH YESTERDAY/S NOR EASTER HAS TAPERED OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW CENTER CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MAINE COAST...TOWARD FAR DOWNEAST MAINE. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED TODAY DUE TO CONTINUED WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE LARGE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RECEIVED ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. BE PREPARED FOR REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW ON AREA ROADWAYS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF OPEN TERRAIN. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ NYZ029>031-034-151700- /O.CAN.KBTV.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.WC.Y.0004.070215T0834Z-070215T2200Z/ SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON- WESTERN ESSEX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE... TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID 334 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH YESTERDAY/S NOR EASTER HAS ENDED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...BUT ITS EFFECTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FELT IN THE FORM OF MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEARLY STEADY TODAY IN THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...WITH WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER AROUND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES...TO PROTECT AGAINST FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. $$ BANACOS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard warning went out at Feb 14, 4:10 AM EST, 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 4:10 AM EST, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
410 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007
...HISTORIC NOREASTER UNDERWAY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT MOST SECTIONS...
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN PREVIOUS THINKING ON STORM EVOLUTION BASED
ON CONTINUED VERY CONSISTENT NWP GUIDANCE...INCLUDING 00Z NWP SUITE
...NEW 06Z NAM...AND REGIONAL OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. LOOKING AT
OBSERVATIONS...SECONDARY SFC CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS WELL UNDERWAY
WITH LOW CENTERED OVER FAR SERN VA AT 994MB. NORFOLK OBSERVED A 4MB
PRESSURE FALL DURING THE PAST HR...AND MAGNITUDE OF FALLS ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING DURING THE PAST 2-3
HRS. WE ARE EQUALLY IMPRESSED BY IR PRESENTATION...WITH RAPID CLOUD
TOP COOLING /DOWN TO -65C/ JUST EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NC JUST IN
ADVANCE OF NEG TILT IN H7 SHORTWAVE TROUGH. ALL INGREDIENTS ARE
COMING INTO PLACE FOR EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF TODAY...WITH COASTAL CYCLONE MOVING NE REACHING BUZZARDS BAY
AROUND 00Z THURSDAY WITH AN EXPECTED MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE
AROUND 978MB.
MEANWHILE...LEADING SURGE OF SNOW OVERSPREADING ENTIRE CWA EARLY
THIS MORNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA AND
ISENTROPIC ASCENT EAST OF PRIMARY H7 LOW OVER WRN OHIO AT 08Z.
NEARLY 90DEG OF VEERING IS NOTED IN KCXX VAD WIND PROFILE BETWEEN
850MB AND 700MB INDICATIVE OF GEOSTROPHIC WAA. ALSO...700MB FLOW IS
AROUND 60KTS FROM THE SW PER BGM 88D VAD WIND PROFILE. VERY
SIGNIFICANT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE/SPEED CONVERGENCE INTO OUR REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH ARCTIC AIR ENTRENCHED AND SFC TEMPS
HOVERING NEAR 1F AT KBTV THE ONE DIFFERENCE WE ARE NOTING IN THE
REFLECTIVITY RETURNS IS SOME BRIGHT BANDING EXTENDING INTO THE
MOHAWK VALLEY AT 0830Z. THIS IS LIKELY SLEET...AND HAVE EXPANDED
SLEET AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS RUTLAND...WINDSOR...AND
ORANGE COUNTIES...WITH MODEL/S LIKELY UNDERDOING THE WARM LAYER
SOMEWHAT BASED ON THESE TRENDS.
WAA AXIS MAINTAINS STEADY LGT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION THIS MORNING...TO BE FOLLOWED BY TROWAL AIRSTREAM
AND INTENSE H8-H7 FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE BTV FORECAST AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON...AS
DIRECT IMPACT OF COASTAL CYCLONE DYNAMICS OVERSPREAD OUR REGION.
WITH A CLOSED H8 AND H7 CIRCULATION TO OUR SOUTH...MASSIVE ELY WAA
WITH WINDS 50-70KTS WILL ADVECT AMPLE ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE ERN
2/3RDS OF OUR CWA...WITH DEEP-LAYER OMEGA INTERSECTING DENDRITE
GROWTH LAYER OPTIMIZING SNOWFALL EFFICIENCY. WE SHOULD SEE 2-3 IN/HR
SNOWFALL RATES AND NEAR ZERO VSBY...ESPECIALLY ALONG A STRONG
MESOSCALE SNOWBAND THAT WILL LIKELY ORIENT FROM SSW-NNE SOMEWHERE
VCNTY OF THE CHAMPLAIN VLY OR SLIGHTLY WEST OR EAST. THESE MESOSCALE
DETAILS WILL BE WATCHED CAREFULLY...AND WILL LIKELY DETERMINE
PLACEMENT OF SNOWFALL AMTS IN EXCESS OF 2 FEET.
HAVE NOT MODIFIED SNOWFALL AMTS AT THIS POINT...WITH VALUES RANGING
FROM 8-16 INCHES IN THE ST. LAWRENCE VLY...16-26 INCHES IN THE
ADIRONDACKS EASTWARD ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL/NRN VT...AND 12-24
INCHES ACROSS RUTLAND/WINDSOR/ORANGE COUNTIES WITH SOME SLEET MIXING
IN AND SLIGHTLY REMOVED FROM WHERE BEST MESOSCALE DYNAMICS ARE
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. WE CONTINUE TO UNDERCUT MODEL QPF...WHICH
CONTINUE TO SHOW 2-3 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. WE HAVE NEVER HAD
A 2 INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT STORM IN FEBRUARY AT KBTV IN A 24 HR
PERIOD...AND BELIEVE 1.5-1.75IN LIQUID MAX WILL BE CLOSER TO
REALITY.
WE HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT GRADIENT WINDS LATE THIS
AFTN THROUGH TONIGHT AS COASTAL SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TO OUR LATITUDE.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WIDESPREAD GUST POTENTIAL 35 MPH EAST OF THE
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND EVEN SOME 40 MPH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT IN THE NE KINGDOM AS LOW TRACKS INTO ERN ME. SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL TAKE PLACE FROM MID-AFTN ONWARD...AND WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS...CONDITIONS WILL
BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS LATER TODAY. IN COLLABORATION WITH
SURROUNDING WFO/S...HAVE UPGRADED TO A BLIZZARD WARNING ALL SECTIONS
EXCEPT THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE WINDS LOOK SLIGHTLY LOWER.
TRAVEL IS NOT ADVISED EXCEPT FOR EMERGENCY PURPOSES ACROSS THE
BLIZZARD WARNING AREA AND MAY BE IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME CASES DURING
THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. WE ASK OUR
MEDIA AND EM PARTNERS TO EMPHASIZE THE DANGERS OF NEAR ZERO VSBY IN
DEEP SNOW/BLOWING SNOW COMBINED WITH WIND CHILLS -10F TO -20F THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.
SNOW TAPERS OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH CONTINUED BRISK
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY THURSDAY. VARIABLE CLOUDS AND
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS NRN SECTIONS THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE IN
THE NE KINGDOM AND THE NRN MTNS. HIGHS ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE UPPER TEENS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
&&
.AVIATION...
FCST CONCERN FOR TAF SITES TODAY WL BE TIMING OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
AND THE ASSOCIATED VLIFR CONDITIONS THAT WL PREVAIL. BASED ON CRNT
OBS AND RADAR TRENDS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SNOW IS NOW FROM MSS TO
SLK TO BTV WITH VIS BTWN 1-3SM AND CIGS BTWN OVC010 TO OVC035. WL
USE TEMPO GROUP BTWN 06Z-10Z FOR BEGINNING OF SNOW AND LOWERING OF
CIGS/VIS ACRS OUR TAF SITES. THE INDIVIDUAL TIMING OF MESO BANDS OF
HEAVY SNOW AND CIGS VV001 WL BE DIFFICULT TODAY. BASED ON EXTREMELY
STRONG OMEGA FIELDS...PLENTY OF Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE...FGEN
FORCING...AND MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED INTO OUR TAF SITES...EXPECT A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF 1/4SM TO 1/2SM +SN FZFG FROM 14Z THRU 02Z ACRS
MOST TAF SITES WITH CIGS BLW OVC005. THIS PROLONGED PERIOD OF VERY
LOW VIS/CIGS WL SLOWLY IMPROVED FROM WEST TO EAT ACRS OUR TAF SITES
AFT 02Z THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...AFT 22Z NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS CREATING AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
HAVE NIL MASSENA TAF DUE TO ASOS EQUIPMENT FAILURE. ETS HAVE LOOKED
INTO THE PROBLEM AND NEED TO VISIT SITE...THEREFORE NO TAF UNTIL
ASOS IS FIXED LATER THIS WEEK AFT THE STORM.
&&
.CLIMATE...
THE FOLLOWING CLIMATE INFORMATION IS TOP TEN GREATEST SNOW STORMS TO
IMPACT BURLINGTON ALONG WITH DAILY PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL STATS
FOR BURLINGTON DURING THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY FROM 1883 TO PRESENT.
***NEW DATA*** TOP FIVE MAXIMUM DAILY SNOWFALL AT BURLINGTON FOR A
24 HOUR PERIOD:
1.) 23.1 JAN 14 1934
2.) 17.4 JAN 4 2003
3.) 16.9 DEC 25 1978
4.) 16.8 FEB 4 1995
5.) 15.7 MAR 3 1994
TOP TEN GREATEST SNOW STORMS AT BURLINGTON:
1.) 29.8 DEC 25-28 1969
2.) 24.7 JAN 13-14 1934
3.) 22.9 MAR 5-6 2001
4.) 22.4 MAR 13-14 1993
5.) 20.0 NOV 25 1900
6.) 19.7 JAN 25-28 1986
7.) 19.1 MAR 16-17 1937
8.) 18.8 DEC 14-15 2003
9.) 18.3 DEC 6-7 2003
10.) 17.8 JAN 3-4 2003
10.) 17.8 FEB 4-5 1995
NOTE...ONLY ONE TOP TEN GREATEST SNOW STORMS HAS EVER OCCURRED IN
THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY AT BURLINGTON...WITH ONLY A TOTAL OF 4 TOP 20
GREATEST SNOW STORMS OCCURRING IN THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY AT BTV
(17.1 FEB 25-26 1966...15.9 FEB 15-17 1909....15.7 FEB 7-8 1983).
THE FOLLOWING IS TOP FIVE DAILY SNOWFALL RECORDS FOR THE MONTH OF
FEBRUARY FOR BURLINGTON VERMONT.
1.) 16.8 FEB 4TH 1995
2.) 13.1 FEB 25TH 1966
3.) 12.1 FEB 16TH 1958
4.) 11.2 FEB 8TH 1947
5.) 11.0 FEB 7TH 1983
THE FOLLOWING IS TOP FIVE DAILY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR THE MONTH
OF FEBRUARY FOR BURLINGTON VERMONT.
1.) 1.75 FEB 2ND 1981
2.) 1.71 FEB 7TH 1951
3.) 1.58 FEB 25TH 1915
4.) 1.34 FEB 16TH 1954
5.) 1.27 FEB 15TH 1939
THE DAILY SNOWFALL RECORD FOR FEBRUARY 14TH AT BURLINGTON VERMONT IS
7.8 SET BACK IN 2000. THE DAILY PRECIPITATION RECORD FOR FEBRUARY
14TH IS 0.90 SET BACK IN 1937.
OUR RECORDS SHOW THAT NO 24 HOUR DAILY QPF AMOUNT HAS EVER BEEN OVER
1.75 FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY AT BTV.
THE MAXIMUM MONTHLY SNOWFALL FOR FEBRUARY IS 34.2 SET BACK IN 1958
AND MINIMUM AMOUNT OF MONTHLY SNOWFALL FOR FEBRUARY IS 1.3 SET BACK
IN 1957 FOR BTV.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VTZ001>012-
016>019.
NY...BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ028>031-034-
035.
HEAVY SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ026-027-087.
&&
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...TABER
CLIMATE...TABERHazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 4:15 AM EST, 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 415 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 VTZ010>012-019-150915- ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- 415 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET...ALONG WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...AND BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH DEVELOPING BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ALONG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/2 MILE AT TIMES. FURTHERMORE...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING. WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IF POSSIBLE...TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED DURING THIS TIME. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW SHOWERS AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE VERY COLD WIND CHILL READINGS ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON. SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. NYZ026-027-087-150915- NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE- 415 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL PRODUCE 8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...DEVELOPING NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND VERY COLD WIND CHILL READINGS. SNOWFALL RATES COULD APPROACH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE MID MORNING TO LATE AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD TODAY. WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THROUGH TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IF POSSIBLE...TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED DURING THIS TIME. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW SHOWERS AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE VERY COLD WIND CHILL READINGS ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON. SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>009-016>018-150915- EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- 415 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT AND NORTHWEST VERMONT. BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR 16 TO 26 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL VERMONT AS WELL AS NORTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ERMONT AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS IN NEW YORK THROUGH TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL BE 16 TO 26 INCHES..ALONG WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...AND BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH DEVELOPING BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ALONG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/2 MILE AT TIMES. FURTHERMORE...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING. WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IF POSSIBLE...TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED DURING THIS TIME. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW SHOWERS AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE VERY COLD WIND CHILL READINGS ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON. SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. TABER
Nearby
Blizzard Warnings in Vermont, 2007Blizzard Warnings in New York, 2007Every blizzard warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.