Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
900 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA EARLIER THIS
MORNING CAUSING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES IN ITS
WAKE.  THE BRO SOUNDING THIS MORNING SHOWED A PRECIP WATER OF
1.00 AND A K-INDEX OF -5. THE BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
SHOWED BELOW 40 PERCENT IN MOST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE CAUSING
VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR RAIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WILL PUT MORE
CLOUDINESS IN THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY DUE TO A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDINESS.  A STRONG COLD
FRONT COULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE NEW YEARS NIGHT CAUSING MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S FOR THE MORNING OF THE 2ND OF JANUARY WOULD NOT BE THAT
UNCOMMON. AN OMEGA BLOCK IS BEGINNING TO SET UP FOR THE BEGINNING OF
THE NEAR YEAR WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST AND A
LOW PRESSURE AREA AROUND HUDSON BAY. PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE LOOKS
GOOD AT THIS TIME.  NO UPDATES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...GUSTY NORTHWEST AND LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TODAY PROMPTED A FIRE WEATHER WARNING
THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
&&

.MARINE...DEEP S TX GULF WINDS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING THIS
MORNING....AS COOLER AIR POUR ION OUR REGION. REPORT FROM MARINE
OBSERVERS INDICATES 30 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 36 KTS NEARSHORE...AND
STRONG NORTH WNDS HAVE NOT MATERIALIZED AT BUOY020 THIS HOUR...WITH
REPORTS OF 35025G33KT 4.9FT A/7 SECS AND BUILDING RAPIDLY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS
GRADUALLY VEER NORTHEAST TO EAST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE A VERY STRONG
FRONT PUSHES INTO THE WESTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY WITH GALE WARNINGS BECOMING A GOOD
POSSIBILITY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO TEXAS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...CIGS STILL OVC015 AT BRO THIS MRNG...WITH NW WNDS AT 15
MPH. NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH MID DAY
BEFORE RELAXING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND CIGS SHUD JUMP TO BKN200
IN THE NEXT HOUR OVR ALL OF THE VLY AS THE SRN STREAM IS DIRECTLY
OVRHD.
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SCA FOR GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175 THROUGH 02Z SAT.
RED FLAG WARNING TXZ248>257 THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
507 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007

TXZ248>257-291100-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
507 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE
OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOR INCREASING NORTH WINDS
AND BUILDING SEAS IN WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. THERE WILL BE A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY.

BREEZY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL
ELEVATE THE WILDFIRE RISK TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT WITH A PROLONG PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND COLD TEMPERATURES INLAND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AND
POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WILDFIRE RISK WILL BE ELEVATED WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF BREEZY CONDITIONS AND OR LOW HUMIDITIES TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNINGS
COULD APPROACH OR DROP BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MANY AREAS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GB