Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WGUS74 KBRO 032005
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
305 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXC061-215-261-489-032030-
HIDALGO TX-WILLACY TX-CAMERON TX-KENEDY TX-
305 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN KENEDY...NORTHWESTERN CAMERON...WILLACY AND EASTERN HIDALGO
COUNTIES...

AT 303 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED
AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PORT
MANSFIELD

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
BROWNSVILLE.

LAT...LON 2617 9815 2637 9740 2689 9749 2673 9800

$$

TOMASELLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
205 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

.DISCUSSION...BUSY SHIFT AND RUNNING OUT OF TIME FOR MUCH DISCUSSION.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AS WELL AS BUILD SOUTHWEST. UPPER
DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS AND UPPER HIGH
ACROSS GULF OF MEXICO COMBINING WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
EXPECTING THUNDERSTORMS TO SPREAD AND DEVELOP FROM THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST COVERING MUCH OF THE CWA BY LATE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. LIKELY POPS PAINTED ACROSS ALL ZONES WITH
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM TONIGHT. SAME SET UP IS
INDICATED FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW NEARING
DEL RIO. ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WITH HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY FOR
ALL AREAS WITH THE FFW LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED. THE WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION COULD LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY OUT WEST.
SCATTERED ACTIVITY IS THEN ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY A THE MODELS
CONTINUES TO DRIFT THE UPPER LOW FARTHER WEST.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD AND DEVELOP OVER
MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOCAL AERODROMES THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. MVFR TO LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD FOLLOW THE CONVECTION. AS CONVECTION TAPERS OVERNIGHT VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE THE PREDOMINATE CONDITIONS WITH PATCHES OF
MVFR AND IFR CEILING WITHIN LINGERING CONVECTION.

&&

.MARINE...AT NOON BUOY 20 REPORTED SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 12 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 16 KNOTS AND SEAS NEAR 4 FEET WITH A 7 SECOND
PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE ALL
COASTAL WATERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
ROUGH SEAS AND STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WIDESPREAD ON WEDNESDAY WITH A GOOD
POSSIBILITY OF THE MAJORITY OF THEM OCCURRING IN THE MORNING.
OTHERWISE...A MODERATE SOUTHEAST FLOW AND SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ANTICIPATED ON THURSDAY.
LOWER WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY AND OVER THE
WEEKEND AS LOW PRESSURE OVER TEXAS MOVES EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  79  88  79  88 /  70  70  30  30
BROWNSVILLE          79  90  78  91 /  70  70  30  40
HARLINGEN            77  90  77  90 /  70  70  30  40
MCALLEN              77  92  77  91 /  70  70  50  40
RIO GRANDE CITY      77  91  77  92 /  70  70  70  60
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   81  88  81  88 /  70  70  30  30

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ248>257.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET WEB PAGE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

59/55

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...RETRAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
541 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXZ248>257-041100-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
541 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TODAY. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL RESULTING IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING. AS A
RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...JIM HOGG
AND STARR COUNTIES TODAY. THIS DANGER IS PARTICULARLY SIGNIFICANT
OVER STARR COUNTY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLASH FLOOD WATCH
STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AT TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE URGED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION
TO THE LATEST WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

MARTIN