Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 121630
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1130 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001-130030-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0002.070213T2300Z-070215T1100Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...
MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
1130 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS WATCH INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND...
MASSACHUSETTS FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES TO THE ROUTE 128
CORRIDOR INCLUDING BOSTON...AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY EVENING IN THE CONNECTICUT
VALLEY AND SPREAD TO THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST AROUND
MIDNIGHT...AND SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. IN FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

HOWEVER...WARMER MID LEVEL AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL CAUSE
THE SNOW TO CHANGE TO SLEET GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
MANCHESTER NEW HAMPSHIRE TO AN ORANGE MASSACHUSETTS LINE BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN FOR A TIME ON
THE IMMEDIATE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST.

COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS WINDS TURN NORTH. THIS WILL CAUSE
ANY AREAS THAT CHANGE TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST...TO CHANGE TO SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON METROPOLITAN AREA...WHERE
THERE MAY BE A FLASH FREEZE AS TEMPERATURES DROP QUICKLY BELOW
FREEZING. THE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE ALL THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. THERE MAY BE SOME
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE PROJECTED TO BE HIGHEST ALONG
THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND MONADNOCKS...WHERE AS MUCH
AS 8 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL. TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES
OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND AND THE
BOSTON METRO AREA BEFORE ANY CHANGE OVER. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THERE MAY ALSO BE A PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE 
OF THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY EVENING.

KEEP IN MIND THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK OF THIS
STORM. IF IT ENDS UP BEING FARTHER OFFSHORE...IT WOULD PLACE THE
HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS FARTHER TO THE EAST. A TRACK CLOSER TO
THE COAST WOULD RESULT IN LOWER SNOWFALL TOTALS AS MORE RAIN AND
SLEET WOULD OCCUR.

THIS WINTER HAS CERTAINLY FEATURED A LACK OF SNOWFALL...AND AS A
RESULT...MANY PEOPLE HAVE NOT BECOME ACCUSTOMED TO DRIVING IN
HARSH WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS. TAKE TIME NOW TO MAKE SURE YOUR
VEHICLE IS PREPARED. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY NIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
TAUNTON WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

$$

FRANK

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 122028
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
328 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>016-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001-131000-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0002.070213T2300Z-070215T1100Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...
MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
328 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS WATCH INCLUDES NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND...
MASSACHUSETTS FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES TO THE ROUTE 128
CORRIDOR INCLUDING BOSTON...AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY EVENING IN THE CONNECTICUT
VALLEY AND SPREAD TO THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST BY MIDNIGHT. THE
SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

HOWEVER...WARMER MID LEVEL AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL CAUSE THE
SNOW TO CHANGE TO SLEET FROM A BOSTON...TO WORCESTER...TO A
SPRINGFIELD MASSACHUSETTS LINE BY AROUND NOON ON WEDNESDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN FOR A TIME ON THE IMMEDIATE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST.

MEANWHILE...WARMER AIR ALOFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO
SLEET FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WE EXPECT THE SLEET
LINE TO MAKE IT INTO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A MANCHESTER NEW
HAMPSHIRE TO ORANGE MASSACHUSETTS LINE. NORTHWEST OF THIS LINE...THE
PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN IN THE FORM OF ALL SNOW.

COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS WINDS TURN NORTH. THIS WILL
CAUSE ANY AREAS THAT CHANGE TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST...TO CHANGE
TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON METROPOLITAN
AREA...WHERE THERE MAY BE A FLASH FREEZE AS TEMPERATURES DROP
QUICKLY BELOW FREEZING CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.  THE
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BEFORE ALL THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. THERE MAY BE SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM BUT THIS IS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE PROJECTED TO BE HIGHEST ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THIS INCLUDES THE
EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND MONADNOCKS...WHERE 8 TO 15 INCHES
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND AND THE BOSTON METRO AREA BEFORE
ANY CHANGE OVER. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS IS STILL
UNCERTAIN.

IN ADDITION...WINDS MAY GUST TO BETWEEN 45 AND 50 MPH FOR A TIME
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION.

KEEP IN MIND THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK OF THIS
STORM. IF IT ENDS UP BEING FARTHER OFFSHORE...IT WOULD PLACE THE
HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS FARTHER TO THE EAST. A TRACK CLOSER TO
THE COAST WOULD RESULT IN LOWER SNOWFALL TOTALS AS MORE RAIN AND
SLEET WOULD OCCUR.

THIS WINTER HAS CERTAINLY FEATURED A LACK OF SNOWFALL...AND AS A
RESULT...MANY PEOPLE HAVE NOT BECOME ACCUSTOMED TO DRIVING IN
HARSH WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS. TAKE TIME NOW TO MAKE SURE YOUR
VEHICLE IS PREPARED. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPACTED BEGINNING
TUESDAY NIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
TAUNTON WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

$$

FRANK

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 130948
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
448 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

CTZ002-003-MAZ002>004-008>011-026-NHZ011-012-015-131800-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0002.070213T2300Z-070215T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.HS.W.0001.070214T0500Z-070215T0500Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...
AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE
448 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS WESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE DURING TUESDAY
EVENING. THE SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY
MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...LIMITING VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER
MILE AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY.
NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE WINDS INCREASE. BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES
ON WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE TREACHEROUS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE PROJECTED TO BE HIGHEST ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BY THE TIME THE
SNOW ENDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
BERKSHIRES AND MONADNOCKS...WHERE 15 TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 FEET. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REST OF THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING AREA WILL
RANGE FROM 8 TO 15 INCHES.

BLOWING A DRIFTING SNOW WILL WILL BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN AN AVERAGE OF 6 OR MORE
INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD OR FOR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD.  TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AT BEST ON WELL
TREATED SURFACES...AND QUITE DIFFICULT ON ANY UNPLOWED OR
UNTREATED SURFACES.

$$

CTZ004-MAZ005>007-012>016-RIZ001-131800-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0002.070213T2300Z-070215T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0001.070214T0500Z-070215T0500Z/
WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...
LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...
NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD
448 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING. THE
SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...LIMITING VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. THE SNOW
WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS...WITH SOME ICING POSSIBLE. 

BY EARLY EVENING...ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW.
NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
INLAND...MOVING TOWARD THE COAST BY EVENING AS WINDS AROUND THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE INCREASE. THE SNOW WILL END BY LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES ON WEDNESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE TREACHEROUS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES
ALONG THE COAST...TO 7 TO 14 INCHES ALONG AND WEST OF ROUTE 128.
CONSIDERABLE ICING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

BLOWING A DRIFTING SNOW WILL WILL BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN AN AVERAGE OF 6 OR MORE INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD OR FOR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN A
24 HOUR PERIOD. TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AT BEST ON WELL TREATED
SURFACES...AND QUITE DIFFICULT ON ANY UNPLOWED OR UNTREATED SURFACES.

$$

RIZ003-131800-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0001.070214T0500Z-070215T0500Z/
WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEST GREENWICH
448 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING. THE
SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...LIMITING VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. THE SNOW
WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS...WITH SOME ICING POSSIBLE.

BY EARLY EVENING...ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW.
NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS THE WINDS INCREASE. THE SNOW WILL END BY LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES ON WEDNESDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE TREACHEROUS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 10
INCHES.

BLOWING A DRIFTING SNOW WILL WILL BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN AN AVERAGE OF 6 OR MORE INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD OR FOR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN A
24 HOUR PERIOD. TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AT BEST ON WELL TREATED
SURFACES...AND QUITE DIFFICULT ON ANY UNPLOWED OR UNTREATED SURFACES.


$$

MAZ017>021-RIZ002-004>007-131800-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0004.070214T0500Z-070215T0500Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
448 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING. THE
SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
FACT...SNOW MAY BE FALLING AT 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...LIMITING VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.
THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION
DURING EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVES OVERHEAD.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS...WITH SOME ICING POSSIBLE.

DURING THE EVENING HOURS...ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW. ANY LOCATIONS THAT GET ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY COULD EXPERIENCE A FLASH FREEZE DURING THE EVENING AS MUCH
COLDER AIR RAPIDLY MOVES IN. NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE WINDS INCREASE AND HEAVY SNOW
BANDING POSSIBLY DEVELOPS. THE SNOW WILL END BY LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES ON WEDNESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE TREACHEROUS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES
BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH A GLAZE OF ICE
POSSIBLE.

BLOWING A DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAY BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
UPDATED INFORMATION...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SNOW AND/OR ICE IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AFFECTED AREAS...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.  ANY SNOW OR ICE WOULD MAKE DRIVING AND
WALKING DIFFICULT BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS.  WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING...MOTORISTS NEED
TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY
SPOTS CAN EASILY DEVELOP.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
303 AM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCHES GOING UP NW OF A PROVIDENCE TO MARSHFIELD
LINE...

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COMING SOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VARIETY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUES ON 00Z RUNS...BUT ENVELOPE IS
NARROWING AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING ON A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM
FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUE EVENING THROUGH LATE WED NIGHT.

00Z NAM REMAINS FARTHEST INLAND OF MODELS...AND TO SOME EXTENT GFS
FOLLOWED SUIT BUT THREW ANOTHER WRENCH INTO WORKS BY PUTTING MORE
EMPHASIS ON A THIRD LOW WHICH DEEPENS RAPIDLY WELL OFFSHORE THIS
SOLUTION APPEARS TO BE TIED TO A FAIRLY POTENT SHORT WAVE NOW
ENTERING EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...NOTE CONVECTION FLARING UP NEAR FL
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WHILE THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN POORLY INITIALIZED
BY ALL MODELS...BUT TO A LESSER DEGREE BY GFS AND CANADIAN...IT MAY
END UP BEING A SIGNIFICANT PLAYER AS COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS OFF
CAROLINAS. NAMELY...IF ENERGY CAN PHASE WE WOULD SEE A SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL STORM TRACK CLOSE TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND IF NOT...WE
WOULD PROBABLY SEE A MORE OFFSHORE SYSTEM LIKE GFS INDICATES. THAT
OFFSHORE SYSTEM COULD ALSO ROB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND
CUT DOWN ON PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN OUR REGION.

BOTTOM LINE IS WE STILL HAVE SEVERAL OPTIONS TO CONSIDER AND WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG COASTAL STORM...WE
HAVE SOMEWHAT LOWER CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS.

OTHER MODELS INCLUDING 00Z CANADIAN AND ECMWF ARE NOW CLUSTERED
RIGHT NEAR 40/70 BENCHMARK...WHICH IS ALSO RIGHT IN LINE WITH 00Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. WE THINK THIS TRACK JUST OFFSHORE IS MORE LIKELY
GIVEN RECENT MODEL TRENDS...IF ANYTHING FUTURE RUNS MAY END UP A BIT
CLOSER TO CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET.

NORMALLY SUCH A TRACK WOULD BRING HEAVIEST SNOWFALL TOTALS TO
PROVIDENCE TO BOSTON CORRIDOR. HOWEVER IN THIS CASE...SYSTEM DEEPENS
RAPIDLY AND IS ABLE TO WRAP ENOUGH MID LEVEL WARMTH WELL INLAND.
ECMWF IN FACT BRINGS 0C 850 MB ISOTHERM INTO NE CT...S CENTRAL AND
NE MA BY WED EVENING. THIS SOLUTION WOULD FORCE A CHANGE TO RAIN
ALONG S COAST...WITH MORE OF A SNOW/SLEET MIX INTO FAR NE CT...NW RI
AND MUCH OF EASTERN MA...THEREBY REDUCING SNOWFALL TOTALS. FARTHER
INLAND THERE IS PLENTY OF COLD THROUGH COLUMN TO SUPPORT ALL
SNOW...THOUGH WE ARE GOING TO MENTION SOME SLEET AS FAR W AS
HARTFORD...ORANGE AND MANCHESTER TO GIVE PARTIAL WEIGHT TO WARMER
GFS/NAM SOLUTIONS. BOTH OF THOSE MODELS HAVE 0C ISOTHERM AT 925 MB
WELL INTO CT AND CENTRAL MA.

BASED UPON THIS SCENARIO WE WILL ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCHES FOR SW
NH...ALL OF MA EXCEPT FOR BRISTOL/PLYMOUTH COUNTIES DOWN TO CAPE COD
AND ISLANDS...NORTHERN CT AND NW RI. HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS...ON
ORDER OF 8-12 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ALONG E SLOPES OF BERKSHIRES AND
MONADNOCKS WHERE COLD AIR IS FIRMLY IN PLACE. AMOUNTS WILL TAPER
DOWN AS YOU HEAD E WITH 6-9 INCHES INTO CENTRAL AND NE MA...AND 4-7
INCHES INTO NORTHERN CT...NW RI AND METRO BOSTON TO N SHORE.

WE ARE LESS CONFIDENT ON REACHING 4-7 INCHES FROM PROVIDENCE TO
PLYMOUTH DUE TO WARMER AIR WRAPPING IN...SO FOR NOW WE HAVE TOTALS
OF 3-5 INCHES IN THAT CORRIDOR WITH LOWER TOTALS ONTO CAPE COD AND
ISLANDS.

DESPITE THIS WARMING WED AFTERNOON...ONE THING WE ARE CONCERNED
ABOUT IS POTENTIAL FOR COLD AIR TO SURGE IN BEHIND DEPARTING STORM
WED NIGHT. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A RAPID CHANGE TO SNOW ON TAIL END
OF SYSTEM...EVEN DOWN TO CAPE AND ISLANDS. STRONG WINDS WOULD ALSO
ADD TO OUR CONCERN...THOUGH RIGHT NOW WE DO NOT SEE A SERIOUS HIGH
WIND THREAT AS WE DID IN EARLIER MODEL RUNS.

COASTAL FLOOD THREAT WILL ALSO NEED TO BE EVALUATED FURTHER. DESPITE
LOW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES...AND LOW TIDES OCCURRING AROUND 18Z WED...
RAPID BUILDUP IN SEAS COMBINED WITH STRONG ONSHORE WINDS COULD LEAD
TO SPLASHOVER OR PERHAPS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THIS WOULD BE MORE
OF A CONCERN SHOULD SYSTEM SLOW DOWN AND APPROACH DURING HIGH TIDE
CYCLE.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
DETAILS FORTHCOMING. REFER TO 06Z TAFS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM COMING SOON.

IN LONGER TERM...WE CONTINUE TO SHOW STRONG E/NE GALE FORCE WINDS AS
SYSTEM PASSES S OF WATERS WED EVENING. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A
PERIOD OF MARGINAL STORM FORCE WINDS WED NIGHT AS SYSTEM HEADS
OFFSHORE AND DEEPENS RAPIDLY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
DO SO AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR CTZ002>004.

MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR MAZ002>016-026.

NH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NHZ011-012-015.

RI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR RIZ001.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ232>235-237-255.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ231-250-254.

&&

SHORT TERM...BELK
LONG TERM...JWD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007...UPDATED

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-120930-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BRISTOL-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-
NORTHERN WORCESTER-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-WASHINGTON-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-WESTERN NORFOLK-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
417 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM TO AFFECT SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND.

LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY
NIGHT...THEN INTENSIFY INTO A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM AS IT TRACKS
NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE WINTER STORM
NEAR OF JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BASED UPON THIS TRACK...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL THROUGHOUT MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND LASTING INTO EARLY THURSDAY. LATEST
INDICATIONS ARE FOR THE COASTAL STORM TO TRACK NEAR OR JUST
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THIS TRACK
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH
SNOW PROBABLY CHANGING TO SLEET AND RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH COAST AND
POSSIBLY EXTENDING NORTHWEST INTO THE PROVIDENCE BOSTON CORRIDOR.

STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE LIKELY...PERHAPS GUSTING
AS HIGH AS 50 MPH DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM LATE WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WOULD BE MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR
NEAR THE COAST...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE ANN SOUTHWARD TO BOSTON AND
EXTENDING INTO CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.  WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
MAY LEAD TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND RAPIDLY BUILDING SEAS COULD ALSO
LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY...DESPITE LOW ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES.

THIS WINTER HAS CERTAINLY FEATURED A LACK OF SNOWFALL...AND AS A
RESULT...MANY PEOPLE HAVE NOT BECOME ACCUSTOMED TO DRIVING IN HARSH
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS. TAKE TIME NOW TO MAKE SURE YOUR VEHICLE
IS PREPARED.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. KEEP IN MIND THE FORECAST
TRACK MAY STILL CHANGE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WHICH COULD RESULT
IN MORE OR LESS OF AN IMPACT ON THE REGION. STAY TUNED

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-120930-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
VINEYARD SOUND-
417 PM EST SUN FEB 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS
COASTAL WATERS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS POSSIBLE ON THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WATERS
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY BRING STRONG NORTHEAST GALE
FORCE WIND GUSTS AND SEAS BUILDING TO OVER 10 FEET ACROSS OUR WATERS
TUESDAY NIGHT...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A LOW RISK
THAT WINDS MAY REACH STORM FORCE.

LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY
NIGHT...THEN STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...PASSING
NEAR OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING NORTH TO NORTHEAST GALE FORCE
WINDS TO THE RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND LASTING INTO THURSDAY.

GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 KNOTS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. MARINERS SHOULD KEEP IN MIND THAT THERE IS ALSO THE
POSSIBILITY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN INTO A STORM...PRODUCING
WINDS OF 50 TO 60 KNOTS DURING THAT TIME.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY AND MAY REACH 10 TO 20 FEET
OVER THE OUTER WATERS.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR MARINERS...DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS. MARINERS ARE URGED TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM AND
PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.

FRANK/NOCERA