Alert archive / Massachusetts / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007
Ice Storm Warning 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this ice storm warning at Jan 15, 2007, 11:46 AM EST for Middlesex County, Massachusetts; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire. It was in force for 14 hr. 25 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 15, 2007, 11:46 AM EST (16:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2007, 2:00 AM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Counties Middlesex County, MA, Hillsborough County, NH
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 12:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Nashua, NH | SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 1:04 PM EST | ICE STORM | Milford, NH | LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON WIRE WITH POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 1:04 PM EST | ICE STORM | Wilton, NH | LARGE LIMBS ON WIRES AND POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 1:05 PM EST | ICE STORM | New Ipswich, NH | 5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES...TREES AND WIRES DOWN |
| Jan 15, 1:48 PM EST | ICE STORM | Hollis, NH | WIRES DOWN ON PINEHILL ROAD |
| Jan 15, 1:49 PM EST | ICE STORM | Litchfield, NH | TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE |
| Jan 15, 1:50 PM EST | ICE STORM | Hancock, NH | TREES AND WIRES DOWN |
| Jan 15, 2:27 PM EST | ICE STORM | Nashua, NH | WIRES DOWN ON POND STREET |
| Jan 15, 2:36 PM EST | ICE STORM | Milford, NH | LARGE LIMBS DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 2:38 PM EST | ICE STORM | New Ipswich, NH | LARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN |
| Jan 15, 2:38 PM EST | ICE STORM | Peterborough, NH | LARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN |
| Jan 15, 2:57 PM EST | ICE STORM | Ashby, MA | SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON WIRES |
| Jan 15, 3:20 PM EST | ICE STORM | Temple, NH | LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON ONE LANE OF ROUTE 101 |
| Jan 15, 3:30 PM EST | ICE STORM 0 | Townsend, MA | 8 TO 9 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN ON A HOUSE |
| Jan 15, 3:48 PM EST | ICE STORM | Milford, NH | 4 TO 5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN WITH MOST OF TOWN WITHOUT POWER |
| Jan 15, 3:52 PM EST | ICE STORM | Hudson, NH | TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 5:30 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | New Ipswich, NH | 1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION |
| Jan 15, 5:30 PM EST | ICE STORM | Brookline, NH | MANY LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 130 AND POWER OUTAGES |
| Jan 15, 5:30 PM EST | ICE STORM | Manchester, NH | TREES AND WIRES DOWN SHEFFIELD TO MANMOUTH ROADS AND ON TAYLOR AND HURLEY STREETS |
| Jan 15, 5:30 PM EST | ICE STORM | Mason, NH | 3 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN. POWER OUTAGE SINCE 230PM. |
| Jan 15, 7:00 PM EST | ICE STORM 0 | Townsend, MA | 6 TO 8 INCH LIMBS DOWN KNOCKING DOWN AMATEUR RADIO ANTENNAS. TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| Jan 15, 7:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | Hollis, NH | 1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION |
| Jan 15, 7:00 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | Milford, NH | 1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGE. |
| Jan 15, 7:00 PM EST | ICE STORM | Nashua, NH | LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN IN THE ROAD IN NORTH NASHUA |
| Jan 15, 7:43 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.5 | Bennington, NH | 1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1282 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 0 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBOX 151646 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING... NHZ012-015-160100- /O.UPG.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.IS.W.0001.070115T1646Z-070116T0400Z/ EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH... WEARE 1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. THE HARDEST HIT AREAS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE COUNTY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN WILL SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. WE EXPECT TO SEE TREE LIMBS BEGIN TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES AS THE AFTERNOON GOES ON. IN ADDITION...UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE VERY ICY. ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF ICING BUT IT SHOULD NOT BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS...THESE LOCATIONS MAY SEE SOME TREE LIMBS COME DOWN AND ALSO POWER OUTAGES. AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ NHZ011-160100- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ CHESHIRE NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE 1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CHESHIRE COUNTY. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHILE OTHER LOCATIONS REMAIN FREEZING RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN TREE LIMBS BEGINNING TO COME DOWN AND ALSO RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE IN NORTHERN CHESHIRE COUNTY...AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS WHERE SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS LOOK TO OCCUR ACROSS THE ELEVATED AREAS...WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE ICING AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH AND SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ MAZ002>005-008-009-012-026-152000- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070115T2000Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD... BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER 1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT INTERIOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS. TEMPERATURES ARE HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING POINT...SO THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS WILL BE FOUND CLOSEST TO THE NEW HAMPSHIRE BORDER AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS IN WORCESTER COUNTY. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BUILD UP ON TREES AND POWER LINES... PARTICULARLY IN ELEVATED AREAS. THIS WILL KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS ELEVATED AREAS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BE ICY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO RAIN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES VERY SLOWLY INCH ABOVE FREEZING. THIS FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICING ACROSS SOME LOCATIONS. THIS WILL BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY NEAR THE NEW HAMPSHIRE BORDER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ FRANK
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBOX 151823 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING... NHZ012-015-160230- /O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH... WEARE 123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND BE MIXED AT SLEET WITH TIMES. LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY WILL SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. WE EXPECT TO SEE NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES AS THE AFTERNOON GOES ON. IN ADDITION...UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE VERY ICY. ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF ICING BUT IT SHOULD NOT BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS...THESE LOCATIONS MAY SEE SOME TREE LIMBS COME DOWN AND ALSO POWER OUTAGES. AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ MAZ006-160230- /O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ WESTERN ESSEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAWRENCE 123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. RAIN HAS CHANGED FREEZING RAIN ACROSS FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN ESSEX COUNTY AS TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED TO OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE MAY DEVELOP ON TREES...POWER LINES...AS WELL AS UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ MAZ002>005-008-009-012-026-160230- /O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD... BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER 123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO HOVER WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF FREEZING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT INTERIOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WHILE MANY LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE PLAIN RAIN...ELEVATED AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE FREEZING RAIN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES...POWER LINES AS WELL AS UNTREATED ROADWAYS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE...WHICH WILL KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND ALSO RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ NHZ011-160230- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ CHESHIRE NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE 123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHILE OTHER LOCATIONS REMAIN FREEZING RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN TREE LIMBS BEGINNING TO COME DOWN AND ALSO RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE IN NORTHERN CHESHIRE COUNTY...AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS WHERE SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS LOOK TO OCCUR ACROSS THE ELEVATED AREAS...WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE ICING AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH AND SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ FRANK
000 WWUS41 KBOX 152101 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 MAZ026-160400- /O.UPG.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ /O.EXA.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...AYER 401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY AND TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION... TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING RAIN COMES TO AN END. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH MORE POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED. AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ NHZ012-015-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH... WEARE 401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY.. A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY AND TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION... TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING RAIN COMES TO AN END. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH MORE POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED. AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ NHZ011-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ CHESHIRE NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE 401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO CHESHIRE COUNTY THIS EVENING SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS...MAINLY IN THE HIGH TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ MAZ002>006-008-009-012-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER 401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS INTERIOR ESSEX COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY WHERE TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES. ICE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ON TREES AND POWER LINES. SOME TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME ICY. ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE HOVERING RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. THEREFORE...AREAS OF DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE MAIN AREAS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE THE BULK OF THE ICING WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ FRANK
000 WWUS41 KBOX 152156 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 MAZ026-NHZ012-015-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AYER...MANCHESTER...NASHUA... PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...AS WELL AS NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN MASSACHUSETTS. A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS THIS REGION AND TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION... TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING RAIN COMES TO AN END. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH MORE POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED. AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ MAZ007-014>016-160400- /O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON... QUINCY 456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO AROUND 32 ACROSS COASTAL ESSEX COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE BOSTON METROPOLITAN AREA. ALTHOUGH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE EVENING HOURS...TEMPERATURES AROUND THE FREEZING MARK MAY ALLOW ICY SPOTS TO DEVELOP ON UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS. MAY ALSO SEE A LIGHT GLAZE FORM ON POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ NHZ011-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ CHESHIRE NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE 456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CHESHIRE COUNTY. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO CHESHIRE COUNTY THIS EVENING SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS...MAINLY IN THE HIGH TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ MAZ002>006-008-009-012-160400- /O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER 456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS INTERIOR ESSEX COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY WHERE TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES. ICE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ON TREES AND POWER LINES. SOME TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION... UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME ICY. ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE HOVERING RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. THEREFORE...AREAS OF DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE MAIN AREAS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE THE BULK OF THE ICING WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ FRANK
000 WWUS41 KBOX 160338 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 MAZ002-003-008-009-012-015-016-NHZ011-160445- /O.CAN.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA-CHESHIRE NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...BOSTON... QUINCY...JAFFREY...KEENE 1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS..CHESHIRE COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE IMMEDIATE CITY OF BOSTON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE FREEZING INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS TUESDAY AS AREAS OF RAIN FINALLY COME TO AN END AROUND 2 AM. AREAS THAT DID HAVE GLAZE FROM SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS COULD SEE FALLING ICE DUE TO SOME OVERNIGHT MELTING. SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS TRAVELERS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR A VERY RAPID TEMPERATURE DROP BELOW FREEZING BEGINNING AROUND 4 AM. THIS WILL FREEZE SOLID ANY REMAINING MOISTURE ON PAVEMENTS AND CARS WITH ICY SPOTS ON PAVEMENT. MANY CAR DOOR LOCKS WILL FREEZE UP MAKING OUTDOOR ACCESS TO VEHICLES DIFFICULT AT DAYBREAK FROM KEENE TO ORANGE AND GREENFIELD. BE ALERT FOR FALLING ICE FROM MELTING OVERNIGHT AND THEN ICY STRETCHES OF PAVEMENT AND FROZEN DOOR LOCKS AT DAWN FROM SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS. $$ MAZ026-NHZ012-015-160700- /O.EXT.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0700Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AYER...MANCHESTER...NASHUA... PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY... THE ICE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH ABOUT 1 OR 2 AM. REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION INDICATED SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE KNOCKED DOWN AND THERE HAD BEEN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. TREE LIMBS MAY CONTINUE BREAKING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BRIEFLY RISE TO FREEZING AROUND 2 AM BEFORE A SUDDEN SHARP DROP BELOW FREEZING AT 5 AM THAT WILL RESULT IN SOLID REFREEZING OF THE REMAINING MOISTURE. FROZEN DOOR LOCKS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MANY MOTOR VEHICLES PARKED OUTSIDE FROM MANCHESTER NEW HAMPSHIRE TO AYER MASSACHUSETTS. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED. IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND. $$ MAZ004>007-014-160700- /O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0700Z/ NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA- EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM... LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE 1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH ABOUT 1 AM OR 2 AM. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS ESSEX AND NORTHERN MIDDLESEX COUNTIES. SOME TREE LIMBS MAY COME DOWN OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION... UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BE ICY BEFORE THE MERCURY RISES BRIEFLY ABOVE FREEZING BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES SHOULD START TUMBLING BACK BELOW FREEZING AROUND 6 AM WITH ANY REMAINING MOISTURE FREEZING INTO ICY PATCHES. CAR DOOR LOCKS MAY ICE UP IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AROUND 6 AM OR 7 AM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. $$ DRAG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Jan 15, 10:16 AM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 10:16 AM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1016 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007
.2ND MESOSCALE UPDATE FROM 1015 AM...
WE HAVE RECEIVED SOME REPORTS THIS MORNING OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH
OF ICING ALREADY ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MA NEAR THE NEW HAMPSHIRE
BORDER...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. ANOTHER BIG SLUG OF
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION.
ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN MA AND SOUTHERN NH MAY
SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH...WE DO NOT EXPECT THESE
AMOUNTS TO BE WIDESPREAD AND MORE DEPENDENT UPON ELEVATION. IN
FACT...REPORTS INDICATE THAT ICE AMOUNTS VARY CONSIDERABLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN NH AND NORTHERN MA. THE AMOUNTS APPEAR TO RELATE TO
ELEVATION DEPENDENCE AS SOME AREAS ACROSS SOUTHERN NH JUST HAVE A
VERY THIN COATING AS TO OTHERS REPORTING A QUARTER INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION.
WE ARE CONCERNED THAT WE MAY SEE LOTS OF TREE LIMBS AND POWER
OUTAGES BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN MA AND
SOUTHERN NH...MAINLY IN ELEVATED AREAS. SINCE THIS WILL AFFECT ONLY
LOCALIZED AREAS WILL MAINTAIN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AND NOT
UPGRADE TO A WARNING. HOWEVER...ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE
SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS DEVELOP SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR A
POSSIBLE UPGRADE.
OTHERWISE...FORECAST ON TRACK ON ALL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE. WE ALSO EXPECT
MOST OF THE STEADY PRECIPITATION TODAY TO GENERALLY BE ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE MA PIKE. SOUTH OF THE MA PIKE MAINLY EXPECTING AREAS
OF DRIZZLE.
FRANK
&&
.MESOSCALE UPDATE FROM 809 AM...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY AT 745 AM WAS SHOWING A SHIELD OF MODERATE RAIN
AND FREEZING RAIN COVERING THE NORTHERN 2/3RDS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. WE SHOULD SEE THE STEADIEST PRECIPITATION
LIFT TO AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE ALONG A MID
LEVEL WARM FRONT.
THE PRECIPITATION WAS IN THE FORM OF MAINLY PLAIN RAIN SOUTH OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE AND INSIDE OF I-495. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE
INTERIOR OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE
WITHIN A DEGREE ON EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING. THEREFORE AREAS OF
FREEZING RAIN WERE AFFECTING THE REGION. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
FROM THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION ALL DAY. HOWEVER...850 MB
TEMPERATURES RISE TODAY TO BETWEEN +6 AND +7C AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH OF THE REGION. A TOUCH OF THIS WARMER MID LEVEL AIR MAY BE
ABLE TO BE BROUGHT DOWN BY THE RAIN LATER THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...WE DO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE A DEGREE
OR TWO. THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.
RIGHT NOW OUR MAIN IS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THIS IS PARTICULARLY
TRUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHESHIRE AND NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES.
MESONET AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY BETWEEN 28 AND 30 DEGREES
IN THIS REGION. ANY POCKETS OF SLEET WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM THIS MORNING.
WIDESPREAD MODERATE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN UNTREATED ROADS AND
WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY. WE ARE ALSO CONCERNED THAT SOME OF THE ICE
UP IN THIS REGION MAY RESULT IN SOME SMALL TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED
DOWN ALONG WITH AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES. RAPIDLY WARMING MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES LATER THIS AFTERNOON MAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT THIS IS UNCERTAIN SO
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
ALL IN ALL...PREVIOUS WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES ARE IN VERY GOOD
SHAPE WITH REGARDS TO TIMING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AREAS
SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON
TIME AROUND 10 AM.
FRANK
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 515 AM...
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION OVERSPREAD THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A
MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
AREAS. HAVE CONTINUED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...MAINLY NORTH AND
WEST OF HARTFORD TO TOLLAND...PUTNAM...WOONSOCKET...NORWOOD TO JUST
NORTH AND WEST OF BOSTON. DO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY INCREASE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE ADVISORY AREA BY LATE THIS
MORNING...BUT IT MAY ONLY BRIEFLY REACH FREEZING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TODAY.
SHORT RANGE MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN THIS MORNING...BUT
HARD TO MESS AROUND WITH THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDING ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE INTO MOST OF PENNSYLVANIA AS SEEN ON THIS MORNINGS
88D REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR. THIS PRECIP EXTENDS BACK TO THE MAIN LOW
WHICH WAS OVER WESTERN OHIO AT 09Z. AS THIS LOW MOVES EAST ALONG AND
TO THE NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT...ANOTHER WAVE MAY ALSO FORM...
WHICH WILL JUST REINFORCE THE STEADY PRECIPITATION ALL DAY. NOTE A
CUTOFF OF THE PRECIP ACROSS LONG ISLAND...WHICH MAY BRIEFLY SNEAK
INTO SOUTH COASTAL AREAS...BUT ANOTHER BATCH OF RAIN SEEN ACROSS SW
PA...WHICH WILL BRING MORE RAIN THERE.
THE MODELS DID HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES AS TO THE CUTOFF OF THE
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. LEANED TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION...AND TRENDING
THE PRECIP ENDING FROM SW-NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH THE COLDER AIR
RUSHING IN BEHIND THE DEVELOPING LOW...WHICH WILL GET QUITE STRONG
OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY...EXPECT ANY MIXED PRECIP TO CHANGE TO SNOW
BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS OR ENDING.
SO...WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE TONIGHT...EXPECT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...A COMBINATION OF SLEET AND SNOW...ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE...1 OR 2 INCHES IN FAR NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND AN
INCH OR LESS FROM NEAR LAWRENCE TO WORCESTER TO WESTERN HAMPDEN
COUNTY. MANY PLACES WILL PROBABLY SEE MORE GLAZING THAN ANYTHING
ELSE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...UPWARD TO 1/4 INCH ACCRETION.
USED MAINLY THE MET MOS GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR TODAY...THEN LEANED
TOWARD THE MAV FOR TONIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN UPPER TROF SWINGS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LINGERS TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISHES TOWARD EVENING. THE REGION ALSO
COMES UNDER THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 188 KNOT UPPER JET...
ENHANCING THE SUPPORT FOR LIFT. ALL OF THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
VARIABLE CLOUDS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF THE MASS PIKE.
THE MOVEMENT OF VERY COLD AIR INTO COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS WILL ALSO
LEAD TO OCEAN EFFECT CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS. AIR-WATER TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENTIALS REACH 17C TUESDAY EVENING AFTER THE UPPER TROF MOVES
PAST...AND MAXIMIZE AROUND 25-26C WEDNESDAY MORNING. LITTLE
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IS FORECAST IN THE LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET OF
WINDS. WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST IN THE 20S OF KNOTS...WHICH COULD
LIMIT RESIDENCE TIME OF AIR PARCELS OVER THE 5-7C OCEAN WATER. WITH
A NORTHWEST (310) WIND...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
FORECAST OF CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE OUTER CAPE WITH
LITTLE OR NO POPS EAST OF HYANNIS. THE VARIATION IN PROBABILITY
ACROSS BARNSTABLE COUNTY WILL PROBABLY GET AVERAGED OUT...
ELIMINATING ANY MENTION OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE TEXT VERSION OF THE
ZONE FORECAST.
THE COLD ADVECTION WILL ALSO BRING MIXING OF STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO
THE SURFACE. SO IN ADDITION TO WINDY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE PRESSURE INCREASE (6 MB/6 HR RATE FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING) THERE WILL ALSO BE STRONGER WIND
GUSTS. WINDS IN THE MIXING LAYER ARE GENERALLY 25-30 KTS...BUT WITH
THE NAM/GFS AVERAGE BUMPING TO 30-35 KTS NEAR CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY BRINGING
DIMINISHING WIND INLAND WED AFTERNOON AND ALL ZONES WED NIGHT. THE
RIDGE AXIS THEN SHIFTS SOUTH OF US THURSDAY...BRINGING INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL PUSH OUT THE COLD AIR
AND RETURN US TO MORE SEASONABLE CONDITIONS.
THE MAV AND MET OUTPUT WERE SIMILAR IN SOME RESPECTS...BUT WITH THE
MAV SEVERAL DEGREES LESS COLD ON WEDNESDAY. WE FAVORED THE MAV AND
MEX TEMPERATURES.
NO CHANGES PAST THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WOULD
COME FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION.
&&
.AVIATION...
AS RAIN AND MIXED PRECIPITATION OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...CEILINGS HAVE LOWERED TO MVFR TO IFR AT MOST
LOCATIONS. EXPECT MOST TAF LOCATIONS TO BE IFR FOR A GOOD PORTION OF
TODAY IN BOTH CEILINGS AND VSBYS. NOTE THAT THE WINDS AT WORCESTER
WILL BE INTERMITTENTLY OUT DUE TO THE FREEZING RAIN. AS THE
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATER TONIGHT...BY AROUND 03Z TO
04Z...EXPECT VSBYS TO IMPROVE TO MVFR /3-5SM/...BUT CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN IFR THROUGH 06Z.
&&
.MARINE...
IN THE SHORT TERM...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT TO WEST AND
NORTHWEST TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KT. AS FOR
SEAS...ALREADY HAVE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW
ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS...BUT EXPECT SEAS TO INCREASE BY TONIGHT ON
THE SOUTH SOUNDS SO HAVE PUT A SMALL CRAFT THERE AS WELL.
LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY SMALL CRAFT NORTHWESTERS BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE...WINDS ALOFT SHOW 30 KNOT GUSTS AVAILABLE TO
BE MIXED DOWN TO THE OCEAN SURFACE. BUT THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
WILL INTENSIFY TO A GALE CENTER OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WIND GUSTS
BROUGHT TO THE SURFACE IN THE COLD AIR WEDNESDAY SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
OF REACHING 35 KTS...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD. ALL
WIND SHOULD DIMINISH LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&
.CLIMATE...
WHAT IS NORMAL RIGHT NOW?
BOSTON 36/22 PVD 37/20 BDL 34/17 ORH 31/16
CON NH 30/ 9 HYA 37/20
RECORD LOWS FOR WEDNESDAY THE 17TH (LOW MIN / LOW MAX)
BOSTON -4 1907 / +9 1907
PROVIDENCE -8 1982 / +11 1907
BRADLEY -9 1971 / +10 1907
WORCESTER -9 1982 / +5 1907
CONCORD NH -20 1971 / +7 2000
HYANNIS -3 1994 / +21 1985
WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD...BUT THE FORECAST TEMPERATURES
SHOULD FALL SHORT OF RECORD TERRITORY.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CTZ002>004 UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MAZ002>006-008-009-012-026 UNTIL 3
PM MONDAY.
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MAZ007-010-011-013-014 UNTIL 10 AM
MONDAY.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NHZ011-012-015 UNTIL 11 PM MONDAY.
RI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RIZ001 UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ230-231-234-236 FROM 6 AM
TUESDAY TO 5 PM TUESDAY.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ232-233-235-237 FROM 5 PM MONDAY
TO 5 PM TUESDAY.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ250-254-255 FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5
PM TUESDAY.
&&
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...FRANK
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...EVT
MARINE...WTB/EVT
CLIMATE...WTBHazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:43 AM EST, 7 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 443 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015- RIZ001>008-161000- BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL- BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE- COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN- EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK- EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY- NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER- NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND- SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL- SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND- WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX- WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT- WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM- 443 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF THE BERKSHIRES...THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...ALL OF RHODE ISLAND AND THE RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...ALL OF WESTERN...CENTRAL AND MOST OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE DAY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM HARTFORD...TOLLAND...PUTNAM...WOONSOCKET...NORWOOD TO JUST NORTH AND WEST OF BOSTON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM SLOWLY TODAY...THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO RAIN OVER NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE BY LATE THIS MORNING. FOR NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST PART OF THE AFTERNOON. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL LAST INTO TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...WHERE 1 TO 4 INCHES WILL ACCUMULATE BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. THERE COULD ALSO BE UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION WHERE FREEZING RAIN FALLS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE WARNINGS ON THE WATERS EAST AND SOUTH OF CAPE COD FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... WIND CHILL READINGS WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY. WHILE NOT RECORD SETTING...HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER THAN IT HAS BEEN OVER THE LAST FEW MONTHS... PROBABLY THE COLDEST SO FAR THIS WINTER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE SEND IN REPORTS OF ANY REPORTABLE SNOW AND/OR FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS EITHER VIA TELEPHONE...HAM RADIO OR WEB SPOTTER STORM REPORT. EVT
Nearby
Ice Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2007Ice Storm Warnings in New Hampshire, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.