Alert archive / Massachusetts / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007

Ice Storm Warning 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

January 15, 2007Middlesex County, Massachusetts; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this ice storm warning at Jan 15, 2007, 11:46 AM EST for Middlesex County, Massachusetts; Hillsborough County, New Hampshire. It was in force for 14 hr. 25 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2007, 11:46 AM EST (16:46 UTC)
Expired
Jan 16, 2007, 2:00 AM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Middlesex County, MA, Hillsborough County, NH

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 15, 12:00 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0Nashua, NHSCATTERED POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 1:04 PM ESTICE STORMMilford, NHLARGE LIMBS DOWN ON WIRE WITH POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 1:04 PM ESTICE STORMWilton, NHLARGE LIMBS ON WIRES AND POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 1:05 PM ESTICE STORMNew Ipswich, NH5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES...TREES AND WIRES DOWN
Jan 15, 1:48 PM ESTICE STORMHollis, NHWIRES DOWN ON PINEHILL ROAD
Jan 15, 1:49 PM ESTICE STORMLitchfield, NHTREE DOWN ON A HOUSE
Jan 15, 1:50 PM ESTICE STORMHancock, NHTREES AND WIRES DOWN
Jan 15, 2:27 PM ESTICE STORMNashua, NHWIRES DOWN ON POND STREET
Jan 15, 2:36 PM ESTICE STORMMilford, NHLARGE LIMBS DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 2:38 PM ESTICE STORMNew Ipswich, NHLARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN
Jan 15, 2:38 PM ESTICE STORMPeterborough, NHLARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN
Jan 15, 2:57 PM ESTICE STORMAshby, MASEVERAL TREES DOWN ON WIRES
Jan 15, 3:20 PM ESTICE STORMTemple, NHLARGE LIMBS DOWN ON ONE LANE OF ROUTE 101
Jan 15, 3:30 PM ESTICE STORM 0Townsend, MA8 TO 9 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN ON A HOUSE
Jan 15, 3:48 PM ESTICE STORMMilford, NH4 TO 5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN WITH MOST OF TOWN WITHOUT POWER
Jan 15, 3:52 PM ESTICE STORMHudson, NHTREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 5:30 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.5New Ipswich, NH1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION
Jan 15, 5:30 PM ESTICE STORMBrookline, NHMANY LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 130 AND POWER OUTAGES
Jan 15, 5:30 PM ESTICE STORMManchester, NHTREES AND WIRES DOWN SHEFFIELD TO MANMOUTH ROADS AND ON TAYLOR AND HURLEY STREETS
Jan 15, 5:30 PM ESTICE STORMMason, NH3 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN. POWER OUTAGE SINCE 230PM.
Jan 15, 7:00 PM ESTICE STORM 0Townsend, MA6 TO 8 INCH LIMBS DOWN KNOCKING DOWN AMATEUR RADIO ANTENNAS. TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
Jan 15, 7:00 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Hollis, NH1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION
Jan 15, 7:00 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Milford, NH1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGE.
Jan 15, 7:00 PM ESTICE STORMNashua, NHLARGE TREE LIMB DOWN IN THE ROAD IN NORTH NASHUA
Jan 15, 7:43 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Bennington, NH1/2 INCH ICE ACCRETION

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2007-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2007-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1282 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
0 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBOX 151646
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING...

NHZ012-015-160100-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.IS.W.0001.070115T1646Z-070116T0400Z/
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE
1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. THE HARDEST HIT AREAS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE COUNTY. 

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH
TERRAIN WILL SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. WE EXPECT TO SEE TREE LIMBS
BEGIN TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES AS THE AFTERNOON GOES ON.
IN ADDITION...UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WILL BE VERY ICY.

ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF
ICING BUT IT SHOULD NOT BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
NONETHELESS...THESE LOCATIONS MAY SEE SOME TREE LIMBS COME DOWN AND
ALSO POWER OUTAGES.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR
GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.  ICE ACCRETION COULD
RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.  IF YOUR POWER GOES
OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES.  HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON
HAND.

$$

NHZ011-160100-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
CHESHIRE NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE
1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR CHESHIRE COUNTY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE THE PRECIPITATION
CHANGE TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHILE OTHER LOCATIONS
REMAIN FREEZING RAIN.

THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND
POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN TREE LIMBS BEGINNING TO COME
DOWN AND ALSO RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE
IN NORTHERN CHESHIRE COUNTY...AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS WHERE SIGNIFICANT
ICING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY.

THE FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF
ICING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS LOOK TO
OCCUR ACROSS THE ELEVATED AREAS...WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE
ICING AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH AND SIGNIFICANT ICING
PROBLEMS. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY
ROADS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

MAZ002>005-008-009-012-026-152000-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070115T2000Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD...
BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER
1146 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT INTERIOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS. TEMPERATURES ARE HOVERING AROUND THE
FREEZING POINT...SO THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS WILL BE FOUND CLOSEST TO
THE NEW HAMPSHIRE BORDER AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS IN WORCESTER
COUNTY.

THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BUILD UP ON TREES AND POWER LINES...
PARTICULARLY IN ELEVATED AREAS. THIS WILL KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE
LIMBS AND RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS ELEVATED
AREAS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BE ICY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE REGION.

THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO RAIN BY MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES VERY SLOWLY INCH ABOVE FREEZING.

THIS FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF
ICING ACROSS SOME LOCATIONS. THIS WILL BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...MAINLY NEAR THE NEW HAMPSHIRE BORDER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

FRANK
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBOX 151823
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...FREEZING RAIN WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING...

NHZ012-015-160230-
/O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE
123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND BE MIXED AT
SLEET WITH TIMES. LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN AS WELL AS PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY WILL SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF
INCH. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND
POWER LINES. WE EXPECT TO SEE NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS KNOCKED DOWN ALONG
WITH POWER OUTAGES AS THE AFTERNOON GOES ON. IN ADDITION...UNTREATED
ROADS AND WALKWAYS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE VERY ICY.

ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN AREAS
OF ICING BUT IT SHOULD NOT BE AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. NONETHELESS...THESE LOCATIONS MAY SEE SOME TREE LIMBS
COME DOWN AND ALSO POWER OUTAGES.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR
GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.  ICE ACCRETION COULD
RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.  IF YOUR POWER GOES
OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES.  HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON
HAND.

$$

MAZ006-160230-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
WESTERN ESSEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAWRENCE
123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

RAIN HAS CHANGED FREEZING RAIN ACROSS FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN ESSEX
COUNTY AS TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED TO OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. A
LIGHT COATING OF ICE MAY DEVELOP ON TREES...POWER LINES...AS WELL AS
UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

MAZ002>005-008-009-012-026-160230-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD...
BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER
123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO HOVER WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF FREEZING
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
INTERIOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
WHILE MANY LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE PLAIN RAIN...ELEVATED AREAS WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE FREEZING RAIN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE
ON TREES...POWER LINES AS WELL AS UNTREATED ROADWAYS. SOME LOCATIONS
MAY SEE UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE...WHICH WILL KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE
LIMBS AND ALSO RESULT IN SOME POWER OUTAGES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NHZ011-160230-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
CHESHIRE NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE
123 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHILE
OTHER LOCATIONS REMAIN FREEZING RAIN.

THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND
POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN TREE LIMBS BEGINNING TO COME
DOWN AND ALSO RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE
IN NORTHERN CHESHIRE COUNTY...AS WELL AS ELEVATED AREAS WHERE
SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY.

THE FREEZING RAIN WILL PRODUCE UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF
ICING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS LOOK TO
OCCUR ACROSS THE ELEVATED AREAS...WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE
ICING AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH AND SIGNIFICANT ICING
PROBLEMS. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY
ROADS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

FRANK
000 
WWUS41 KBOX 152101
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007


MAZ026-160400-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...AYER
401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY AND
TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING
OFF BY MIDNIGHT.

REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP
OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MANY LARGE TREE
LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...
TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING
RAIN COMES TO AN END. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN
ALONG WITH MORE POWER OUTAGES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR
GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT. ICE ACCRETION COULD
RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. IF YOUR POWER GOES
OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND.

$$

NHZ012-015-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...
WEARE
401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY.. 

A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY AND
TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT.

REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP
OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MANY LARGE TREE
LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...
TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING RAIN COMES TO
AN END. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH
MORE POWER OUTAGES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR
GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.  ICE ACCRETION COULD
RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.  IF YOUR POWER GOES
OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES.  HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON
HAND.

$$

NHZ011-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
CHESHIRE NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE
401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CHESHIRE
COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. ACROSS
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN...ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE.

ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A
BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME TREE
LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL
INTO CHESHIRE COUNTY THIS EVENING SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION AND BE
PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS...MAINLY IN THE HIGH TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

MAZ002>006-008-009-012-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER
401 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN
AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF
BY MIDNIGHT. 

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS INTERIOR
ESSEX COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY WHERE
TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES. ICE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD ON TREES AND POWER LINES. SOME TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE
KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...UNTREATED
ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME ICY.

ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE HOVERING
RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. THEREFORE...AREAS OF DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE
MAIN AREAS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE THE BULK OF THE ICING WILL BE ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

FRANK
000 
WWUS41 KBOX 152156
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

MAZ026-NHZ012-015-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AYER...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...
PETERBOROUGH...WEARE
456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...AS WELL
AS NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN MASSACHUSETTS. 

A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS THIS REGION AND TRAVEL
IS NOT RECOMMENDED FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF
BY MIDNIGHT.

REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION ARE INDICATING SIGNIFICANT
BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND ALSO NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES. IN ADDITION... TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER
20S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SO UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS
WILL BECOME VERY ICY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH
ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FREEZING RAIN COMES TO AN END.
THEREFORE...WE EXPECT MORE TREE LIMBS TO COME DOWN ALONG WITH
MORE POWER OUTAGES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED.

AN ICE STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ICE ACCRETION OF 1/2 INCH OR
GREATER. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.  ICE ACCRETION COULD
RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.  IF YOUR POWER GOES
OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES.  HAVE BATTERIES AND FLASHLIGHTS ON
HAND.

$$

MAZ007-014>016-160400-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...
QUINCY
456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN TO AROUND 32 ACROSS COASTAL ESSEX
COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE BOSTON METROPOLITAN AREA. ALTHOUGH GENERALLY
LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE EVENING HOURS...TEMPERATURES
AROUND THE FREEZING MARK MAY ALLOW ICY SPOTS TO DEVELOP ON UNTREATED
ROADS AND WALKWAYS. MAY ALSO SEE A LIGHT GLAZE FORM ON POWER LINES
AND TREE LIMBS.  

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

NHZ011-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
CHESHIRE NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAFFREY...KEENE
456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR CHESHIRE COUNTY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CHESHIRE COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY
MIDNIGHT. ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS IT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE
FORM OF RAIN...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE.

ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN A
BUILDUP OF ICE ON TREES AND POWER LINES. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME
TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. MOTORISTS
PLANNING TRAVEL INTO CHESHIRE COUNTY THIS EVENING SHOULD DRIVE
WITH CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR ICY ROADS...MAINLY IN THE HIGH
TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

MAZ002>006-008-009-012-160400-
/O.CON.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER
456 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR
WESTERN AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS INTERIOR ESSEX
COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY WHERE
TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM 28 TO 32 DEGREES. ICE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD ON TREES AND POWER LINES. SOME TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE
KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH SOME POWER OUTAGES. IN ADDITION...
UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME ICY.

ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE
HOVERING RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. THEREFORE...AREAS OF DOWNED TREE
LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. THE MAIN AREAS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE THE BULK OF THE ICING
WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

FRANK
000 
WWUS41 KBOX 160338
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

MAZ002-003-008-009-012-015-016-NHZ011-160445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0400Z/
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-CHESHIRE NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...
CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...BOSTON...
QUINCY...JAFFREY...KEENE
1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS..CHESHIRE COUNTY OF
SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE IMMEDIATE CITY OF BOSTON.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE FREEZING INTO THE
PREDAWN HOURS TUESDAY AS AREAS OF RAIN FINALLY COME TO AN END AROUND
2 AM. AREAS THAT DID HAVE GLAZE FROM SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO
NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS COULD SEE FALLING ICE DUE TO SOME OVERNIGHT
MELTING.

SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS TRAVELERS AND
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR A VERY RAPID TEMPERATURE DROP BELOW
FREEZING BEGINNING AROUND 4 AM. THIS WILL FREEZE SOLID ANY REMAINING
MOISTURE ON PAVEMENTS AND CARS WITH ICY SPOTS ON PAVEMENT.

MANY CAR DOOR LOCKS WILL FREEZE UP MAKING OUTDOOR ACCESS TO VEHICLES
DIFFICULT AT DAYBREAK FROM KEENE TO ORANGE AND GREENFIELD.

BE ALERT FOR FALLING ICE FROM MELTING OVERNIGHT AND THEN ICY
STRETCHES OF PAVEMENT AND FROZEN DOOR LOCKS AT DAWN FROM SOUTHWEST
NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS.

$$

MAZ026-NHZ012-015-160700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0700Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AYER...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...
PETERBOROUGH...WEARE
1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE ICE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY
THROUGH ABOUT 1 OR 2 AM.

REPORTS FROM ACROSS THIS REGION INDICATED SIGNIFICANT BUILDUP OF ICE
ON TREES AND POWER LINES. MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE KNOCKED DOWN
AND THERE HAD BEEN NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. TREE LIMBS MAY CONTINUE
BREAKING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BRIEFLY RISE TO FREEZING AROUND 2 AM BEFORE A SUDDEN
SHARP DROP BELOW FREEZING AT 5 AM THAT WILL RESULT IN SOLID REFREEZING
OF THE REMAINING MOISTURE. FROZEN DOOR LOCKS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR
MANY MOTOR VEHICLES PARKED OUTSIDE FROM MANCHESTER NEW HAMPSHIRE TO
AYER MASSACHUSETTS.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN MORE DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES SO STAY TUNED.

IF YOUR POWER GOES OUT...DO NOT USE CANDLES. HAVE BATTERIES AND
FLASHLIGHTS ON HAND.

$$

MAZ004>007-014-160700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070116T0700Z/
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...
LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE
1038 PM EST MON JAN 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT FAR
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS THROUGH ABOUT 1 AM OR 2 AM.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS ESSEX AND NORTHERN
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES. SOME TREE LIMBS MAY COME DOWN OVERNIGHT.

IN ADDITION... UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BE ICY BEFORE THE
MERCURY RISES BRIEFLY ABOVE FREEZING BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. 

THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES SHOULD START TUMBLING BACK BELOW FREEZING
AROUND 6 AM WITH ANY REMAINING MOISTURE FREEZING INTO ICY PATCHES.

CAR DOOR LOCKS MAY ICE UP IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AROUND 6 AM OR 7
AM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
MORE INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.

$$


DRAG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Jan 15, 10:16 AM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 10:16 AM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1016 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

.2ND MESOSCALE UPDATE FROM 1015 AM...
WE HAVE RECEIVED SOME REPORTS THIS MORNING OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH
OF ICING ALREADY ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MA NEAR THE NEW HAMPSHIRE
BORDER...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.  ANOTHER BIG SLUG OF
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION.

ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN MA AND SOUTHERN NH MAY
SEE ICE AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE HALF INCH...WE DO NOT EXPECT THESE
AMOUNTS TO BE WIDESPREAD AND MORE DEPENDENT UPON ELEVATION.  IN
FACT...REPORTS INDICATE THAT ICE AMOUNTS VARY CONSIDERABLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN NH AND NORTHERN MA.  THE AMOUNTS APPEAR TO RELATE TO
ELEVATION DEPENDENCE AS SOME AREAS ACROSS SOUTHERN NH JUST HAVE A
VERY THIN COATING AS TO OTHERS REPORTING A QUARTER INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION.

WE ARE CONCERNED THAT WE MAY SEE LOTS OF TREE LIMBS AND POWER
OUTAGES BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN MA AND
SOUTHERN NH...MAINLY IN ELEVATED AREAS.  SINCE THIS WILL AFFECT ONLY
LOCALIZED AREAS WILL MAINTAIN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AND NOT
UPGRADE TO A WARNING.  HOWEVER...ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE
SIGNIFICANT ICING PROBLEMS DEVELOP SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR A
POSSIBLE UPGRADE.

OTHERWISE...FORECAST ON TRACK ON ALL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE.  WE ALSO EXPECT
MOST OF THE STEADY PRECIPITATION TODAY TO GENERALLY BE ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE MA PIKE.  SOUTH OF THE MA PIKE MAINLY EXPECTING AREAS
OF DRIZZLE.

FRANK

&&

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FROM 809 AM...
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY AT 745 AM WAS SHOWING A SHIELD OF MODERATE RAIN
AND FREEZING RAIN COVERING THE NORTHERN 2/3RDS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.  WE SHOULD SEE THE STEADIEST PRECIPITATION
LIFT TO AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE ALONG A MID
LEVEL WARM FRONT.

THE PRECIPITATION WAS IN THE FORM OF MAINLY PLAIN RAIN SOUTH OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE AND INSIDE OF I-495.  MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE
INTERIOR OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS TEMPERATURES WERE
WITHIN A DEGREE ON EITHER SIDE OF FREEZING.  THEREFORE AREAS OF
FREEZING RAIN WERE AFFECTING THE REGION.  WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
FROM THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION ALL DAY.  HOWEVER...850 MB
TEMPERATURES RISE TODAY TO BETWEEN +6 AND +7C AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH OF THE REGION.  A TOUCH OF THIS WARMER MID LEVEL AIR MAY BE
ABLE TO BE BROUGHT DOWN BY THE RAIN LATER THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.  THEREFORE...WE DO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE A DEGREE
OR TWO.  THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.

RIGHT NOW OUR MAIN IS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THIS IS PARTICULARLY
TRUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHESHIRE AND NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES.
MESONET AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES GENERALLY BETWEEN 28 AND 30 DEGREES
IN THIS REGION.  ANY POCKETS OF SLEET WILL TRANSITION OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM THIS MORNING.
WIDESPREAD MODERATE FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN UNTREATED ROADS AND
WALKWAYS BECOMING ICY.   WE ARE ALSO CONCERNED THAT SOME OF THE ICE
UP IN THIS REGION MAY RESULT IN SOME SMALL TREE LIMBS BEING KNOCKED
DOWN ALONG WITH AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES.  RAPIDLY WARMING MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES LATER THIS AFTERNOON MAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT THIS IS UNCERTAIN SO
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

ALL IN ALL...PREVIOUS WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES ARE IN VERY GOOD
SHAPE WITH REGARDS TO TIMING.  THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AREAS
SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON
TIME AROUND 10 AM.

FRANK

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 515 AM...

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION OVERSPREAD THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A
MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
AREAS. HAVE CONTINUED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...MAINLY NORTH AND
WEST OF HARTFORD TO TOLLAND...PUTNAM...WOONSOCKET...NORWOOD TO JUST
NORTH AND WEST OF BOSTON.  DO EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY INCREASE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE ADVISORY AREA BY LATE THIS
MORNING...BUT IT MAY ONLY BRIEFLY REACH FREEZING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE TODAY.

SHORT RANGE MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN THIS MORNING...BUT
HARD TO MESS AROUND WITH THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDING ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE INTO MOST OF PENNSYLVANIA AS SEEN ON THIS MORNINGS
88D REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR. THIS PRECIP EXTENDS BACK TO THE MAIN LOW
WHICH WAS OVER WESTERN OHIO AT 09Z. AS THIS LOW MOVES EAST ALONG AND
TO THE NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT...ANOTHER WAVE MAY ALSO FORM...
WHICH WILL JUST REINFORCE THE STEADY PRECIPITATION ALL DAY. NOTE A
CUTOFF OF THE PRECIP ACROSS LONG ISLAND...WHICH MAY BRIEFLY SNEAK
INTO SOUTH COASTAL AREAS...BUT ANOTHER BATCH OF RAIN SEEN ACROSS SW
PA...WHICH WILL BRING MORE RAIN THERE.

THE MODELS DID HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES AS TO THE CUTOFF OF THE
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. LEANED TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION...AND TRENDING
THE PRECIP ENDING FROM SW-NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH THE COLDER AIR
RUSHING IN BEHIND THE DEVELOPING LOW...WHICH WILL GET QUITE STRONG
OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY...EXPECT ANY MIXED PRECIP TO CHANGE TO SNOW
BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS OR ENDING.

SO...WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE TONIGHT...EXPECT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...A COMBINATION OF SLEET AND SNOW...ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE...1 OR 2 INCHES IN FAR NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND AN
INCH OR LESS FROM NEAR LAWRENCE TO WORCESTER TO WESTERN HAMPDEN
COUNTY. MANY PLACES WILL PROBABLY SEE MORE GLAZING THAN ANYTHING
ELSE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...UPWARD TO 1/4 INCH ACCRETION.

USED MAINLY THE MET MOS GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR TODAY...THEN LEANED
TOWARD THE MAV FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN UPPER TROF SWINGS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY.  LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LINGERS TUESDAY...THEN DIMINISHES TOWARD EVENING.  THE REGION ALSO
COMES UNDER THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 188 KNOT UPPER JET...
ENHANCING THE SUPPORT FOR LIFT. ALL OF THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO
VARIABLE CLOUDS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ESPECIALLY NORTH
OF THE MASS PIKE.

THE MOVEMENT OF VERY COLD AIR INTO COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS WILL ALSO
LEAD TO OCEAN EFFECT CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS.  AIR-WATER TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENTIALS REACH 17C TUESDAY EVENING AFTER THE UPPER TROF MOVES
PAST...AND MAXIMIZE AROUND 25-26C WEDNESDAY MORNING.  LITTLE
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IS FORECAST IN THE LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET OF
WINDS.  WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST IN THE 20S OF KNOTS...WHICH COULD
LIMIT RESIDENCE TIME OF AIR PARCELS OVER THE 5-7C OCEAN WATER.  WITH
A NORTHWEST (310) WIND...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
FORECAST OF CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE OUTER CAPE WITH
LITTLE OR NO POPS EAST OF HYANNIS.  THE VARIATION IN PROBABILITY
ACROSS BARNSTABLE COUNTY WILL PROBABLY GET AVERAGED OUT...
ELIMINATING ANY MENTION OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE TEXT VERSION OF THE
ZONE FORECAST.

THE COLD ADVECTION WILL ALSO BRING MIXING OF STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO
THE SURFACE.  SO IN ADDITION TO WINDY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE PRESSURE INCREASE (6 MB/6 HR RATE FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING) THERE WILL ALSO BE STRONGER WIND
GUSTS.  WINDS IN THE MIXING LAYER ARE GENERALLY 25-30 KTS...BUT WITH
THE NAM/GFS AVERAGE BUMPING TO 30-35 KTS NEAR CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY BRINGING
DIMINISHING WIND INLAND WED AFTERNOON AND ALL ZONES WED NIGHT.  THE
RIDGE AXIS THEN SHIFTS SOUTH OF US THURSDAY...BRINGING INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE DAY.  THIS WILL PUSH OUT THE COLD AIR
AND RETURN US TO MORE SEASONABLE CONDITIONS.

THE MAV AND MET OUTPUT WERE SIMILAR IN SOME RESPECTS...BUT WITH THE
MAV SEVERAL DEGREES LESS COLD ON WEDNESDAY.  WE FAVORED THE MAV AND
MEX TEMPERATURES.

NO CHANGES PAST THURSDAY.  THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WOULD
COME FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...
AS RAIN AND MIXED PRECIPITATION OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...CEILINGS HAVE LOWERED TO MVFR TO IFR AT MOST
LOCATIONS. EXPECT MOST TAF LOCATIONS TO BE IFR FOR A GOOD PORTION OF
TODAY IN BOTH CEILINGS AND VSBYS. NOTE THAT THE WINDS AT WORCESTER
WILL BE INTERMITTENTLY OUT DUE TO THE FREEZING RAIN. AS THE
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATER TONIGHT...BY AROUND 03Z TO
04Z...EXPECT VSBYS TO IMPROVE TO MVFR /3-5SM/...BUT CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN IFR THROUGH 06Z.

&&

.MARINE...
IN THE SHORT TERM...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS TODAY. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT TO WEST AND
NORTHWEST TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KT. AS FOR
SEAS...ALREADY HAVE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW
ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS...BUT EXPECT SEAS TO INCREASE BY TONIGHT ON
THE SOUTH SOUNDS SO HAVE PUT A SMALL CRAFT THERE AS WELL.

LONG TERM...EXPECT MAINLY SMALL CRAFT NORTHWESTERS BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE...WINDS ALOFT SHOW 30 KNOT GUSTS AVAILABLE TO
BE MIXED DOWN TO THE OCEAN SURFACE. BUT THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
WILL INTENSIFY TO A GALE CENTER OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WIND GUSTS
BROUGHT TO THE SURFACE IN THE COLD AIR WEDNESDAY SHOW SOME POTENTIAL
OF REACHING 35 KTS...MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD.  ALL
WIND SHOULD DIMINISH LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WHAT IS NORMAL RIGHT NOW?
BOSTON 36/22  PVD 37/20  BDL 34/17  ORH 31/16
CON NH 30/ 9  HYA 37/20

RECORD LOWS FOR WEDNESDAY THE 17TH (LOW MIN / LOW MAX)
BOSTON    -4 1907 / +9 1907
PROVIDENCE -8 1982 / +11 1907
BRADLEY   -9 1971 / +10 1907
WORCESTER -9 1982  / +5 1907
CONCORD NH -20 1971 / +7 2000
HYANNIS    -3 1994 / +21 1985

WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD...BUT THE FORECAST TEMPERATURES
SHOULD FALL SHORT OF RECORD TERRITORY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CTZ002>004 UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MAZ002>006-008-009-012-026 UNTIL 3
     PM MONDAY.
  ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MAZ007-010-011-013-014 UNTIL 10 AM
     MONDAY.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NHZ011-012-015 UNTIL 11 PM MONDAY.
RI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RIZ001 UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ230-231-234-236 FROM 6 AM
     TUESDAY TO 5 PM TUESDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ232-233-235-237 FROM 5 PM MONDAY
     TO 5 PM TUESDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ250-254-255 FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5
     PM TUESDAY.
&&

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...FRANK
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...EVT
MARINE...WTB/EVT
CLIMATE...WTB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:43 AM EST, 7 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
443 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>008-161000-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL-
BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-
WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
443 AM EST MON JAN 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF THE BERKSHIRES...THE
MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...ALL OF
RHODE ISLAND AND THE RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...ALL OF WESTERN...CENTRAL AND
MOST OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. A
MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE DAY
TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE MAIN EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH AND WEST OF
A LINE FROM HARTFORD...TOLLAND...PUTNAM...WOONSOCKET...NORWOOD TO
JUST NORTH AND WEST OF BOSTON.

AS TEMPERATURES WARM SLOWLY TODAY...THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE OVER TO RAIN OVER NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS
TURNPIKE BY LATE THIS MORNING. FOR NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE
MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST PART OF THE
AFTERNOON. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL LAST INTO TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...WHERE 1 TO
4 INCHES WILL ACCUMULATE BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. THERE COULD ALSO BE
UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION WHERE FREEZING
RAIN FALLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE WARNINGS ON THE WATERS EAST AND
SOUTH OF CAPE COD FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
WIND CHILL READINGS WILL FALL TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE EASTERN SLOPES
OF THE BERKSHIRES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY.

WHILE NOT RECORD SETTING...HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY WILL BE
NOTICEABLY COLDER THAN IT HAS BEEN OVER THE LAST FEW MONTHS...
PROBABLY THE COLDEST SO FAR THIS WINTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE SEND
IN REPORTS OF ANY REPORTABLE SNOW AND/OR FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
EITHER VIA TELEPHONE...HAM RADIO OR WEB SPOTTER STORM REPORT.

EVT

Nearby

Ice Storm Warnings in Massachusetts, 2007Ice Storm Warnings in New Hampshire, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.