Freeze Warning 3, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 131958
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
358 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

MAZ009>011-140415-
/O.UPG.KBOX.FR.Y.0005.070514T0500Z-070514T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.070514T0500Z-070514T1000Z/
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD
358 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY. THE
FROST ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE FREEZE WARNING INCLUDES
HAMPDEN AND EASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. 
THE GROWING SEASON RECENTLY BEGAN ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS MAY 10TH.

WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
DIMINISHING WINDS ACROSS THE PIONEER VALLEY AFTER 1 AM WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS PRIOR TO DAYBREAK. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S WITH
THE COLDEST READINGS ACROSS THE NORMALLY COLDER LOW LYING SECTIONS.
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO HOVER BETWEEN 29 AND 32 DEGREES BETWEEN 330AM
AND 530AM.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION.  ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-013-017>023-026-RIZ001-003-006-140415-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0005.070514T0500Z-070514T1000Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...AYER...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
358 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN WORCESTER
COUNTY...RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE EXCEPTIONS
INCLUDE THE IMMEDIATE BOSTON AREA...NANTUCKET AND BLOCK ISLANDS.

AREAS OF FROST WILL OCCUR TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND 
DIMINISHING WIND. THE FORECAST IS FOR A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING FROST
FOR VULNERABLE VEGETATION. TEMPERATURES IN A FEW SPOTS MAY DROP TO 32
DEGREES BETWEEN 4 AM AND 530 AM...ESPECIALLY NEAR WILLIMANTIC...
TAUNTON...NORWOOD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

STRAUSS

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 140220
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1020 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

MAZ009>011-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.070514T0500Z-070514T1000Z/
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD
1020 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR THE
SPRINGFIELD NORTHAMPTON AREA OF SOUTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS.

WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ACROSS THE PIONEER VALLEY AFTER 2 AM WITH
FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR AN HOUR OR TWO PRIOR TO DAYBREAK.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S
WITH THE COLDEST READINGS ACROSS THE NORMALLY COLDER LOW LYING
SECTIONS. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO HOVER BETWEEN 29 AND 32 DEGREES
BETWEEN APPROXIMATELY 4 AM AND 530 AM.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION.  ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-013-017>023-026-RIZ001-003-006-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0005.070514T0500Z-070514T1000Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...AYER...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
1020 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE COUNTRYSIDE OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN RHODE
ISLAND AND MUCH OF THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS SUBURBAN REGION INCLUDING
THE UPPER PART OF CAPE COD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

AREAS OF FROST WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
DIMINISHING WIND. THE FORECAST IS FOR A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING FROST
FOR VULNERABLE VEGETATION. TEMPERATURES IN A FEW SPOTS WILL DROP TO
32 DEGREES BETWEEN 4 AM AND 530 AM...ESPECIALLY NEAR WILLIMANTIC...
TAUNTON...NORWOOD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN PLUNGING WITH READINGS IN SOME OF THE COUNTRYSIDE
DROPPING 7 DEGREES AN HOUR LATE THIS EVENING...ALREADY DOWN 20 TO 25 DEGREES
FROM THE MID AFTERNOON HIGH IN THE 60S.

MOUNT WASHINGTONS TEMPERATURE AT 9 PM WAS 23 DEGREES...AN INDICATOR OF
HOW COLD IT CAN GET IN THE WELL KNOWN BOGGY TYPE REGIONS EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...PROVIDED WINDS REMAIN CALM.

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING
THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO
HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY
LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$
DRAG

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 140758
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
358 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MAZ009>011-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070514T1000Z/
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD
358 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING
FOR THE SPRINGFIELD NORTHAMPTON AREA OF SOUTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS.

WIDESPREAD FROST IS DEVELOPING UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH NEARLY
CALM WINDS. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR FREEZING AND WILL BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN
28 AND 32 DEGREES IN MUCH OF THIS AREA BY 530 AM. 

THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES WILL THEN RISE RAPIDLY...AS THE SUN STARTS
THE MERCURY MOVING TOWARD THE MID SUMMER HEAT EXPECTED HERE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE
WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PROTECTING TENDER VEGETATION
THROUGH 6 AM. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD
ALREADY BE COVERED OR INSIDE FROM THE COLD.

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-013-017>023-026-RIZ001-003-006-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070514T1000Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...AYER...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
358 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING
OVER THE COUNTRYSIDE OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN AND NORTHERN
RHODE ISLAND... MUCH OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND THE UPPER PART OF CAPE COD.

THE URBAN CENTERS ARE GENERALLY SAFE FROM FROST WHERE TEMPERATURES
SHOULD ONLY BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. .

MEANWHILE...FOR THE SUBURBS...AREAS OF FROST ARE DEVELOPING UNDER 
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WIND. TEMPERATURES IN A FEW SPOTS
WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES BETWEEN 430 AM AND 530 AM...ESPECIALLY
NEAR WILLIMANTIC... TAUNTON...NORWOOD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

READINGS IN SOME SPOTS HAVE DROPPED 6 TO 12 HOURS IN AN HOURS TIME JUST
BEFORE DAWN AS THE WIND FINALLY LET UP. 

CONDITIONS IN THE COUNTRYSIDE THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE
WITH SOME PLACES NEAR FREEZING WHILE JUST 3 OR 4 MILES AWAY TEMPERATURES
WERE 10 DEGREES WARMER. THE NEAR FREEZING CONDITION WITH DEVELOPING
FROST IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD LARGER SECTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND EARLY THIS MORNING.

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING
THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO
CONTINUE PROTECTING TENDER VEGETATION EARLY TODAY. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS
NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM
THE COLD.

$$

DRAG

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 140842 AAA
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
442 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MAZ009>011-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070514T1000Z/
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD
442 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING
FOR THE SPRINGFIELD NORTHAMPTON AREA OF SOUTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS.

WIDESPREAD FROST IS DEVELOPING UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH NEARLY
CALM WINDS. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR FREEZING AND WILL BOTTOM OUT
BETWEEN 28 AND 32 DEGREES IN MUCH OF THIS AREA BY 530 AM.

THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES WILL THEN RISE RAPIDLY...AS THE SUN
STARTS THE MERCURY MOVING TOWARD THE MID SUMMER HEAT EXPECTED
HERE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE PROTECTING
TENDER VEGETATION THROUGH 6 AM. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY
LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD ALREADY BE COVERED OR INSIDE FROM THE COLD.

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-013-017>023-026-RIZ001-003-006-141000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070514T1000Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...
CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...AYER...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
442 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...


A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING
OVER THE COUNTRYSIDE OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN AND NORTHERN
RHODE ISLAND... MUCH OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND THE UPPER PART OF CAPE COD.

THE URBAN CENTERS ARE GENERALLY SAFE FROM FROST WHERE TEMPERATURES
SHOULD ONLY BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. .

MEANWHILE...FOR THE SUBURBS...AREAS OF FROST ARE DEVELOPING UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WIND. TEMPERATURES IN A FEW
SPOTS WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES BETWEEN 430 AM AND
530 AM...ESPECIALLY NEAR WILLIMANTIC... TAUNTON...NORWOOD AND
MARTHAS VINEYARD.

READINGS IN SOME SPOTS HAVE DROPPED 6 TO 12 DEGREES IN AN HOURS 
TIME JUST BEFORE DAWN AS THE WIND FINALLY LET UP.

CONDITIONS IN THE COUNTRYSIDE THROUGH 3 AM HAVE BEEN HIGHLY
VARIABLE WITH SOME PLACES NEAR FREEZING WHILE JUST 3 OR 4 MILES
AWAY TEMPERATURES WERE 10 DEGREES WARMER. THE NEAR FREEZING
CONDITION WITH DEVELOPING FROST IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD LARGER
SECTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EARLY THIS MORNING.

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO CONTINUE PROTECTING TENDER VEGETATION EARLY TODAY.
ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR
BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

DRAG ..CORRECTED TYPO PGH 4 FROST ADVY SECTION..

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
915 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
SEASONABLE COOL WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY FOLLOWED BY FROST/FREEZE
CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY MON MORNING.  WARMING TREND BEGINS
MONDAY WITH SUMMER-LIKE TEMPS TUESDAY.  FRONTAL PASSAGE SOMETIME MID
WEEK FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AND POSSIBLY WET WEATHER THU THROUGH
SAT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 9 AM...SKIES HAVE BECOME SUNNY ACROSS ALL BUT EXTREME
SOUTHEAST MA. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AND ALL LOCATIONS WILL BE
SUNNY BY AFTERNOON AS MUCH DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION.  ALL
FORECAST PRODUCTS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE UPDATED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE
TRENDS.

DESPITE 850 MB TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AROUND +1C TODAY...THE STRONG
MAY SUN ANGLE ALONG WITH A WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW THE
MERCURY TO RISE WELL INTO THE 60S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS.  NORTHERLY
WINDS BLOWING OFF THE OCEAN SHOULD HOLD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S ACROSS PARTS OF CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
***RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN AND FROST ADVISORY TONIGHT***

TONIGHT...FROST ADVY ISSUED WHERE TEMPS FCST TO BOTTOM OUT BLO 37F IN HE
REGION WHICH IS NOW CONSIDERED VULNERABLE TO DAMAGE WHICH IS CEF-ORH-
LWM SEWD. URBAN CENTERS NO FROST PROBLEM. PATCHY AC MAY DEVELOP ARD
10Z BUT TOO LATE TO MINIMIZE FROST POTENTIAL. WE ARE AWARE OF A NW
GRADIENT EARLY THIS EVENING BUT BLV THE SFC RDGING WILL ALLOW
DECOUPLING. NGM MOS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN STEADY FOR 5 CONSEC RUNS FCSTG
29-33F AT CON NH WHICH IS ALSO AN EXCT FCST BASELINE MIN TEMP FOR THE
COUNTRYSIDE OF SE MASS IN SIMILAR PATTERN.

00Z/13 GFS MOS TEMPS MAY BE A TAD COLD AND SO DID NOT OPT FOR A FREEZE
WARNING AS CONFIDENCE ON HITTING FREEZING IN THE FROST ADVY REGION
IS BELOW THE CATEGORICAL CONSIDERATION DESIRED FOR A WARNING. HOWEVER...
SHELTER TEMPS OF 33-36F WOULD ALLOW FOR FROST /SOMETIMES YOU CAN LOSE
15F BTWN SHELTER-NEAR GROUND/. THEREFORE...SINCE SPRING HAS
SPRUNG...WE WANT ALL THOSE WHO NEED TO BE THINKING OF PROTECTIVE
OPTIONS TO BEGIN PREPARATIONS. OUR DAYSHIFT FORECASTS MAY ADJUST THE
ADVY REGION.

IF FREEZING TEMPS ARE MORE LIKELY...AN UPGRADE TO A FREEZE WARNING MIGHT
BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF N CT AND SE MASS BUT ATTM WE BLV WE HAVE A REASONABLE
FCST ISSUED WITH GREATEST UNCERTAINTY ON LOW TEMP BEING CAPE COD WHERE
AM NOT SURE OF DECOUPLING.

MONDAY...MOS GUIDANCE. ANOTHER VERY VERY NICE DAY

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
*** ENERGETIC AND AMPLIFYING NORTHERN STREAM JET WILL LIKELY CHANGE
 OUR WARM AND DRY PATTERN TO COOL AND WET MID TO LATE WEEK ***

WARMER AIR REMAINS ON TRACK TO ARRIVE TUE. INITIAL PULSE OF WARM AIR
ALOFT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA MON NIGHT. THIS MAY TRIGGER A PERIOD OF
VERY LIGHT RAIN OR MORE LIKELY JUST SOME SPRINKLES.

BY TUE...OTHER THAN THE NAM/WRF ALL 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE BLAST VERY
WARM AIR INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH GFS AND UKMET 850 TEMPS
CLIMBING TO +15C BY 00Z WED. NEW 00Z ECMWF HAS +18C AT 850 ENTERING
CT AT THIS TIME. GIVEN SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS TUE TEMPS SHOULD SOAR
INTO THE LOW AND MID 80S FROM BDL-IJD-SFZ-GHG AND POINTS NORTHWARD.
THERE IS EVEN A LOW PROB THAT A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR
MAY HIT 90 HOWEVER...FOR NOW WE WILL ONLY GO 3-5 DEGS ABOVE GFS/MAV
MOS HIGHS FOR TUE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SUMMER-LIKE TEMPS TUE...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH
POSSIBLE.

WED THROUGH SATURDAY...
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF COLD
FRONT. NAM AND UKMET HAVE FRONT ENTERING SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUE
NIGHT OR EARLY WED. MEANWHILE...THE GFS/ECMWF AND GGEM KEEP THE
FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH WED...AS DIGGING GREAT LAKES
TROF YIELDS SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER NEW ENGLAND...HALTING SOUTHWARD
PROGRESSION OF FRONT. THEREFORE...COOL DOWN WILL LIKELY NOT BEGIN
UNTIL WED NIGHT OR THU. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY AND TIME RANGE HERE...WE
BLENDED OUR PREVIOUS WED TEMP FORECAST WITH 00Z GFS/MEX MOS...TO
INDICATE A DELAY IN THE PREDICTED COOL DOWN.

THE 00Z GFS NOW SUPPORTS THE ECMWF IDEA OF A CLOSED LOW OVER THE
NORTHEAST LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE
REGION THU VIA AMPLIFYING TROF EXITING THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROMOTE
COLD FRONT TO SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION. NORTHEAST WINDS OFF CHILLY
MASS BAY WATERS ALONG WITH COOL AIR ALOFT /+1C AT 850MB/ MAY YIELD
COOLER HIGHS THU THAN WE ARE CURRENTLY FORECASTING. NEXT SHIFT WILL
HAVE TO EVALUATE CLOSER WITH 12Z MODEL SUITE.

00Z MODEL SUITE NOW OFFER THREE MODELS /GFS...ECMWF AND GGEM/
EVOLVING NORTHEAST TROF INTO A CLOSED LOW...WITH CYCLOGENESIS NEAR
SHORE IN THE FRI-SAT TIME FRAME. COULD BE SIGNIFICANT QPF AS MODELS
SUGGEST FLOW AMPLIFIES ENOUGH TO TAP INTO SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE.
THEREFORE...WE MAY HAVE TO ADD POPS TO THU-FRI-SAT FORECAST AFTER
REVIEWING NEXT MODEL CYCLE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CEILINGS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.  AS OF 8
AM...BROKEN DECK OF 4 TO 6 THOUSAND FOOT CLOUDS HAS PUSHED SOUTHEAST
OF I-95.  SOUTHERN RI AND FAR SOUTHEAST MA WILL SEE SKIES BECOME
SUNNY LATER THIS MORNING AS MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED MON NIGHT AND TUE. THEN MVFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE WITH SHOWERS AND TSTMS TUE NIGHT AND WED AS COLD FRONT
ENTERS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE WED NIGHT OR THU
WITH MVFR CEILINGS LIKELY...HOWEVER VSBYS SHOULD BE GOOD.

&&

.MARINE...
NEARSHORE E MASS COAST /NBT-BOS/ AND RI NARR BAY MAY SEE A FEW G23KTS
ARD 21Z THIS AFTN BUT NO SCA ATTM.

SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE MON NIGHT AND TUE. COLD FRONT ACROSS NY
STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL DRIFT SOUTH AND TIGHTEN THE PRES
GRADIENT. THIS WILL RESULT IN WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 KT
MON NIGHT/TUE AND POSSIBLE INTO WED. NEAR SHORE TUE WHERE TEMPS CLIMB
INTO THE 70S AND 80S...WIND GUSTS OF 35-40 KT ARE POSSIBLE. FRONT
SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS SOMETIME LATER WED/WED NIGHT AND THEN
SOUTH OF THE WATERS THU...THEN STALLING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED WHERE COMBINED GFS MXG HTS AND MAX GUST ALGORITHM USING POWER FUNCTION
TO GET ALL WE COULD OUT OF THE WIND POTENTIAL. LOOKS LIKE A 3-4 HR WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY ROUGHLY 3PM-6PM...BEST SHOT S NH. REALIZE ITS TINDER DRY
SE MASS BUT OUR FCST WIND BELOW CRITERIA. HOWEVER...ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER EXISTS MUCH OF NE CT/RI/EMA AND S NH.

RED FLAG POTENTIAL MONDAY AFTN ALONG AND S OF MASS PIKE BUT WITH A
WARNING GOING THIS AFTN..KEPT THE PRODUCT ISSUANCE SIMPLE. DAYSHIFT MAY
BE MORE WILLING TO ISSUE A WATCH FOR MONDAY. ATTM...WE THOUGHT BL AND
TRANSPORT WINDS WERE 5 KTS LESS AND SO PROBABILISTICALLY NOT QUITE AS
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON A SUCCESSFUL OUTCOME. CURRENT HAINES FCST IS SOMEWHAT
SUBDUED TOMORROW AS COMPARED TO TODAY...BUT STILL POTENT.

LAST WETTING RAIN /SIGNIFICANT GREATER THAN 1/4 INCH IN 12 HRS/ FOR
THE BOS-PVD CORRIDOR WAS APRIL 27-28. THATS TWO WEEKS OF ESSENTIALLY
1/3RD INCH OR LESS HERE... 25 PCT OR LESS OF NORMAL FOR MUCH OF RI/SE
MASS AND EVEN A SMALL PTN OF E CT. SO DESPITE RAPID GREENUP...
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH CONTINUES.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR MAZ005>007-
     009>013-017>023-026.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     MAZ013.
NH...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NHZ011-012-015.
RI...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY FOR RIZ001-003-006.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     RIZ001.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG/NOCERA
NEAR TERM...FRANK
SHORT TERM...DRAG
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...FRANK/DRAG
MARINE...DRAG/NOCERA
FIRE WEATHER...DRAG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

NHZ011-012-015-140845-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RED FLAG CONDITIONS MAY ONCE AGAIN BE MET MONDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY FOR GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ236-MAZ002>004-008-014>016-024-RIZ002-004-005-007-008-140845-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NANTUCKET MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE
ISLAND...SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAIN LOW AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME
GUSTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-009>012-017>023-026-RIZ003-006-140845-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAIN LOW AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME
GUSTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ013-RIZ001-140845-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.
   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAIN LOW AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME
GUSTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>235-237-250-254-255-140845-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
440 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY REACH GALE FORCE NEAR SHORE TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DRAG/NOCERA