Flood Watch 7, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WGUS61 KBOX 030205
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1005 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...NOEL EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...

.DURING SATURDAY MORNING...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED
WITH NOEL ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND RHODE ISLAND. THESE RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING DURING SATURDAY.

MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-031000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0007.071103T1200Z-071103T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1005 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...
  EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA...NORTHERN
  BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK
  MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...
  BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...
  NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI
  AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* NOEL IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS CAPE COD
  AND THE ISLANDS DURING SATURDAY. TWO TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE
  POSSIBLE THROUGH BOSTON...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.
  THESE RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS.

* THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN URBAN AND 
  POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ANY LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS COULD EXACERBATE 
  OR ENABLE FLOODING. SOME SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 

REMOVAL OF LEAVES FROM STORM DRAINS SHOULD BE STRONGLY
CONSIDERED.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

NMB/BELK

000 
WGUS61 KBOX 030856
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
456 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...NOEL EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND TODAY...

.RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-031700-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FA.A.0007.071103T1500Z-071104T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
456 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES 
  MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA...
  NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH 
  MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. 
  IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT 
  RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST 
  PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL ARE FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO LOCALLY
  5 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS DURING THE DAY
  TODAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN BOSTON...THE REMAINDER
  OF SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...AND RHODE ISLAND. THESE RAINS WILL
  BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

* THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN URBAN AND 
  POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ANY LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS COULD EXACERBATE 
  OR ENABLE FLOODING. SOME SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 

REMOVAL OF LEAVES FROM STORM DRAINS SHOULD BE STRONGLY
CONSIDERED.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

000 
WGUS61 KBOX 031454
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1054 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL COASTAL STORM WILL BRING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN
A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW ENGLAND...

MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-032300-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0007.071103T1500Z-071104T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1054 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES 
  MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA...
  NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH 
  MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. 
  IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT 
  RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST 
  PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI.

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL HAVE TRANSITIONED INTO A DANGEROUSLY
  STRONG COASTAL STORM. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO
  LOCALLY 5 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS THROUGH
  EARLY EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN BOSTON...THE
  REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...AND RHODE ISLAND. THESE
  RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

* SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS MAY SEE RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES IN JUST 4 OR 5 HOURS DURING THE PEAK OF
  THE STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

* THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN URBAN AND 
  POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ANY LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS COULD EXACERBATE 
  OR ENABLE FLOODING. SOME SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 

REMOVAL OF LEAVES FROM STORM DRAINS IS HIGHLY ENCOURAGED. THE RAIN
SHOULD RAPIDLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

FRANK

000 
WGUS61 KBOX 032043
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
443 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL COASTAL STORM WILL BRING VERY HEAVY RAIN
IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

MAZ013-015>017-RIZ001>008-032145-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...
WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...
BLOCK ISLAND
443 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR WILL BE
1 TO 2 INCHES. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY
SIGNIFICANT FLOOD CONCERNS. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
 
$$

MAZ018>024-040000-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...
NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
443 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...
  NANTUCKET MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA AND 
  WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA.

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES HAS ALREADY OCCURRED OVER THE CAPE
  AND ISLANDS. TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
  CAPE AND ISLANDS BY THE TIME THE RAIN TAPERS OFF LATER THIS
  EVENING. ACROSS SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  WILL BE 2 TO 3 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
  FLOODING.

* RAINFALL RATES MAY EXCEED ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS
  INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE
  COD.  

REMOVAL OF LEAVES FROM STORM DRAINS IS HIGHLY ENCOURAGED. THE RAIN
SHOULD RAPIDLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. THE GREATEST CONCERN IS FOR SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.  

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR HYDROLOGY SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
152 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER TODAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.
HURRICANE NOEL WILL DEVELOP INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL OCEAN
STORM...PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD ON SATURDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND COASTAL FLOODING FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN FOLLOW
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
GENERALLY CLEAR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EXCEPTION IS OVER THE CAPE
AND ISLANDS WHERE A PATCH OF STRATOCUMULUS IS MOVING ACROSS. THIS
SHOULD THIN AND MOVE OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SO WE STILL EXPECT CLEAR
SKIES FOR THE AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES AND WINDS ARE IN LINE WITH
CURRENT GRIDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
GFS WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE TODAY DUE TO ITS CONSISTENCY IN HANDLING
CURRENT HURRICANE NOEL. THE OPERATIONAL RUN OF THE GFS MIGHT BE A TAD
SLOW PER THE 00Z ENSEMBLE MEAN...BUT IT DOES HAVE GOOD SUPPORT FROM
THE UKMET AND ECMWF. NAM HAD HAD TROUBLE WITH NOEL FOR THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS...AND WAS DISCOUNTED FOR BEING TOO SLOW AND WEAK.

HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL FOR TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. ONCE IT SHIFTS
INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THOUGH...THE DOOR WILL BE OPEN FOR NOEL TO
APPROACH LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

SLIGHTLY SLOWED DOWN THE ONSET OF RAIN FROM THE GFS MOS TIMING AS THE
LOWER LEVELS SHOULD START OUT QUITE DRY. DID INCREASE THE MOS WIND
SPEEDS SIGNIFICANTLY...AS THE RAW MODEL 10 M WINDS ARE 15-20 KTS
HIGHER. COULD SEE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR A TIME DURING THE
TRANSITION OF NOEL TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY
HIGH ON THIS...YET...SO WILL LET NEXT SHIFT GET ANOTHER LOOK BEFORE
COMMITTING. EITHER WAY...WILL LEAVE THE HIGH WIND WATCH AS IS FOR
THIS PACKAGE.

THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR CAPE COD AND
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. EVEN WITH FORECAST TRACK
UNCERTAINTIES...THIS AREA LOOKS TO BE UNDER THE GUN REGARDLESS. THE
WARNING MAY BE EXPANDED TO ADDITIONAL ZONES LATER TODAY AFTER WE
RECEIVE MORE INFORMATION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL BE EXITING THE COASTAL
WATERS EARLY SATURDAY EVENING...MOVING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
BY MIDNIGHT. AS SUCH...ANY RAIN WILL BE QUICKLY TAPERING OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST...WITH ANY PRECIPITATION ENDING ACROSS THE OUTER CAPE
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE DIMINISHING AS THE
CENTER OF THE STORM MOVES AWAY...BUT DAMAGING GUSTS MAY STILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS OVER EASTERNMOST ZONES.
OTHERWISE...WE EXPECT RAPID CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST ALONG WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S AT MOST LOCATIONS.
CERTAINLY A BLUSTERY AND COLD NIGHT.

BREEZY NW FLOW FOR SUNDAY ALONG WITH SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS SHOULD
RECOVER INTO THE 50S GIVEN THE DECENT DOWNSLOPE FLOW.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING CRESTS OVER THE CWA SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A
SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW ON MONDAY. EXPECT MONDAY TO BE
DRY...EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS FOR SOME SPRINKLES LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS
THE FAR INTERIOR. WILL LIKELY SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AS WAA
STRENGTHENS.

COLD FRONT LOOKS TO CROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. HAVE
THEREFORE FORECASTED A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. THE EFFECTS OF
CURRENT HURRICANE NOEL WILL START TO ARRIVE FROM SOUTHEAST TO
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. EXPECTING MVFR CEILINGS AS FAR WEST
AS KMHT- KORH- KIJD...WITH IFR ACROSS EASTERN MA. VERY STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS...IN SOME CASES NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...WILL MAKE AIR
TRAVEL DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN MA AND RI.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...EXPECT
DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE POWERFUL
REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE IN TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH MONDAY NIGHT AND CROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY.
SOME MVFR OR IFR CONDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME THEN.

&&

.MARINE...
EXPECTING STORM FORCE CONDITIONS AT A MINIMUM ACROSS MOST OF THE
COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY...WITH GALE FORCE CONDITIONS TONIGHT. COULD
SEE WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE FOR A TIME SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. EARLY THOUGHTS ARE TO DROP THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES...AND START TO ADVERTISE THE POTENTIAL OF
NOEL. WILL WAIT UNTIL AFTER COORDINATION CALL WITH NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER BEFORE FINALIZING.

IN THE LONGER TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE POWERFUL
REMNANTS OF NOEL MOVE INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. EVEN
STILL...WINDS AND SEAS MAY REMAIN AT DANGEROUS LEVELS FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE NIGHT...WITH STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS EARLY IN
THE EVENING TRANSITIONING OVER TO GALES. SEAS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH
ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS
MAY INCREASE TO SCA LEVELS ONCE AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUE IN
ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CLEARING OUT LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS SHOULD BE STRONGLY CONSIDERED.

PLAN TO GO WITH TIMING OF RAINFALL OF GFS...BELIEVE THAT THIS SYSTEM
WILL BE VERY PROGRESSIVE. INITIAL RAIN SHIELD FROM NOEL SHOULD REACH
CAPE COD TO BOSTON AROUND SUNRISE...WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
FOLLOWING SHORTLY THEREAFTER ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.

A RESPECTABLE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED OVER CAPE COD AND
THE ISLANDS. TWO TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN SOUTHEAST MA AND SOUTHEAST
RI...COULD BE AS FAR NORTH AND WEST AS BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE. STRONG
DYNAMICS MAY ENABLE SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM...SO ISOLATED HIGHER
RAINFALL TOTALS POSSIBLE.

FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS HIGH...WITH 3 HOUR VALUES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
STREAM LEVELS ARE BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL IN THESE LOCALES...DUE
TO CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS. GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL
FOR SUBSTANTIAL FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS...LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS WILL
CREATE ADDITIONAL RISK FOR SUBSTANTIAL POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. IN
SUMMARY...BELIEVE THAT A FLOOD WATCH IS WARRANTED FROM BOSTON TO THE
PROVIDENCE METRO AREA AND SOUTHEAST.

THIS IS IN LINE WITH THE HPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
FROM THIS MORNING.

FOR THE NORTH SHORE AND LOCALES JUST WEST OF THE WATCH AREA...1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN COULD PRODUCE MINOR POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN FLOODING.
WILL ADDRESS THIS IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
MINOR TO PERHAPS POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG
E MA COAST WITH SAT EVENING HIGH TIDE.

LATEST GFS SURGE GUIDANCE SHOWS POTENTIAL FOR MINOR FLOODING WITH A
SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FT...BUT THIS IS PROBABLY A BIT UNDERDONE DUE TO
MODEL WINDS BEING A LITTLE CONSERVATIVE AND FACT THAT WE WILL HAVE
HIGH SEAS /NEAR 25 FT/ JUST OFFSHORE.

IF WE REALIZE HIGHER WINDS /OVER 55 KT/...SEAS WOULD BUILD HIGHER
/NEAR 30 FT/ WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A STORM SURGE NEAR 3 FT IN A FEW
LOCATIONS. THIS WOULD LEAD TO POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING...
WHICH REPRESENTS A WORST CASE SCENARIO RIGHT NOW.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR MAZ005>007-013>021.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
     NIGHT FOR MAZ022>024.
NH...NONE.
RI...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
     FOR RIZ001>008.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
ANZ231-232-250.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ233-235.
     STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ230.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ236-237.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ234.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY
     NIGHT FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EKSTER
NEAR TERM...WTB
SHORT TERM...BELK/KC
LONG TERM...EKSTER
AVIATION...BELK/EKSTER
MARINE...BELK/EKSTER
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

MAZ005>007-013>021-RIZ001>008-031715-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES.
ALSO...HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED THAT SHOULD TOTAL 2 TO 3
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

MAZ022>024-031715-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES.
ALSO...HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED THAT SHOULD TOTAL 2 TO 3
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ231-232-250-031715-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR HURRICANE FORCE WIND
GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ233-235-031715-
VINEYARD SOUND-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR HURRICANE FORCE WIND
GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ230-031715-
BOSTON HARBOR-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR NEAR-HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ236-237-031715-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR NEAR-HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ234-031715-
BUZZARDS BAY-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR NEAR-HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

ANZ254-255-031715-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF NOEL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

THE POWERFUL REMNANTS OF HURRICANE NOEL WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST
OF CAPE COD DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS...INCLUDING THE THREAT FOR HURRICANE FORCE WIND
GUSTS AS WELL AS VERY LARGE AND BATTERING SEAS...POSSIBLY GREATER
THAN 30 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-031715-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
106 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FEW WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 40 TO 45 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL MOVE TO THE EAST OF CAPE COD.
OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY.