Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flood Watches in 2007
Flood Watch 5, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flood watch at May 17, 2007, 2:24 PM EDT for 4 states. It took effect at May 18, 2007, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 17, 2007, 2:24 PM EDT (18:24 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 18, 2007, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- May 19, 2007, 2:08 AM EDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
- Flood severity
- None
All 22 counties
Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 522 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS61 KBOX 171824 FFABOX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 224 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-180300- /O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1200Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 224 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA... NANTUCKET MA...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA... SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI... BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CTZ002>004-MAZ002>012-014-026-NHZ011-012-015-180300- /O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1800Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...AYER...JAFFREY... KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 224 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT... TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN ESSEX MA...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA... EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...WESTERN ESSEX MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA... WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE HIGHER TOTALS ARE MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS TO THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN WORCESTER COUNTY AND IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. MINOR FLOODING MAY OCCUR ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM HARTFORD TO MIDDLETOWN. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ JWD
5 follow-up statements
000 WGUS61 KBOX 180253 FFABOX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1053 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-181100- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1200Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 1053 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA... NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI. * FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CTZ002>004-MAZ002>012-014-026-NHZ011-012-015-181100- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1800Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...AYER...JAFFREY... KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 1053 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN ESSEX MA... EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...WESTERN ESSEX MA... WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. * FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE HIGHER TOTALS ARE MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS TO THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN WORCESTER COUNTY AND IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. MINOR FLOODING MAY OCCUR ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM HARTFORD TO MIDDLETOWN. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ EVT
000 WGUS61 KBOX 181012 FFABOX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 612 AM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-181815- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1200Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 612 AM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA... NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI. * THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ CTZ002>004-MAZ002>012-014-026-NHZ011-012-015-181815- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.070518T1800Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...AYER...JAFFREY... KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 612 AM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT. IN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN ESSEX MA... EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA...SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA...WESTERN ESSEX MA... WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA. IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH. * FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE HIGHER TOTALS ARE MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS TO THE MERRIMACK VALLEY AND MONADNOCK REGION. * THIS WOULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN WORCESTER COUNTY AND IN THE MERRIMACK VALLEY. MINOR FLOODING MAY OCCUR ALONG THE LOWER REACHES OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM HARTFORD TO MIDDLETOWN. SIGNIFICANT URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ THOMPSON
000 WGUS61 KBOX 182022 FFABOX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 422 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-182130- /O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH- EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST... NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER... JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE 422 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND A HALF INCH. THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-190430- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 422 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA... NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI. * THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND TONIGHT. * THIS COULD PRODUCE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE WARNED AREA. SIGNIFICANT URBAN FLOODING MAY OCCUR AS WELL. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ MAZ005>007-014-190430- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE 422 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA AND SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA. IN NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX MA. * THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT. * THIS COULD PRODUCE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE FLOODING ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE WARNED AREA. SIGNIFICANT URBAN FLOODING MAY OCCUR AS WELL. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$
000 WGUS61 KBOX 190132 FFABOX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 932 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 MAZ013-015>024-RIZ001>008-190945- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA- NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI- WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI- NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 932 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...NANTUCKET MA... NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA...SUFFOLK MA...WESTERN NORFOLK MA AND WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA. IN RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND RI...BRISTOL RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NEWPORT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...WASHINGTON RI AND WESTERN KENT RI. * THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH. * THIS MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS...BUT LARGER RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS. URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ MAZ005>007-014-190945- /O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE 932 PM EDT FRI MAY 18 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA AND SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA. IN NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX MA. * THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. * THIS MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS. SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS WHICH FEED INTO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MAY APPROACH FLOOD STAGE AS WELL. URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS WELL. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. $$ JWD
000 WGUS61 KBOX 190608 FFABOX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 208 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 MAZ005>007-013>024-RIZ001>008-190715- /O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0005.000000T0000Z-070519T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA- EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI- BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY... TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD... MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN... VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE... WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY... NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND 208 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAINFALL FROM THE OCEAN LOW THAT IS PASSING EAST OF NEW ENGLAND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. POCKETS OF OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING...THEN WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM ABOUT 1/4 INCH IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY UP TO AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. WHILE THERE HAS BEEN SPOTTY URBAN AND STREET FLOODING FROM THIS STORM...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. $$ EVT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at May 17, 1:47 PM EDT, 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 17, 1:47 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
147 PM EDT THU MAY 17 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MAINE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST
TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF THE
BAHAMAS WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD FRI...TO THE EAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA...WHERE IT WILL LINK UP WITH THE FRONT. ABUNDANT TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL FLOW NORTHWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND BRINGING THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. THE OCEAN STORM WILL MEANDER TO THE S OF NEW
ENGLAND FRI NIGHT AND SAT THEN SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST. A PERIOD OF
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SAT MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CLOUDS REMAIN LOCKED IN OVER MOST OF REGION DUE TO NE FLOW...EXCEPT
ACROSS LOWER CT VALLEY WHERE CLEARING HAS PERSISTED THIS MORNING. WE
EXPECT CLOUDS TO HANG TOUGH INTO AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM
MERRIMACK VALLEY INTO SE MA WHERE MOIST LAYER IS FAIRLY DEEP...WHILE
BREAKS DEVELOP FARTHER INLAND FROM FAR SW NH INTO CENTRAL MA AND RI.
OVER WESTERN MA AND NORTHERN CT...DIURNAL CLOUDS WILL FILL IN DUE TO
DAYTIME HEATING...BUT THIS IS WHERE MOST SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED THROUGH
AFTERNOON. WE ALSO KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR HARTFORD/SPRINGFIELD
AREA WHERE 12Z NAM CONTINUES TO INDICATE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL FORM BETWEEN 2 PM AND 6 PM...MAINLY AS A RESULT OF MARGINAL
INSTABILITY DUE TO COLD AIR ALOFT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
MODELS SHOW OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION SCREAMING NORTHWARD ON
DEEPENING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL LOWER AND THICKEN
THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY SOME POSSIBLE DRIZZLE BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THEN
RAIN WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST ON THE SOUTH COAST BETWEEN 10 PM AND
MIDNIGHT...THEN OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND BY DAYBREAK FRI. THE RAIN COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY TOWARD
DAYBREAK IN SOUTH COASTAL AREAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODEL SOLUTIONS STILL CONTINUE IN TWO CAMPS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
THE DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT OF THE OCEAN STORM WORKING ITS WAY UP
THE EASTERN SEABOARD FRIDAY-SUNDAY. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
STILL SHOWING THE UPPER TROUGH WORKING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES IN ITS
POSITIVE TILT...WITH EVEN SOME LIGHTNING ACROSS INDIANA AND WESTERN
OHIO. WITH THE CONSISTENCY OF THE ECMWF LED GROUP...WHICH INCLUDES
THE WRF/NAM...USED THE NAM AS THE FORECAST BASE FOR TODAYS LONG
TERM.
ALSO NOTED THAT THE LOW IS GATHERING JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS...AND
WILL HAVE A VERY GOOD TROPICAL CONNECTION AS IT HEADS NORTHWARD.
HOWEVER...PRIOR TO THIS...WILL HAVE MOISTURE CONTINUING FOR FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT FROM THE DEFORMATION ZONE THAT WORKED BACK ON THE
COAST FROM THE STALLED FRONT OFFSHORE. IRONICALLY...THE NAM AND GFS
WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS ASPECT. WILL LIKELY SEE
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS...
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST FOR BOTH FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE MODEL DIFFERENCES COME INTO PLAY STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH
THE NAM BRINGING THE LOW CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
FRIDAY NIGHT...TRYING TO BECOME CAPTURED BY THE CUTOFF UPPER LOW
WHICH WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST OR DELMARVA
PENINSULA BY EARLY SATURDAY. THE NAM EVEN LOOPS THE LOW ACROSS
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT TO SE NY THEN TO THE JERSEY COAST BY 12Z
SUNDAY. ANOTHER BATCH OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
EASTERN AREAS SATURDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH HIGH WINDS ESPECIALLY
OFF THE COAST...THEN A DRY SLOT MAY ACTUALLY WORK INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
AT THIS POINT...WITH THE TROPICAL CONNECTION...FORECASTED QPF FROM
06Z FRI THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 2-4 INCHES...
WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS INTO RHODE ISLAND
AND EXTREME EASTERN CONNECTICUT. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WATCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL COULD OCCUR DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING...SO STILL SOME TIME TO
WATCH THIS.
APPEARS AT THIS POINT THAT THE LOW...IF IT INDEED DOES DO THE LOOP
TO THE JERSEY COAST...WILL SLOWLY BUT STEADILY MOVE EASTWARD WITH
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DURING SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION...THOUGH DO NOT EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL
WITH THIS. IF THINGS GO ACCORDING TO THIS...IMPROVING WEATHER COULD
ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH SUNSHINE FOR MONDAY.
HOWEVER...THE TIMING IS STILL UNCERTAIN...SO WILL GO WITH THIS WITH
CAVEATS FOR NOW.
BEYOND MONDAY...APPEARS HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE OVER THE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY TIMEFRAME AS A LARGE SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONSHORE NE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN MVFR CEILINGS FROM MERRIMACK VALLEY
INTO EASTERN MA AND RI INTO TONIGHT...WITH POCKETS OF IFR OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN. CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT AS RAIN SPREADS
ONTO CAPE COD AND REACHES INTO KBOS/KPVD/KMHT/KORH BEFORE DAYBREAK.
ACROSS CT VALLEY...VFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY TONIGHT
BEFORE LOWERING TO MVFR BY MIDNIGHT...THEN IFR TOWARD DAYBREAK AS
WESTERN EDGE OF RAIN SHIELD MOVES IN.
IFR CONDITIONS LIKELY AREAWIDE FRI WITH PERIODS OF RAIN...MOST OF
WHICH WILL BE FOCUSED E OF KBDL-KORH-KMHT.
OUTLOOK FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
IFR/MVFR FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING...ESPECIALLY NEAR COAST. PERIODS
OF RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES AS WELL.
DEPENDING UPON THE ULTIMATE TRACK OF THE APPROACHING LOW...MAY SEE
A BREAK IN THE ACTION DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR CENTRAL AND
EASTERN AREAS...AS A POSSIBLE DRY SLOT MAY MOVE INTO THE REGION.
MAY SEE IMPROVEMENT TO VFR...BUT WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY INTO THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH THE UPPER LOW REMAINING SOUTH OF THE
REGION...COULD SEE CLOUDS REDEVELOP AFTER THE SUN BREAKS OUT.
PLUS...THE TIMING IS VERY UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT.
ON SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A LOT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...MAY SEE
MVFR-IFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS REDEVELOPING OVERNIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY...THEN MAY SEE MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS DURING MONDAY WITH
ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH.
&&
.MARINE...
IN THE SHORT TERM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUSTS
TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE OUTER WATERS TODAY. NORTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO PICK UP TO SUSTAINED 20-25 KNOTS TOWARD MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTH COAST. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5-8 FEET.
SO...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE ALL COASTAL
WATERS EXCEPT BOSTON HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY LATE TONIGHT AND
INTO FRIDAY.
LONG TERM...
EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE WITH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA MET
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE
WRF/NAM AND EC SOLUTION...WHICH MAY BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE
COAST SOMETIME SATURDAY. TIMING REMAINS UNCERTAIN...HOWEVER...SO
THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. FOR NOW...WILL BE SHIFTING WINDS
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH AS THE LOW MEANDERS NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST. LOW SHOULD MOVE EAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
THE MODELS SHOW EITHER OF SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS...BUT BOTH
BRING 3 INCHES OR MORE OF RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS
LIKELY TO BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR THIS EXPECTED RAIN.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH
COULD CAUSE A PROBLEM WITH COASTAL FLOODING AS THE LOW MAKES ITS WAY
UP THE COAST.
AT THIS POINT...THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT SHOULD
NOT HAVE PROBLEMS...AS THE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL JUST BE STARTING TO
PICK UP. SEAS WILL START TO BUILD AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE TIDE
HEIGHT FORECAST AT BOSTON HARBOR IS 12.1 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...SO WILL MONITOR CLOSELY.
SEEMS THAT THE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY TIDE WILL BE THE MOST VULNERABLE FOR
AT LEAST SOME SPLASHOVER ON EAST FACING BEACHES. TIDE TIMES RUN
BETWEEN 10 AND 11 PM FRIDAY NIGHT ON THE SOUTH COAST TO 1 TO 2 AM ON
THE EAST FACING COASTLINES. THE FORECAST HEIGHTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
LOWER...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR CONTINUED NORTHEAST WINDS AND SEAS
AT 5-8 FEET. HIGHEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO ARRIVE AFTER
THE HIGH TIDE TIMES...BUT IF TIMING CHANGES...MAY NEED TO ISSUE
WATCHES OR WARNINGS. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS TIMING DUE TO
CONTINUED MODEL DIFFERENCES ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS OCEAN STORM.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY
FOR ANZ231>235-237.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ250-254-255.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WTB
NEAR TERM...JWD
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...JWD
MARINE...WTB
HYDROLOGY...EVT
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...EVTHazardous weather outlook, May 17, 4:32 AM EDT, 9 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 432 AM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015- RIZ001>008-180845- BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND- BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-HARTFORD CT- TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA- NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA- EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA- EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA- EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI- WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI- 432 AM EDT THU MAY 17 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A STORM WILL BE MOVING UP THE COAST FRIDAY AND IT IS EXPECTED TO STALL TO THE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BEFORE HEADING NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD BRING SEVERAL PROBLEMS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN TO OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...MOST LIKELY IN RHODE ISLAND AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME SMALL STREAM AND POSSIBLY RIVER FLOODING. THIS SITUATION WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY. A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS MAY IMPACT THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND SOUNDS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WOULD COINCIDE WITH A HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE CAUSING THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL BY FRIDAY NIGHT. FIELD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2:33 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | BOX | Barnstable, Essex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk | 26 hr |
Nearby
Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2007Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2007Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2007Every flood watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.