Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
340 AM MDT WED AUG 29 2007

.SHORT TERM...SFC FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWARD WITH GOOD PUSH
OF LOW LVL MSTR WORKING ITS WAY WESTWARD INTO THE FRONT RANGE.
STRATUS/FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF ERN CO ATTM AND WILL COVER
ALL OF THE URBAN CORRIDOR BY SUNRISE. THERE HAS EVEN BEEN SOME ISOLD
CONVECTION AND WILL PROBABLY NEED TO ADD SOME LOW POPS EARLY THIS AM
ACROSS SRN FOOTHILLS AND PALMER DIVIDE AS FRONT INTERACTS WITH
HIGHER TERRAIN. BEHIND THE FRONT...AIRMASS WILL REMAIN CAPPED ACROSS
FAR ERN CO AND DONT SEE MUCH OF A CHANCE OF PRECIP THRU TNT.
CHANCES INCREASE FURTHER WEST INTO THE FOOTHILLS...WHERE MSTR AND
CONVERGENCE RESULTING IN THE BEST CHANCE THRU THIS EVENING.  COOLER
TEMPS TODAY...ESP OVER FAR NERN CO WITH READINGS REMAINING IN THE
UPPER 70S UNDER STRONG CAP AT 750MB.  SHOULD SEE A RETURN OF
STRATUS/FOG LATER TNT AND MAY AGAIN MOVE BACK INTO THE URBAN
CORRIDOR WITH DEVELOPMENT OF DEN CYCLONE PUSHING MSTR BACK
SOUTHWARD.

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS ON
THURSDAY WITH A WEAK WNWLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE STATE.  A MOIST AMS
WL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION FOR ONE MORE DAY SO THE STORMS THAT TO
DVLP IN THE AFTN COULD STILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...ALTHO THE TSTM
COVERAGE WILL BE MORE ISOLD.  INTERACTIVE SOUNDINGS SHOW THE
STRONGEST SUBSIDENCE OVER THE NERN PLAINS THURSDAY SO TSTMS COULD
GET CAPPED IN THE AFTN/EVNG.  BEST POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS WOULD APPEAR
TO BE OVER SRN AND WRN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA.  LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY THE RIDGE WILL START TO BUILD WITH A DRIER NLY FLOW DVLPG
OVER NERN CO.  THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.  THE MDLS
DO SHOW THE RIDGE FLATTENING SOMEWHAT AS A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES.  THIS DOES LITTLE TO AFFECT THE OVERALL FCST.  THE END
RESULT IS THE SAME...DRIER AND WARMER. AS A RESULT...ANY ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS WILL BE MINIMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...LIFR CIG CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS FRONT RANGE
AIRPORTS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY LIFT AFT 15Z THIS AM AND THEN
REDEVELOP AFT 10Z TNT. ISOLD TSRA POSSIBLE BTWN 22-02Z TODAY.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SENTREKI/COOPER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1052 AM MDT WED AUG 29 2007

COZ030>051-301200-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1052 AM MDT WED AUG 29 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT PUSHED ACROSS THE AREA LAST EVENING RESULTING IN LOTS
OF LOW CLOUDINESS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS
MORNING.  THE CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED QUITE A BIT NEAR THE FOOTHILLS AND
SHOULD GRADUALLY BREAK UP FARTHER EAST...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN TOO COOL TODAY TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS ON THE PLAINS.
HOWEVER...ENOUGH MOISTURE REMAINS AT MID LEVELS WITH ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE PUSHED UP INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND WITH SUNSHINE IN THESE
AREAS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS
ALOFT WILL ALLOW SOME STORMS TO MOVE INTO THE URBAN CORRIDOR BUT
PROBABLY NOT MUCH FARTHER TO THE EAST BECAUSE THE AIR WILL REMAIN
TOO STABLE THERE.  HEAVY RAINS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP.  ACTIVITY SHOULD MOSTLY BE OVER BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SZOKE/DANKERS