Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 050839
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
239 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

ALC091-050930-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070105T0930Z/
MARENGO AL-
239 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CST
FOR MARENGO COUNTY...

AT 237 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NANAFALIA TO MYRTLEWOOD...OR
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BUTLER TO 12 MILES
WEST OF LINDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SWEET
WATER...DIXONS MILL...JEFFERSON...HALF ACRE...SURGINER...SHILOH...
MILLER...MAGNOLIA...OCTAGON...LINDEN...OLD SPRING HILL...
PROVIDENCE...CHICKASAW STATE PARK...THOMASTON...DAYTON AND FAUNSDALE

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3214 8804 3216 8801 3227 8802 3231 8795
      3228 8793 3229 8792 3236 8800 3245 8799
      3252 8774 3248 8773 3248 8763 3244 8755
      3204 8764 3202 8805 3202 8805

$$

KNS/99

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 050902
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
302 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

ALC091-050930-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070105T0930Z/
MARENGO AL-
302 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CST
FOR MARENGO COUNTY...

AT 258 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM OLD SPRING HILL TO DIXONS MILL...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF CHICKASAW STATE PARK TO 20 MILES
SOUTH OF LINDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  THOMASTON...MAGNOLIA AND DAYTON BY 315 AM CST
  FAUNSDALE BY 320 AM CST

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3214 8804 3216 8801 3227 8802 3231 8795
      3228 8793 3229 8792 3236 8800 3245 8799
      3252 8774 3248 8773 3248 8763 3244 8755
      3204 8764 3202 8805 3202 8805

$$

JD/81

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 050922
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

ALC091-050930-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070105T0930Z/
MARENGO AL-
322 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CST
FOR EASTERN MARENGO COUNTY...

AT 319 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM FAUNSDALE TO SURGINER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
13 MILES SOUTH OF GREENSBORO TO 21 MILES SOUTH OF LINDEN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3202 8774 3248 8771 3248 8763 3244 8755
      3204 8764

$$

JD/81

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1205 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA IS INCREASING.

OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS...THE AIR HAS BEEN DESTABILIZING SOUTH
OF A TUSCALOOSA TO TROY LINE WITH INCREASING SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND DEWPOINTS.  AT 10 PM CST...MERIDIAN MISSISSIPPI REPORTED A
SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF 69 DEGREES AND DEWPOINT OF 66 DEGREES.
LOCAL MESOSCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT LIFTED INDICES HAVE FALLEN TO
-2 ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND OBSERVED
SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS...BELIEVE THE DESTABILIZATION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT.  INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...LIFTED
INDICES AROUND -2 AND SURFACE BASED CAPES UP TO 500 J/KG...BUT
THE AIR SHOULD BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME SEVERE WEATHER.
STRONG LIFT WITH THE UPPER LOW MOVING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD WILL
OVERCOME THE WEAKER INSTABILITY.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARD...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO
OR TWO MAY OCCUR AS WELL.  LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A MILLPORT TO TROY
LINE APPEAR TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS IN THE 2 TO
8 AM CST TIME FRAME WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...AND THE 5 TO 11 AM CST
TIME RANGE EAST OF INTERSTATE 65.  WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE
LINE PUSHED FARTHER NORTH...DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF MOISTURE
RETURN AND DESTABILIZATION.

MBS/91

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS.

RAIN HAS TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
TAFS REFLECT RAIN ARRIVING LATER. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AROUND 08Z AND PUSH EASTWARD. THERE COULD BE
SOME LOCALLY STRONG WINDS UP TO 40 KNOTS WITH LINE OF STORMS. RAIN
SHIELD WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA BEFORE 12Z. BACK EDGE OF
RAIN SHOULD ENTER WEST ALABAMA AROUND 14Z AND MOVE INTO EAST ALABAMA
BY 19Z. THERE COULD BE SOME RE-DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS TAF SITES KMGM AND KTOI DURING THE AFTERNOON.

MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 18Z...WITH LOCAL IFR
CEILINGS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

58/ROSE

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

91/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
208 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-060900-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
208 AM CST FRI JAN 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH NOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
TUSCALOOSA...TO ALEX CITY...TO AUBURN LINE WHERE INSTABILITY IS
GREATEST. HOWEVER...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS THIS STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES EAST.
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST ALABAMA THROUGH
400 AM...INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN 400 AND 700 AM...AND EAST ALABAMA
BETWEEN 700 AND 1000 AM.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE ABOVE
MENTIONED SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.  A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. THE AIRMASS
WILL BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE THREAT AREA WILL BE
PRIMARILY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
BE REQUIRED TODAY.