Severe Thunderstorm Warning 127, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1200 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2007

.UPDATE...FOR AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVING SOUTH OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA IS PUSHING
OUTFLOW TOWARDS EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH NEW THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ON THE LEADING EDGE. THERE IS STILL ENOUGH INSTABILITY
OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA TO SUSTAIN A FEW STRONG STORMS
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED SEVERE. WILL ADJUST POPS TO REFLECT
LATEST RADAR TRENDS. ELSEWHERE IT LOOKS VERY QUIET WITH NOTICEABLY
DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA. DEWPOINTS FROM
TCL TO GAD ARE IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. TEMPERATURES WILL NEED
TO BE LOWERED A FEW DEGREES IN THESE AREAS AND A FEW UPPER 50S ARE
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION NORTH OF INTERSTATE 59.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.
NEW ROUND OF STORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA.  SOUTHERN
TAF SITES SHOULD EXPERIENCE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NEXT FEW HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...SKIES ARE CLEAR WITH A LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND.
TOMORROW SCATTERED CUMULUS SHOULD BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE STATE.  OVERALL...MOST SITES WILL REMAIN VFR WITH A TREND
DOWN TO MVFR AND KANB TO IFR DURING THE MORNING HOURS.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

88/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
700 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-131735-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
700 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...NONE.
MONTGOMERY...LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA ON THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS IMPULSE
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN ALABAMA.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR THE ALABAMA
GEORGIA STATE LINE FROM 2PM THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BECOME NECESSARY ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE EAST.

17/KLAWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1026 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

ALZ028-029-130400-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-
1026 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR CLAY AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES
UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1024 PM CDT A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED OVER R.L. HARRIS
DAM...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM LIGHTNING BY SEEKING SHELTER IN
A SUBSTANTIAL ENCLOSED BUILDING OR A METAL AUTOMOBILE. WAIT AT LEAST
30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST RUMBLE OF THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT IS SMALL HAIL. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...DIME SIZE...IS POSSIBLE. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF
BY SEEKING SHELTER IN A SUBSTANTIAL ENCLOSED BUILDING. IF OUTDOORS
AND A SUBSTANTIAL ENCLOSED BUILDING IS NOT AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER
IN AN AUTOMOBILE.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. IF
WEATHER PERMITS...SECURE LOOSE ARTICLES BEFORE THE STORMS ARRIVE.

17/KLAWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1101 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

ALZ037-130430-
TALLAPOOSA-
1101 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR TALLAPOOSA COUNTY UNTIL
1130 PM CDT...

AT 1058 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF NEW SITE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...DIME SIZE...WILL BE
POSSIBLE. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM LIGHTNING BY SEEKING
SHELTER IN A SUBSTANTIAL ENCLOSED BUILDING OR A METAL AUTOMOBILE. IF
YOU ARE ON THE WATER AND YOUR BOAT HAS A CABIN... USE THE CABIN FOR A
LIGHTNING SHELTER. OTHERWISE...BOATERS SHOULD HEAD TO SHORE AND SEEK
SHELTER THERE. AVOID ELECTRICAL DEVICES AND OTHER OBJECTS WHICH CAN
CONDUCT LIGHTNING. WAIT AT LEAST 30 MINUTES AFTER THE LAST RUMBLE OF
THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

17

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1218 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2007

ALZ048-050-130600-
BARBOUR-RUSSELL-
1218 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR BARBOUR AND RUSSELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

AT 1212 AM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF HAWKINSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT
25 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS 35 TO 45
MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH
IN DIAMETER...DIME SIZE...WILL BE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WILL BREAK
OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN
FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM
LIGHTNING BY SEEKING SHELTER IN A SUBSTANTIAL ENCLOSED BUILDING OR A
METAL AUTOMOBILE. IF YOU ARE ON THE WATER AND YOUR BOAT HAS A
CABIN... USE THE CABIN FOR A LIGHTNING SHELTER. OTHERWISE...BOATERS
SHOULD HEAD TO SHORE AND SEEK SHELTER THERE. AVOID ELECTRICAL DEVICES
AND OTHER OBJECTS WHICH CAN CONDUCT LIGHTNING. WAIT AT LEAST 30
MINUTES AFTER THE LAST RUMBLE OF THUNDER BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES.

12/SIRMON