Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

000 
WWUS84 KBMX 172034
RFWBMX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
334 PM CDT THU MAY 17 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A VERY DRY AIR MASS
WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CREATE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

ALZ011>015-017>050-172345-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FW.W.0009.070518T1700Z-070518T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBMX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070517T2300Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
334 PM CDT THU MAY 17 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT FRIDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS...DRY CONDITIONS AND 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. A COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.



$$
KSL

000 
WWUS84 KBMX 172309
RFWBMX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
609 PM CDT THU MAY 17 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINING ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY
NORTH WINDS WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

ALZ011>015-017>050-181100-
/O.EXP.KBMX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070517T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBMX.FW.W.0009.070518T1700Z-070518T2300Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
609 PM CDT THU MAY 17 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT
FRIDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT TODAY...AS WINDS HAVE
BEGUN TO DIMINISH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE BEGUN TO RISE. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT FRIDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS...DRY CONDITIONS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. A COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

JD/81

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
321 AM CDT THU MAY 17 2007

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ARE LINGERING BEHIND FRONT AS FAR NORTH AS
MONTGOMERY AND DEMOPOLIS...BUT THESE SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 8 AM CDT
AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS SOUTH. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
INCREASE TODAY AND PRODUCE NORTH WINDS OF 10-15 MPH. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE...WHICH
IS VERY CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA. BASED ON EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WILL LEAN TOWARDS SIDE OF
CAUTION AND UPGRADE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO RED FLAG WARNING FOR
THIS AFTERNOON.

A COLD START NEXT FEW MORNINGS AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 40S
MOST AREAS. TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WILL BE A LITTLE
COOLER DUE TO STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ON BACK SIDE OF DEEP UPPER
TROF. RED FLAG CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE A LITTLE LOWER. LOWS SATURDAY MORNING WILL
BE NEAR RECORD VALUES. GRADUAL WARMING TREND OVER THE WEEKEND AS
EAST COAST UPPER TROF EASES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC RESULTING IN
HEIGHT RISES OVER ALABAMA.

58/ROSE

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LOOKING AT HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN DOMINATE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WORK WEEK WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING SLOWLY EACH DAY.  THE
MOISTURE WILL ALSO REMAIN LOWER THAN NORMAL UNTIL ABOUT WEDNESDAY
WHEN THE NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM WORKS ITS WAY TOWARD OUR AREA.  FOR
NOW...LOOKING AT ANOTHER BACKDOOR SYSTEM TO SWING DOWN THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON WEDNESDAY WHILE A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SETS UP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.  UNFORTUNATELY
STILL DONT SEE ANY MAJOR PATTERN CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM THAT WOULD
INDICATE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO BREAK OUT OF THE EXTREME DROUGHT.

17/KLAWS

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA HAS REALLY LOST SOME OF ITS
EARLY PUSH AND THIS HAS DELAYED THE CLEARING PROCESS ACROSS MGM
AND TOI. OCCASIONAL CEILINGS OF 3K WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 08Z.
DRIER AIR IS STILL EXPECTED TO ARRIVE SHORTLY WITH NORTH WINDS
PICKING UP OVER MGM THE PAST HOUR. LOWER VISIBILITIES AT TOI
SHOULD IMPROVE AS NORTHERLY WINDS REACH THE AREA BY 06Z. ELSEWHERE,
VFR THROUGH THE NIGHT.

GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TOMORROW...PICKING UP AROUND 15Z WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 20KTS. ALL SKIES AND VIS AT VFR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  46  70  42  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    76  47  72  44  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  75  49  72  45  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  77  50  74  46  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      76  50  72  46  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      76  51  76  45  77 /  10   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  78  51  77  48  80 /  10   0   0   0   0
TROY        80  50  78  45  80 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON ALL COUNTIES.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
730 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-180030-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
730 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE AN UNUSUALLY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THURSDAY AFTERNOON...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LOW
HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS.

OTHERWISE...NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.