Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

000 
WWUS84 KBMX 111957
RFWBMX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
257 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2007

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...

ALZ011>015-017>050-112300-
/O.CON.KBMX.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-071011T2300Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
257 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH...AND A DRY
AIRMASS...WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
305 AM CDT THU OCT 11 2007

..SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ENJOY A NICE FALL DAY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S...A LIGHT
NORTHERLY BREEZE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE UPPER 20S AND
30S DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

GUIDANCE LOOKS A BIT TOO COOL TODAY.  LOOKING UPSTREAM...MOST OF
SOUTHERN MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...WESTERN KY AND WESTERN TN MADE IT
INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S YESTERDAY.  THIS AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BE
MODIFIED AS IT SINKS SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA.  WERE ALSO IN
THE TIME OF YEAR THAT 25 TO 30 DEGREE DIURNAL RANGES ARE THE NORM
UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND WITHOUT A STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.  WITH
THAT IN MIND...ELECTED TO GO WITH HIGHS AROUND 75 AT BIRMINGHAM AND
IN THE LOWER 80S FOR THE SOUTHERNMOST ZONES. WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10
MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES.

12/SIRMON

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GREAT LOOKING END OF THE WORK WEEK AND WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.  ABUNDANT SUNSHINE CAN BE EXPECTED EACH
DAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AT NIGHT.  TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
WARM EACH DAY.  HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE 70S...75 TO 80 ON SATURDAY
AND THEN 80 TO 85 FOR SUNDAY.  OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S FRIDAY
NIGHT...45 TO 55 SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN IN THE 50S SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS WELL TO OUR EAST.
PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED FRONT ON TUESDAY NOW IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL
TO OUR NORTH...WITH THE NEXT FRONT NOT EXPECTED INTO THE AREA
BEYOND THIS TIME PERIOD.  GIVEN THE INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL GENERALLY FORECAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA FROM
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.   HIGHS EACH DAY 80 TO 85.
OVERNIGHT LOWS 55 TO 60 NORTH AND 60 TO 65 SOUTH.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AT ALL
TERMINALS. NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD AGAIN INCREASE BEGINNING TOMORROW
MORNING WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS IN THE PEAK AFTERNOON.  THE BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL SUBSIDE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

17/KLAWS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AIR IN A POST FRONTAL AIRMASS AND NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL CREATE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS. AS TEMPERATURES
WARM THROUGH THE DAY...STRONGER WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
THE COMBINATION OF DRY CONDITIONS AND BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  41  73  47  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    74  44  74  44  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  72  44  74  46  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  75  45  76  47  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      74  46  76  47  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      75  46  74  45  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  80  45  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        79  43  76  47  80 /   0  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES TODAY 11 AM TO 6 PM.

&&

12/50/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
702 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-120002-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
702 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND MODERATE NORTH WINDS. ANY
OUTDOOR BURNING IS DISCOURAGED AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

16/JRA