Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
323 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2007

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER TODAY WILL BE ABOUT A CARBON COPY OF YESTERDAY EXCEPT FOR
WINDS. VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WHICH
WILL RESULT IN FALLING SURFACE DEWPOINTS DURING THE DAY AS DRIER AIR
ALOFT MIXES DOWNWARD. RAISED HIGH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY AS LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS PROGS SUPPORT TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S.
SURFACE FLOW WILL BECOME EASTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON AND WIND SPEEDS
WILL BE HIGHER IN THE MORNING AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES DURING THE
AFTERNOON. CLEAR AND COOL TONIGHT.

58/ROSE

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. STRONG UPPER RIDGE HOLDS FAST AS
SEVERAL FRONTS MAKE A WEAK ATTEMPT TO MOVE SOUTH...TO NO AVAIL.
OUR ONLY CHANGE MAY BE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER NORTH WHICH MAY
BE HARD PRESSED WITH ALL OF THE DRY AIR IN PLACE.

CHANGES COULD BE ON THE HORIZON...HOWEVER...AS SEVERAL GUIDANCE
RESULTS DEVELOP A TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS FORECAST TO SWING WESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF MIDWEEK AND INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES BY LATE WEEK. INTRODUCED POPS WITH CAUTION INTO THE
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BASED ON THESE
SOLUTIONS. WILL ADMIT WE HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO TO SEE HOW THE
ACTUAL SOLUTION PLAYS OUT AND TO ADJUST THIS LOOSE FORECAST. AN
OCTOBER RAIN WOULD BE NICE AND VERY WELCOMED.

17/KLAWS

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.  SURFACE WINDS
WILL BECOME EASTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS AFTER 15Z.

12/SIRMON

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

DESPITE WINDS BECOMING EASTERLY TODAY...AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.
STRONGER 20 FOOT WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE MORNING WITH VALUES NEAR 10
MPH...THEN DIMINISHING TO 6-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH VERY DRY
FUELS AND FULL SUNSHINE...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR ALL
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR TODAY.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     84  51  83  51  82 /   0   0  10  10  10
ANNISTON    84  52  83  55  84 /   0   0  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  85  57  83  57  84 /   0   0  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  87  55  84  55  85 /   0   0  10  10  10
CALERA      86  55  83  57  84 /   0   0  10  10  10
AUBURN      85  56  84  57  83 /   0   0  10  10  10
MONTGOMERY  86  56  85  56  85 /   0   0  10  10  10
TROY        86  56  84  57  84 /   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...
RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 10AM UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR
THE ENTIRE CWA.

&&

58/17/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
841 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-300144-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
841 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...ALONG WITH WINDS NEAR
10 MPH...WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WILDFIRES ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65 FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE
NEEDED.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SWU/KSL