Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

000 
WWUS84 KBMX 230933
RFWBMX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
433 AM CDT WED MAY 23 2007

...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

ALZ011>015-017>050-231700-
/O.CON.KBMX.FW.W.0011.070523T1700Z-070523T2300Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
433 AM CDT WED MAY 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT
THIS AFTERNOON. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT
EACH AFTERNOON...AND 20 FOOT WINDS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 10 MPH.
THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS EAST ALABAMA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING. A COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ...
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
223 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2007

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN. SMOKE
FROM WILDFIRES IN SOUTHERN GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD
CENTRAL ALABAMA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW RESULTING IN POOR AIR QUALITY
AND DIMINISHED VISIBILITY. IN FACT VISIBILITY MAY DIMINISH TO AS
LOW AS 2 TO 3 MILES AT TIMES. THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE THE
TEMPERATURES INVERSION WILL BE OF PARTICULAR CONCERN SINCE THIS
TEMPERATURE PROFILE WILL TRAP SMOKE CLOSE TO THE GROUND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE 80S...BUT SHOULD TOP
OUT A T LEAST A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN WE HAVE EXPERIENCED
OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS. THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY TEMPERATURES WILL
TREND BACK TO WHAT WE HAVE SEEN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AT MOST LOCATIONS.

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNDER CLEAR SKIES.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE DROUGHT WOES CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 4 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING
THE PERIOD. ACTUALLY WENT WITH THE HIGH MEMBER OF THE ENSEMBLE. WITH
THE LACK OF MOISTURE AND CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE NO PROBLEM
CLIMBING A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN MOS.

SOME RAIN COULD BE ON THE WAY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...
CONFIDENCE OF THIS HAPPENING IS VERY LOW AT THIS TIME. LONG RANGE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA ON
DAYS 7 TO 8...BUT ON EVERY RUN...IT KEEPS DELAYING IT. ADDED 20
POP FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SMOKE PREVALENT FROM GA FIRES BEING TRANSPORTED TO US VIA DEEP
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THIS CAN BE SEEN FROM VIS SAT AND IS CAUSING
SOME SLANT VIS PROBLEMS. AS INVERSION SETS UP TONIGHT...SFC VIS WILL
BECOME RESTRICTED AT ALL LOCATIONS BUT TCL. THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 TO 10 KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL BE QUITE DRY THIS AFTERNOON. MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT DEEP MIXING WILL DROP THE SURFACE DEW POINTS
FARTHER THAN ORIGINALLY FORECAST. THEREFORE...AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS
THROUGH THE MIXED LAYER WILL BE JUST HIGH ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE 20
FOOT WINDS TO REACH 10 MPH FROM TIME TO TIME...MAINLY FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN HOISTED
FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. BURNING MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS AND IS
DISCOURAGED THIS AFTERNOON.

A FIRE ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...THEREFORE THE
KBDI CRITERIA IS NOT USED FOR DETERMINATION OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS.
EVEN SO...KBDI VALUES ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 500 AT ALL CENTRAL
ALABAMA LOCATIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     56  83  57  82  56 /   0   0  10   0  10
ANNISTON    62  83  62  82  60 /   0   0  10   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  61  85  64  84  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  61  86  63  85  61 /  10   0   0   0  10
CALERA      63  85  63  84  60 /   0   0  10   0  10
AUBURN      58  83  62  80  58 /   0   0  10   0  10
MONTGOMERY  61  86  63  85  60 /  10   0  10   0  10
TROY        60  86  60  84  58 /   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
117 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2007

ALZ011>015-017>050-231815-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
117 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT...DRY
SOIL...AND BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER. A
RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AS
A RESULT VALID THROUGH 5 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ON
WEDNESDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

27/SWU