Alert archive / North Dakota / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Bismarck, ND

April 2, 200720 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this winter storm warning at Apr 2, 2007, 3:40 AM MDT for 20 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Apr 2, 2007, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2007, 3:40 AM MDT (09:40 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 2, 2007, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Apr 3, 2007, 3:26 AM MDT
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND

Counties Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
913 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KBIS 020940
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING...AND
SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. A WIDE BAND OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN
BE EXPECTED FROM WATFORD CITY TO BISMARCK...EAST TO JAMESTOWN AND
SOUTH TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL POTENTIAL
WILL BE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH...FROM WILLISTON TO
MINOT...AND EAST TO RUGBY.

TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TODAY AND TONIGHT...DUE TO SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL CHECK THE LATEST ROAD REPORTS AND WEATHER CONDITIONS BEFORE
MAKING THE DECISION TO SET OUT. INFORM OTHERS OF YOUR PLANS AND
CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.


NDZ017>020-031>034-040>042-021745-
/O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0002.070402T1800Z-070403T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T1800Z-070403T1200Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-
SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...
HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH...
MOTT...ELGIN
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /340 AM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ035>037-047-048-051-021745-
/O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0002.070402T1800Z-070403T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...
NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...OAKES
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ043>045-021745-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T1800Z-070403T1200Z/
BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /340 AM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ046-050-021745-
/O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
EMMONS-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINTON...ASHLEY
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ009>011-021-021745-
/O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0002.070402T1800Z-070403T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T1800Z-070403T1200Z/
WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...GARRISON
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
CDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 3
TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NDZ012-013-022-023-025-021745-
/O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0002.070402T1800Z-070403T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...RUGBY...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...
CARRINGTON
440 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND TUESDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND SPREAD ACROSS ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 3
TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NH
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KBIS 021631
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1131 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN SOUTHWEST
NORTH DAKOTA. SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. A WIDE BAND OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED FROM WATFORD CITY TO
BISMARCK...EAST TO JAMESTOWN AND SOUTH TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER.
THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL POTENTIAL WILL BE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTH...FROM WILLISTON TO MINOT... AND EAST TO RUGBY.

TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...DUE TO
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL CHECK THE LATEST ROAD REPORTS AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
BEFORE MAKING THE DECISION TO SET OUT. INFORM OTHERS OF YOUR PLANS
AND CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

NDZ017>020-031>034-040>045-022345-
/O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T1800Z-070403T1200Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-
SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...
HAZEN...CENTER...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...MARMARTH...
MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES
1131 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /1031 AM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL
SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ035>037-046>048-050-051-022345-
/O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...
LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
1131 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL
SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ009>011-021-022345-
/O.CON.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T1800Z-070403T1200Z/
WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT...GARRISON
1131 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL SPREAD
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NDZ012-013-022-023-025-022345-
/O.CON.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...RUGBY...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...
CARRINGTON
1131 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL SPREAD
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
JF
000 
WWUS43 KBIS 022051
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN
SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER
OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. A WIDE BAND OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG INTERSTATE 94 AND SOUTH. LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO THE NORTH. 

TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP...DUE
TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL CHECK THE LATEST ROAD REPORTS AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
BEFORE MAKING THE DECISION TO SET OUT. INFORM OTHERS OF YOUR PLANS
AND CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

NDZ017>020-030500-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...
HAZEN...CENTER
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /251 PM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT SPREADING SNOW ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NDZ009>011-022200-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLISTON...NEW TOWN...MINOT
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

THE TRACK OF THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS FORECAST TO BE FARTHER TO
THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...AN INCH OF TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY.

$$

NDZ012-013-022200-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T2300Z-070403T1500Z/
MCHENRY-PIERCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOWNER...RUGBY
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

THE TRACK OF THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS FORECAST TO BE FARTHER TO
THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...AN INCH OF TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY.


$$

NDZ035>037-046>048-050-051-030500-
/O.EXT.KBIS.WS.W.0004.070402T2051Z-070403T1500Z/
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...
LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT
SPREADING SNOW ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY. 4 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY TUESDAY
MORNING. MORE SOUTHERLY LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA WILL LIKELY
SEE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ031>034-040>045-030500-
/O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-SIOUX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...
MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /251 PM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT SPREADING SNOW ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NDZ022-023-025-030500-
/O.EXT.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.070402T2051Z-070403T1500Z/
SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT SPREADING SNOW ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NDZ021-030500-
/O.CON.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GARRISON
351 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT SPREADING SNOW ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON
TUESDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
JF
000 
WWUS43 KBIS 030248
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
948 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW TO SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE SNOW WILL END DURING THE MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY...FROM WEST TO EAST. SNOW FALL WILL RANGE FROM NEAR
6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER TO 3 INCHES IN THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE STATE. NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WILL
RECEIVE AN INCH OR LESS.

TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP...DUE
TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL CHECK THE LATEST ROAD REPORTS AND WEATHER
CONDITIONS BEFORE MAKING THE DECISION TO SET OUT. INFORM OTHERS
OF YOUR PLANS AND CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

NDZ031>034-040>045-031100-
/O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-SIOUX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...
MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES
948 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /848 PM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM
MDT/ TUESDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. EXPECT
UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW BY TUESDAY MORNING. ROADS WILL BE ICY AND
VISIBILITIES REDUCED. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS.



$$

NDZ035>037-046>048-050-051-031100-
/O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1500Z/
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...
LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
948 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. EXPECT
4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW BY TUESDAY MORNING. ROADS WILL BE ICY AND
VISIBILITIES REDUCED. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS.

$$

NDZ017>021-031100-
/O.CON.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...
HAZEN...CENTER...GARRISON
948 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007 /848 PM MDT MON APR 2 2007/

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/
TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/
TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

ROADS WILL BE ICY AND VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCE. USE CAUTION IF
TRAVELING. 


$$

NDZ022-023-025-031100-
/O.CON.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1500Z/
SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY...CARRINGTON
948 PM CDT MON APR 2 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

ROADS WILL BE ICY AND VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCE. USE CAUTION IF
TRAVELING.

$$

RSL
000 
WWUS43 KBIS 030926
WSWBIS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

.THE WINTER STORM OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST OF
NORTH DAKOTA TODAY. SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MOST OF THIS MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS WEST TO EAST. MODERATE AREAS OF SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL OVER FAR SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...WITH AN INCH OR TWO OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE.

TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING. FREEZING SLUSH
OVERNIGHT AND ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS HAVE MADE
ROADWAYS VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL USE
EXTRA CAUTION. CHECK THE LATEST ROAD REPORTS AND WEATHER
CONDITIONS BEFORE MAKING THE DECISION TO SET OUT.


NDZ035>037-046>048-050-051-031730-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0010.070403T0926Z-070403T1800Z/
BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...STEELE...JAMESTOWN...
LINTON...NAPOLEON...EDGELEY...ASHLEY...OAKES
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THIS
MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WEST TO EAST. MODERATE AREAS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER
FAR SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH AN
INCH OR TWO OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS AS SLUSHY ROADS HAVE FROZEN
OVERNIGHT...AND HAVE BECOME VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NDZ031>034-040>045-031030-
/O.CAN.KBIS.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-
ADAMS-SIOUX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...DICKINSON...MANDAN...
MARMARTH...MOTT...ELGIN...BOWMAN...HETTINGER...FORT YATES
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007 /326 AM MDT TUE APR 3 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST INTO THE EASTERN DAKOTAS.
TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS AS SLUSHY ROADS HAVE FROZEN
OVERNIGHT...AND HAVE BECOME VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. 

$$

NDZ025-031730-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0010.070403T0926Z-070403T1800Z/
FOSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CARRINGTON
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THIS
MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WEST TO EAST. MODERATE AREAS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH AN INCH OR TWO OF ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS AS SLUSHY ROADS HAVE FROZEN
OVERNIGHT...AND HAVE BECOME VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NDZ017>021-031030-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1200Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATFORD CITY...KILLDEER...BEULAH...
HAZEN...CENTER...GARRISON
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007 /326 AM MDT TUE APR 3 2007/

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST INTO THE EASTERN DAKOTAS.
TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS AS SLUSHY ROADS HAVE FROZEN
OVERNIGHT...AND HAVE BECOME VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. 

$$

NDZ022-023-031030-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070403T1500Z/
SHERIDAN-WELLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCCLUSKY...HARVEY
426 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER HAS MOVED EAST INTO THE EASTERN DAKOTAS.
TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAZARDOUS AS SLUSHY ROADS HAVE FROZEN
OVERNIGHT...AND HAVE BECOME VERY SLIPPERY AND DANGEROUS. 

$$

NH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Apr 2, 3:10 AM MDT, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 3:10 AM MDT, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
410 AM CDT MON APR 2 2007

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN/HIGHLIGHT IN THE SHORT TERM WILL STAY FOCUSED
ON THE IMPENDING WINTER STORM SET TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TODAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. HAVE FOLLOWED NATIONAL
GUIDANCE AND LEANED MORE CLOSELY WITH THE GFS SOLUTION.

CURRENTLY...THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS BRIEFLY IN BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS
THIS EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH A SHORT WAVE RIDGE ADVECTING EAST
ACROSS THE STATE. LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IS HELPING TO
KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK. THE STORM SYSTEM SET TO
HIT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES REGION...A BIT SLOWER THAN WHAT MODELS PREVIOUSLY HAD
ADVERTISED. IN RESPONSE...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING IN
SOUTHWEST MONTANA...ALONG WITH RAIN AND SNOW BEING OBSERVED IN ITS
PROXIMITY.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD THIS MORNING TOWARDS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS...SPREADING PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN
AND SNOW ACROSS THE WEST...WITH A CONTINUED EMPHASIS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES WHERE THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH WILL TRACK AND
WHERE AMPLE VERTICAL MOTION WILL RESIDE. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL
QUICKLY TURN OVER TO ALL SNOW AS DYNAMIC COOLING PUSHES LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO THE FREEZING MARK. DUE TO THE SLOWER
PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE AND SURFACE TROUGH NOTED
ABOVE...HAVE REMOVED ENTIRELY PRECIPITATION OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN COUNTIES THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE HAVE INCREASED POPS
SOUTHWEST. AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE APPROACHES EASTERN MT THIS
AFTERNOON...THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH PUSHES SLOWLY EAST ALONG
WITH PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL COUNTIES...AGAIN MORE
SO SOUTH CENTRAL WITH BETTER LOW LEVEL FORCING AND MID LEVEL
DYNAMICS. PRECIPITATION TYPE BY THE AFTERNOON WILL BE ALL SNOW WEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL...WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX TURNING TO ALL SNOW SOUTH
CENTRAL BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. BY TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING
SNOW WILL HAVE ENCOMPASSED MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE STORM
SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT SNOW TO THEN EXIT THE AREA
ENTIRELY BY TUESDAY NIGHT. ALSO...REMOVED THUNDERSTORM MENTION TODAY
AS THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION IS NOW MORE SOUTH OVER CENTRAL
SD.

EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOW IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LATER
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAIN SNOW AREA WILL THEN MOVE ENTIRELY
INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL OVERNIGHT. AGAIN UTILIZED A
MODIFIED GFS QPF AND 10 TO 1 RATIO...GIVING A BAND OF 6 TO 8 INCHES
OF SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...WATFORD CITY
TO BISMARCK TO JAMESTOWN AND SOUTH. LESSER AMOUNTS WILL BE SEEN JUST
TO THE NORTH...ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...FROM WILLISTON TO
MINOT AND EAST. THE COUNTIES ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER WILL SEE THE
LEAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES AT BEST. MODEL
SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATING SOME CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF...SO SCATTERED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GREATER THAN 8
INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

GIVEN THE INFORMATION AND REASONING ABOVE...HAVE UPGRADING THE
WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WINTER STORM WARNING...ACROSS THE 6 TO 8
INCH SNOW AREA MENTIONED ABOVE...INCLUDING THE FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. HAVE GONE WITH A SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINING COUNTIES
IN THE PREVIOUS WATCH. DECIDED AGAINST A HEAVY SNOW WARNING AS I AM
EXPECTING HIGHER WIND SPEEDS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FA.
SHOULD SEE A BIT LIGHTER WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF. FOR TIMING
HAVE STARTED THE WARNING AND ADVISORY WEST AT 18Z...WITH THE CENTRAL
AT 23Z AS PRECIPITATION WILL START LATER. HEADLINES FOR THE WEST
WILL THEN END AT 12Z WITH THE CENTRAL EXPIRING AT 15Z.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. EXPECT HIGHS TODAY TO REMAIN MAINLY IN THE 30S...THEN
MAINLY BELOW FREEZING FOR TUESDAY. ACTUAL SNOW COVER WILL PLAY A
BIG ROLE IN THIS. WILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE TEENS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION SETTING UP OVER BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE
WEST ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS IN
PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT. GFS HAS BEEN A BIT INCONSISTENT WITH THE
TIMING OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SETTING UP IN THE WEST. WILL GENERALLY
FOLLOW THE GFS BUT HEDGE TOWARD ECMWF AND CANADIAN SOLUTIONS.

MINIMAL CHANGES TO TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD. EVENTUAL SNOW
COVER FROM SHORT TERM STORM MAY PLAY HAVOC ON TEMPERATURES BUT
GENERALLY THEY LOOKED REASONABLE. WE WILL SEE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE DAY 3-5 PERIOD AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS
SLOW TO MOVE EAST AS DOWNSTREAM UPPER LOW DEEPENS AND ACTUALLY
RETROGRADES A BIT.

INTRODUCED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. ECMWF AND CANADIAN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT HERE.
GFS WHICH HAD PRECIP DEVELOPING IN THE BAROCLINIC ON THURSDAY
NIGHT...NOW BRINGS PRECIP INTO THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN
AND EURO ARE SLOWER THAN THIS AND ALSO INDICATE LIGHTER AMOUNTS.
WILL LEAN TOWARD CANADIAN AN ECMWF AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW INTO THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY...LINGERING IN THE FAR
SOUTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST LOOKS PRETTY
DRY. EXCEPTION AGAIN MAY BE THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF THE
CWA...NEAREST TO THE MEANDERING BAROCLINIC ZONE. WE SHOULD STILL
SEE A GRADUAL WARMUP LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR NDZ017>020-031>034-040>045.

SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
NDZ009>011-021.

SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
NDZ012-013-022-023-025.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY
FOR NDZ035>037-046>048-050-051.

&&

NJH/TWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 1, 3:52 AM MDT, 23 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
452 AM CDT SUN APR 1 2007

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-021000-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
452 AM CDT SUN APR 1 2007 /352 AM MDT SUN APR 1 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A RETURN OF WINTER WEATHER TO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.
AT THIS TIME THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER WEST
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA....EAST ALONG INTERSTATE 94 AND SOUTH TO THE
SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. MAXIMUM SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO AROUND 6 INCHES. THOUGH THE TRACK OF
THIS STORM STILL REMAINS A BIT UNCERTAIN...THE POTENTIAL IS HIGH
FOR HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER TO ADVERSELY AFFECT TRAVEL AND
COMMERCE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA AND YOUR NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON
THIS STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

HEINERT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 3:40 AM MDTSnow AdvisoryBISDunn, Foster, McHenry, McKenzie, Mercer, Mountrail and 5 more24 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in North Dakota, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.