Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 4, 2007Grant County, Sioux County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 4, 2007, 6:13 PM MDT for Grant County, Sioux County, North Dakota. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2007, 6:13 PM MDT (00:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2007, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Grant County, ND, Sioux County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2612 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 4, 1:46 PM MDT, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 1:46 PM MDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
246 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2007

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BROAD SCALE FEATURES HOWEVER
DESPITE THE CU FIELDS DEVELOPING FOR EASTERN MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST
NORTH DAKOTA...QPF FIELDS GENERATED BY NAM SEEM OVERDONE. WILL USE
GFS FOR GRIDS.

WARM TEMPERATURES ARE AGAIN MAIN FEATURE. RIDGE CONTINUED TO BUILD
OVER NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INSISTS THAT
TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL REACH INTO THE MIDDLE
90S CENTRAL AND UPPER 90S WEST. HAVE USED LIMIT TOOL TO KEEP MAX
TEMPERATURES GIRDS 2 DIGITS ONLY FOR NOW.

ENSEMBLE GFS AND MOST OTHER MODELS NOW A TAD FASTER WITH LEE
TROUGH DEVELOPING IN LEE OF NORTHERN CANADIAN ROCKIES MOVING
SOUTHEAST FASTER THAN YESTERDAYS MODELS EXCEPT THE 12Z GFS SO
EXPECT THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THROUGH COUNTY WARNING AREA BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. EXPECT BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO BE ALONG FRONT
AND PAST AS WARM SECTOR SHOULD BE STRONGLY CAPPED WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT BEHIND FRONT AS HEIGHTS FALL THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
COOLER WEATHER RETURNS TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGHOUT THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS REPLACED WITH A HUDSON
BAY LOW ALONG WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES START OUT SUNDAY AND MONDAY NEAR SEASONAL...BUT THEN
COOL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A COOL
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE CENTER PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE REGION. KEPT
IN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD SURFACE TROUGH MAKES ITS WAY SOUTH THROUGH THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. LEFT THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED DRY WITH HARD
TO TIME AND PLACE EMBEDDED SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE HUDSON
BAY LOW AND THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST.

&&

.AVIATION...
AFTERNOON CU DEVELOPING OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALONG
WITH A FEW ELEVATED SHOWERS. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR EARLY THIS EVENING
AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES COOL. VFR CIGS AND VIS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAW/NJH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 3:03 AM MDT, 15 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
403 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2007

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-050915-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
403 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2007 /303 AM MDT WED JUL 4 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
COLD FRONT SLIDES SLOW SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 4, 5:35 PM MDT, 38 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 4, 5:43 PM MDT, 30 minutes before
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      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.