Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 322, NWS Binghamton, NY

October 9, 2007Broome County, Chenango County, Delaware County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 9, 2007, 4:30 PM EDT for Broome County, Chenango County, Delaware County, New York. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2007, 4:30 PM EDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Oct 9, 2007, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Delaware County, NY

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
640 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 9, 3:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 3:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
310 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BRINGING A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE EXITING.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH WESTERN NEW YORK ON WEDNESDAY WITH
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR A SHOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CLOSES OFF ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...CONTINUED RAIN
CHANCES EXIST FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY... BRINGING MORE
AUTUMN LIKE CONDITIONS TO UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER INTO THE 50S ON
THURSDAY AND REMAIN COOL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
SFC LOW HAS DEVELOPED AS EXPECTED OVER THE SRN TIER THIS
AFTERNOON. INITIAL SFC FRONT HAS SETTLED IN ACROSS THE HUDSON
VALLEY WITH MAIN SFC BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS FINGER LAKES ATTM.
DWPTS ALONG THIS FRONT ARE IN THE 60S AND CLRNG HAS RESULTED IN
SBCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. LINE OF CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED
WILL PUSH EAST THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY MVS THRU. ALL MODELS
INDICATE THIS FEATURE WILL PUSH THRU ENTIRE CWA AFTER 06Z.
THUS...HAVE HIGHEST POPS IN THE WEST THRU APPROX 00Z AND TAPER
THEM DOWN QUICKLY FROM THERE. HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE ACROSS
ERN ZONES IN ENHANCED AREA OF LIFT WITH AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH
THRU MORNING.

CUD SEE SOME CLEARING LATE TONIGHT ACROSS WRN ZONES IF CURRENT
SATELLITE TRENDS ARE ANY INDICATION. THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT
ON TEMPS TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR WILL TAKE A WHILE TO WORK IN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SFC LOW SHIFTS EAST UP THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH INVERTED
TROF AXIS...BRINGING AN END TO PCPN DURING THE DAY. UPPER LOW
DIVES SOUTH INTO UPPER MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY TO NR DETROIT BY 00Z
THURSDAY PER NAM/GFS/ECMWF. SEVERAL LOWS WILL BE PINWHEELING
AROUND THE NORTHEAST WITH ONE ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD AND ANOTHER
OVR SRN ONTARIO.

H5 LOW DROPPING INTO THE OH VALLEY WILL INDUCE YET ANOTHER SYSTEM
OVR THE DELMARVA WED NIGHT AND FINALLY BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO
MORE AUTUMN-LIKE TEMPS. SUBSUQUENT INVERTED TROF WILL CONTINUE
CHCS FOR SHOWERS THRU THE DAY ON THURSDAY. H8 TEMPS LOWER TO +5C
YIELDING AFTERNOON MAXES ONLY NR 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STILL LOOKING FOR A LRG UA LOW TO BE THE DOMINENT PLAYER IN THE
XTNDD PD BUT THE LONG RANGE MODELS CONT TO STRUGGLE TO FIND A
SOLN. OPERATIONAL GFS DROPS THE LOW SOUTH THEN KIND OF FUJIWHARA/S IT
WITH ANOTHER CLSD LOW OVER SERN CANADA. ECMWF IN THE MEANTIME
SIMPLY DROPS THE TO THE MID ATLANTIC CST AND THEN LFTS IT NEWRD
ALONG THE CST. DGEX SEEMS TO BE A BIT OF A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE
GFS AND ECMWF. IN ANY CASE...FCST AREA IS IN FOR A PD OF COOLER
AND UNSETTLED WX FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE XTNDD PD.
ALSO...WHILE THE HPC GUID TENDED TO DRY US OUT LATE FRI AND
SAT...BELIEVE THERE WILL BE ENUF INSTABILITY IN THE COLD
AIR...ALONG WITH LAKE DFRNTL FOR CLDS AND SHWRS TO LINGER.

HPC TEMP GUID WAS CLOSE TO ENSEMBLE AND GFS MOS SO SAW LTL REASON
TO CHG...ALTHOUGH IF THE ECMWF IS CORRECT..TEMPS MAY NEED TO BE
BUMPED UP A BIT LTR IN THE PD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TROF PASSING THRU THE AREA THIS AFTN WILL TRIGGER SCT TRWS THRU
ABT 22Z. XPCT SOME GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEFLY LWRD CIGS AND VSBYS WITH
THE STORMS WHICH SHD PASS QUICKLY. SOME LEFTOVER SHWRS EARLY THIS
EVE FLWD BY YET ANOTHER NIGHT OF LGT WINDS AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE.
XPCT A SLOW LWRG OF CIGS AND VSBYS..INTO THE IFR RANGE AFTER MIDN
AT THE HILL TOP TA/S. XPCT ONLY A SLOW RCVRY TMRW AFT 14Z AS THE
LGT WINDS ARE SLOW TO HELP MIXING.

AN UNSETTLED PATTERN IS FORECAST THIS WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL BE IN THE FORECAST MOST EVERY DAY, WITH LIKELY A BROKEN VFR
CLOUD DECK. HOWEVER THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR OVERNIGHT FOG
FORMATION.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PB
NEAR TERM...PB
SHORT TERM...PB
LONG TERM...DGM
AVIATION...DGM
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 3:03 PM EDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
303 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-062-PAZ038-043-044-047-048-072-101915-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
303 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT... WITH THE
MAIN THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-PAZ039-040-101915-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
303 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS WILL BE SEVERE... WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

MSE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 9, 1:28 PM EDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
128 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

NYZ015-016-022-023-091830-
SCHUYLER NY-SENECA NY-STEUBEN NY-YATES NY-
128 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 124 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...
  STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM VINE VALLEY TO PRATTSBURG TO
  AVOCA...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MIDDLESEX AND WHEELER AT 135 PM EDT...
  ITALY HILL AT 140 PM EDT...
  FRIEND AND POTTER AT 145 PM EDT...
  YATESVILLE AND URBANA AT 150 PM EDT...
  WAYNE AND SONORA AT 155 PM EDT...
  PENN YAN AND MILO MILLS AT 200 PM EDT...
  MILO CENTER AND MAYS MILLS AT 205 PM EDT...
  DRESDEN AND STARKEY AT 210 PM EDT...

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY

ARNOTT
Special weather statement, Oct 9, 2:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
232 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

NYZ016>018-025-044-091930-
CAYUGA NY-CORTLAND NY-ONONDAGA NY-SENECA NY-TOMPKINS NY-
232 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2007

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA...

* AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...
  STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROMULUS TO INTERLAKEN TO 6
  MILES SOUTH OF CAYWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CANOGA AND WILLETS AT 240 PM EDT...
  UNION SPRINGS AND LEVANNA AT 245 PM EDT...
  LEDYARD AND KING FERRY AT 250 PM EDT...
  TRUMANSBURG AND LAKE RIDGE AT 255 PM EDT...
  MAPLETON AND VENICE CENTER AT 300 PM EDT...
  FLEMING AND TAUGHANNOCK FALLS AT 305 PM EDT...
  WYCKOFF AND MELROSE PARK AT 310 PM EDT...
  OWASCO AND MYERS AT 315 PM EDT...

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY

IF ON OR NEAR CAYUGA LAKE...SEEK SHELTER NOW. GET OUT OF THE WATER
AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE.

ARNOTT
Local storm report, Oct 9, 2:52 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
252 PM EDT TUE OCT 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PENN YAN                42.66N 77.05W
10/09/2007                   YATES              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN AND POWER OUT

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OVID                    42.68N 76.82W
10/09/2007                   SENECA             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER POLE DOWN

&&

TAC
Local storm report, Oct 9, 4:11 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 9, 1:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins, Yates40 min
Oct 9, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Tompkins53 min
Oct 9, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Tioga, Tompkins57 min
Oct 9, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Tioga58 min
Oct 9, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford, Susquehanna57 min
Oct 9, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming55 min
Oct 9, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Wayne43 min
Oct 9, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMPike45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.