Alert archive / Iowa / River Flood Warnings in 2007
River Flood Warning 16, NWS La Crosse, WI
NWS La Crosse, WI issued this river flood warning at Aug 18, 2007, 5:48 PM CDT for Allamakee County, Iowa. It took effect at Aug 19, 2007, 10:38 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 18, 2007, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 19, 2007, 10:38 PM CDT
- Expired
- Aug 20, 2007, 5:09 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS La Crosse, WI
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Allamakee County, IA
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Upper Iowa River at Dorchester (DCHI4).
- Action stage
- 11 ft
- Minor stage
- 14 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05388250, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS43 KARX 182248 FLWARX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 548 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... THE ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING HOUSTON COUNTY ALSO THE TURKEY RIVER AT ELKADER AND GARBER AFFECTING CLAYTON COUNTY AND UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76 AFFECTING ALLAMAKEE COUNTY ...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THESE RIVERS... HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. HERE IS THE LATEST STAGE AND FORECAST INFORMATION. SAFETY MESSAGE... IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING WATER...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION...INCLUDING NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR LATER STATEMENTS. FOR THIS...AND A WEALTH OF OTHER RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION... VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE IAC043-190848- /O.NEW.KARX.FL.W.0014.070819T1917Z-070822T1320Z/ /EKDI4.2.ER.070819T1917Z.070821T0000Z.070822T0120Z.NO/ 548 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TURKEY RIVER AT ELKADER. * FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING. * AT 4 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.9 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING. * AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN AREAS NEAR THE RIVER. $$ IAC043-190848- /O.NEW.KARX.FL.W.0015.070820T0900Z-070822T0837Z/ /GRBI4.2.ER.070820T0900Z.070821T0000Z.070821T2037Z.NO/ 548 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TURKEY RIVER AT GARBER. * FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD X3C AT THE SOUTH END OF GARBER BECOMES INUNDATED. * AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN THE COMMUNITIES OF GARBER, OSTERDOCK AND MILLVILLE. $$ IAC005-190848- /O.NEW.KARX.FL.W.0016.070819T2005Z-070821T1348Z/ /DCHI4.2.ER.070819T2005Z.070820T0600Z.070821T0148Z.NO/ 548 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76. * FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY MONDAY JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING. * AT 17.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 IS OVERTOPPED JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE SITE. * AT 16.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 SOUTH OF DORCHESTER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. * AT 15.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS. * AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MNC055-190848- /O.NEW.KARX.FL.W.0017.070819T1440Z-070820T2125Z/ /HOUM5.1.ER.070819T1440Z.070820T0000Z.070820T0925Z.NO/ 548 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 5 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS. $$
4 follow-up statements
000 WGUS83 KARX 191557 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR... KICKAPOO RIVER AT LA FARGE...VIOLA...READSTOWN...SOLDIERS GROVE... GAYS MILLS...AND STEUBEN AFFECTING RICHLAND...CRAWFORD AND VERNON COUNTIES SOUTH BRANCH BARABOO RIVER AT HILLSBORO AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING HOUSTON COUNTY SOUTH BRANCH ROOT RIVER AT LANESBORO AFFECTING FILLMORE AND HOUSTON COUNTIES UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76 AFFECTING ALLAMAKEE COUNTY CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER - CASCADE CREEK AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK AFFECTING OLMSTED AND WINONA COUNTIES ...MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING... .EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. HERE IS THE LATEST STAGE AND FORECAST INFORMATION. SAFETY MESSAGE... THIS FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL WATER LEVELS FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE. IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING WATER...AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION...INCLUDING NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR LATER STATEMENTS. FOR THIS...AND A WEALTH OF OTHER RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION... VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE WIC103-123-200157- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-070820T1431Z/ /LAFW3.1.ER.070819T1035Z.070820T0000Z.070820T0231Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END MONDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT LA FARGE. * UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING. * AT 13.0 FEET...SOME ROADS ARE UNDER WATER AND SEVERAL RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES ARE AFFECTED. HOWEVER THE MAJORITY OF THE PEOPLE IN TOWN ARE STILL DRY. * AT 12.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED AND MINOR FLOODING AFFECTS SOME RESIDENCES AND COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. $$ WIC103-123-200157- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-070821T2000Z/ /VIOW3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070820T0000Z.070821T0800Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT VIOLA. * UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 14.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO GO OVER HIGHWAY 56 JUST EAST OF VIOLA. WATER ALSO MAY BE OVER HIGHWAY 131 3 MILES NORTH OF VIOLA. $$ WIC023-123-200156- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070820T1410Z/ /REAW3.2.ER.070819T0842Z.070819T1800Z.070820T0210Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT READSTOWN. * UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.6 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING. $$ WIC023-123-200156- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070823T0436Z/ /SOGW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.070819T1800Z.070822T1636Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT SOLDIERS GROVE. * UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 19 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...THEN START TO FALL SLOWLY BY TONIGHT. * AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOW OVER THE LOW END OF THE BRIDGE. * AT 17.0 FEET...THE WATER NEARS THE BOTTOM OF THE ROUTE 131 BRIDGE OVER THE RIVER. $$ WIC023-200156- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070824T0651Z/ /GMIW3.3.ER.070818T2347Z.070819T1800Z.070823T1851Z.NR/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT GAYS MILLS. * UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * AT 8 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 20 FEET. * RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 17.0 FEET...WATER CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE TOWN OF GAYS MILLS WITH DEPTH POSSIBLY REACHING TWO FEET IN PLACES. $$ WIC023-200156- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-070826T1930Z/ /STEW3.3.ER.070819T1409Z.070819T1800Z.070826T0730Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KICKAPOO RIVER AT STEUBEN. * FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY AUGUST 26. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. * AT 15.0 FEET...THE TOWN OF STUEBEN EXPERIENCES SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. * AT 13.0 FEET...BRIDGE STREET NEAR THE GAGE BEGINS TO FLOOD AND HIGHWAY 179 MAY BE THREATENED. * AT 12.0 FEET...WATER STARTS TO AFFECT BUSINESS AND RESIDENCES AND MINOR FLOODING AFFECTS LOWLANDS AND LOWER ROADS. $$ MNC055-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070823T1200Z/ /HOUM5.3.ER.070819T0857Z.070820T0000Z.070823T0000Z.NR/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. $$ IAC005-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0016.070820T0000Z-070822T0412Z/ /DCHI4.3.ER.070820T0000Z.070820T1200Z.070821T1612Z.NR/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76. * FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 17.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 IS OVERTOPPED JUST NORTH OF THE GAGE SITE. * AT 16.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 SOUTH OF DORCHESTER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. * AT 15.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS. * AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MNC109-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /RCCM5.2.ER.070819T0410Z.070819T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER - CASCADE CREEK. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS NEAR ITS CREST NOW...AND SHOULD FALL SLOWLY THIS AFTERNOON...FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EVENING. * AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE SIDEWALK UNDER THE 7TH STREET BRIDGE. $$ MNC109-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070820T1307Z/ /RCHM5.1.ER.070819T0641Z.070819T1800Z.070820T0107Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET. * UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING. $$ MNC109-169-200156- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-070820T0548Z/ /WSPM5.2.ER.070819T0303Z.070819T1200Z.070819T1748Z.UU/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK 3SW. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ MNC045-055-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-070820T0712Z/ /LNSM5.1.ER.070819T0322Z.070819T1130Z.070819T1912Z.NO/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TONIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH ROOT RIVER AT LANESBORO. * UNTIL TONIGHT. * AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * AT 12.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LEFT BANK DOWNSTREAM FROM THE FOOT BRIDGE WHERE THE GAGE IS LOCATED. $$ WIC123-200156- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-070820T0431Z/ /HILW3.2.ER.070819T0629Z.070819T0900Z.070819T1631Z.NR/ 1057 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH BARABOO RIVER AT HILLSBORO. * UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN LOWLAND AREAS NEAR THE RIVER. $$
000 WGUS83 KARX 192139 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR... CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY AFFECTING FLOYD AND MITCHELL COUNTIES ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING HOUSTON COUNTY UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76 AFFECTING ALLAMAKEE COUNTY ZUMBRO RIVER AT ZUMBRO FALLS AFFECTING WABASHA COUNTY CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK AFFECTING OLMSTED AND WINONA COUNTIES ...MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST... .EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA IS RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS ALSO ANTICIPATED TONIGHT...WHICH COULD ADD TO THE PROBLEM. HERE IS THE LATEST STAGE AND FORECAST INFORMATION. SAFETY MESSAGE... THIS FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL WATER LEVELS FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE. IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING WATER...AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. FOR THIS...AND A WEALTH OF OTHER RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION... VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE MNC055-200739- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070823T1900Z/ /HOUM5.3.ER.070819T0857Z.070819T1600Z.070823T0700Z.NR/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW...AROUND 18 FEET. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY. $$ MNC157-200738- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-070822T0500Z/ /ZUMM5.3.ER.070819T1957Z.070820T1200Z.070821T1700Z.NO/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ZUMBRO RIVER AT ZUMBRO FALLS. * UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 27.5 FEET...HIGHWAY 60 IN ZUMBRO FALLS MAY BE FLOODING. * AT 26.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING MAY BEGIN IN ZUMBRO FALLS. * AT 25.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN THE TOWN OF HAMMOND. * AT 24.5 FEET...HIGHWAY 63 MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD NORTH OF THE ZUMBRO RIVER BRIDGE. * AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. $$ MNC109-169-200738- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WSPM5.3.ER.070819T0303Z.070819T1015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK 3SW. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING WAS OCCURRING BUT RIVER LEVELS HAVE BEEN FALLING THROUGH THE DAY...AND THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FALLING THIS EVENING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. $$ IAC067-131-200738- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0031.070820T2100Z-070821T1929Z/ /CCYI4.1.ER.070820T2100Z.070821T0000Z.070821T0729Z.NO/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * FROM LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. * AT 12.0 FEET...BARRICADING OF STREETS BEGIN AND THE INTERSECTION OF RIVERSIDE AND ILLINOIS STREETS MAY BE FLOODED. $$ IAC005-200738- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0016.070820T0313Z-070821T2149Z/ /DCHI4.1.ER.070820T0313Z.070820T0600Z.070821T0949Z.NO/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76. * FROM LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY TONIGHT JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 16.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 SOUTH OF DORCHESTER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. * AT 15.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS. * AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MNC109-200738- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /RCCM5.2.ER.070819T0410Z.070819T1400Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER - CASCADE CREEK. * UNTIL TONIGHT. * AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. $$ MNC109-200738- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070821T0003Z/ /RCHM5.1.ER.070819T0641Z.070819T2000Z.070820T1203Z.NO/ 439 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET. * UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. * AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING. $$
000 WGUS83 KARX 200243 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR... CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY AFFECTING FLOYD AND MITCHELL COUNTIES ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON AFFECTING HOUSTON COUNTY UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76 AFFECTING ALLAMAKEE COUNTY ZUMBRO RIVER AT ZUMBRO FALLS AFFECTING WABASHA COUNTY SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER AFFECTING OLMSTED COUNTY MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK 3SW AFFECTING OLMSTED AND WINONA COUNTIES ...MINOR TO MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE... SAFETY MESSAGE... THIS FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL WATER LEVELS FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE. IF YOU LIVE IN A THREATENED AREA...BE ALERT FOR HIGH OR RISING WATER...AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS INTO FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...IT TAKES ONLY TWO FEET OF WATER TO FLOAT MOST AUTOMOBILES...INCLUDING SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. FOR THIS...AND A WEALTH OF OTHER RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION... VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE MNC055-201243- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070823T1800Z/ /HOUM5.3.ER.070819T0857Z.070819T1600Z.070823T0600Z.NR/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROOT RIVER NEAR HOUSTON. * UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 9 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. * MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * THE RIVER HAS BEEN NEARLY STEADY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS... AND WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN BETWEEN 18 AND 18.5 FEET THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT. * AT 20.0 FEET...WATER MAY OVERFLOW THE PROTECTIVE LEVEE. * AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS. $$ MNC157-201243- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-070821T2248Z/ /ZUMM5.3.ER.070819T1957Z.070820T1200Z.070821T1048Z.NO/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ZUMBRO RIVER AT ZUMBRO FALLS. * UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 9 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 26.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING MAY BEGIN IN ZUMBRO FALLS. * AT 25.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN THE TOWN OF HAMMOND. * AT 24.5 FEET...HIGHWAY 63 MAY BEGIN TO FLOOD NORTH OF THE ZUMBRO RIVER BRIDGE. $$ MNC109-169-201243- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WSPM5.3.ER.070819T0303Z.070819T1015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MIDDLE FORK WHITEWATER RIVER NEAR WHITEWATER STATE PARK 3SW. * UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * AT 9 PM SUNDAY NO CURRENT STAGE WAS AVAILABLE. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. * THE RIVER HAS BEEN FALLING ACCORDING TO OFFICIALS AT THE WHITEWATER STATE PARK. IF NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS REPORTED... THIS WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED IN THE MORNING. $$ IAC067-131-201243- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0031.070820T2351Z-070821T1800Z/ /CCYI4.1.ER.070820T2351Z.070821T0000Z.070821T0600Z.NO/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CEDAR RIVER AT CHARLES CITY. * FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. * AT 12.0 FEET...BARRICADING OF STREETS BEGIN AND THE INTERSECTION OF RIVERSIDE AND ILLINOIS STREETS MAY BE FLOODED. $$ IAC005-201243- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0016.070820T0338Z-070821T1930Z/ /DCHI4.1.ER.070820T0338Z.070820T0600Z.070821T0730Z.NO/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76. * FROM LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 9 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.5 FEET OVERNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. * AT 16.0 FEET...IOWA HIGHWAY 76 SOUTH OF DORCHESTER MAY BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS. * AT 15.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS. * AT 14.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MNC109-200343- /O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-070820T0243Z/ /RCCM5.1.ER.070819T0410Z.070819T1400Z.070820T0105Z.UU/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CASCADE CREEK AT ROCHESTER - CASCADE CREEK. * UNTIL WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31. * AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. * NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS PAST ITS CREST...AND HAS BEEN FALLING DURING THE EVENING. IF WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO FALL...THIS WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED IN THE MORNING. * AT 10.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE SIDEWALK UNDER THE 7TH STREET BRIDGE. $$ MNC109-201243- /O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070820T2136Z/ /RCHM5.1.ER.070819T0641Z.070819T2000Z.070820T0936Z.NO/ 943 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER AT ROCHESTER - 37TH STREET. * UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 9 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. $$
000 WGUS83 KARX 201009 FLSARX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 509 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR... UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76 AFFECTING ALLAMAKEE COUNTY .RIVER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE...THEREFORE THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT FOR LOCATIONS LISTED ABOVE. FOR THIS...AND A WEALTH OF OTHER RIVER AND WEATHER INFORMATION... VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE | IAC005-201039- /O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070821T1930Z/ /DCHI4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 509 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE UPPER IOWA RIVER AT DORCHESTER HWY 76. * AT 04AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 18, 2:45 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 2:45 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
245 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
FORECAST FOCUS IS ON THE EXPECTED RAIN...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING.
THE 12Z GFS AND NAM ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT
OF THE WARM FRONT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...WHICH WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR WHERE THE PCPN/HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL LIE. THIS
BOUNDARY IS SLATED TO MOVE NORTH TODAY...LAYING UP ROUGHLY FROM NEAR
THE IA/MN BORDER INTO NORTHERN ILL TONIGHT...AND THEN SLOWLY SINKS
BACK INTO CENTRAL IA/CENTRAL ILL BY MONDAY MORNING. APPRECIABLE
FRONTOGENETIC RESPONSE THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE IS INDICATED NORTH OF
THE SFC FRONT...WITH THE CURRENT PCPN LINING UP VERY WELL WITH THE
800:700 MB LAYER. THIS FRONTOGENETIC FORCING DOES SHIFT SOME
NORTH/NORTHEAST TONIGHT...MORE FROM EASTCENTRAL MN INTO CENTRAL WI.
MEANWHILE...THE STRONGEST ISENTROPIC ADVECTION IN THE 850:700 MB
LAYER IS CENTERED MORE ACROSS CENTRAL WI TONIGHT. THE NOSE OF THE
850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALSO SHIFTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT...MORE
FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL WI..INTO THIS HIGHER THETA-E AIR AND
FRONTOGENETIC LIFT. THE RUC/NAM/LOCAL WRF PLACE THEIR MAIN QPF
WITHIN THIS BETTER FORCING...WHILE THE GFS IS A BIT MORE
SOUTH...MOSTLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN/SOUTHERN WI. THIS WOULD SEEM TO
BE AT ODDS WITH WHERE IT PLACES ITS BEST FORCING. BELIEVE THE MAIN
BAND OF RAIN/EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT A BIT NORTH TONIGHT.
SOUTH OF THERE THOUGH...STILL EXPECT SHOWERS/STORMS TO
DEVELOP...ALTHOUGH MORE CONVECTIVE IN NATURE THAN TO THE NORTH. GOOD
850:700 MB QG CONVERGENCE...THE VICINITY OF THE SFC FRONT...STRONG
LOW LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT...AND ELEVATED CAPES/S AROUND 750 J/KG
JUST NORTH OF THE SFC FRONT SHOULD HELP IN THAT DEVELOPMENT. SFC
PW/S ARE STILL IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES...WHICH KEEPS HEAVY RAIN IN THE
PICTURE. HOWEVER...LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH HAVE BEEN MUCH DRIER AND
CAN TAKE A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF RAIN...GENERALLY 3 OR MORE INCHES
IN 1 TO 3 HOURS. SOUTH THOUGH...VALUES GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1-2
INCHES. ANY CONVECTIVE DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR RAIN RATES. SO...WILL EXTEND THE FLASH WATCH THROUGH 4 AM.
WILL NOT ADD OR REMOVE ANY COUNTIES FROM THE WATCH FOR NOW.
ON SUNDAY...A WEAK RIPPLE ALONG THE 500 MB FLOW WILL TRACK EAST
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO ACROSS IA/ILL. THIS WILL WORK WITH THE
PERSISTENT WARM FRONT AND FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TO CONTINUE PRODUCE
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE SFC FRONT.
THIS WILL PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT. AGAIN...SFC PW/S AROUND 2 INCHES
WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN...AND THE THE CURRENT WATCH
COULD BE EXTENDED...OR PERHAPS A DIFFERENT WATCH WILL BE NEEDED FOR
LATER IN THE DAY SUNDAY...AS A RESULT.
FOR MONDAY...THE SUN NIGHT PCPN SHOULD SHIFT EAST...BUT THAT WARM
FRONT WILL STILL BE TO THE SOUTH...WITH NOW A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORM DEVELOPMENT AROUND THE WARM FRONT WILL
CONTINUE. MEANWHILE...THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE IN ON
TUESDAY...WITH YET MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS PROBABLE.
OVERALL...THE WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO MON/TUES.
THE MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD SIMILAR SOLUTIONS...BUT STILL HAVE
DIFFERENCES IN THEIR QPF. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH WHERE THE BEST
FORCING LIES RATHER THAN WHERE THE MODELS PAINT THEIR QPF. WHILE THE
POSITIONING OF THE WARM FRONT IS THE FOCUS FOR THE RAIN...VARIOUS
OTHER WEATHER FEATURES //SHORTWAVES...850 MB JET/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT...ETC// WILL PLAY THEIR ROLES...AND MUCK UP THE OVERALL
PICTURE A BIT. THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL REMAINS HIGH...AND THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES AS A RESULT.
.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
THE 500 MB FLOW LOOKS TO STAY ZONAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...AND
FAIRLY ACTIVE...AS THE MODELS ZIP VARIOUS PERTURBATIONS THROUGH THE
MEAN FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED PCPN CHANCES FOR MOST OF
NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH THE TIMING ON WHEN THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IS
DIFFICULT IN A PATTERN SUCH AS THIS. WILL CONTINUE TO PAINT THE POPS
WITH BROAD STROKES...AVOIDING TOO MUCH REFINEMENT UNTIL CONFIDENCE
IN THE TIMING/STRENGTH/PLACEMENT OF THE VARIOUS SHORTWAVES AND/OR
SFC BOUNDARIES INCREASES.
&&
.AVIATION...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE WAS FAIRLY HIGH THAT PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. THIS WAS BASED ON MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW IMPINGING ON
SURFACE AND 850MB FRONT...ALONG WITH PARADE OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES INTERACTING WITH THE FRONT. AS A RESULT...IFR AND/OR
MVFR ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PREDOMINANT CONDITIONS AT BOTH LSE AND
RST TAF SITES.
THOMPSON
&&
.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR WIZ041-WIZ053-WIZ054-
WIZ055-WIZ061.
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MNZ086-MNZ087-MNZ088-
MNZ094-MNZ095-MNZ096.
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR IAZ008-IAZ009-IAZ010-
IAZ011-IAZ018-IAZ019-IAZ029-IAZ030.
&&
RIECKHazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 3:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 330 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ086>088-094>096-WIZ041-053>055-061- 191100- ALLAMAKEE-CHICKASAW-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD- GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-LA CROSSE-MITCHELL-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND- VERNON-WINNESHIEK-WINONA- 330 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA... SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD...AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN SOUTH DAKOTA AND A FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS IOWA. AS A RESULT...THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS IF THEY FALL ON URBAN AREAS OR ACROSS LOCATIONS THAT HAVE HAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN DURING THE PAST WEEK. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY TONIGHT...ANY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA UNDER THE GUN FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION...ALONG WITH CONTINUED MOISTURE RETURN INTO AND OVER A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS IOWA...WILL BRING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PERIOD. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE QUITE MOIST...AND ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP SHOULD BE VERY GOOD RAIN PRODUCERS. REPEATED BOUTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD LEAD TO CONTINUED FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL BE CLOSER TO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE FRONT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE UNSTABLE. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF SUNDAY AND MONDAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF AN AUSTIN MINNESOTA TO RICHLAND CENTER WISCONSIN LINE. THE SEVERE THREATS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND...IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE TIMING AND DETAILS OF ANY SEVERE STORM THREATS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY AND OR MONDAY. RAINFALL REPORTS... ALONG WITH REPORTS OF HEAVY RAIN...HIGH WATER OR FLOODING WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO CALL IS SCHEDULED. MNZ079-WIZ017-029-032>034-042>044-191100- ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLARK-JACKSON-JUNEAU-MONROE-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-WABASHA- 330 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND WESTERN INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE PULLED NORTHWARD...AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN SOUTH DAKOTA AND A FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS IOWA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...BUT WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA...FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY TONIGHT...ANY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP THE AREA UNDER THE GUN FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION...ALONG WITH CONTINUED MOISTURE RETURN INTO AND OVER A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS IOWA...WILL BRING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY PERIOD. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE QUITE MOIST...AND ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP SHOULD BE VERY GOOD RAIN PRODUCERS. REPEATED BOUTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED FLOODING THREAT ACROSS THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH THE FRONT AND MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXPECTED TO BE WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA ACROSS IOWA...ANY THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. FOR TUESDAY AND BEYOND...IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE TIMING AND DETAILS OF ANY SEVERE STORM THREATS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. HOWEVER...ANY HEAVY RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO CALL IS SCHEDULED. RRS/THOMPSON
The office that day
Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 3:19 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | ARX | Allamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more | 49 hr |
| Aug 18, 5:48 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | ARX | Clayton | 17 hr |
| Aug 18, 5:48 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | ARX | Clayton | 17 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Iowa, 2007Every river flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.