Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 11, NWS Gaylord, MI

November 30, 200722 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Nov 30, 2007, 3:57 PM EST for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 1, 2007, 4:17 AM EST. It was in force for 66 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2007, 3:57 PM EST (20:57 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 1, 2007, 4:17 AM EST
Expired
Dec 3, 2007, 10:45 PM EST
In force
66 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 1, 7:15 PM ESTSNOW 4.2Manistee, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 5 IN.
Dec 1, 8:00 PM ESTSNOW 54 E Traverse City, MI1.5 HR TOTAL THRU 8 PM.
Dec 1, 8:30 PM ESTSNOW 2Atlanta, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU 830 PM.
Dec 1, 8:51 PM ESTSNOW 51 S Traverse City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 845 PM. SNOWDEPTH 5 IN.
Dec 1, 9:10 PM ESTSNOW 2.9Indian River, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOWDEPTH 5 IN.
Dec 1, 9:32 PM ESTSNOW 3Cross Village, MI2 HR TOTAL THRU 930 PM.
Dec 1, 9:35 PM ESTSNOW 3Kalkaska, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 930 PM.
Dec 1, 9:59 PM ESTSNOW 62 N Grayling, MI5 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM.
Dec 1, 10:09 PM ESTSNOW 3.26 S Gaylord, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM.
Dec 1, 10:09 PM ESTSNOW 3.6Saint Helen, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM.
Dec 1, 10:09 PM ESTSNOW 4.26 E Cadillac, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM.
Dec 1, 10:24 PM ESTSNOW 610 S Kalkaska, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Dec 1, 10:24 PM ESTSNOW 6Lake Ann, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.
Dec 1, 10:40 PM ESTSNOW 3.39 Ssw Gaylord, MI3.5 HR TOTAL THRU 1030 PM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Dec 1, 10:40 PM ESTSNOW 62 Ne Roscommon, MI5 HR TOTAL THRU 1030 PM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Dec 1, 10:48 PM ESTSNOW 1.3Cross Village, MI1 HR TOTAL THRU 1030 PM.
Dec 1, 11:29 PM ESTSNOW 64 Nw Bellaire, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 1130 PM.
Dec 1, 11:29 PM ESTSNOW 6Cross Village, MI4 HR TOTAL THRU 1130 PM. SNOWDEPTH XX IN.
Dec 1, 11:41 PM ESTSNOW 7.24 Se Leland, MI6.5 HR TOTAL THRU 1130 PM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
Dec 1, 11:55 PM ESTSNOW 3.95 W Alpena, MI11 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOWDEPTH 5 INCHES.
Dec 2, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 5.52 S Lachine, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 12 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Dec 2, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 6Kewadin, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 12 AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Dec 2, 12:03 AM ESTSNOW 6.69 Ssw Gaylord, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.
Dec 2, 12:07 AM ESTSNOW 3.2Indian River, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Dec 2, 12:10 AM ESTSNOW 4.7Houghton Lake, MI11 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOWDEPTH 5 INCHES.
Dec 2, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.8Alpena, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Dec 2, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 4.7Houghton Lake, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Dec 2, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 7.69 Ssw Gaylord, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.
Dec 2, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.84 W Suttons Bay, MI9 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM.
Dec 2, 1:07 AM ESTSNOW 71 W Sigma, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
Dec 2, 2:04 AM ESTSNOW 5.1Wellston, MI10 HR TOTAL THRU 2 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Dec 2, 2:19 AM ESTSNOW 4.54 E Cadillac, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 2 AM.
Dec 2, 2:20 AM ESTSNOW 6.58 Sw St. Helen, MI10 HR TOTAL THRU 2 AM.
Dec 2, 5:28 AM ESTSNOW 7Lake Ann, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM. SNOWDEPTH 11 IN.
Dec 2, 5:28 AM ESTSNOW 810 Se Kalkaska, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM.
Dec 2, 5:51 AM ESTSNOW 6.5Gladwin, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.
Dec 2, 6:10 AM ESTSNOW 62 W Interlochen, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOWDEPTH 10 INCHES.
Dec 2, 6:45 AM ESTSNOW 10Rogers City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.
Dec 2, 7:07 AM ESTSNOW 85 Se Mancelona, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN.
Dec 2, 7:08 AM ESTSNOW 9.19 Ssw Gaylord, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Dec 2, 7:13 AM ESTSNOW 92 N Grayling, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.
Dec 2, 7:20 AM ESTSNOW 6.54 Ne Morey, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 INCHES.
Dec 2, 7:30 AM ESTSNOW 65 Ne Benzonia, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 INCHES.
Dec 2, 7:35 AM ESTSNOW 12Central Lake, MI15 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.
Dec 2, 7:42 AM ESTSNOW 8Lupton, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 7:47 AM ESTSNOW 4.64 E Cadillac, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 7:57 AM ESTSNOW 8.31 W Sigma, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Dec 2, 8:16 AM ESTSNOW 83 E Lachine, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
Dec 2, 8:20 AM ESTSNOW 8.5Gaylord, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.
Dec 2, 8:30 AM ESTSNOW 9.19 Ssw Gaylord, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Dec 2, 8:30 AM ESTSNOW 115 E Traverse City, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 8:33 AM ESTSNOW 65 Nnw Pellston, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 11 IN.
Dec 2, 8:36 AM ESTSNOW 7Higgins Lake, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Dec 2, 8:40 AM ESTSNOW 82 Wsw Indian River, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN.
Dec 2, 8:41 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.210 S Grayling, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 8:41 AM ESTSNOW 6.510 S Grayling, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
Dec 2, 8:45 AM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Higgins Lake, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 8:45 AM ESTSNOW 7Higgins Lake, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Dec 2, 8:54 AM ESTSLEET 0.23 Se Gaylord, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Dec 2, 8:54 AM ESTSNOW 10.83 Se Gaylord, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2007-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2007-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
649 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 302057
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTRY WEATHER CONTINUES...THEN A BIG BLAST OF WINTER TO COME
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.COLD AIR OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN.
VISIBILITIES WILL PERIODICALLY BE REDUCED TO A QUARTER OF A MILE
OR LESS WITHIN HEAVIER SNOW BANDS.

A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT. ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
THE SNOW WILL MIX WILL SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

MIZ016-017-011100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL ADVANCE INTO THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY EVENING...
BECOMING MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND PERHAPS FREEZING RAIN EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY
EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO LOCALLY AS MUCH AS
10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ019-021-022-011100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0500Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

SNOW WILL REDEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING AND BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY
AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET TOWARD
DAYBREAK SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO LOCALLY 10
INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ008-011100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0500Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF M 28. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE 1 TO 3 INCHES NEAR WHITEFISH POINT...PARADISE AND SAULT STE
MARIE THIS EVENING...WITH LESS SNOW TO THE SOUTH. WINDS GUSTING
TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED
VISIBILITY.

SNOW WILL REDEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH WILL LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-011100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AT
TIMES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO
AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ015-011100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
8 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071201T2000Z-071202T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THE SNOW OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY LIMITING OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ027>030-034>036-041-042-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-
ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
357 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THE SNOW OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY LIMITING OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MR/LAWRENCE
13 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 010314
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...A BIG BLAST OF WINTER TO COME SATURDAY NIGHT...

.A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL SPREAD HEAVY SNOW ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT. ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
THE SNOW WILL MIX WILL SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

MIZ019-021-022-011100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T0500Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...BELLAIRE...GAYLORD
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL REDEVELOP SATURDAY EVENING AND BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY
AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET TOWARD
DAYBREAK SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO LOCALLY 10
INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ008-011100-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE MARIE
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM
EST SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF M 28. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE 2 TO 5 INCHES NEAR WHITEFISH POINT...PARADISE AND SAULT STE
MARIE THROUGH DAYBREAK SATURDAY...WITH LESS SNOW TO THE SOUTH.
WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

SNOW WILL REDEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...AND ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

MIZ016>018-023-024-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...ALPENA
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AT
TIMES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO
AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ015-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST IGNACE
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
8 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071201T2000Z-071202T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LELAND...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THE SNOW OVERNIGHT
SATURDAY...POTENTIALLY LIMITING OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ027>030-034>036-041-042-011100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-
ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...OSCODA...GLADWIN...
STANDISH
1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THE SNOW OVERNIGHT SATURDAY...
POTENTIALLY LIMITING OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

JPB
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 010917
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...A BIG BLAST OF WINTER TONIGHT...

.A POWERFUL WINTER STORM...ORGANIZING IN COLORADO THIS
MORNING...WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS STORM...REACHING NORTHERN MICHIGAN LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES. IN ADDITION...THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN IN PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT...AND ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING.

MIZ008-012300-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-071201T1000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-012300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071201T2000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071201T2100Z-071202T1800Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH AND TURN TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES...WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ027>029-034>036-041-042-012300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071201T2100Z-071202T1800Z/
KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH AND TURN TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 9
INCHES...WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ030-012300-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0010.071202T0000Z-071202T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HARRISVILLE
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND TURN TO SLEET...FREEZING
RAIN...AND RAIN ON SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE
FROM 7 TO 9 INCHES...WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE
SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ016>019-021>024-012300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ015-012300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
417 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 011549
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1049 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...A BIG BLAST OF WINTER TONIGHT...

.A POWERFUL WINTER STORM...ORGANIZING OVER THE MIDWEST AND CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS MORNING... WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. SNOW
WILL DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS STORM...REACHING NORTHERN MICHIGAN
BY EARLY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN PARTS
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT...AND ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION SUNDAY MORNING.

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-012300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
1049 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ008-015-012300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1049 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-012300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071201T2100Z-071202T1800Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1049 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH AND TURN TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES...WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

LAWRENCE
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 012124
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
424 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT...

.A POWERFUL WINTER STORM...ADVANCING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
OVERNIGHT...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SNOW INTO THE REGION THIS
EVENING...WITH SNOW PERSISTING THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
EXPECTED AS WINDS PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE
TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE POSSIBLE. 

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-021100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
424 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...OVERNIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING
TO 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LATE
TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY
MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURRING BETWEEN 9 PM AND
2 AM...WHEN SNOWFALL RATES MAY APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT
TIMES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE NIGHT. 

$$

MIZ008-015-021100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.071202T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
424 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES
TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-021100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
424 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL MIX
WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. THE
HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM AND
MIDNIGHT...WHEN SNOWFALL RATES MAY APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT
TIMES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT.

$$

LAWRENCE
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 020304
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1004 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT...

.A POWERFUL WINTER STORM INVADING THE UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW TO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WINDS STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
OF ICE POSSIBLE.

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-021715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
1004 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES...PARTICULARLY THROUGH 2 AM. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 9 INCHES WILL FALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

IN ADDITION...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. THE
SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET OVERNIGHT...AND THEN FREEZING RAIN BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN UP TOMORROW...WHILE PERIODS OF
FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER.
THIS MAY REQUIRE A CANCELLATION OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING...AND
A TRANSITION TO A HEADLINE FOCUSED PRIMARILY AROUND THE ICE
POTENTIAL.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$

MIZ008-015-021715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1004 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING...AND WILL BE HEAVY
AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
WILL FALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

IN ADDITION...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. THE
SNOW WILL TRY AND MIX WITH SLEET TOMORROW...PRIMARILY IN MACKINAC
COUNTY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-021715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1004 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

THE HEAVY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT...WHILE MIXING
WITH SLEET. THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL THEN CHANGE OVER TO MORE OF
FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN MIXTURE BY TOMORROW MORNING. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES TONIGHT WITH
SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW FOR A FEW HOURS AFTER MIDNIGHT WHICH WILL
FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIGHTEN UP TOMORROW...WHILE PERIODS OF
FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER.
THIS MAY REQUIRE A CANCELLATION OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING...AND
A TRANSITION TO A HEADLINE FOCUSED PRIMARILY AROUND THE ICE
POTENTIAL.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT.

$$

SD
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 020915
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
415 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...STILL NASTY TRAVEL CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...

.THE HEAVIEST SNOW WAS EXITING THE REGION TO THE EAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER...AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE...GRADUALLY
GIVING WAY TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING BY
MIDDAY ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN...BRINGING THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION THREAT TO A TEMPORARY END.

EVEN WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING...TRAVEL CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS EARLY THIS MORNING. UNTREATED ROADS
WILL BE SNOW COVERED WITH SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING. EVEN PLOWED ROADS
MAY PICK UP A TOUCH OF ICING THIS MORNING.

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-021800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
415 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LINGERING SNOW WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING
DRIZZLE THIS MORNING...AND THEN CHANCE TO PATCHY LIGHT RAIN BY
MIDDAY. MANY ROADS REMAIN DIFFICULT TO TRAVEL THANKS TO HEAVY SNOW
DURING THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE
SMALL...BUT SOME LIGHT ICING WILL OCCUR IN SPOTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ008-015-021800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
415 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LINGERING SNOW WILL MIX WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING
DRIZZLE THIS MORNING. MANY ROADS REMAIN DIFFICULT TO TRAVEL
THANKS TO HEAVY SNOW DURING THE NIGHT. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL
IS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY THIS MORNING. SOME LIGHT ICING WILL
ALSO OCCUR IN SPOTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-021800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071202T1800Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
415 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A MIX OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...WILL TRANSITION TO JUST
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THIS RAIN...AND TO PATCHY LIGHT RAIN BY
MIDDAY. MANY ROADS REMAIN DIFFICULT TO TRAVEL THANKS TO HEAVY
SNOW DURING THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL BE
SMALL...BUT SOME LIGHT ICING WILL OCCUR IN SPOTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 021653
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1153 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER ON THE WAY...

.AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE EVENING AS A
STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RIDES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
SAGINAW BAY AREA TONIGHT. COLD AIR WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION...
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN BEHIND THE LOW.
WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY MAIN
ROADS THAT HAVE BEEN CLEARED DURING THE DAY SHOULD BE COME SNOW
COVERED AND SLICK AGAIN TONIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW AND
ICE COVERED WITH SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING. 

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-030700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
1153 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE EVENING. COLD AIR
WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE SNOWBELT REGIONS OF
NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN BEHIND THE LOW. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW
VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ008-015-030700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1153 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE EVENING. COLD AIR
WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY. IN
ADDITION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN
BEHIND THE LOW. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-030700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1153 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE EVENING. COLD AIR
WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE SNOWBELT REGIONS OF
NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN BEHIND THE LOW. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW
VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MR
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 022106
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
406 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER ON THE WAY...

.AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
EVENING AS A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RIDES NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE SAGINAW BAY AREA TONIGHT. COLD AIR WILL WRAP INTO
MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES FOR ANOTHER
ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING OVERNIGHT. IN
ADDITION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN
BEHIND THE LOW. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TONIGHT. ANY MAIN
ROADS THAT HAVE BEEN CLEARED DURING THE DAY SHOULD BE COME SNOW
COVERED AND SLICK AGAIN TONIGHT. UNTREATED ROADS WILL BE SNOW AND
ICE COVERED WITH SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING.

MIZ016>019-021>024-030-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE
406 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
EVENING. COLD AIR WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS
EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE
SNOWBELT REGIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION... WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN BEHIND THE LOW. WIND
GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ008-015-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
406 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EARLY THIS EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE EVENING. COLD
AIR WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE
LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY. IN
ADDITION... WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN
BEHIND THE LOW. WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ020-025>029-031>036-041-042-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
406 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

AREAS OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL SWITCH TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
EVENING. COLD AIR WILL WRAP INTO MICHIGAN BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING OVERNIGHT. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS
EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK MONDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN THE
SNOWBELT REGIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION... WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN BEHIND THE LOW. WIND
GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MR
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 030414
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER ON THE WAY...

.AFTER SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL AND A PERIOD OF LIGHT
ICING...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER WILL BLAST NORTHERN
MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES
TO INTENSIFY OVER SOUTHERN LAKE HURON. THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK EAST AND STRENGTHEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS INTO NORTHERN NEW
YORK TOMORROW. SNOWFALL WILL EXIT EAST OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...HOWEVER COLD AIR AWAITING OVER WISCONSIN
AND LAKE SUPERIOR WILL GET DRAWN INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN VIA STRONG
AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TOMORROW. THE STRONG WINDS GUSTING 40 TO 50 MPH WILL RESULT IN
BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. 

TRAVEL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY
SUNDAY. HOWEVER...EXPECT HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW AS ROADS WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME SNOW
COVERED AND SLICK.

MIZ030-036-041-042-030515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T1100Z/
ALCONA-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...
STANDISH
1114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH A
BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TRY TO MAKE IT INTO THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT THE MAIN WEATHER WILL BE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS DURING THIS TIME. NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND 
THROUGH TOMORROW.

$$

MIZ016>018-023>025-029-031>035-031815-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH
1114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL EXIT EAST OF THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLD AIR
WILL THEN BLAST INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE
LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT. ONLY 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AND GUST TO AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MIZ008-015-031815-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL EXIT EAST OF THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLD AIR
WILL THEN BLAST INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE
LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND GUST TO
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

MIZ019>022-026>028-031815-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1114 PM EST SUN DEC 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL EXIT EAST OF THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. COLD AIR
WILL THEN BLAST INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ACTIVATING THE
LAKES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT. 4 TO 7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND GUST TO
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

$$

SD
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 031007
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
507 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER TODAY...

.AFTER SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL AND A PERIOD OF LIGHT ICING THIS 
WEEKEND...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER WILL BLAST NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TODAY. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES
WILL LEAD TO AN INFLUX OF ARCTIC AIR ORIGINATING OUT OF CENTRAL
ONTARIO.

THIS COLD AIR BLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL GENERATE LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS OVER THE
SNOW BELTS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE STRONG
WINDS GUSTING 40 TO 50 MPH WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
AT TIMES AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE EARLY THIS MORNING AS SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ACCUMULATE ON AREA ROADWAYS AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES
TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS SNOW INTENSITY AND STRONG WINDS
BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

MIZ016>018-023>025-029-031>035-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH
507 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

COLD AIR BLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES WILL GENERATE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND GUST TO
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH... RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
AT TIMES AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MIZ008-015-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
507 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

COLD AIR BLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES WILL GENERATE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE RANGE OF 3 TO 6
INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH POINT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

FURTHERMORE...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND GUST TO AS HIGH
AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES
AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MIZ019>022-026>028-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
507 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

COLD AIR BLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES WILL GENERATE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND GUST
TO AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
AT TIMES AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MC
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 031611
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1111 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...MORE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER TODAY...

.STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES WILL LEAD TO AN INFLUX OF
ARCTIC AIR ORIGINATING OUT OF CENTRAL ONTARIO. THIS COLD AIR
BLOWING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES WILL GENERATE LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TODAY. STRONG WINDS GUSTING 40 TO 50 MPH WILL RESULT IN
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR
ZERO AT TIMES. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS SNOW
INTENSITY AND STRONG WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

MIZ016>018-023>025-029-031>035-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-OSCODA-
MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH
1111 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AS HIGH AS 40 TO
50 MPH...RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES AND
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MIZ008-015-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1111 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE RANGE
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH POINT
TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50
MPH...RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES AND
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MIZ019>022-026>028-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1111 AM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AS
HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...RESULTING IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT
TIMES AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

AS
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 032204
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
504 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT MACHINE CONTINUES TO CHURN...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH COLD AIR MOVING ACROSS
THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM THIS EVENING.

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES THIS EVENING. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT AS SNOW INTENSITY AND STRONG WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

MIZ008-015-023-029-035-032315-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071203T2300Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-OGEMAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
ATLANTA...MIO...WEST BRANCH
504 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REGION. MAINLY LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS EVENING.

$$

MIZ016>018-024-025-031>034-040400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071204T0400Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-BENZIE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ALPENA...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE
504 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. SNOW IN COMBINATION WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES THIS EVENING WITH
ADDITIONAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

MIZ019>022-026>028-040400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071204T0400Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
504 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. SNOW IN COMBINATION WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES
THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

$$

AS
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 040345
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINDS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WEAKENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST QUEBEC HAS SHIFTED FAR ENOUGH FROM
NORTHERN MICHIGAN TO ALLOW THE STRONG WINDS FROM EARLIER TODAY TO 
SUBSIDE. HOWEVER...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE NIGHT...AND WILL BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO
THE SNOWBELTS. LOCALIZED BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL
CONTINUE...BUT WIDESPREAD REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY DUE TO STRONG
WINDS HAS CEASED.

MIZ019>022-025>028-031>033-041000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071204T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0019.071204T0345Z-071204T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1045 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL FOCUS IN AROUND THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY REGION. LOCALIZED BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL
OCCUR. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND
EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING.

$$

MIZ016>018-024-034-040445-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-071204T0400Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ALPENA...HOUGHTON LAKE
1045 PM EST MON DEC 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE STRONG WINDS HAVE ALREADY SUBSIDED...WHILE THE SNOW SHOWERS
WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES
OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

$$

SD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 30, 12:38 PM EST, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 12:38 PM EST, 3 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1238 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

.AVIATION...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN THRU THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO TONIGHT. LOCATIONS BETWEEN KPLN AND KTVC WILL RECEIVE THE
MOST PERSISTENT AND HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS. VSBYS WILL PERIODICALLY
DROP TO ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS WITHIN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH AROUND 00Z. AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW SHOWERS
SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER 00Z...AND FINALLY COME TO AN END BY 12Z. MID
CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SATURDAY MORNING IN ADVANCE OF A
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A
MULTITUDE OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER ACROSS THE UPPER MID WEST
BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THRU SUNDAY. MORE ON
THIS EVENT TO FOLLOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1053 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007/

UPDATE...OVERNIGHT SHORT WAVE CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM NRN
MICHIGAN LATE THIS MORNING. ALL SYNOPTIC ENHANCEMENT HAS
CEASED...LEAVING NRN MICHIGAN IN A WEST FLOW PURE LAKE EFFECT
SITUATION. MULTI BANDED STRUCTURE HAS ORGANIZED NICELY...IMPACTING
MOST OF OUR CWA. WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 TO 35 MPH ARE PUSHING
BANDS FURTHER INLAND. SPOTTER REPORTS AND SURFACE OBS WITHIN HEAVIER
BANDS ARE REPORTING VSBYS TEMPORARILY DROPPING TO AOB 1/4SM MILE. NO
DOUBT GUSTY WINDS ARE ONLY MAKING THE SITUATION WORSE. VERY LITTLE
CHANGES THRU THE AFTERNOON...WITH DELTA TS THRU THE ROOF (MID TO
UPPER 20S) AND 900-700 MR RH HOLDS BETWEEN 60 PCT (NRN LOWER
MICHIGAN) TO 80 PCT (ERN UPR MICHIGAN). LOW LEVEL WINDS DO SHIFT
SLIGHTLY TO A MORE W/NW TRAJECTORY...BUT IT SHOULD BE A GRADUAL AND
MINOR SHIFT AND WILL THUS LIKELY HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON BAND
ORGANIZATION. WILL MAINTAIN THE SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR
CHIPPEWA COUNTY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY AND WILL EXTEND THE
ADVISORY FOR FAR NRN LOWER MICHIGAN COUNTIES FOR THE REST OF THE DAY
AS WELL. ANTICIPATE MOST LOCATIONS WITHIN THE ADVISORY WILL RECEIVE
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...BUT VSBYS
DROPPING AOB 1/4SM MILE WITHIN HEAVIER BANDS WILL BE THE GREATEST
HAZARD.

DISCUSSION...ISSUED 416 AM FRI NOV 30...

JUST A QUICK NOTE TO POINT OUT THAT...GIVEN CURRENT LAKE ENHANCEMENT
SEEN ON NORTHERN LAKE MI...AT THIS TIME IT MAKES NO SENSE TO CANCEL
THE ONGOING ADVISORY AT THE TIP OF THE MITT. SO I WON/T. THIS
ENHANCEMENT COULD WELL RUN IT/S COURSE OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS...AS
UPSTREAM RADARS (GRB/MKX) SHOW THE BACK EDGE OF THE MID LEVEL
RETURNS ALREADY MOVING OUT OVER NORTHERN LAKE MI.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

ACTIVE WX TO CONTINUE. UNIMPRESSIVE WESTERLY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW (LES) CONTINUES IN THE TIP OF NORTHERN LOWER MI. A
VORTICITY RIBBON STRETCHED FROM SD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LAKES...IS
CONTRIBUTING TO A SMALL AREA OF SYNOPTIC SNOW MOVING EAST FROM
CENTRAL WI. COLD ADVECTION WILL RETURN LATER TODAY IN THE WAKE OF
THIS SYSTEM...WITH WNW FLOW LAKE EFFECT THE MAIN CONCERN INTO
TONIGHT. THEN WE CATCH A BRIEF BREAK ON SATURDAY...BEFORE A
WELL-ADVERTISED WINTER STORM EMERGES FROM THE ROCKIES AND HEADS FOR
THE LAKES. MOST OF THE EARLY STUFF IS NUISANCE-VARIETY WX (OR AT
LEAST LOOKS THAT WAY). THE WEEKEND STORM IS THE MAIN SHOW IN TOWN.

MODELS...THE HPC PREFERRED SOLUTION IS FOR A UKMET/ECMWF TYPE
SOLUTION...WHICH FEATURES A DEEPER AND FURTHER NORTH SURFACE LOW ON
SUNDAY THAN THE NAM/GFS. THE CANADIAN IS DEEPER AND FURTHER NORTH
YET. SO THERE ARE STILL A RANGE OF SOLUTIONS...THOUGH TIMING IS AT
LEAST QUITE SIMILAR...WHICH IS SURPRISING GIVEN THE SYSTEM IS STILL
LARGELY OFFSHORE. WILL STICK WITH THE CONSENSUS ECMWF.

TODAY...ONE THING AT A TIME. ONGOING LES AT THE TIP OF THE MITT IS
LIMITED BY ONGOING WARM ADVECTION...AND BY DRY UPSTREAM AIR AT LOW
LEVELS (PER SURFACE DEW POINTS AROUND 0F). HOWEVER...MID LEVEL
MOISTURE FROM THE SYSTEM TO OUR SW IS CONNECTING WITH THE LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY...PROVIDING SOME ENHANCEMENT OVER THE LAST HOUR. THIS
ISN/T ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY KEEPING THE HEADLINE GOING IN THESE
AREAS...AND PLAN ON CANCELLING THE ONGOING ADVISORIES.

UPSTREAM RADARS INDICATE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SNOW IS ON
TAP TO STAY NEAR AND SOUTH OF US-10...LARGELY OUTSIDE OF OUR
FORECAST AREA (THOUGH GLADWIN AND ARENAC WILL BE A MARGINAL
EXCEPTION). FOR WHAT IT/S WORTH...THE NAM LOOKS TO BE A BIT TOO FAR
NORTH WITH THE MOISTURE/PRECIP SHIELD. PRECIP SHIELD WILL ALSO
DETERIORATE WITH TIME...AS 850-700MB FGEN WILL DIMINISH THIS
MORNING...AND BEST 850-700MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL STAY
COMFORTABLY TO OUR SOUTH. THE FAR SOUTHERN ZONES WILL SEE SNOW
(MAINLY THIS MORNING)...BUT ONLY AROUND HALF AN INCH ALONG M-55...
AND PERHAPS AN INCH GLADWIN/STANDISH.

FINALLY...NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL SWING THRU UPPER MI THIS
MORNING...WITH A MORE POTENT WAVE PASSING NORTH OF THE SAULT THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL AID IN VEERING THE 1000-850MB WINDS WNW/NW...
AND RETURNING LAKE EFFECT TO CHIPPEWA COUNTY AND PERHAPS THE TIP OF
NORTHERN LOWER MI. A DOMINANT WEST FLOW BAND IS GETTING GOING NORTH
OF WHITEFISH BAY THIS MORNING. THE VEERING WINDS WILL BRING THAT
ASHORE AT MIDDAY...WITH A CORRESPONDING BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW
NEAR PARADISE/WHITEFISH PT. THEN...850MB TEMPS WILL TUMBLE BACK
TOWARD -20C ON EASTERN SUPERIOR BY 21Z...-19C ON NORTHERN LAKE MI.
850-700MB MOISTURE IS MUCH MORE IMPRESSIVE ON SUPERIOR (85 PERCENT)
THAN ON NORTHERN LAKE MI (60). PER COORD WITH MQT...WILL BRING UP TO
5 INCHES OF SNOW TO WHITEFISH PT...AROUND 2 INCHES TO THE SAULT.
LESS THAN 2 INCHES TO NORTHERN LOWER.

PER COORD WITH MQT...WILL HOIST SNOW/BLSN ADVISORY FOR CHIPPEWA FOR
TODAY.

TONIGHT...STILL REASONABLE LES IN THE EVENING IN EASTERN UPPER
MI...WITH DELTA T/S IN THE MID 20S AND 850-700MB RH 60-70 PERCENT
EARLY ON. HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL MID LEVEL RIDGING OUT AHEAD OF THE
BIG STORM ARRIVES OVERNIGHT...AS DOES AN EXPANSIVE SURFACE HIGH.
AIRMASS TURNS BONE DRY WITH DEEP SUBSIDENCE...AND BY 12Z 850-700MB
RH LEVELS ARE 30 PERCENT OR LESS. DO NOT THINK THIS WILL BE ENOUGH
TO STOP LES (OR AT LEAST NOT TIL NEARLY DAWN WHEN DRAINAGE FLOW FROM
ONTARIO OVERPOWERS THE WEAKENING NW SYNOPTIC FLOW). BUT INTENSITIES
SHOULD HEAD SHARPLY DOWNHILL OVERNIGHT. STILL...LOCAL 2-3 INCH
ACCUMS POSSIBLE IN WESTERN CHIPPEWA...AND AROUND AN INCH IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LOWER MI. OUTSIDE OF LES AREAS...CLEARING
SKIES AND DYING WINDS WILL PRODUCE VERY COLD CONDITIONS...AND MANY
PLACES WILL LOWER INTO SINGLE DIGITS. THE SAULT IS AMONG THEM...AND
MAY BE COLDEST OF ALL AS DRAINAGE FLOW KICKS IN.

SATURDAY...RESPITE EARLY ON. RIDGE AXIS PASSES...WITH WARM ADVECTION
KICKING IN ON DEVELOPING SE 1000-850MB FLOW. LINGERING LES WILL BE
RAPIDLY DEVOURED BY 850-700MB RH LEVELS LOWERING TO 20 PERCENT OR
LESS...AND DO NOT PLAN ON MORE THAN FLURRIES. LARGE PRECIP SHIELD
WILL START TO TAKE SHAPE TO OUR WEST...AS 990MB SURFACE LOW EJECTS
TO EASTERN NEBRASKA...WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY 1000-850MB FLOW IN THE
PLAINS/MS VALLEY. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
DURING THE DAY...AND SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE SW.
ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALOFT (290K) WILL STRENGTHEN ENOUGH TO OVERCOME
INITIALLY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR. SO SNOW REMAINS LIKELY FROM CAD/TVC
WEST (1-3 INCHES...HIGHEST AROUND MBL WITH CATEGORICAL POPS)...WITH
CHANCE POPS EAST.

SATURDAY NIGHT...MESSY...MESSY...MESSY. SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO
CENTRAL WI. CATEGORICAL POPS CLEARLY IN ORDER WITH MASSIVE AMOUNTS
OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA. P-TYPE IS
A REAL ADVENTURE...AS SUBSTANTIAL WARMING WILL BE SEEN WAY...WAY
ALOFT...WITH A WARM NOSE AROUND 700-750MB. PRECIP WILL BE ALL SNOW
IN THE EVENING...BUT OVERNIGHT 750MB TEMPS ARE PRIMED TO RISE TO
AROUND 3C IN THE FAR SW. THAT WOULD CERTAINLY PRECIP OVER TO ALL
RAIN OR FZRA. HOWEVER...THIS WARM SURGE ALOFT ALSO CORRESPONDS WITH
THE ARRIVAL OF DRYING ABOVE 700MB (DRY SLOT). THE BULK OF THE PRECIP
FOR THIS EVENT SHOULD THUS FALL AS SNOW MOST EVERYWHERE. HOWEVER...
PRECIP WILL TURN CONVECTIVE THANKS TO MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY AT THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE DRY SLOT. THUS BURSTS OF MODERATE FZRA/RA ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH BEFORE THE DRY AIR POURS IN MORE EMPHATICALLY.
WILL EXPAND THE MENTION OF A MIX FURTHER NORTH (TO CVX/GLR/
HARRISVILLE)...ALL SNOW NORTH. WILL ALSO ADD RAIN TO THE COASTS...
WHERE SURFACE TEMPS MIGHT EDGE TO 32F THANKS TO MARINE INFLUENCE ON
THE HURON SIDE AND DOWNSLOPING ON LAKE MI SIDE.

ACCUMS. ICE...ABOUT A TENTH AN INCH CAD/HTL AREAS. SNOW...5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...HIGHEST M-32 TO THE STRAITS.
WINTER STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED.

SUNDAY...STILL DIFFICULT TO GET A HANDLE ON. HEAVY SYNOPTIC PRECIP
WILL SHUT DOWN RELATIVELY QUICKLY...IN FACT THAT PROCESS COULD BE
WELL UNDERWAY BY 12Z. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH THE DRY AIR ALOFT...
CONDITIONS REMAIN NEARLY SATURATED BELOW 700MB...AT LEAST EARLY IN
THE DAY. THIS LAYER IS ENTIRELY WARMER THAN -10C...BUT WITH
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE DEPTH AND SHEAR FOR WARM RAIN PROCESSES TO
PRODUCE PRECIP. THUS BEHIND THE MAIN PRECIP SHIELD...DRIZZLE OR VERY
LIGHT RAIN SHOULD OCCUR...AND IN INTERIOR LOCALES THAT SHOULD BE
FREEZING. BY AFTERNOON...AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES THRU THE STRAITS
REGION...THE 850-700MB LAYER WILL DRY AND COLD ADVECTION WILL BEGIN
DOWN LOW. NOT COLD ENOUGH FOR SIGNIFICANT LES (850MB TEMPS TO -6C AT
WORST)...AND PERHAPS NOT COLD ENOUGH TO ACTIVATE ICE NUCLEI...THOUGH
SHALLOWER MOISTURE DEPTH WILL MAKE WARM RAIN PROCESSES LESS LIKELY.
WILL HAVE AN UNGAINLY MIX OF RAIN...FZRA...AND SNOW IN THE
FORECAST...WITH MOST OF THAT IN THE MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMS OF
SNOW AND ICE LOOK SMALL...LESS THAN AN INCH/A TENTH OF AN INCH
RESPECTIVELY...EXCEPT IN THE FAR EAST WHERE SYNOPTIC PRECIP SHIELD
HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF STILL HANGING AROUND AT 12Z. PER COORD WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES...THE WATCH WILL GO INTO THE MORNING HOURS
SUNDAY. THAT CAN BE FINE-TUNED WITH TIME.

ZOLTOWSKI

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED HPC GUIDANCE OF THE
ECMWF/UKMET BLEND FOR DAYS 3.5 THROUGH 5 PERIOD.  RECENT ACTIVE
PATTERN LOOKS TO PERSIST OVER THIS PERIOD...FIRST WITH THE DEPARTING
LOW AND SUBSEQUENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH MONDAY...MAYBE A BRIEF
BREAK ON TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT CLIPPER DUE TO
ARRIVES ON WEDNESDAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT...UPPER LOW NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR CLOSES OFF AND
STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES EAST...PUSHING ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
FROM NE LOWER INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO.  STRONGEST 850-500 QG FORCING
WOULD HAVE PUSHED TO THE EAST BY 00Z MON...WITH THE COLD FRONT
POSITIONED DOWN THE SPINE OF LAKE HURON.  STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL
BE UNDERWAY BY THE TIME THE NIGHT STARTS...BUT POTENTIAL LINGERING
DRY SLOTTING MAKES MOISTURE DEPTH AND PRECIP TYPE
PROBLEMATIC...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING.  IF THE 12Z ECMWF
SURFACE LOW TRACK IS CORRECT...ALL AREAS MAY SEE A BREAK IN THE
PRECIP OR A PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING HOURS.  THEN...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE QUICKLY RETURNS AND
850MB TEMPS DROP FROM ABOUT -5C AT 00Z MON TO -16C BY 12Z MON
USHERED IN BY BEEFY 1000-850MB WNW FLOW OF 35KTS.  IF THESE PROGGED
CONDITIONS PERSIST...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL RAPIDLY
DEVELOP WHICH WOULD REQUIRE SOME SORT OF HEADLINE.  WILL NOT GET
FANCY WITH PRECIP CHANCES OR PRECIP TYPE...SINCE CHANGES IN THE
SURFACE LOW TRACK AND LOW LEVEL WIND DIRECTION MAY OCCUR.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES DURING THIS
PERIOD WITH LES PARAMETERS VERY FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION.  DELTA T/S WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW 20S WITH 850-700MB
RH ABOVE 70 PCT WHILE 1000-850MB FLOW STAYS ABOVE 25KTS.  SOME
VEERING OF THE LOW LEVEL WINDS IS EXPECTED OVER THIS 24 HOUR
PERIOD...WHICH MAY SPREAD OUT ACCUMULATIONS SOMEWHAT.

TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING MOVES EAST WHILE
LOW LEVEL WINDS SLACKEN IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT.  850MB TEMPS MODERATE ONLY A FEW DEGREES AS WARM AIR
ADVECTION IS WEAK AHEAD OF A SE MOVING CLIPPER.  LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN DURING THIS PERIOD...WHILE THE CLIPPER WILL
WAIT TO ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY.

MPC

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR MIZ020-025-026-031>033.

     SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     MIZ008-016-017-019-021-022.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR MIZ008-015>019-021>024-027>030-034>036-041-042.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ341.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ323-342-344>346.

LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LHZ346.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LHZ345-347>349.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LSZ321-322.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 11:30 AM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1130 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
011100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1130 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
LOWER THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY NORTH OF M-72 AND WEST OF I-75. SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO IMPACT CHIPPEWA COUNTY...
ESPECIALLY LOCATIONS NORTH OF M 28. SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES FOR
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH
ENHANCEMENT ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN
UPPER.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN NEARSHORE
WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH LAKE ENHANCEMENT
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS OF
NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ON SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 30, 10:53 AM EST, 5 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1053 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1034 AM     SNOW             2 SW INDIAN RIVER       45.40N 84.65W
11/30/2007  M3.0 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM.

1034 AM     SNOW             5 SE EAST JORDAN        45.11N 85.06W
11/30/2007  M2.5 INCH        ANTRIM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

1034 AM     SNOW             8 NNE MANCELONA         45.01N 84.99W
11/30/2007  M3.0 INCH        ANTRIM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

&&

ASULLIVA
Local storm report, Nov 30, 10:56 AM EST, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1056 AM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 AM     SNOW             2 W INTERLOCHEN         44.65N 85.80W
11/30/2007  M3.0 INCH        GRAND TRAVERSE     MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOWDEPTH 5 INCHES.

0734 AM     SNOW             4 SE HONOR              44.63N 85.96W
11/30/2007  M3.4 INCH        BENZIE             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.

1034 AM     SNOW             2 SW INDIAN RIVER       45.40N 84.65W
11/30/2007  M3.0 INCH        CHEBOYGAN          MI   PUBLIC

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM.

1034 AM     SNOW             5 SE EAST JORDAN        45.11N 85.06W
11/30/2007  M2.5 INCH        ANTRIM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

1034 AM     SNOW             8 NNE MANCELONA         45.01N 84.99W
11/30/2007  M3.0 INCH        ANTRIM             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

&&

ASULLIVA
Local storm report, Nov 30, 1:34 PM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
134 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 PM     SNOW             WELLSTON                44.22N 85.95W
11/30/2007  M5.8 INCH        MANISTEE           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

&&

ASULLIVA
Local storm report, Nov 30, 1:48 PM EST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
148 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     SNOW             GAYLORD                 45.03N 84.67W
11/30/2007  M4.0 INCH        OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            12 HR TOTAL THRU 2 PM. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.

&&

ASULLIVA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 4:27 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Cheboygan and 16 more24 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.