Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 022121
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
421 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL PLUNGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS...
HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN
SHORELINE AREAS...WITH LIGHTER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SNOW SHOWERS
IMPACT PLACES FURTHER INLAND ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH
FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
421 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE
MICHIGAN SHORELINE AREAS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
FALL JUST SOUTH OF THE STRAITS AREA FROM PELLSTON TO CHARLEVOIX...
 WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. NEW SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES.
IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES
TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ027-032-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
421 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KALKASKA AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES THROUGH SATURDAY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY
EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN
AND RAPID CITY. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH
FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND
GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

MIZ008-015-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
421 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
THROUGH SATURDAY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL
CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL
COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE
NEGATIVE TEENS.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND
GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

SD

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 030116
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
816 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PLUNGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. 
ALTHOUGH MANY OF THE WARNED AREAS WILL SEE A DECREASE IN THE SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT...THIS VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH TOMORROW. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
MAINLY OCCUR ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE AREAS. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE TOO HIGH...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING NO MORE THAN
6 INCHES BY TOMORROW EVENING. HOWEVER...THE SNOW WILL BE ABLE TO
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE AS
BRISK AND GUSTY WINDS PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG THE
LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL SPREAD IN TO THE
INLAND AREAS TOMORROW. FINALLY...THE BRISK WINDS ALONG WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO...AND REMAINING IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

MIZ008-015-030230-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
816 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS HAVE MOVED OUT OF MOST AREAS. ONLY
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS WHITEFISH POINT AND
DRUMMOND ISLAND...WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOWS. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE AREA HAS SEEN A TEMPORARY
END TO THE WINTRY WEATHER. 

IN ADDITION...THE BRISK WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO...AND REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

SNOWS MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT ACROSS DRUMMOND
ISLAND AND THE CEDARVILLE AREAS...AND THEN THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
FOCUS IN ON MAINLY CHIPPEWA COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. ALL AREAS
WILL SEE A REDEVELOPMENT OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND POSSIBLE
NEW WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES.

$$

MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-031530-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
816 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
AREAS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL JUST SOUTH OF
THE STRAITS AREA FROM PELLSTON TO CHARLEVOIX. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES. THERE WILL BE
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
TONIGHT...BUT BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE MORE COMMON TOMORROW.
THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

IN ADDITION...THE BRISK WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO...AND REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ027-032-031530-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
816 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES
THROUGH SATURDAY...MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. NEW SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6
INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND
WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN AND RAPID CITY. ALTHOUGH
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TONIGHT...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP
TOMORROW CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THIS WILL
RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES. 

IN ADDITION...THE BRISK WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
INTO...AND REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

SD

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 030437
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1137 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PLUNGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT.
ALTHOUGH MANY OF THE WARNED AREAS WILL SEE A DECREASE IN THE SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT...THIS VERY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH TOMORROW. 

THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.
HOWEVER...MOST OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL SEE SNOW TOMORROW. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE TOO HIGH...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING NO MORE THAN
6 INCHES BY TOMORROW EVENING. HOWEVER...THE SNOW WILL BE ABLE TO
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE AS
BRISK AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
PARTICULARLY TOMORROW. FINALLY...THE COLD AND BRISK WINDS...ALONG
WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO...OR REMAINING IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
1137 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
AREAS THROUGH SATURDAY....RESULTING IN 3 TO 7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW
ACCUMULATION. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL JUST SOUTH OF THE STRAITS
AREA FROM PELLSTON TO CHARLEVOIX. THERE WILL BE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE TONIGHT...BUT BRISK
WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE MORE COMMON TOMORROW. THIS WILL RESULT IN
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO A HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

IN ADDITION...THE COLD AND BRISK WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO...OR REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ027-032-031100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
1137 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KALKASKA AND WEXFORD
COUNTIES THROUGH SATURDAY...MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. NEW
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO
6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND
WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN AND RAPID CITY. ALTHOUGH
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TONIGHT...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL
REDEVELOP TOMORROW CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO A
HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

IN ADDITION...THE COLD AND BRISK WINDS...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO...OR REMAINING IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

SD

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 030900
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
400 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INVADE NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...AND
THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS AS THIS AIR
CROSSES THEM. THE SNOW WILL NOT BE HEAVY...BUT SEVERAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION ARE STILL EXPECTED...MAINLY IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN...AS WELL AS IN NORTHWEST CHIPPEWA COUNTY.

EVEN WITHOUT HEAVY SNOW...VISIBILITIES WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED IN
THESE SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY...PRODUCING
MORE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE POWDERY SNOW. AND FINALLY...WIND
CHILLS WILL APPROACH DANGEROUS LEVELS TODAY IN SPOTS...LOWERING
INTO THE 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
400 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
AREAS TODAY. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5
INCHES...WILL OCCUR IN THE LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY REGION. LESSER
ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES...WILL OCCUR FROM GRAND TRAVERSE
BAY...SOUTHWARD TO MANISTEE.

AS WINDS INCREASE TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF A MILE IN
TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS WILL LOWER
DURING THE DAY...TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ018-028-033-034-032300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GRAYLING...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE
400 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY.

AS WINDS INCREASE TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF A MILE IN
TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS WILL LOWER
DURING THE DAY...TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

MIZ008-032300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
400 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY MIDDAY...AND CONTINUE
OFF AND ON INTO THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND WEST OF I-75.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WEST OF I-75...
APPROACHING 4 INCHES NEAR WHITEFISH POINT.

AS WINDS INCREASE TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF A MILE IN
TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS WILL LOWER
DURING THE DAY...TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

MIZ027-032-032300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
400 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY.

AS WINDS INCREASE TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL BECOME MORE
PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF A MILE IN
TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS WILL LOWER
DURING THE DAY...TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

JZ

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 031610
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1110 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INVADE NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...AND
THE GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS. THE SNOW
WILL NOT BE HEAVY...BUT SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
STILL EXPECTED...MAINLY IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...AS WELL AS
IN NORTHWEST CHIPPEWA COUNTY.

EVEN WITHOUT HEAVY SNOW...VISIBILITIES WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED IN
THESE SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY...PRODUCING
MORE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE POWDERY SNOW. AND FINALLY...WIND
CHILLS WILL APPROACH DANGEROUS LEVELS TODAY IN SPOTS...LOWERING
INTO THE 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO RANGE.

MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-040000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
1110 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
AREAS TODAY. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES...
WILL OCCUR IN THE LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY REGION DOWN THROUGH THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY AREA. LESSER ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES...WILL
OCCUR FROM TRAVERSE CITY...SOUTHWARD TO MANISTEE.

AS WINDS INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL
BECOME MORE PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF
A MILE IN TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS
WILL LOWER DURING THE DAY...TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.

$$

MIZ018-027-028-032>034-040000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
1110 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...
WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY.

AS WINDS INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL
BECOME MORE PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF
A MILE IN TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS
WILL LOWER DURING THE DAY...TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

MIZ008-040000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1110 AM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY
NORTH OF MICHIGAN ROUTE 28. TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS AREA...APPROACHING 4 INCHES NEAR WHITEFISH
POINT.

AS WINDS INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL
BECOME MORE PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS HALF
A MILE AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO..WIND CHILLS
WILL LOWER DURING THE DAY...TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO.

ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS. SLOW
DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$

ADAM

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 032146
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT ALONG
WITH SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING IN THE SNOW BELT AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN.
THE SNOW WILL NOT BE HEAVY...BUT SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN...AS WELL AS IN NORTHWEST CHIPPEWA COUNTY.

EVEN WITHOUT HEAVY SNOW...VISIBILITIES WILL BE SHARPLY REDUCED IN
THESE SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...FURTHER REDUCING
VISIBILITIES WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE POWDERY SNOW. AND
FINALLY...WIND CHILLS WILL APPROACH DANGEROUS LEVELS TONIGHT AND
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY...WITH READINGS OF 10 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO EXPECTED. 

MIZ019>022-025-026-031-041000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH
ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY MORNING. GREATEST
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR IN AREAS NORTH OF MICHIGAN ROUTE 72.

IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT PRODUCING AREAS OF
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND FURTHER REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO AS
LOW AS ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND
CHILL TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO LOWER INTO THE TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO
RANGE TONIGHT AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.

IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS
ROAD CONDITIONS AND RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES. ALSO...BE
PREPARED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW WIND CHILL READINGS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS AGAINST FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.


$$

MIZ016-017-041000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.070203T2300Z-070204T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL REMAIN UNDER
2 INCHES FOR MOST AREAS. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER...AS WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES DECREASE...WIND CHILL READINGS WILL LOWER TO THE 10
TO 20 BELOW RANGE TONIGHT AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

$$

MIZ018-028-033-034-041000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.070203T2300Z-070204T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...GRAYLING...LAKE CITY...
HOUGHTON LAKE
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO THE 
EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
REMAIN UNDER 1 INCH FOR MOST AREAS. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER AS WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT...WIND
CHILL READINGS WILL LOWER TO THE 10 TO 20 BELOW RANGE AND REMAIN
THERE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

$$

MIZ015-041000-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.070203T2300Z-070204T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS
LOWERING TO AROUND 25 BELOW ZERO AND REMAINING THERE THROUGH AT
LEAST SUNDAY. 

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

$$

MIZ023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-041000-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.070203T2300Z-070204T1000Z/
MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS
LOWERING TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO AND REMAINING THERE THROUGH AT
LEAST SUNDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

$$

MIZ027-032-041000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T1000Z/
KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE EVENING HOURS...WITH NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. 

IN ADDITION...AS WINDS INCREASE...BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL
BECOME MORE PREVALENT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED AS LOW AS ONE
QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO...WIND
CHILLS WILL LOWER TO 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH
AT LEAST SUNDAY.

IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS
ROAD CONDITIONS AND RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES. ALSO...BE
PREPARED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW WIND CHILL READINGS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS AGAINST FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.


$$

MIZ008-041000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070204T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
446 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT PARTICULARLY NORTH OF MICHIGAN
ROUTE 28 AROUND WHITEFISH POINT AND PARADISE. TOTAL NIGHTTIME
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT...GREATEST AROUND WHITEFISH POINT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...AS WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT...BLOWING AND DRIFTING
WILL CONTINUE WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER
MILE AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ALSO...WIND CHILLS WILL
LOWER TONIGHT TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH AT
LEAST SUNDAY. 

IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR HAZARDOUS
ROAD CONDITIONS AND RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES. ALSO...BE
PREPARED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW WIND CHILL READINGS. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS AGAINST FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$

ADAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
333 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE LOW HAS REACHED SE ONTARIO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. LARGE AREA OF DPVA AN ENHANCED MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE
HAS SPREAD INTO OUR ENTIRE CWA DRIVEN BY A STRONG SHORT WAVE ALONG
THE 500 MB TROUGH. ORGANIZED W/SW FLOW LAKE BANDS OF LATE MORNING/
EARLY AFTERNOON HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A NEARLY STRAIGHT WESTERLY
FLOW LAKE ENHANCED EVENT WITH LAKE BANDS SOMEWHAT EMBEDDED WITHIN
WIDESPREAD SYNOPTICALLY-DRIVEN SNOW SHOWERS. MOST INTENSE BANDS
CONTINUE TO TARGET FAR NRN LOWER MICHIGAN...SPECIFICALLY EMMET...
CHEBOYGAN AND CHARLEVOIX COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH SURFACE OBS ALONG THE
MAINLY LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE OF NW LOWER MICHIGAN INDICATE
FAIRLY LOW VSBYS (AOB 1 SM) IN MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS. FORECAST FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL FOCUS ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS WESTERLY FLOW
LAKE ENHANCED EVENT AS ANOTHER POTENT SHORT WAVE DRIVES THRU NRN
MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. COLD...SNOW AND WIND WILL
REMAIN THE PRIMARY FORECAST ISSUES THRU THE WEEKEND AND THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...SHARP TROUGHING WILL REMAIN JUST NORTH OF ERN
UPR MICHIGAN UNTIL LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...HELPING TO MAINTAIN
NEARLY STRAIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT AND MOST OF
SATURDAY. OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN EXCEPTIONAL...WITH DELTA
TS RISING INTO THE MID 20S BY LATE TONIGHT IN ONGOING CAA.
INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL STAY CLOSE TO 10 KFT THIS EVENING AND THEN
RISE EVEN FURTHER OVERNIGHT AS ANOTHER STRONG SHORT WAVE RIDES THRU
NRN MICHIGAN. 850-700 MB RH HOLDS AROUND 90 PCT THRU THE ENTIRE
TIME. OBVIOUSLY PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR THE
GENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL SOME SYNOPTIC
ENHANCEMENT ALSO AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING. EXPECT 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL FOR THE WARNED
AREAS TONIGHT AND ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES ON SATURDAY. EXPECT 2 TO 3
INCHES FOR ERN UPR MICHIGAN AND FOR KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES
FOR EACH PERIOD AS WELL. ADDED HAZARDS WILL BE WIND SPEEDS GUSTING
TO 25 MPH...CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW AND DROPPING
TEMPS COMBINING WITH THE INCREASING WIND SPEEDS TO DROP WIND CHILL
READINGS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. IN LIGHT OF THE MULTIPLE HAZARDS
SITUATION THAT IS DEVELOPING...WILL NEED TO TRANSITION FROM LAKE
EFFECT HEADLINES TO WINTER STORM WARNING/WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
HEADLINES FOR BETTER REPRESENTATION.

LATER PERIODS...THE MAIN HIGHLIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY WILL BE THE
BITTERLY COLD AIR THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE WE SLOWLY WARM UP
CLOSE TO AVERAGE BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.  NAM/GFS HAS BECOME IN
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE THERMAL PROFILE AS THE CORE OF THE ARCTIC
AIRMASS SPREADS OVER THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
THEREAFTER...MODELS START TO DIVERGE ON TUESDAY WITH TIMING OF THE
NEXT SHORTWAVE ON WEDNESDAY...BUT REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN
GENERAL WITH THE OVERALL UPPER AIR FLOW PATTERN AND THE RESULTANT
RETREAT OF THE ARCTIC AIR.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...CORE OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS MOVES
EAST IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE POLAR VORTEX ACROSS
CENTRAL ONTARIO.  MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE STRONGEST FORCING
WILL BE ALONG A LAKE AGGREGATE TROUGH THAT SETS UP FROM NORTHERN
LAKE HURON TO CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR DURING THE EVENING AND GRADUALLY
WORKS ITS WAY TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR BY SUNDAY
MORNING.  THE LOCATION AND MOVEMENT OF THIS FEATURE WILL LARGELY
DETERMINE THE WIND DIRECTIONS...AND THEREFORE...WHO GETS THE MOST
SNOW.  TO THE SOUTH OF THIS TROUGH...WINDS SEEM TO BE LOCKED IN FROM
THE WNW DIRECTION...AND FROM THE NW NORTH OF THE TROUGH.  IN
ADDITION...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT IN THE 900-700MB LAYER
ALONG WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS BETWEEN 6.5KFT AND 8KFT.  THE LIMITING
FACTOR...HOWEVER...WILL BE THE COLD TEMPERATURES...WHICH WILL LIMIT
THE SIZE OF SNOWFLAKES AND POTENTIAL ACCUMULATIONS.  NAM/GFS HAVE
COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT RECENTLY WITH THE THERMAL PROFILE...WITH
TEMPS AT 850MB QUICKLY COOLING IN THE -27C TO -29C RANGE.  WILL
REMAIN CONSERVATIVE WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 AND 3
INCHES ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN LOWER AND AROUND WHITEFISH
POINT PER 12HR PERIOD.  LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WILL FALL
BELOW ZERO AND POTENTIALLY BETWEEN -10F AND -20F AT TYPICAL COLD
SPOTS.  HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 BELOW ACROSS THE
INTERIOR OF NORTHERN LOWER TO ABOUT 5 ABOVE NEAR THE LAKESHORES.
WIND CHILL READINGS COULD REACH IN THE -20F TO -30F...WHICH COULD
WARRANT HEADLINES COMBINED WITH OTHER FACTORS LIKE SNOWFALL. HAVE
CONSIDERED HEADLINES ACROSS EASTERN UPPER WHERE THEY ARE HEADLINE
FREE...BUT WILL LEAVE ALONE FOR NOW WITH THE MARGINAL SNOWFALL AND
WINDCHILLS EXPECTED.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...NEXT SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE POLAR VORTEX
DUE TO ARRIVE DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN
THE OTHER MODELS(NAM/UKMET/ECMWF/CANADIAN)...SO WILL TEND TO SIDE ON
THE SLOWER TIMING.  BECAUSE OF THIS FORCING...LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS
LOOKING GOOD TO START THE NIGHT...WITH PLENTY OF 900-700MB RH AND
INVERSION HEIGHTS ABOUT 6KFT.   HOWEVER...WINDS SHIFTING FROM WNW TO
NW BEHIND THE WAVE AND MORESO THE COLD 850MB TEMPS AROUND -26C WILL
LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.  HEIGHTS REBOUND BEHIND THE DEPARTING WAVE
WITH MID-LEVEL DRYING OCCURRING AND INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWERING TO
ABOUT 4KFT BY 00Z TUE.  BUT LARGE DELTA TS AROUND 25C SHOULD HELP
TO OVERCOME THE INCREASING HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT TO PROMOTE NUMEROUS
SNOW SHOWERS WITHIN THE WNW-NW SNOW BELTS.  ANOTHER BITTERLY COLD
DAY ON TAP WITH LOWS RANGING FROM MINUS 5F NEAR THE LAKESHORES TO
MINUS 15F AT THE COLD SPOTS.  HIGHS WILL NOT WARM UP MUCH EITHER BUT
SHOULD GET ABOVE ZERO.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES CONTINUE
TO SHOW A PATTERN DE-AMPLIFICATION TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD.  SHARP
WESTERN NOAM RIDGE BROADENS OUT ACROSS ALASKA AND NORTHERN CANADA
WHILE THE STRONG POLAR VORTEX RETREATS NE ACROSS QUEBEC AND
NEWFOUNDLAND.  THIS ALLOWS THE CORE OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS TO ALSO
RETREAT NORTH...BUT KEEPS THE GREAT LAKES IN A GENERALLY BROAD WNW
FLOW WITH TEMPERATURES PLENTY COLD TO SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS.  LAST SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE POLAR VORTEX LOOKS TO ARRIVE
AROUND THE WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME...BUT THIS SEEMS TO BE THE ONLY
REASONABLE SYSTEM TO CONTEND WITH OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT
REGIMES.  AFTER A COLD START TO THE PERIOD...TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
REBOUND TO NEAR AVERAGE BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...
        MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031
     WINTER WX ADVISORY...UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY..MIZ008-015-027-032.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
340 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

LHZ345>349-361-362-LMZ323-341-342-344-345-363-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-
015>036-041-042-031100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF CENTRAL LAKE HURON-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-MANISTEE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN-WHITEFISH BAY-
ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-
CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
340 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN
SHORELINE COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. LIGHTER...BUT STILL
SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL OCCUR IN PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...GUSTING WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND DROP WIND CHILLS
INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. SEE ONGOING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN SOME OF
SNOWBELTS...PARTICULARLY IN FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND IN
CHIPPEWA COUNTY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS THE ATMOSPHERE GETS TOO COLD TO SUPPORT
HEAVY SNOW. SEE ONGOING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

BITTERLY COLD WEATHER WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO
TUESDAY BEFORE SLOW WARMING BEGINS. SUB ZERO READINGS WILL BE
COMMON AT NIGHT...WITH LOW SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO FOR HIGHS. ON
SUNDAY...SOME PLACES MAY STAY BELOW ZERO ALL DAY. WIND CHILLS
COULD REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS...IN THE 20S BELOW ZERO RANGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ON SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1249 PM EST FRI FEB 02 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 PM     SNOW             EAST JORDAN             45.16N 85.13W
02/02/2007  E4.0 INCH        CHARLEVOIX         MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM. SNOWDEPTH 16 IN.

&&

BERGER