Alert archive / Michigan / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2007
Lake Effect Snow Warning 7, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this lake effect snow warning at Feb 1, 2007, 4:21 AM EST for 8 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 35 hr. 12 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 1, 2007, 4:21 AM EST (09:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2007, 3:44 PM EST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Otsego County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | 1 W Interlochen, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6AM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN. |
| Feb 1, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 4 E Honor, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 7AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 IN. |
| Feb 1, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 3 W Suttons Bay, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. |
| Feb 1, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 5 W Elmira, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 11 AM. |
| Feb 1, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Lake Ann, MI | 7 HR TOTAL THRU 11 AM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN. |
| Feb 1, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Manistee, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 11 AM. |
| Feb 1, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 7 | 7 Nw Cheboygan, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 11 AM. |
| Feb 1, 11:00 AM EST | SNOW 11 | Cross Village, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 11 AM. COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTS AREAS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN SHORELINE LOCATIONS ACROSS CHARLEVOIX...EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. |
| Feb 1, 1:00 PM EST | SNOW 8.2 | Wellston, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM. |
| Feb 1, 9:11 PM EST | SNOW 5.7 | 3 S Suttons Bay, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN. |
| Feb 2, 2:45 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Manistee, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 2 PM. |
| Feb 2, 2:45 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Suttons Bay, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 2 PM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 220 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1061 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 239 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 010921 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...MORE BOUTS OF SNOW TODAY AND FRIDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF SAULT STE MARIE WAS CONTRIBUTING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. THE SWATH OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM NORTHERN LEELANAU COUNTY TO NORTHERN CHEBOYGAN COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHARLEVOIX AND PETOSKEY. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM WEST ON FRIDAY. WITH WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS IN PLACE AGAIN...LOCATIONS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COAST WILL AGAIN BE FAVORED FOR POTENTIAL HEAVY SNOW. MIZ015-012300- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070201T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE NEAR ST IGNACE. HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE STRAITS REGION AND EASTERN MACKINAC COUNTY ON FRIDAY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ019-020-012300- /O.UPG.KAPX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070201T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0007.070201T0921Z-070201T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL OCCUR TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...ACROSS NORTHERN LEELANAU AND WESTERN CHARLEVOIX COUNTIES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL APPROACH 6 INCHES...ON TOP OF THE SNOW THAT FELL DURING THE NIGHT. ANOTHER...SIMILAR SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS EXTREMELY COLD AIR INVADES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 10 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ016-017-012300- /O.UPG.KAPX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070201T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0007.070201T0921Z-070201T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL OCCUR TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...ACROSS EMMET AND NORTHERN CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL APPROACH 6 INCHES...ON TOP OF THE SNOW THAT FELL DURING THE NIGHT. ANOTHER...SIMILAR SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS ON FRIDAY COULD REACH 8 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ025-031-011600- /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070201T1600Z/ BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY...MAINLY THIS MORNING AND MAINLY NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY. THIS COULD BRING HEAVY SNOW...AGAIN ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS ON FRIDAY COULD REACH 8 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ021-011600- /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T1200Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070201T1600Z/ ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MANCELONA 421 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY...MAINLY THIS MORNING AND WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR GRAND TRAVERSE BAY. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY... WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS EXTREMELY COLD AIR INVADES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 10 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ JZ
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 011752 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...MORE BOUTS OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTH OF SAULT STE MARIE WAS CONTRIBUTING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. THE SWATH OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM NORTHERN LEELANAU COUNTY TO NORTHERN CHEBOYGAN COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHARLEVOIX AND PETOSKEY. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM WEST ON FRIDAY. WITH WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS IN PLACE AGAIN...LOCATIONS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COAST WILL AGAIN BE FAVORED FOR POTENTIAL HEAVY SNOW. MIZ019-020-012300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070201T2300Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN LEELANAU AND WESTERN CHARLEVOIX COUNTIES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL BE AROUND 6 INCHES...ON TOP OF THE SNOW THAT FELL DURING THE NIGHT. ANOTHER...SIMILAR SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS EXTREMELY COLD AIR INVADES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 10 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ016-017-012300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070201T2300Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EMMET AND NORTHERN CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL BE AROUND 8 INCHES...ON TOP OF THE SNOW THAT FELL DURING THE NIGHT. ANOTHER...SIMILAR SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS ON FRIDAY COULD REACH 8 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ025-031-012100- /O.NEW.KAPX.SN.Y.0005.070201T1752Z-070201T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY...MAINLY NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY. THIS COULD BRING HEAVY SNOW...AGAIN ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS ON FRIDAY COULD REACH 8 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ021-012100- /O.NEW.KAPX.SN.Y.0005.070201T1752Z-070201T2100Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T1200Z/ ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MANCELONA 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR GRAND TRAVERSE BAY AND IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF ANTRIM COUNTY. ANOTHER...STRONGER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY... WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS EXTREMELY COLD AIR INVADES. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT COULD REACH 10 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ015-020800- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1252 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE NEAR ST IGNACE. HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE STRAITS REGION AND EASTERN MACKINAC COUNTY ON FRIDAY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 012059 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...MORE BOUTS OF SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY... .COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CARRY THESE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE COUNTIES AND AREAS JUST SOUTH OF THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC TONIGHT. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY. WITH WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS IN PLACE...LOCATIONS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COAST AND SOUTH OF THE STRAITS WILL AGAIN BE FAVORED FOR HEAVY SNOW. MIZ025-031-021100- /O.UPG.KAPX.SN.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070201T2100Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN FRIDAY...PROLONGING AND INTENSIFYING HEAVY SNOWFALL. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY WILL REACH 8 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ021-021100- /O.UPG.KAPX.SN.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070201T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070203T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MANCELONA 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN FRIDAY...PROLONGING AND INTENSIFYING HEAVY SNOWFALL. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY WILL REACH 8 INCHES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT...WHILE OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWER PRODUCTION. MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ016-017-021100- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN FRIDAY...PROLONGING AND INTENSIFYING HEAVY SNOWFALL. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY WILL REACH 8 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ019-020-021100- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070203T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN FRIDAY...PROLONGING AND INTENSIFYING HEAVY SNOWFALL. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY WILL REACH 8 INCHES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT...WHILE OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWER PRODUCTION. MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MIZ015-021100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 359 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE NEAR ST IGNACE. HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE STRAITS REGION AND EASTERN MACKINAC COUNTY ON FRIDAY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 020329 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1029 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...SNOW TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY TOMORROW MORNING... .COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CARRY THESE SNOW SHOWERS INLAND ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE COUNTIES AND AREAS BORDERING FAR NORTHERN LAKE HURON. BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW...AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THE HEAVIER SNOWS WILL IMPACT MAINLY AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ019>021-021100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070203T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 1029 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY FRIDAY MORNING RESULTING IN AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. A PERIOD OF BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH MAY FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWER PRODUCTION FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT...POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS. THEREFORE...A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-025-031-021100- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 1029 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY FRIDAY MORNING RESULTING IN AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH THE DAY. A PERIOD OF BRISK WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH MAY FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ015-021100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1029 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE GREATEST AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED NEAR ST IGNACE AND CEDARVILLE...WHERE UP TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY TOMORROW MORNING. THE HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST...MAINLY FROM BREVORT EASTWARD. LOCAL SNOW AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 020904 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...STILL PLENTY OF SNOW TO COME... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING...AS A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD AGAIN FOCUS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE...FROM MANISTEE TO THE MACKINAC BRIDGE. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. AS WINDS TURN WESTERLY LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...THE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SHIFT TO FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...AND ESPECIALLY EMMET COUNTY. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED AS FAR SOUTH AS MANISTEE AND CADILLAC. MIZ022-026-022300- /O.EXB.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ OTSEGO-GRAND TRAVERSE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...TRAVERSE CITY 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS BY DAWN SATURDAY WILL BE AROUND 8 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ019>021-022300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070203T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING ONWARD...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS BY DAWN SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-025-031-022300- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING ONWARD...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS BY DAWN SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY AND IN THE REST OF EMMET COUNTY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ015-022300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.070202T1200Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.070202T0904Z-070203T0000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BREAK OUT THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY FROM ST IGNACE EASTWARD...AS WELL AS IN THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF MACKINAC COUNTY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ027-032-022300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.070202T0904Z-070203T0000Z/ KALKASKA-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY. ACCUMULATIONS BY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN AND RAPID CITY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ008-022300- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.070202T0904Z-070203T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 404 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BREAK OUT THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY FROM I-75 WESTWARD...AS WELL AS NEAR DE TOUR VILLAGE AND DRUMMOND ISLAND. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 021613 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1113 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...STILL PLENTY OF SNOW TO COME... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AS A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD AGAIN FOCUS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE...FROM MANISTEE TO THE MACKINAC BRIDGE. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON. AS WINDS TURN WESTERLY BEHIND THIS FRONT...THE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SHIFT TO FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...AND ESPECIALLY EMMET COUNTY. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED AS FAR SOUTH AS MANISTEE AND CADILLAC. MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-030615- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE 1113 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL JUST SOUTH OF THE STRAITS AREA FROM PELLSTON TO CHARLEVOIX...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS BY DAWN SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ027-032-030000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ KALKASKA-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC 1113 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES. ACCUMULATIONS BY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN AND RAPID CITY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ008-015-030000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1113 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY FROM ST IGNACE EASTWARD...AS WELL AS IN THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF MACKINAC COUNTY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 022044 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 344 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...MORE SNOW...COLD AND WIND... .ARCTIC AIR WILL PLUNGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE AREAS...WITH LIGHTER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT SNOW SHOWERS IMPACT PLACES FURTHER INLAND ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. MIZ016-017-019>022-025-026-031-031045- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070203T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0001.070202T2044Z-070204T0000Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE 344 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE AREAS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL JUST SOUTH OF THE STRAITS AREA FROM PELLSTON TO CHARLEVOIX... WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ027-032-031045- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.070202T2044Z-070204T0000Z/ KALKASKA-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...CADILLAC 344 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES THROUGH SATURDAY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN NORTHWEST KALKASKA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES...INCLUDING SHERMAN AND RAPID CITY. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MIZ008-015-031045- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070203T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.070202T2044Z-070204T0000Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 344 PM EST FRI FEB 2 2007 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THROUGH SATURDAY. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...AND WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Feb 1, 3:57 AM EST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 3:57 AM EST, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
357 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007
.DISCUSSION...LOTS OF WEATHER COMING FAST AND FURIOUS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. FIRST UP...A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE MOVING THRU NOW...AND AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN SUPERIOR...WAS CURRENTLY
PRODUCING A SW FLOW LAKE ENHANCED EVENT. 2ND...SYNOPTIC FORCING
DEPARTS EARLY ON TODAY...BUT WSW/SW FLOW WILL NOT BE ALTERED...WITH
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR AT LEAST SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW (LES) INTO
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. 3RD...SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND POLAR
VORTEX WILL TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT SWINGS THRU MI FRIDAY.
THIS WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER SW FLOW LAKE ENHANCED EVENT ON FRIDAY...
TRANSITIONING TO WESTERLY LES AS ARCTIC FRONT GOES THRU (4TH). AND
5TH...THE VERY COLD AIR AND ASSOCIATED WIND CHILL/LES CONCERNS
SATURDAY ONWARD.
SNOW AND TEMPS ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS THRU THE FORECAST.
MODELS...GFS CONTINUES TO BE VERY CONSISTENT AND HAS MORE SUPPORT
FROM THE REST OF THE MODEL SUITE...FEATURING A FASTER AND MORE
AMPLIFIED WAVE ON FRIDAY...AND A QUICKER ARRIVAL OF THE COLD AIR.
IT REMAINS STRONGLY FAVORED.
TODAY...BACK EDGE OF THE SYNOPTIC PRECIP IS ALREADY EDGING INTO THE
SW ZONES. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH SYNOPTIC FORCING ENDING...A DOMINANT
BAND HAS DEVELOPED...AND PERSISTED FOR A FEW HOURS FROM NORTHPORT TO
CVX TO PETOSKEY AND WESTERN CHEBOYGAN. ALREADY HAVE A REPORT OF 4-6
INCHES JUST SOUTH OF CVX. EVEN WITH THE BETTER SYNOPTIC SUPPORT
GRAZING US TO THE SOUTH...AM SURPRISED NOT TO SEE MORE SNOW INTO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER MI. INCREASING ICE COVER AT THE
NORTHERN TIP OF THE LAKE MAY BE A PLAYER HERE.
THE WORST SHOULD SOON BE DONE. THERE IS A SECONDARY AREA OF LIGHT
SNOW IS SOUTHERN WI...MORE SHOWERY-LOOKING SNOW IN AREAS OF SHARP
1000-850MB CONVERGENCE JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...THIS
BOUNDARY WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AS IT CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY...AND DO EXPECT TOO MUCH OF A FLARE-UP WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL
LAKE MI. BY THEN...WE ARE SEEING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT IN THE WAKE OF THE
EARLY MORNING SHORTWAVE. HOWEVER...DELTA T/S REMAIN IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO NEAR 20...WITH OK MID-LEVEL MOISTURE (850-700MB RH AROUND
60 PERCENT...A LITTLE MORE MOIST IN THE AM AND DRIER IN THE PM). THE
WSW TO BORDERLINE W FETCH REMAINS LARGELY UNALTERED. SO WE WILL SEE
CONTINUED LES IN THE LAKE MI COASTAL COUNTIES OF NW LOWER MI. WITH A
BIT LESS SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE FLOW...EASTERN UPPER WILL BE
LESS IN THE MIX...ESPECIALLY GIVEN INCREASING ICE COVER FROM BEAVER
ISLAND NORTH. WILL REDUCE POPS/SNOW A BIT THERE...EXCEPT IN THE
IMMEDIATE STRAITS AREA AND EAST OF CEDARVILLE.
GIVEN ONGOING DOMINANT BAND AND ONE HIGH-END ADVISORY REPORT...TIME
TO CHANGE SOME HEADLINES. GOOD NEWS...WILL CANCEL MACKINAC CO
ADVISORY. BAD NEWS...WILL UPGRADE LEELANAU/CVX/EMMET/CHEBOYGAN TO
WARNINGS...WHICH WILL RIDE THRU THE DAY. OTHER ADVISORIES LEFT
UNTOUCHED. LOCAL 4-6 ADDITIONAL IN THE WARNING COUNTIES...1-2 IN THE
ADVISORIES...MAINLY IN THE AM HOURS.
MAX TEMPS WILL BE MAINLY LOW TO MID 20S (AND ENJOY THAT WHILE IT
LASTS).
TONIGHT...SURFACE LOW THAT GETS LEFT BEHIND OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN
SUPERIOR OR EASTERN UPPER MI WILL STAY THERE...AND START TO DEEPEN
VERY LATE AS IT FEELS THE NEXT UPSTREAM WAVE. HOWEVER...THE
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FIELD WILL REMAIN LARGELY UPSTREAM...PERHAPS
MAKING IT TO WESTERN CHIP/MACK COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK. SO DO NOT
EXPECT SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SUPPORT TO ONGOING SW FLOW LES. THERMAL
FIELDS ARE ALSO QUITE STABLE...WITH 850MB TEMPS AROUND -16C AND THUS
DELTA T/S PUSHING 20 OVER OPEN WATER. THE MAIN COMPLICATING FACTOR
IS THE WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT...WHICH WOULD ALLOW LAND BREEZES
AND OTHER SMALL-SCALE FEATURES TO TAKE OVER. BY OVERNIGHT...WOULD
EXPECT BANDS TO MORPH INTO A MID-LAKE CONVERGENCE BAND AND/OR A
VORTICE OR TWO (OR MORE)...WITH LESS CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS GETTING
INLAND. WILL REDUCE SNOW SHOWERS COVERAGE A BIT OVERNIGHT...KEEPING
LIKELY/NUMEROUS WORDING ONLY VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST (WHERE 1-2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THRU THE NIGHT...LESS INLAND). OTHERWISE...
PLACES SOUTH OF GLR AND AWAY FROM LAKE MI MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE
CLOUD COVER...ALLOWING TEMPS TO GET RATHER CHILLY. AM NOT WILLING TO
GO AS COLD AS GFS GUIDANCE TEMPS...BUT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SINGLE
DIGIT READINGS IN THE COLDER INLAND LOCALES.
FRIDAY...WE WILL START THE MORNING IN THE SAME RELATIVELY QUIET
PATTERN...WITH MESOSCALE FEATURES DOMINATING AND MOST SNOW SHOWERS
REMAINING OVER THE LAKE IN VERY WEAK WSW FLOW. BUT THAT WILL CHANGE
VERY QUICKLY. FORCING FOR ASCENT REALLY TAKES OFF OVER LAKE MI AND
ENVIRONS BY MIDDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT. NO
CHANGES TO THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL SETUP DURING THE DAY...BUT TEMPS
ALOFT CRATER (ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON)...ALLOWING INVERSION
HEIGHTS TO SOAR FROM 4K FT EARLY TO 10K FT LATE. SO...AFTER A FAIRLY
QUIET START...EXPECT WSW FLOW LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO BE REALLY CRANKING
BY MIDDAY. AGAIN...THIS PART OF THE EVENT WILL BE FAIRLY QUICK...AS
THE PASSING ARCTIC FRONT AND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
HURON WILL VEER WINDS TO THE NW DURING THE PM. STILL...THE FRIDAY
EVENT IS DISTINGUISHED FROM THE CURRENT ONE BY HAVING MUCH MORE
FORCING AVAILABLE.
THUS...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR FRIDAY...COVERING THE
EXACT SAME COUNTIES NOW UNDER AN ADVISORY. GAVE SOME THOUGHT TO
LEAVING MACKINAC OUT...GIVEN CONCERNS WITH UPSTREAM ICE COVER AND
LACK OF SNOW IN THE CURRENT EVENT. BUT THERE/S ALSO THE POSSIBILITY
OF THAT JUST INDICATING THE DYNAMICS WERE FURTHER SOUTH TODAY...AS
THE MODELS SUGGESTED. SO WILL PLAY IT SAFE AND INCLUDE EASTERN
MACKINAC. WILL KEEP THE SNOW RANGE BROAD...5-9 INCHES IN THE WATCH
COUNTIES...QUICKLY DIMINISHING TO THE EAST.
FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY...UNFORTUNATELY...ONLY TIME FOR A CURSORY LOOK
AT THE REST OF FORECAST. NOT TO WORRY THOUGH...IT STILL LOOKS BAD.
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RETAIN SHARP CYCLONIC CURVATURE AS THE LAKE
AGGREGATE TROF REMAINS AND INTERACTS WITH THE MAIN AXIS OF THE UPPER
TROF. THUS IT GETS VERY DIFFICULT TO ISOLATE A FLOW DIRECTION...AND
FETCHES COULD CHANGE DRASTICALLY AS THE TROF WOBBLES AND DRIFTS. AT
THIS POINT...EASTERN SUPERIOR AND EASTERN UPPER LOOK TO REMAIN
MAINLY NORTH OF THE TROF...WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OFFERING LIMITED
SUPPORT FROM SUPERIOR. BETTER SNOW CONDITIONS WILL BE IN NW
LOWER...WITH MAINLY WESTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TROF.
WITH WNW FLOW ADVERTISED FOR THE BULK OF FRIDAY NIGHT INTO NORTHERN
LOWER MI FROM BOTH THE GFS AND NAM...WILL TRY TO BANK ON THAT MUCH.
THERE IS STILL A WINDOW FOR DECENT LAKE EFFECT WITH THIS FETCH
FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE TEMPS GET TOO COLD FOR SNOWFLAKE GROWTH.
THUS...OUT OF THE ORIGINAL FRIDAY WATCH...WILL BREAK OUT CVX/ANTRIM/
LEELANAU...AND RUN THE WATCH FOR THEM THRU FRIDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...WILL ADVERTISE A LOT OF SNOW SHOWERS. THERE IS A
TROWAL-LIKE FEATURE IN THE GFS FOR SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD OFFER MORE
FAVORABLE THERMAL FIELDS FOR SNOW. JUST DON/T HAVE TIME TO ANALYZE
IT PROPERLY THIS MORNING. OH...AND OF COURSE IT WILL BE COLD...WITH
EARLY DAY HIGHS 10-15 AND FALLING TEMPS IN THE PM.
REST OF THE FORECAST...COLD. DEEP MEAN UPPER TROF WILL KEEP US IN
ARCTIC AIR THRU TUESDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE. STILL LOOKS LIKE
TEMPS MODERATE LATE NEXT WEEK.
ZOLTOWSKI
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...TODAY...MIZ016-017-019-020
SNOW ADVISORY...THIS MORNING...MIZ021-025-031
WINTER STORM WATCH...FRIDAY...MIZ015>017-025-031
WINTER STORM WATCH...FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...MIZ019>021.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 10:15 PM EST, 6 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1015 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 LHZ345>349-361-362-LMZ323-341-342-344-345-363-LSZ321-322-MIZ008- 015>036-041-042-011100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON- MICHIGAN WATERS OF CENTRAL LAKE HURON-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-MANISTEE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN-WHITEFISH BAY- ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE- CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 1015 PM EST WED JAN 31 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED NEAR THE SHORELINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND WITHIN THE STRAITS AREA. SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NEAR THE SHORELINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND WITHIN THE STRAITS AREA. SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR IN NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN ON FRIDAY...TURNING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN THE SNOWBELT REGIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO START THIS WEEKEND AND EXTEND INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. WIND CHILLS COULD REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ON SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AJS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 1, 1:19 AM EST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
119 AM EST THU FEB 01 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM SNOW LAKE ANN 44.73N 85.84W
02/01/2007 M2.5 INCH BENZIE MI TRAINED SPOTTER
3 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN.
&&
SROZANSKLocal storm report, Feb 1, 3:42 AM EST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
342 AM EST THU FEB 01 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 AM SNOW CHARLEVOIX 45.32N 85.26W
02/01/2007 M3.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI PUBLIC
12 HR TOTAL THRU 330 AM.
0330 AM SNOW PETOSKEY 45.38N 84.96W
02/01/2007 M3.0 INCH EMMET MI COUNTY OFFICIAL
12 HR TOTAL THRU 330 AM.
0330 AM SNOW 5 E CHARLEVOIX 45.32N 85.16W
02/01/2007 E5.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI PUBLIC
12 HR TOTAL THRU 330 AM.
&&
SROZANSKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 4:21 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Emmet, Leelanau, Manistee | 24 hr |
| Feb 1, 12:52 PM EST | Snow Advisory | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Manistee | 3 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every lake effect snow warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.