Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007
Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Mar 5, 2007, 3:22 AM EST for Herkimer County, New York. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 5, 2007, 3:22 AM EST (08:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 5, 2007, 3:51 PM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
County Herkimer County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1047 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 189 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KALY 050822 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 NYZ032-052200- /O.UPG.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0004.070305T0822Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. A WIND CHILL WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNING AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE FOR EVEN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. $$ NYZ082-052200- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXB.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING FOR NORTHERN FULTON COUNTY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN FULTON COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE FOR EVEN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. $$ NYZ033-052200- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXT.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ HAMILTON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SPECULATOR 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING FOR HAMILTON COUNTY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT HAMILTON COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE FOR EVEN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ042-VTZ013-014-052200- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXB.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN WARREN-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...WARRENSBURG... BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN NEW YORK...THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS IN VERMONT...AND THE BERKSHIRES IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTHWEST OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 15 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ038-052200- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXT.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ039-040-043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-VTZ015-052200- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 322 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY...THE EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...AND TACONICS IN NEW YORK AND EASTERN WINDHAM COUNTY IN VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KALY 051311 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 811 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 NYZ032-052200- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 811 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...AND A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNING AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE WARNING AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE FOR EVEN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. $$ NYZ033-082-052200- /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.CON.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ HAMILTON-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPECULATOR...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 811 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY FOR HAMILTON AND NORTHERN FULTON COUNTIES AND A SNOW...AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE FOR EVEN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ038-042-VTZ013-014-052200- /O.CON.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- NORTHERN WARREN-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER... LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG... BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 811 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER AND NORTHERN WARREN COUNTIES...MUCH OF SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE BERKSHIRES...AND A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL AFFECT THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA INTO THIS EVENING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVIER BANDS WILL THEN WEAKEN...AND SHIFT SOUTHWEST OF THE ADVISORY AREA LATE THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. FURTHER...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 15 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ039-040-043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-VTZ015-052200- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 811 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY FOR THE EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND EASTERN WINDHAM COUNTY. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 052051 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 NYZ032-060300- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY. THE WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ MAZ001-025-VTZ013-014-060300- /O.CAN.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.UPG.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...BENNINGTON... JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS UPGRADED TO A WIND CHILL WARNING FOR THE BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ALSO...THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ033-082-060300- /O.CAN.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ HAMILTON-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPECULATOR...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. THE WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 30 TO 39 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ038-042-060300- /O.CAN.KALY.SB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070306T0500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...WARRENSBURG 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER AND NORTHERN WARREN COUNTIES. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 20 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ058-063-060300- /O.UPG.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KALY.WC.W.0002.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM... SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON... NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS UPGRADED TO A WIND CHILL WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN CATSKILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ CTZ001-NYZ041-049-050-052-053-059-060-083-084-060300- /O.EXA.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN SCHENECTADY- SOUTHERN SARATOGA-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...SARATOGA SPRINGS... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALBANY...TROY...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS... CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE CAPITAL REGION...NORTHERN TACONICS AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 15 TO 24 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ NYZ039-040-043-047-048-051-054-061-VTZ015-060300- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0008.070306T0500Z-070306T1700Z/ SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM... WELLSVILLE...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH... DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS... CHATHAM...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 351 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE GEORGE REGION AND EASTERN WINDHAM COUNTY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOONTIME TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT AS ARCTIC INVADES THE REGION. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES RESULTING IN WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO 20 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 4, 10:20 PM EST, 5 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 10:20 PM EST, 5 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1020 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007
.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
CURRENT SNOW BAND ALONG AND JUST S OF THE MOHAWK RIVER SHOULD
GRADUALLY LIFT BACK TO THE N...AND WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT AS LOW
LEVEL WINDS BACK INTO THE W...THEN SW...INCREASING THE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR. IN ADDITION...AS LOW LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH PASSES E...EXPECT
THE INVERSION HEIGHT TO LOWER SIGNIFICANTLY...LIMITING DEPTH OF SNOW
BAND AND ASSOCIATED SNOW INTENSITY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED ADDITIONAL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH COULD OCCUR WITHIN MORE FAVORABLE UPSLOPE
AREAS OF SOUTHERN VT...THE BERKS...AND TACONICS.
MEANWHILE...SNOW BAND ACROSS SOUTHERN HERKIMER CO SHOULD ALSO LIFT
FURTHER NE INTO NORTHERN HERKIMER CO/HAMILTON CO AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BUT...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD OCCUR BEFORE THIS LIFTS N.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT TEMPS TO BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 06Z-08Z...BEFORE
RISING SLIGHTLY AS WINDS BACK INTO THE WSW...AND SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR
ADVECTS IN FROM W...BEFORE ARCTIC BLAST DROPS TEMPS BACK DOWN MON
AFTN.
CURRENT SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADV WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AS IS AT THIS
TIME.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 407 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007/
SYNOPSIS...FAST MOVING WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT 500 HPA
WILL BRING A PARADE OF CDFNTS AND CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE AREAS
THROUGH THE REGION FOR THE NEXT WEEK. NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION
ATTM. 1ST AND STRONGEST ARCTIC CDFNT WILL PLUNGE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW AND MOVE FROM ONTARIO
MONDAY NIGHT TO OUR REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND DRIFT OFFSHORE
WEDNESDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL
BUILD FROM ONTARIO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. FRIDAY THIS
HIGH WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE AND THE RETURN FLOW AROUND IT WILL RESULT
IN MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASING THREAT OF SHOWERS. LATE
SATURDAY A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
CAA ALOFT...MARCH SUN ANGLE AND PLUMES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OFF
LAKE ONTARIO ARE PRODUCING EXTENSIVE CU AND -SHSN ACROSS THE REGION
ATTM. WITH DEPARTURE OF 500 HPA SHORT WAVE THIS EVENING...AND
COOLING OF LOWER LEVELS THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH TO SCT --SHSN
EXCEPT IN LAKE EFFECT BAND WHICH WILL BE OPERATING WITH MARGINAL
CONDITIONS ALONG THE 290 VECTOR INTO THE MOHAWK VALLEY SHIFTING N
THROUGH THE NT. AWAY FROM THIS BAND JUST SCT -SHSN
MONDAY THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES FAR MORE DYNAMIC WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT
SURGING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION...ACCOMPANIED BUT A VERY STRONG
DEEPENING 500HPA SHORT WAVE THAT CUTS OFF OVER MAINE MONDAY NIGHT.
THE CDFNT ITSELF SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO TRIGGER A PERIOD OF SNOW
SQUALLS. AHEAD AND BEHIND CDFNT MONDAY A SEVERAL HOUR VERY STRONG
MULTIBAND LAKE RESPONSE IS LIKELY. AS A RESULT HAVE ISSUED SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TO HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES. THE FLOW
WILL TURN MUCH MORE NORTHWEST TO NORTH SHIFTING THE EVENT TO THE
WEST OF THE FCA MONDAY NIGHT. LEAVING AREA WITH STRONG WINDS AND
BITTER COLD. FORTUNATELY ITS NOT JANUARY...BUT IT WILL BE COLD
ENOUGH. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL PROBABLY DROP TO ADVISORY OR WARNING
CRITERIA MONDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW WILL HANDLE IN HWO SINCE ITS CLEARLY
3RD PERIOD.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
TUESDAY MORNING THE COLDEST AIR HAS REACHED THE FCA WITH 1000-500 DM
THICKNESS VALUES BLO 495 IN ALL AREAS AND AS LOW AS 488 IN THE
ADIRONDACKS. THE GRADIENT ONLY SLOWLY RELENTS TUESDAY AS THE HIGH
CENTER BUILDS INTO THE REGION BY EVENING. WITH THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
NORTH SHOULD BE A VERY COLD BUT DRY DAY WITH JUST ISOLD --SHSN.
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY A MOISTURE STARVED CLIPPER TYPE SURFACE
LOW AND ITS ASSOC SHORT WAVE RACE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO DELMARVA.
THE NAM TAKES SIG PCPN TO OUR SOUTH THE GFS SUGGESTS SOME -SN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER. WILL MENTION CHC POPS FOR NOW IN S TIER.
SURFACE LOW MOVES OFFSHORE AND ARCTIC HIGH BUILDS OVER FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY MORNING. COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ADVECT H85 TEMPS IN -25C
RANGE TO THE AREA. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO NEAR RECORD LOW MAX TEMPS
FOR THE REGION. AS LOW DEEPENS OFF THE COAST AND PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES...RESULTING BRISK WINDS WILL BRING WIND CHILL TEMPS WELL
BELOW ZERO.
FRIDAY MORNING THE SURFACE HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CWA. SURFACE
WINDS SLACKEN A BIT AND SHIFT TO SW AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST. THIS
WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO BEGIN TO REBOUND TOWARDS NORMAL LEVELS. BY
SATURDAY A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. IMPRESSIVE H85
JET WILL AIM 50+ KT SW FLOW OUR WAY. THIS CAN ACT LIKE A HAIR DRIER
ON A SNOWMAN AS FAR AS SNOW MELT IS CONCERNED...ESPECIALLY IN THE
CATSKILLS. ADD PRECIP FROM FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE SAT-SUN AND WE COULD
HAVE FLOODING/ICE BREAKUP ISSUES. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON
TRACK OF WEEKEND SYSTEM BUT THERE ARE ALWAYS TIMING ISSUES WHEN
DEALING WITH DAY 6-7 FORECASTS.
AVIATION /18Z SUN TO 18Z MON/...
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE AT ALL SITES...WITH CEILINGS AT OR ABOVE
4000 FT. SCATTERED -SHSN ACTIVITY APPROACHES GFL FROM TIME TO
TIME...BUT ANY SNOW THAT COULD AFFECT GFL THIS AFTERNOON WOULD BE
JUST FLURRIES AND WOULD NOT RESTRICT CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES.
ACKNOWLEDGING POSSIBLE FLURRIES WITH VCSH IN GFL THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT OVERNIGHT IN ALL AREAS.
-SHSN ACTIVITY ENDS THIS EVENING...BUT ALL AREAS REMAIN PARTLY
TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CEILINGS 4000-5000 FT OR HIGHER. TOMORROW
MORNING...CEILINGS IN THE 4000-5000 FT RANGE CONTINUE AND BY MIDDAY
SOME -SHSN ACTIVITY TRACKS BACK INTO THE REGION...BUT CANT
PINPOINT TIMING OR EXTENT SO NO MENTION IN TAFS YET.
HYDROLOGY...
NO HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAK
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE HSA MONDAY IN THE LATER
MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SOME SCATTERED SNOW
SQUALLS. TEMPS WILL FALL 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR TUE. THE
FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. TEMPERATURES MAY MODERATE BACK TO
NORMAL VALUES BY THE WEEKEND. ICE ON RIVERS...STREAMS...AND LAKES
THAT WAS THAWING...WILL THICKEN DURING THE WORK WEEK. SNOWPACK THAT
WAS RIPENING OR MELTING THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS WILL REMAIN IN CHECK
WITH TEMPS WELL BELOW FREEZING.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR
NYZ032-033-038.
VT...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...KLHazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 11:12 PM EST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1112 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 NYZ032-033-038-051200- NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- 1112 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE ADVISORY STATEMENT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY TRIGGERING SNOW SQUALLS...AND BE FOLLOWED BY PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO MONDAY EVENING. TOTAL LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 35 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST...RESULTING IN BLOWING SNOW AND CONDITIONS THAT MAY REQUIRE WIND CHILL WARNINGS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES OF MORE VIA THE SPOTTER TELEPHONE NUMBER...NYSPIN...OR THE SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTER FORM ON THE INTERNET. CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084- VTZ013>015-051200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 1112 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK EXCLUDING HAMILTON AND HERKIMER COUNTIES...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH MONDAY...AS ARCTIC AIR POURS INTO THE REGION. WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 3:22 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | ALY | Fulton, Greene, Hamilton, Herkimer, Ulster | 44 hr |
| Mar 5, 3:22 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | ALY | Albany, Columbia, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer, Montgomery and 7 more | 44 hr |
| Mar 5, 4:53 PM EST | Snow and Blowing Snow Advisory | ALY | Albany, Fulton, Greene, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery and 3 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.