Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WGUS71 KALY 272240
FFSALY

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
635 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

NYC001-083-091-280015-
ALBANY NY-RENSSELAER NY-SARATOGA NY-
635 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR 
SOUTHERN SARATOGA...NORTHWESTERN RENSSELAER AND NORTHEASTERN ALBANY 
COUNTIES...

AT 632 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED MOST 
OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...BUT SOME HEAVY 
SHOWERS PERSISTED ACROSS THE WATERFORD...COHOES...COLONIE AND TROY 
AREAS. THESE SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE ANOTHER QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH OF 
RAIN AS THEY MOVE EAST.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATE THAT FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING ON MANY ROADWAYS IN THE ALBANY AND EASTERN COLONIE 
AREAS... AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN PART OF TROY.

LAT...LON 4264 7340 4254 7404 4275 7404 4279 7382
      4290 7391 4295 7409 4337 7414 4340 7389
      4329 7382 4326 7384 4323 7378 4328 7372
      4330 7360 4307 7358 4284 7368 4290 7342
      4264 7340

$$

GJM

000 
WGUS71 KALY 272328
FFSALY

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
724 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

NYC001-083-091-272334-
ALBANY NY-RENSSELAER NY-SARATOGA NY-
724 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHERN 
SARATOGA...NORTHWESTERN RENSSELAER AND NORTHEASTERN ALBANY 
COUNTIES...

RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4264 7340 4254 7404 4275 7404 4279 7382
      4290 7391 4295 7409 4337 7414 4340 7389
      4329 7382 4326 7384 4323 7378 4328 7372
      4330 7360 4307 7358 4284 7368 4290 7342
      4264 7340

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
315 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
THE HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE REPLACED BY A MUCH COOLER AND
DRIER AIR MASS ON THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
DURING THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE UNTIL THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE LARGE COOL AND DRY
AIR MASS BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE IN OVER THE REGION AND
CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/...
INTENSE CONVECTION HAS ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...BUT
ULSTER...DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES REMAIN UNDER A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 1100 PM. FOR MOST OF THE REGION IT WILL BE
QUITE THIS EVENING WITH NOTHING MORE THAN A SCATTERED SHOWERS. FOR
THE SOUTHERN THREE COUNTIES...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY
MOVING THROUGH ULSTER COUNTY AND POINTS SOUTH...AND THIS LINE WILL
LIKELY EXIT LITHCFIELD COUNTY BY 1000 PM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WILL LOSE THE CHANCE OF SEVERE CONVECTION IN ALL AREAS AFTER 1100
PM...BUT SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN...SO WILL MAINTAIN A
CHANCE OF THUNDER OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...STORMS WILL NOT BE ROOTED IN
THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND SHOULD NOT BE ABLE TO MIX STRONG WINDS DOWN.
THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WILL APPROACH NORTHWEST AREAS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SO THERE MAY
BE A LULL IN THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR A TIME TONIGHT...BEFORE
MORE SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOP TOWARDS MORNING. GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
MODELS THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR CENTRAL AREAS INCLUDING THE
CAPITAL DISTRICT BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY...BUT WILL
NOT REACH SOUTHERN AREAS UNTIL LATE THURSDAY EVENING...SO HAVE
INCREASED THE POPS FOR OUR SOUTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT. CONVECTION
SHOULD PRETTY MUCH BE LIMITED TO AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF ALBANY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...WITH SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000-1500
J/KG AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 25-30 KTS. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER NORTH
AND WEST THURDSAY BUT ARE LIKELY TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S OVER THE MID
HUDSON REGION OF NEW YORK AND IN THE MID 80S OVER NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...AND THE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.
LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S IN THE ADIRONDACKS
AND GREEN MTNS WHERE SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT BY LATE EVENING...TO
NEAR 60 IN MOST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY.  FRIDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY
AND MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND IN THE LOW 70S IN THE HUDSON VALLEY...ABOUT 8 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...WITH A PLEASANT NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A CANADIAN HIGH BUILDS INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
AND CRESTS OVER THE REGION SUNDAY. IT WILL BRING SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE TUESDAY AS WARMER AIR MAKES ITS WAY INTO
THE REGION WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS A WEAK LOW MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING A WARM FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY THE COLD FRONT ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WILL NOT SPECIFICALLY MENTION CONVECTION IN THE KALB/KGFL TAFS WITH
THIS ISSUANCE. CONVECTION THAT FIRED UP THIS AFTERNOON HAS PASSED
AND ANY CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT REACH
HERE UNTIL VERY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WHICH IS THE
CONVECTIVE MINIMUM TIME. AFTER A COUPLE OF HOURS OF POTENTIAL
CONVECTION AT KPOU THROUGH 02Z...WILL ONLY KEEP CB IN THE FORECAST
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE CROSSOVER TEMPS LOOK TO BE AROUND 70. HOWEVER CLOUDS AND SOME
BREEZE WOULD PRECLUDE CLASSIC RADIATIONAL FOG FORMATION TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...SHOWER INDUCED IFR FOG IS POSSIBLE AT KPOU WHERE WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT. IFR FOG ALSO POSSIBLE AT KGFL WHICH HAS THE BEST
POTENTIAL TO REACH THE CROSSOVER TEMP.

LIGHT SOUTH WINDS (UP TO 10 KTS) WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...THE SWITCH TO WEST AT 10 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS
POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT.

OUTLOOK...
FRI THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL REPLACE THE HOT AND HUMID
AIRMASS ON THURSDAY. HIGHLY VARIABLE RAIN AMOUNTS FROM A TENTH OF AN
INCH TO TREE INCHES HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY...TRIGGERING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...A COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIRMASS WILL
FILTER IN.

THE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 100 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH
WINDS DIMINISHING OVER THE VALLEYS TO LESS THAN 5 MPH. ON THURSDAY
THE MIDDAY HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM 50 PERCENT IN THE HUDSON VALLEY
TO ABOUT 70 PERCENT OVER THE ADIRONDACKS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
BERKSHIRES AND THE GREEN MTNS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A TENTH TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN OCCURRED OVER THE HSA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. OVERALL...VERY LITTLE RESPONSE ON AREA MAINSTEM STREAMS
AND RIVERS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WILL BE SCATTERED AND NOT LIKELY AFFECT AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
128 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

CTZ013-NYZ059-060-064>066-281200-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
128 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 456 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND
EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   HEAT ADVISORY.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN
58 MPH. ALSO...SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS MAY
OCCUR WITH ANY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
INTO A VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE
REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ058-061-063-281200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
128 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 456 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN
58 MPH. ALSO...SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS MAY
OCCUR WITH ANY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
INTO A VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE
REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-281200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
128 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 456 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN
58 MPH. ALSO...SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS MAY
OCCUR WITH ANY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
INTO A VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT FROM A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE
REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
406 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

VTZ013-272030-
BENNINGTON VT-
406 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN BENNINGTON COUNTY...

AT 403 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHAFTSBURY...OR ABOUT 6 MILES
SOUTH OF ARLINGTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GLASTENBURY AND MACINTYRE BY 415 PM EDT
KELLEY STAND BY 420 PM EDT

SNYDER/KOLECI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
429 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BURNT HILLS             42.91N 73.90W
06/27/2007                   SARATOGA           NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            1 TREE AND WIRES DOWN

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLENVILLE               42.93N 74.05W
06/27/2007                   SCHENECTADY        NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIRES DOWN

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MIDDLEVILLE             43.14N 74.97W
06/27/2007                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWERPOLE WITH POWERLINES DOWN.

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VISCHER FERRY           42.80N 73.83W
06/27/2007                   SARATOGA           NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            2 OR MORE TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHARLTON                42.93N 73.97W
06/27/2007                   SARATOGA           NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            1 TREE AND WIRES DOWN

0405 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ILION                   43.01N 75.04W
06/27/2007                   HERKIMER           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN.

0417 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ST. JOHNSVILLE          43.00N 74.68W
06/27/2007                   MONTGOMERY         NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

&&

KSUTKEVI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
441 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRUNSWICK               42.74N 73.56W
06/27/2007                   RENSSELAER         NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN

&&

FRUGIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
453 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             GREEN ISLAND            42.75N 73.69W
06/27/2007  M1.00 INCH       ALBANY             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KSUTKEVI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
459 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JOHNSTOWN               43.01N 74.37W
06/27/2007                   FULTON             NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

0435 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GLOVERSVILLE            43.05N 74.35W
06/27/2007  U0.00 INCH       FULTON             NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREETS FLOODED

&&

FRUGIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
508 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DELANSON                42.75N 74.18W
06/27/2007                   SCHENECTADY        NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

&&

OKEEFE