Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2007
Wind Advisory 9, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this wind advisory at Dec 15, 2007, 4:19 AM EST for 36 counties in Virginia; 9 counties in North Carolina; 4 counties in Maryland. It took effect at Dec 16, 2007, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 25 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2007, 4:19 AM EST (09:19 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 16, 2007, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 17, 2007, 1:00 AM EST
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
All 49 counties
Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, James City County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 682 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 150919 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 419 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 MDZ021>025-NCZ017-102-VAZ095-098>100-152200- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T0000Z-071217T0000Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...COROLLA...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 419 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS OVER THE MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MCNATT
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 152102 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 402 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 VAZ073>078-084>086-160515- /O.EXB.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1500Z-071217T0600Z/ KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND- LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TAPPAHANNOCK 402 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS OVER THE MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-160515- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T0300Z-071217T0600Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 402 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS OVER THE MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ017-102-VAZ095-098-160515- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T0300Z-071217T0200Z/ INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COROLLA 402 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS OVER THE MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ021>023-160515- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1500Z-071217T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE 402 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS MAINLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS OVER THE MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ HURLEY
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 160038 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 738 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-087>094-096-097- 160845- /O.EXB.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1700Z-071217T0000Z/ NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-BERTIE-CHOWAN- PERQUIMANS-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND- HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN- CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE- PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY- JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON- SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE... ELIZABETH CITY...EDENTON...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND... ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND... LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA...WAKEFIELD... WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON 738 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-160845- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T0500Z-071217T0500Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 738 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ017-102-VAZ095-098-160845- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T0500Z-071217T0000Z/ INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COROLLA 738 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ021>023-VAZ073>078-084>086-160845- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1700Z-071217T0000Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND- RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...TAPPAHANNOCK 738 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL BE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ HURLEY
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 160819 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 319 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-161700- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0500Z/ INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 319 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE VIRGINIA COAST THIS MORNING...WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ017-102-VAZ095-098-161700- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0000Z/ INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COROLLA 319 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE VIRGINIA COAST THIS MORNING...WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ021>023-NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ048-049-060>094-096-097-161700- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1700Z-071217T0000Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES- PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-FLUVANNA-LOUISA- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG- LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO- KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND- NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE- CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE- SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT- NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE...ELIZABETH CITY... EDENTON...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL... CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...TAPPAHANNOCK... LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA...WAKEFIELD... WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON 319 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE VIRGINIA COAST THIS MORNING...WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ 44
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 161500 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1000 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-162130- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1900Z-071217T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 1000 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ VAZ048-049-060>062-065>069-162130- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1700Z-071217T0300Z/ FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-MECKLENBURG- LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND... SOUTH HILL...CREWE 1000 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ017-102-VAZ095-098-162130- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0300Z/ INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH- VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...COROLLA 1000 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ063-064-070>094-096-097-162130- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.071216T1900Z-071217T0300Z/ NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-BERTIE-CHOWAN- PERQUIMANS-HANOVER-CAROLINE-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM- KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND- LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT- GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY- YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK- CHESAPEAKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE... ELIZABETH CITY...EDENTON...ASHLAND...COLONIAL HEIGHTS... RICHMOND...TAPPAHANNOCK...LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL... EMPORIA...WAKEFIELD...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN... NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON 1000 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY TONIGHT. THE RESULT OF THIS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ BROWN
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 162047 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 347 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 VAZ073>078-084>086-170315- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0600Z/ KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND- LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TAPPAHANNOCK 347 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-087>098-170200- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0200Z/ NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK- BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG- LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO- KING WILLIAM-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY- NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON- ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK- CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE... ELIZABETH CITY...EDENTON...COROLLA...LOUISA...FARMVILLE... GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS... RICHMOND...LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA... WAKEFIELD...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS... HAMPTON 347 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-170315- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE... WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 347 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL GENERATE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ BROWN
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 170216 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 916 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-087>098-170330- /O.EXP.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0200Z/ NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK- BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG- LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO- KING WILLIAM-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY- NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON- ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK- CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARGARETTSVILLE...AHOSKIE... ELIZABETH CITY...EDENTON...COROLLA...LOUISA...FARMVILLE... GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS... RICHMOND...LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA... WAKEFIELD...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...FRANKLIN...NEWPORT NEWS... HAMPTON 916 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH UNTIL AROUND 1 AM...THEN DIMINISH BY LATE TONIGHT. $$ MDZ021>025-VAZ073>078-084>086-099-100-170600- /O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND- LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...TAPPAHANNOCK... CHINCOTEAGUE...WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 916 PM EST SUN DEC 16 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES...AND THE MIDDLE PENISULA AND NORTHERN NECK WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH UNTIL AROUND 1 AM...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ ALB
000 WWUS71 KAKQ 170612 NPWAKQ URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 112 AM EST MON DEC 17 2007 MDZ021>025-VAZ073>078-084>086-099-100-170715- /O.EXP.KAKQ.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-071217T0600Z/ DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND- LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD... PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...TAPPAHANNOCK... CHINCOTEAGUE...WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE 112 AM EST MON DEC 17 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORES...AND THE MIDDLE PENISULA AND NORTHERN NECK HAVE DECREASED SOME OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. DESPITE WIND SPEEDS AVERAGING BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...THE WIND SPEEDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. $$ 44
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Dec 15, 3:58 AM EST, 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 3:58 AM EST, 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
358 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ANCHORED OVER NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SATURDAY
WHILE A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE CAROLINA
COAST SATURDAY EVENING. THESE TWO SYSTEMS MERGE OVER VIRGINIA
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES NORTH INTO
NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
EARLY MORNING ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG 1036MB SFC HIGH OVER SE
ONTARIO. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE ARKLATEX
REGION IN THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WL STREAM INTO THE AREA IN EARNEST AS THE
MORNING AND ERY AFTN PROGRESSES. EXPECT A SUNNY START TO THE
DAY...PARTICULARLY OVER EASTERN THIRD OF THE REGION...WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS AS HIGH/MID CLDS FILTER IN AHEAD OF SOUTHEAST
LOW.
INITIATED POPS BY ERY AFTERNOON OVER THE FAR S/W CWA...AND
INCREASED THEM GRADUALLY FROM SW TO NE INTO THIS EVENING. EXPECT
PCPN COVERAGE TO BE RAGGED AND RATHER SCATTERED AT FIRST..WITH
PCPN SHIELD FILLING IN TWDS EVENING.
00Z DEC 15 NAM CONTINUES PREVIOUS TREND WHICH KEEPS COLD AIR
WEDGED IN ACROSS NW FA FOR A LONGER PRD TDA. IN CONTRAST...THE
GFS WRMS THE AIR WELL ABV FREEZING...WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING
THE STARK DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE 2 SOLNS. NAM SNDGS ACROSS THIS
REGION SHOW 2-3 HR PRD OF EVAP COOLING THIS AFTN (ROUGHLY 18-21Z).
THIS CUD VERY WELL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR A MIX OF SLEET/FREEZING
RAIN ACROSS LOUISA/FLUVANNA CTYS FOR A BRIEF TIME TDA B4 TMPS
SLOWLY RISE ABV FREEZING. THAT BEING SAID...EXPECT PRECIP DURING
THIS PERIOD TO BE VERY LGT AND SPOTTY AT BEST. FURTHER...DONT
EXPECT MUCH OF ANY ICE ACCUMULATION OF WHAT LTL DOES FALL IN THIS
AREA. FOR THAT REASON...WL FORGO ISSUING ANY WINTER HEADLINES ATTM.
WL CONTINUE WITH OUR BUFFER ZONE OF ZR/IP MENTION FOR MID
AFTN...ADVERTISING A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET AT THE ONSET OF PCPN. NOT
OUT OF THE QSTN THAT SOME IP MAKES IT TO THE W END OF RIC...BUT
AGAIN NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. DAY CREW WILL BE ABLE TO MORE
EFFECTIVELY NOWCAST THESE FEATURES BASED UPON OBS/LAPS SOUNDINGS
LATER THIS MORNING/ERY THIS AFTERNOON. ALL PCPN XPCTDD TO BE OF
LIQUID VARIETY ACROSS AKQ CWFA BY 00Z.
TEMPS VERY SLOW TO RISE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES NEARLY
HOLDING STEADY THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE COASTAL
SYSTEM DEVELOPS LATER ON.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS IN THIS PERIOD...WITH MODELS GENERALLY
AGREEING ON CLASSIC MILLER B CYCLOGENESIS. HOWEVER...SOME STARK
DIFFERENCES REGARDING SPEED STILL EXIST. FOLLOWING THE LEAD OF
HPC...AND GOING FORECAST...THE 00Z DEC15 NAM AND LATEST ECMWF ARE
THE BASIS FOR THIS PACKAGE.
SCNDRY LOW LOOKS TO DVLP ALONG CAROLINA COAST LT TONIGHT/ERY
SUNDAY. ENERGY FROM LOW OVR OH JUMPS TO CSTL LOW WITH BOTH SYSTEMS
PROGGED TO MERGE ACROSS VA CAPES TNGT...INTENSIFYING AS IT
PINWHEELS INTO NEW ENGLAND SUN.
FIRST ISSUE: HEAVY RAIN. APPEARS SOME TROPICAL MSTR FROM REMNANTS
OF OLGA GETS ENTRAINED INTO SYSTM THEN QUICKLY GETS TRANSPORTED N
ALONG AND E OF THE I95 CORRIDOR TONIGHT. IT IS IN THIS AREA THAT
BEST DYNAMIC LIFT APPEARS TO EXIST...WITH AXIS OF H85 JET (AT A
HEALTHY 70-80KT CLIP) MOVING OVERHEAD AND STRONG SHEAR ALOFT. FOR
THIS REASON...RELEGATING R+ MENTION TO ALONG AND WEST OF I-85
CORRIDOR LATER TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTR MIDNIGHT TNGT. PWAT VALUES ARE
RATHER HEALTHY IN THIS SECTOR (>2 INCHES)...AND NAM MODEL
SOUNDINGS CLEARLY POINT TO HEAVY RAIN IN SE CWA BETWEEN 07-10Z
TONIGHT. TOTAL QPF WITH THIS SYSTM SHUD RANGE BETWEEN 1/2 TO 1
INCH W OF I-95 CORRIDOR...1 TO 2 INCHES (AND LOCALLY HIGHER) OVER
THE EAST. FOR MIN T FORECAST...EXPECT THAT TEMPS WL HOLD STEADY
FOR A WHILE TONIGHT...AND RISE SLIGHTLY LATE AS COASTAL WARM FRONT
PUSHES NORTHWARD.
NEXT ISSUE: WINDS. BUFKIT SHOWS QUICK INCREASE TO MOMENTUM XFER
OVER COASTAL LOCALES. NAM SHOWING PRESSURE CHANGES BETWEEN 6-8MB
BETWEEN 03 AND 06Z TONIGHT OVER TIDEWATER AND NE NC COUNTIES...AND
8-10MB OVER EASTERN SHORE AFTER 09Z. LOOKS LIKE STRONG (MAINLY GUSTY)
GRADIENT WINDS WL BE NOTED TONIGHT THRU ERY MONDAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY IMPACT FELT ON IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. 25-35 WITH GUSTS TO
40-45 MPH. FOR THIS REASON...HV DECIDED TO PULL THE TRIGGER ON A
WIND ADVY FOR ALL COASTAL ZONES FROM 00Z TONIGHT...RUNNING THRU
00Z MONDAY FOR NOW...AND CAN EXTEND OUT IN TIME IF NEEDED BASED ON
MODEL RUNS LATER TDA/TNGT AND THE PROGRESS OF THE DEVELOPING LOW.
LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN AS IT QUICKLY MOVES NE AND AWAY FROM RGN
SUNDAY. GFS MUCH FASTER WITH DEPARTING LOW THAN ALL OTHER
MODELS...AND FOR THAT REASON..HV HELD ON TO RAIN JUST A LITTLE
LONGER SUNDAY. NOW APPEARS THAT RAIN TAPERS TO SHRAS SUNDAY AM/ERY AFTN
QUICKLY END WITH DCRG CLDNS FROM SW TO NE IN THE AFTRN. GUSTY WNDS
CONTINUE...VEERING TO THE W-NW...AT 20-30 MPH (GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
POSS ACROSS LWR MD ERN SHORE) AND AFTRN SUN RESULT IN TMPS WRMG
INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
GIVEN NUMEROUS CONCERNS IN THE NEAR/SHORT TERM/ GENERALLY ACCEPTED
GOING FORECAST...MAKING ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WITH GMOS DATA.
COLD & DRY WX FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDES OVERHEAD AND QUASI-ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING ALOFT BY
TUES/WED. TMPS BLO NRML...WITH HIGHS GENLY INTO THE 40S/NR 50. NEXT
WXMAKER LOOKS TO COME BY LATE IN THE WEEK...IN THE FORM OF QUICK
MOVING SYSTM PRGGED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS...AND RIDE
EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN LAKES THU/FRI. FOR NOW...CHC (LIQUID) POPS
AS TMPS STAY ABV FREEZING.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FG DOESNT LOOK TO BE AN ISSUE THIS MORNING AS WINDS ARE ABOVE 6KTS
AT ALL LOCATIONS. CONDS WILL DETERIORATE QUICKLY TODAY AND TONIGHT
HOWEVER AS A PRETTY POTENT SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTN AND
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AT MOST TERMINALS BY THIS EVNG
(AROUND 00Z). AS HEAVIEST RAIN MVS OVER THE TERMINALS AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH SUN MID-MORNING...EXPECT IFR CIGS AND VIS. OTHER ISSUE WILL
BE WINDS...ORF/SBY/PHF/ECG WILL SEE VERY GUSTY WINDS STARTING THIS
AFTN AND LASTING THROUGH SUN NIGHT. DIRECTIONS WILL START OUT FROM
THE EAST THIS AFTN...SWITCH TO THE SSW BY SUN MORNING AND TO THE W
BY SUN EVNG.
RAIN/CLOUDS CLEAR OUT LAST FROM THE ORF AREA BY SUN AFTN BUT WINDS
LIKELY REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MON MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MID WEEK...SO NO AVIATION ISSUES
EXPECTED AGAIN UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&
.MARINE...
NO GOOD NEWS FOR MARINERS THIS WEEKEND. SCA CONDS BEING OBSERVED
OVER THE BAY AND COASTAL WATERS CURRENTLY AND EXPECTING GALE CONDS
BY THE END OF THE DAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THIS WAY FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM...AS WELL A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DVLPG OFF THE COAST...WILL PRODUCE A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT THAT WILL REMAIN OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE ENTIRE
WEEKEND. TOUGH CALL ON WHEN TO START GALES TODAY...HAVE OPTED TO
STICK WITH 7PM FOR NOW...BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO BUMP IT UP A
FEW HRS. HAVE ALSO DECIDED TO INCLUDE THE BAY WATERS IN THE GALE
HEADLINE AS WERE EXPECTING FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO AROUND 35-40KTS
LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
WINDS FINALLY START TO DIMINISH ON MON MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE PULLS
OUT OF THE NE U.S. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST MID WEEK KEEPINGS WINDS RELATIVELY LIGHT.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
MDZ021>025.
NC...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ102.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ017-102.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ102.
VA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
VAZ095-098>100.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
VAZ086-095.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
ANZ630>632-650-652-654-656-658.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ630>633-650-652-654-656-658.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ633.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...MAM
SHORT TERM...MAM
LONG TERM...MAM/MPR
AVIATION...JMM
MARINE...JMMHazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 7:36 PM EST, 8 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 MDZ021>024-NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ060-061-065>093-096-097-160045- DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-NORTHAMPTON NC- HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS- PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA- POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX- WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE- PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS- GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT- SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ633-160045- CURRITUCK SOUND- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CURRITUCK SOUND. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ048-049-062>064-160045- FLUVANNA-LOUISA-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MDZ025-NCZ017-VAZ094-095-098>100-160045- MARYLAND BEACHES-INLAND CURRITUCK-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON- NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ102-160045- OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GALE WARNING .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ654-656-160045- COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20 NM- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GALE WARNING .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ650-652-160045- COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GALE WARNING .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ658-160045- COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT 20 NM- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GALE WARNING .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ632-160045- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ630-631-160045- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA- 736 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. FOSTER
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2007Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2007Wind Advisories in Maryland, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.