Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Wakefield, VA

Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

000 
WWUS81 KAKQ 051923
RFWAKQ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
323 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ060-061-065>070-079>081-087>089-092-093-096-
097-060015-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FW.A.0002.070406T1400Z-070409T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070406T0000Z/
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-MECKLENBURG-
LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-BRUNSWICK-
DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-SOUTHAMPTON-
ISLE OF WIGHT-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
323 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE 15 TO 20 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THESE WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT AND THE DRY GROUND WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY GROUND WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

DNAGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA FOR
THE NEXT THREE DAYS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

CULLEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
251 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
BREEZY CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY. WESTERLY COMPONENT WINDS WILL
ALLOW TEMPS TO REBOUNDING INTO THE LOW 50S N/60S S UNDER MO/SUNNY
SKIES. GUIDANCE SHOWING DEW PTS FALLING INTO THE UPR TEENS/20S
WITH DOWNSLOPING. GUIDANCE USUALLY FORECASTS DEWS TOO HIGH WITH
WRLY FLOW...SO LOWERED THEM FURTHER WEST OF I-95. CHILLY NIGHT IN
STORE FOR THE REGION AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE UPR 20S/LOW 30S FOR
MOST. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER NRN SECTIONS OF THE TIDEWATER
AREA AS WINDS OFF THE WATER WILL ONLY ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE
UPR 30S (INCLUDING ORF). CURRENTLY HAVE NO FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES
FOR THIS ZONE PACKAGE AS WINDS OVERNIGHT MAY INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT
IN SOME AREAS. WILL LET DAY SHIFT MAKE FINAL DECISION (AFTER
COORDINATING WITH AGRICULTURAL AGENCIES) IF ANY ARE NEEDED SINCE
ACTUAL F/F PROGRAM NORMALLY DOES NOT START UNTIL APRIL 15TH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BIG DISCREPANCY ON GUIDANCE FOR WHAT OUTCOME PREVAILS FRI NIGHT INTO
SAT. NAM SEEMS TO HAVE BETTER HANDLE ON CURRENT PRECIP OVER IN THE
WRN US. NAM/GFS BOTH SHOW STRONG UPR LVL JET MOVING OVER MID ATL
RGN FRI INTO SAT. THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCE FROM THE MODELS IS
FOCUSED ON H70 JET STREAK. GFS STREAK IS MUCH STRONGER AND FURTHER
TO THE NORTH THAN THE NAM PROJECTS. THIS IS ALLOWING FOR A MORE
AMPLIFIED SOLN...MAKING FOR A STRONGER SFC LOW TO DVLP. GFS ALSO
DVLPS ANOTHER SFC LOW OFF THE COAST OF NC. LAST FEW RUNS HAVE MADE
THIS LOW THE STRONGER OF THE TWO. THIS SCENARIO USUALLY ROBS
MOISTURE INTO THE SECONDARY (FURTHER NW) LOW OVER VA.
CURRENTLY...INCLINED TO LEAN TWDS NAM/WEAKER GFS SOLN WITH THE
BEST CHC FOR PRECIP TO DVLP OVER THE EASTERN SHORES. IF GFS DOES
PAN OUT THEN PRECIP TYPE AND ANY AMOUNTS WILL BE MORE OF A
CONCERN. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT FEW RUNS FOR
OVERALL IMPACTS THAT MAY INCUR.

AFTER SYSTEM MOVES OFFSHORE ON SAT...RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION
ALLOWING FOR A SLOW WARM UP INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PAC NW ENERGY
MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TUE-WED WITH ANOTHER SVR WX OUTBREAK.
THIS SYSTEM MAY EFFECT US LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z-06Z/...
VFR TDA/TNGT. GSTY WNW WNDS DVLPG FM MID/LT MRNG THROUGH MID/LT AFTN
HRS.

&&

.MARINE...
LO END SCAS FOR WTR CONDS/WND SPDS TDA...WNW WNDS CONT TNGT/FRI. PD
OF MUCH LGTR SPDS FRI NGT AS WK LO PRES SLOLY DVLPG JUST OFFSHR.
BEHIND THAT LO ON SAT...NW WNDS PICK UP (ESP ON OCN) AND CONT SAT
NGT B4 DCRSG. PREVAILING WNW WNDS LT WKND/ERY NEXT WK.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ630>633-652-654-656-658.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ650.

&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...WAMSLEY
AVIATION/MARINE...ALBRIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
330 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

ANZ630>633-650-652-654-656-658-MDZ023>025-NCZ012-VAZ072>078-081>094-
096-099-100-060730-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-NORTHAMPTON NC-
KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-
YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-ACCOMACK-
NORTHAMPTON VA-
330 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE
BAY...THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...CURRITUCK SOUND...THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF
VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF
VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. PATCHY
FROST MAY DEVELOP AND AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS SHOULD MAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS AND SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 20S AND
30S THROUGH THE PERIOD...PRODUCING A HARD FREEZE IN MOST
LOCATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021-022-VAZ048-049-060>071-079-080-060730-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-
GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-
POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-
330 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND THE
PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AWAY FROM THE COAST...TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. PATCHY FROST MAY DEVELOP AND AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS SHOULD MAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS AND SENSITIVE
VEGETATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY. TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 30S WITH
READINGS APPROACHING FREEZING ON SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ095-097-098-060730-
HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-BERTIE-CHOWAN-
PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-
VIRGINIA BEACH-
330 AM EDT THU APR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 30S WITH
READINGS APPROACHING FREEZING ON SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.