Wind Advisory 3, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 201310 CCA
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
508 AM ADT THU SEP 20 2007


AKZ023-027>029-210015-
/X.COR.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
508 AM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THURSDAY EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM
STRENGTH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE DECISION THURSDAY EVENING...
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
THURSDAY NIGHT.

INITIALLY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHEAST 25 MPH WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS TO 45 MPH FROM SOUTHERN BARANOF SOUTH TO DIXON
ENTRANCE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AS THE LOW
PASSES OVERHEAD AND EXPECTED TO REACH 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM BIORKA
ISLAND TO DIXON ENTRANCE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WIND EVENT IS
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL
OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD
SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS. STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 400 PM ADT FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
MM

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 201312 CCB
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
508 AM ADT THU SEP 20 2007


AKZ023-027>029-210015-
/X.COR.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
508 AM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THURSDAY EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM
STRENGTH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE DECISION THURSDAY EVENING...
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
THURSDAY NIGHT.

INITIALLY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHEAST 25 MPH WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS TO 45 MPH FROM SOUTHERN BARANOF SOUTH TO DIXON
ENTRANCE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AS THE LOW
PASSES OVERHEAD AND EXPECTED TO REACH 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM BIORKA
ISLAND TO DIXON ENTRANCE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WIND EVENT IS
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL
OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD
SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS. STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 400 PM ADT THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
MM

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 202330
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
330 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

AKZ023-027>029-210730-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
330 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
ADT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
ADT FRIDAY. 

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THIS EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE DECISION TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS IT CUTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE.

INITIALLY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHEAST 25 MPH WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS TO 45 MPH FROM SOUTHERN BARANOF SOUTH TO DIXON
ENTRANCE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AS THE LOW
PASSES OVERHEAD AND EXPECTED TO REACH 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM BIORKA
ISLAND TO DIXON ENTRANCE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WIND EVENT IS
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH. BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD
SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS. STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1130 PM ADT THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

PSS

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 210505
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
905 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

AKZ027-211330-
/X.UPG.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
/X.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0001.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
905 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS UPGRADED THE WIND
ADVISORY TO A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT FRIDAY.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THIS EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE BETWEEN SITKA AND CAPE DECISION
TONIGHT.

SOUTHEAST WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 60 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE WEST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS WITH GUST AROUND 60 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING TOWARD 6 AM.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND
PROPERTY. BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE
DOWNS. STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY
THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-211330-
/X.EXA.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
905 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM ADT
FRIDAY. 

WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...MAINLY NEAR
WRANGELL AND EXPOSED AREAS ON KUIU ISLAND AND SOUTHERN KUPREANOF ISLAND. 

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ023-211330-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0600Z-070921T1400Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
905 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM ADT FRIDAY SOUTH OF SITKA...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM ADT FRIDAY FOR AREAS
SOUTH OF SITKA.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THIS EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE BETWEEN SITKA AND CAPE DECISION TONIGHT.

INITIALLY...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 50 MPH SOUTH OF
SITKA...THEN SHIFT TO WEST OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST SLOWLY DIMINISHING TOWARD 6 AM.

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ028-029-211330-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.070921T0800Z-070921T1400Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
905 PM ADT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
ADT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
ADT FRIDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND COASTAL AREAS OF
THE MISTY FJORDS REGION.

A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW...APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST
ALASKA COAST THIS EVENING...IS FORECAST TO REACH MAXIMUM STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE BETWEEN SITKA AND CAPE DECISION TONIGHT.

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50
MPH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 211321
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
521 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

AKZ023-211700-
/X.UPG.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070921T1400Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
521 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR SOUTHER BARANOF ISLAND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT
THIS MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
ACROSS SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND AND WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE
COMMUNITY OF PORT ALEXANDER THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DIMINISH TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATER THIS MORNING

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ027-211700-
/X.EXT.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
521 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS
MORNING. 

THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM FRI. WEST WINDS
OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AS HIGH AS 75 MPH ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 9 AM. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.
BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-028-029-211700-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
521 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING.

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH
EARLY THIS MORNING IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING.

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 211326 CCA
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
523 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

AKZ023-211700-
/X.UPG.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070921T1400Z/
/X.COR.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
523 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 
9 AM THIS MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
ACROSS SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND AND WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE
COMMUNITY OF PORT ALEXANDER THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DIMINISH TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATER THIS MORNING

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ027-211700-
/X.COR.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
523 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS
MORNING.

THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM FRI. WEST WINDS
OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AS HIGH AS 75 MPH ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 9 AM. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.
BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-028-029-211700-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
523 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING.

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH
EARLY THIS MORNING IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING.

BOAT AND AIRPLANE OWNERS SHOULD SECURE MOORINGS AND TIE DOWNS.
STORE LOOSE ITEMS THAT CAN BE BLOWN AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE
WIND.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 900 AM ADT FRI OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 211656
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
856 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

AKZ023-027-211800-
/X.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK
856 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING. 

BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY BUT THE STRONGEST
WINDS HAVE ENDED.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ026-028-029-211800-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070921T1700Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
856 AM ADT FRI SEP 21 2007

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM ADT THIS MORNING. 

BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY BUT THE STRONGEST
WINDS HAVE ENDED.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

PSS

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1215 PM ADT WED SEP 19 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...A STRONG WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR YAKUTAT
OUT INTO THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES THIS MORNING IS MOVING RAPIDLY
TO THE EAST. SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ARE AS STRONG AS
2.5 TO 3 MB PER HOUR BETWEEN YAKUTAT AND CAPE EDGECUMBE. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN SKAGWAY AND JUNEAU HAS ALREADY BEEN AS
HIGH AT 8 MB THIS MORNING. THIS HAS PROMPTED WIND ADVISORIES FOR
THE SKAGWAY...HAINES...JUNEAU...AND SITKA ZONES AS WELL AS
UPGRADING SMALL CRAFT TO GALE WARNINGS IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND
COASTAL MARINE ZONE 42. CURRENTLY ALL STATIONS IN THE PANHANDLE
EXCEPT SKAGWAY ARE REPORTING RAIN AND WINDS ARE JUST NOW
BEGINNING TO SHIFT IN YAKUTAT AND SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING
THE TRAILING EDGE OF THE FRONTAL CLOUD MASS OVER THEM RIGHT NOW
SO BELIEVE THE FRONT WILL BE THROUGH THERE SHORTLY.

MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM TODAY WILL BE HOW LONG AND HOW STRONG WINDS
WILL BLOW. GALE WARNINGS IN COASTAL ZONES 43...51...AND 52
ALREADY VERIFYING. CURRENTLY FEEL CONFIDENT THAT WIND ADVISORIES
FOR ZONES 23 AND 25 UNTIL 6PM WILL BE SUFFICIENT. WIND ADVISORY
UNTIL NOON FOR ZONES 18 AND 19 WAS UPDATED AND EXTENDED THROUGH
6PM ALSO. CONSIDERED A WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONE 27 FOR LATER
TODAY BUT THE ORIENTATION OF THE WIND IS MORE SOUTHERLY THAN THE
USUAL SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS NECESSARY TO GENERATE WIND ADVISORY
CONDITIONS THERE. REGARDLESS...WILL KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON
CONDITIONS DOWN THERE. ANOTHER WIND CONCERN TODAY IS CLARENCE
STRAIT. APART FROM THE GALE WARNING IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL...ALL
INNER CHANNELS ARE CURRENTLY COVERED BY STRONG SMALL CRAFT WINDS
IN THE FORECAST. BOUNDARY LAYER PRESSURE GRADIENTS ON BOTH NAM
AND GFS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A SOUTHEAST GALE IN CLARENCE
AS WELL THIS AFTERNOON. NEW LINCOLN ROCK OB RISING TWD 30KTS
SUSTAINED AT NOON. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THAT MARINE ZONE AS HIGH END
SCA.

SOME SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE FALLS IN THE UPPER LEVELS BEHIND THE
FRONT OVER THE PANHANDLE BY TONIGHT BUT NOT COLD ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. CAPE AND LIFTED INDICES
SUPPORT THIS IDEA AND SO HAVE NO POST FRONTAL THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE FORECAST.

CONDITIONS IN TERMS OF WINDS WILL IMPROVE QUICKLY FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AND SO BY TONIGHT THE FRONT WILL HAVE
CLEARED THE PANHANDLE TO THE SOUTH. WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 20 KTS
IN THE COASTAL ZONES THROUGH TOMORROW WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
THE INNER CHANNELS AS A SHORT LIVED SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF TONIGHT AND THEN MOVES OVER THE PANHANDLE ON
THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM DISCUSSED BELOW.

.LONG RANGE...BY FRI MORNING A DEVELOPING WAVE ALONG THE TRAILING
FRONT...CURRENTLY AT 45N 180...WILL DEEPEN TO AROUND 995 MB AS IT
MOVES TO ABOUT DIXON ENTRANCE. ENSEMBLE VARIABILITY WITH THIS
SYSTEM IS MOSTLY ABOUT STORM DEPTH BUT THERE IS ALSO A RANGE OF
TRACKS THIS LOW WILL TAKE. 12Z NAM AND GFS RUNS ARE DEEPER THAN
EURO RUNS AND UKMET TAKES LOW FARTHER SOUTH INTO CHARLOTTES. WILL
KEEP DIXON ENT AS TARGET IN GRIDS AND MAY DEEPEN PRESSURES IN
THAT AREA A BIT. SOME GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE S OF CAPE
DECISION AND OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU NIGHT
AND FRI MORNING BUT STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FORECAST FARTHER
SOUTH. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE HEAVIEST SRN PANHANDLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

BRIEF TRANSITORY RIDGING BEHIND THIS SYSTEM ALLOWS FOR BREAK IN
STEADY PRECIP FRI NIGHT AND SAT. ONSHORE FLOW AND COOLING ALOFT
WILL KEEP ENVIRONMENT RIPE FOR SHOWERS. 1000-500 MB THICKNESS
LOWERS INTO 538-540 DM RANGE OVER NORTHERN PANHANDLE SAT WHICH
MEANS MORE SNOW ON MTNS ABOVE 3000 FT MSL N OF JNU-CAPE SPENCER
LINE.

NEXT MAJOR LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF
EARLY SUNDAY THEN DRIFTS EAST INTO THE SE GULF MONDAY. ASSOCIATED
OCCLUDED FRONT WILL SPREAD PRECIP FROM S TO N SATURDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY. CURRENT FCSTS HAVE PAYA-PAGY AS CHANCE OF
PRECIP AS WINDS EXPECTED TO BE ELY. BEYOND SUNDAY FCSTR
CONFIDENCE DIMINISHES ON THE DETAILS. NCEP DISCUSSIONS DESCRIBE
SIGNIFICANT MODEL SPREAD. LONG WAVE PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK HAS
ANCHOR LOW OVER WRN BERING OR EVEN KAMCHATKA AND STRONG BUT
DIFFLUENT WLY FLOW ACROSS GULF. WILL LEAN TOWARD CLIMO FOR TEMPS
/40S AND 50S/ AND PROBILITY OF PRECIP /60 PERCENT RANGE/.  TA

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY AKZ018-019-023-025
MARINE...GALE PKZ012-042>043-051>052 SMALL CRAFT ALL REMAINING
MARINE ZONES