Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2007
Storm Warning 15, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Mar 2, 2007, 6:15 PM AKST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2007, 6:15 PM AKST (03:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAJK 030815 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1115 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-031730- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL STRENGTHEN TO GALE FORCE AND MOVE ONSHORE SATURDAY. A SECOND WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHER PANHANDLE ON SUNDAY. $$ PKZ011-031730- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THE NIGHT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-031730- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1100 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-031730- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THE NIGHT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .MON...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-031730- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THE NIGHT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-031730- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-031730- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-031730- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-031730- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 535 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ034-031730- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-031730- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-031730- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
000 FZAK51 PAJK 031300 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-040100- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF MONDAY. $$ PKZ011-040100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-040100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N GALE WIND TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-040100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-040100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-040100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-040100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .MON...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-040100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-040100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON MAINLY AS S SWELL. .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE MAINLY AS S SWELL. SNOW LATE. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. .MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ034-040100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .MON...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN...SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-040100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-040100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Mar 2, 6:00 AM AKST, 12 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 6:00 AM AKST, 12 hours 15 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION 1100 AM AST FRI MAR 2 2007 .SYNOPSIS... .SHORT RANGE...MARTIME AIRMASS WITH LOW LATITUDE SOURCE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO OVER RUN A DEEP ARCTIC OUTBREAK WITH LITTLE SYNOPTIC CHANGE THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z TONIGHT. MORE ON THESE LARGER SCALE FEATURES IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF PARAGRAPHS. RAIN TO SNOW LINE THROUGH ZONES 23 AND 26...AND UNMIXED SNOW NEAR THE COAST MOUNTAIN RANGE TO AT LEAST HYDER WILL ALSO PERSIST. PRIMARY PRECIP FOOTPRINT WILL DRIFT SOUTH FROM 12Z TONIGHT THROUGH 00Z TOMORROW WITH FREDERICK SOUND BECOMING THE NORTHERN EDGE OF PRECIP. LARGE SCALE COLD SOURCE...STRONG TROUGH ALOFT EXTENDING FROM OVER GREAT BEAR LAKE IN NW TERRITORY CANADA TO OVER AN AREA 500 NM S OF KODIAK. BY STRONG WE MEAN THIS TROUGH HAS A HIGH AMPLITUDE AND IS COLD THROUGH A GREAT DEPTH. THIS TROUGH IS SLOWLY TILTING BUT FOR OUR PURPOSES IS SYNOPTICALLY QUASISTATIONARY. LARGE SCALE WARM MARITIME SOURCE...TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE TROUGH IS A BROAD RIDGE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH SOURCE REGION IN SUBTROPICS NEAR 150W. GOES VIS AND IR DEPICT MAJOR BREAK IN CLOUD COVER FROM 45 TO 51 NORTH ON THIS WATER VAPOR STREAM BUT THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL SHOW UP AS EXTENSIVE AND DEEP CLOUD MASS BEFORE THE OVER RUN OF THE PANHADLE TONIGHT. .LONG RANGE...FOR THE LONGTERM MODELS ARE STILL PRETTY VARIABLE WITH THE SOLUTIONS. IN THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY TIMEFRAME A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING ONSHORE SEEMS TO BE BETTER DELINEATED USING THE NAM 40...SO WENT WITH A NAM/GFS BLEND DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. AFTER SUNDAY/MONDAY THE MODELS BEGIN TO VARY QUITE A BIT. DECIDED TO DEVIATE FROM THE PREVIOUS SHIFTS CHOICE OF ECMWF BECAUSE THE RESOLUTION OF MULTIPLE LOWS IN THE GULF WAS WAY TOO BROAD. AT THIS POINT AM LEANING TOWARD THE GFS SIMPLY BECAUSE IT SEEMS TO PICK UP THE TRIPLE POINT LOWS A LITTLE BETTER...PARTICULARLY AT 120 HRS. HOWEVER WITH THE VARIANCE IN THE MODELS CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. IN TERMS OF ACTUAL WEATHER EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD THE LONGTERM FORECAST REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME. THE ARCTIC HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLD AIR WILL BE EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE NEXT WAVE MOVING UP ON MONDAY MORNING SHOULD BRING ENOUGH WARM AIR TO CAUSE THE PANHANDLE TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN SOUTH OF FREDERICK SOUND BUT THIS WILL BE SHORTLIVED AS THE ARCTIC AIR MOVES BACK IN ON WEDNESDAY. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION WAS RIGHT ON TARGET WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...BUT AGAIN WITH THE MODEL VARIANCE CURRENT LOW TRACK MAY CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. .AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING ZONES...21 THROUGH 26...AND 29. WIND ADVISORY 17...27 AND 28. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 18 AND 19. MARINE...GALE...11 THROUGH 32...41...43 AND 51. SCA...33 THROUGH 36...42...52. JT/LEWF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 days | |
| Mar 2, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 7 days | |
| Mar 2, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Mar 3, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 days | |
| Mar 3, 11:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Mar 3, 11:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.