Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2007
Gale Warning 92, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 20, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 20, 2007, 11:00 AM AKST (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2007, 11:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAJK 210020 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-211400- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WILL REMAIN STRONG WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. $$ PKZ011-211400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-211400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-211400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-211400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-211400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-211400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY...MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-211400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY...MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-211400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN LATE. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. W SWELL. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ034-211400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW LATE. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-211400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-211400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AST TUE FEB 20 2007 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT... EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW WITH RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
000 FZAK51 PAJK 211249 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-220100- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 993 MB LOW IN THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL DROP SOUTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. STRONG OUT FLOW WINDS AND FREEZING SPRAY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. $$ PKZ011-220100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .THU...N GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ012-220100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-220100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-220100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LATE. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ022-220100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-220100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-220100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-220100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-220100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. .FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-220100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN...SNOW. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-220100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AST WED FEB 21 2007 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. STRONGER WINDS TO 30 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 20, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 6:00 AM AKST, 5 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST TUE FEB 20 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING REVEALS A FILLING
SURFACE LOW MOVING EAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ZONES INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA. A DEFORMATION BAND ORIENTED NORTH SOUTH OVER THE
CENTRAL ZONES IS WEAKENING AS IT ALSO MOVES EAST INTO
CANADA...BUT THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY IN
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE RAIN SNOW LINE LOOKS LIKE
IT EXTENDS FROM NEAR PORT ALEXANDER EAST TO WRANGELL AND THEN
SOUTH TO SOMEWHERE BETWEEN HYDER AND KETCHIKAN. CURRENTLY...THE
ONLY LOCATIONS SEEING RAIN INSTEAD OF SNOW ARE ZONES 27 AND 28.
UP NORTH...A STRONG NORTHERLY GRADIENT AND VERY COLD AIR CONTINUE
TO GENERATE WINDY CONDITIONS IN ZONES 17 THROUGH 19 WITH STRONG
SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE CONDITIONS IN THE NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS. THIS WILL NOT CHANGE UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. LOW TEMPS
AND STRONG WINDS HAVE NECESSITATED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
ZONES 17 THROUGH 19 AND A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR LYNN
CANAL AND GLACIER BAY. OFFSHORE...A 980MB LOW SOUTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT HAS BECOME HIGHLY DEFINED ON VISIBLE AND IR IMAGERY BUT
IS VERY HARD TO DISCERN ON WV IMAGERY...SUGGESTING THIS IS NOT A
VERY DEEP SYSTEM. THE MODELS PROJECT THIS LOW TO TRACK SOUTHEAST
TO NEAR COASTAL ZONE 27 AND THEN STALL WHILE NOT DEEPENING VERY
MUCH. THE ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SNOW.
HOW MUCH SNOW AND HOW FAR NORTH THE SNOW GETS IS ONE OF THE
FORECAST CHALLENGES TODAY. THE CONCERN HERE IS THAT THE MODELS
ARE NOT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF OMEGA AND
VORTICITY BEING ADVECTED INTO THIS SYSTEM AS WELL AS A DIGGING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. AND SO...WILL BE WATCHING THIS LOW CAREFULLY
FOR EVIDENCE OF INCREASING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND A SIGNIFICANT
DEEPENING TREND.
.LONG RANGE...MODELS APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE MORE IN AGREEMENT WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION IN THE LONG RANGE. WHILE THERE IS
DISAGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE CYCLONES THAT WILL MOVE
OVER THE GULF...THERE IS FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE POSITIONS OF THE
CYCLONES.
SURFACE LOW NOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE ASHORE OVER
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF. THE SECOND LOW IS FORECAST TO BE VERY WEAK AND
SHOULD BE CONSUMED BY ANOTHER MUCH LARGER LOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS SYSTEM IS THE ONE THAT THE MODELS HAVE THE BIGGEST
DISAGREEMENT WITH REGARDING THE DEPTH. THE GFS IS THE DEEPEST
WHILE THE EUROPEAN IS THE WEAKEST. WILL LIKELY TAKE A COMPROMISE
OF THE TWO WITH THE DEPTH WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE UKMET DEPTH.
A FAIRLY STRONG ARCTIC HIGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF ALASKA INTO
NORTHWEST CANADA. THE COMBINATION OF THIS HIGH AND THE
APPROACHING LOW WILL CREATE A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST GULF AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE. IF THIS WERE TO
VERIFY...THIS WOULD BRING STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AND SOME OF THE INNER CHANNELS.
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE EXACT TRACK
OF THE SURFACE LOWS. IT APPEARS THEY WILL BE TAKING A TRACK THAT
WOULD BRING THEM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THIS WOULD BRING
MAINLY RAIN TO THE FAR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...AND SNOW ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE.
.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY...AKZ17-19
WIND CHILL ADVISORY AKZ18 FOR THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY
MARINE...GALE...PKZ51...43...11-13...22
SCA...PKZ52...21...31-35...41...42The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 19, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Feb 19, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Feb 19, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AJK | 15 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.