Gale Warning 113, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 030052
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-031730-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL STRENGTHEN TO
GALE FORCE AND MOVE ONSHORE SATURDAY. A SECOND WEAKER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHER PANHANDLE ON SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ041-031730-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-031730-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW LATE. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-031730-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. FREEZING
SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF
BAYS AND INLETS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS
AND INLETS. SNOW.
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-031730-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE.

.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-031730-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. N GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 030732 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1030 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-031730-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL STRENGTHEN TO
GALE FORCE AND MOVE ONSHORE SATURDAY. A SECOND WEAKER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE ON SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ041-031730-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1030 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

CORRECTED HEADLINE

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-031730-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW LATE. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-031730-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. FREEZING
SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF
BAYS AND INLETS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS AND INLETS. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY OUT OF BAYS
AND INLETS. SNOW.
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-031730-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-031730-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AST FRI MAR 2 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. N GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 031248
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-040100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES OUT OF
THE NORTH PACIFIC AND OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY.
ANOTHER LOW WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-040100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING
TO 11 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-040100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. S
SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW IN
THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LATE. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-040100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
8 FT. S SWELL.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS
SOUND.SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-040100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY
MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES.
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES. SNOW.
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-040100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AST SAT MAR 3 2007 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF ICY
BAY...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 7 FT. S
SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR ICY BAY.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR ICY BAY. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR ICY BAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 040003
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-041800-
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNDAY.  SUNDAY MORNING A GALE
FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA.  IT WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST AND DISSIPATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.  A SECOND LOW WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF ON TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ041-041800-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW
SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ042-041800-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON.   
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ043-041800-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
9 FT.   
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR BAYS AND PASSES. 
.MON NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR BAYS AND PASSES. SNOW. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING NEAR BAYS AND PASSES. SNOW
CHANGING TO RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ051-041800-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL IN THE
MORNING. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.   
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. 
.MON NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY MAINLY NEAR INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ052-041800-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AST SAT MAR 3 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.   
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF ICY BAY. SEAS 14 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AST THU MAR 1 2007

.SHORT RANGE...
UPDATE - 18Z SURFACE ANALYSES DIFFER FROM MODEL 18Z MSLP PROGS
BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. REALITY PLACES THE GULF
SURFACE LOW CENTER TO THE NORTH BY ABOUT 100 NM. THIS MEANS THAT
THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL ALSO BE
FURTHER TO THE NORTH. THE TRIPLE POINT IS ALSO JUST OFF THE COAST
AND WILL MERGE OR MAY BECOME THE MAIN SURFACE LOW.

HAVE NEVER SEEN ENTIRE WEB SITE MAP INDICATING CURRENT WARNINGS
IN ALL ZONES. THE RARE BLIZZARD WARNINGS ISSUED INDICATE A BAD
COMBINATION OF WIND AND SNOW FOR LOCAL WHITE OUT CONDITIONS LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE ARE CURRENTLY TWO FRONTS BOTH OF WHICH COULD CLAIM TO BE
ARCTIC AIR. ONE ALONG THE NORTH COAST AND ANOTHER SYSTEM
ASSOCIATED WITH A 995 MB SFC LOW IS IN THE EASTERN GULF AS OF 18Z
THESE AND THE UPPER FLOW ARE CAUSING OVERRUNNING MOISTURE OVER
ENTIRE PANHANDLE. A 1040 HIGH CELL OVER THE ALCAN AND YUKON HAS
SET UP A STRONG OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING COLD AIR
FLOWING UNDER THE OVERRUNNING. WARNINGS RANGE FROM BLIZZARD TO
WIND AND HEAVY SNOW PLUS FREEZING SPRAY. RELUCTANT TO GET OFF THE
HORSE IN MIDSTREAM. WILL USE THE NAM-40 FOR DETAILS BUT WITH FEW
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE GRIDS IN THE SHORT TERM. PREFER NAM SOLUTION
CAUSE IT KEEPS BETTER TRACK OF TWO LOW CENTERS AS SECOND CENTER
DEVELOPS ON FRONT WELL TO SOUTH EARLY FRI. TWO LOWS MERGE INTO
ONE CENTER OVER CRAIG 00Z SAT THEN MOVES ONSHORE FRI NIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL HAPPEN WITH THESE TWO LOWS.

.LONG RANGE...LOOKS LIKE THE POSSIBILITY FOR BAD WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.  OVER THE WEEKEND
A SECOND LOW WILL FORM NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT AND MOVE ONSHORE IN
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOST LIKELY CHANGE OVER
TO RAIN...HOWEVER TO THE NORTH COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE
SO THE PRECIP UP THAT DIRECTION WILL BE ALL SNOW.  GFS 40 IS
CURRENTLY THE PREFERRED SOLUTION AS IT KEEPS THE CENTRAL PRESSURE
LOWER FOR A LONGER DURATION...WHERE ETA SEEMS TO FILL THE LOW
RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE. HOWEVER FOR THE MOST
PART DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME ARE NOT
EXTREME. FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...ALL MODELS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECASTING THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO REMAIN ENTRENCHED
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE TIME PERIOD...ALLOWING A FULL
BLOWN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE INTO THE GULF ON THE MONDAY TIME
FRAME.  THIS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT MEANS THAT THE CURRENT TREND OF
SURFACE LOWS MOVING INTO THE PANHANDLE WILL NOT GO AWAY ANYTIME
SOON.  MODELS ARE DIFFERING A BIT ON WHAT EXACTLY IS GOING TO
HAPPEN AT THE SURFACE DURING THIS TIME FRAME...BUT THE TREND FOR
GENERALIZED LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF DEFINITELY CONTINUES. HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH REMAINS STRONG THROUGH THE WEDNESDAY
TIMEFRAME...SO GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...17 WIND WARNING. 18 19 WINTER STORM. 20 21 BLIZZARD. 22
23
WINTER STORM. 25 BLIZZARD. 26 27 28 29 WINTER STORM.
MARINE...STORM 11 12 13 22 43 51. ALL OTHERS GALE.

LF/JC