Wind Advisory 20, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 132304
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
204 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

AKZ225-141300-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-071114T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
204 PM AST TUE NOV 13 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST WEDNESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH PASSES WITH LOCAL
GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN
AROUND BY THE WIND.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 141207
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
307 AM AST WED NOV 14 2007

AKZ225-141315-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-071114T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
307 AM AST WED NOV 14 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 


$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
259 PM AST MON NOV 12 2007

.DISCUSSION...TODAY THE GFS AND NAM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
ON THE FORECASTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
TO BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT. THE OLD LOW NOW ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A NEW LOW ABOUT
100 NM NORTHEAST OF THE PRIBILOFS TONIGHT. THE TWO WILL CROSS INTO
THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA ON WEDNESDAY. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST WILL COMBINE WITH THIS TO CAUSE
INCREASING NORTH WINDS FROM THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AND WESTERN
SEWARD PENINSULA DOWN PAST THE PRIBILOFS.

THIS BELT OF NORTH WINDS IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 30 KNOTS AND
HAVE A DURATION THROUGH MID DAY FRIDAY...QUITE A LONG BOUT. GIVEN
THESE FEATURES...AND THE VERY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE SEA
WITH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ABOVE PLUS 2 DEGREES CELSIUS AND AIR
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST AS COOL AS MINUS 5 DEGREES C...WHICH GIVES
THE WIND A MAXIMUM GRIP ON THE SEA...COMBINED SEAS AROUND 13 FEET
ARE EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OFFSHORE THE NORTHWEST
SEWARD PENINSULA AND OFF THE NORTH SHORE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
HENCE HIGH SURF ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED FOR SAVOONGA AND
SHISHMAREF.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AMALGAM OF CLOUD DECKS REMAINING OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA...WITH ONCE AGAIN MOST OF THE CLEAR SKY IN THE
OFFSHORE AREAS FROM POINT HOPE DOWN PAST ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.

WHILE THERE HAVE BEEN ADJUSTMENTS FROM ONE MODEL RUN TO THE
NEXT...THE OVERALL TREND TO COOLER AND MORE EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE
MAINLAND IS STILL FORECAST TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG
LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE WIND WILL INCREASE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AND RUN THROUGH SATURDAY. IF THIS
VERIFIES REASONABLY CLOSE TO THE FORECAST THERE WILL BE LARGE
AREAS IN THE INTERIOR AND BROOKS RANGE WITH ENERGETIC NORTHEAST
WINDS AND HEAVY DRIFTING SNOW ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHLANDS. CHILL
FACTORS IN THESE AREAS COULD REACH 30 BELOW.

THE ILL BEHAVED LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS ON THE ARCTIC COAST HAVE
FINALLY TURNED AROUND TO NORTHEAST...EXCEPT AT BARTER ISLAND WHICH
IS NOW BLOWING SOUTHEAST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...NORTHERLY GALES BERING STRAIT TO SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
BOTH DAYS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ213.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ220.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ245.
&&

TF NOV 07