Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK63 PAFG 022321
RFWAFG

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
321 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR...

AKZ220-030730-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
321 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM ADT THIS EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER LATER
TONIGHT TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR THIS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ221-030730-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
321 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM ADT THIS EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER LATER
TONIGHT TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR THIS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ222-030730-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
321 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM ADT THIS EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER LATER
TONIGHT TO ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR THIS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

MAR MAY 07

000 
WWAK63 PAFG 030555
RFWAFG

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
955 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN INTERIOR...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR...

AKZ220-031400-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
955 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR TONIGHT OVER A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN INTERIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN INTERIOR.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE AND WILL
FURTHER DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THAT WERE
BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE NOW SLOWLY RECOVERING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
RECOVER THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ221-031400-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
955 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE AND WILL
FURTHER DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THAT WERE
BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE NOW SLOWLY RECOVERING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
RECOVER THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ222-031400-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070503T0600Z/
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.A.0004.070503T1800Z-070504T0600Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
955 PM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE AND WILL
FURTHER DECREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THAT WERE
BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE NOW SLOWLY RECOVERING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
RECOVER THROUGH THE NIGHT.

DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
543 AM ADT WED MAY 2 2007

.DISCUSSION...A LOW ENERGY CIRCULATION PATTERN REMAINS OVER
NORTHERN ALASKA THIS MORNING. IN THIS SENSE THERE HASNT BEEN MUCH
CHANGE SINCE LAST WEEK SOMETIME. A SMALL RIDGE ALOFT HAS BUILT
INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR FROM THE SOUTHERN YUKON AND IS EXPECTED
TO BUILD IN A LITTLE MORE. IT WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND
THE CENTRAL YUKON BY THURSDAY.

AN INCOMING SHORT WAVE ALOFT WILL BE OVER SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND/BERING STRAIT REGION THURSDAY PM. WESTERLIES BEHIND THIS
WILL BREAK THROUGH OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY
BRINGING SOME SNOW TO THE AREA.

THE SURFACE LOW THAT FORMED OVER NORTHEAST CHINA IS ON TRACK OVER
THE SEA OF OKHOTSK TOWARD ARRIVAL ON THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST LATE
SATURDAY. AFTER THIS OCCURS...WESTERLIES ALOFT WILL AGAIN INCREASE
OVER THE BERING STRAIT/SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND REGION ON SUNDAY.
THIS SHOULD BRING MORE SNOW.

SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. EASTERLIES CONTINUE OVER THE
ARCTIC COAST. NORTH WINDS OVER THE KOTZEBUE SOUND/BERING SEA
COASTS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY ON THURSDAY AND SOUTHERLY THURSDAY
NIGHT...THEN WESTERLIES AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

A WEAK INVERTED THROUGH ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER THE LOWER YUKON
VALLEY FROM THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...BRINGING SOME MOISTURE THERE.
A MORE SUBSTANTIAL INVERTED TROUGH ALOFT WILL MOVE UP FROM THE
GULF OF ALASKA TO THE EASTERN INTERIOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
THE NEW MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS ARE TAKING THIS FEATURE
SERIOUSLY...THE CHANCES FOR RAIN AT NORTHWAY ARE PEGGED UP AT 51
PERCENT ON SATURDAY...THE HIGHEST SUCH FIGURE ANYWHERE IN NORTHERN
ALASKA IN OVER A WEEK.

THE UPSHOT OF ALL OF THESE DEVELOPMENTS SHOULD BE CONTINUED COOL
AND MORE CLOUDY WEATHER...ALONG WITH A LITTLE RAIN...IN THE REALM
FOR NEXT WEEK.

THIS MORNINGS POLAR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES OVER MOST OF NORTHERN ALASKA. IT REMAINS OVERCAST ON THE
ARCTIC COAST...THE NORTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA...BERING STRAIT AND
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.

.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...CONTINUED COOL AND QUIET. HUMIDITIES SHOULD
GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHERN INTERIOR AS SMALL INJECTIONS OF MOISTURE COME UP FROM
THE GULF OF ALASKA. ON TUESDAY THE ALASKA LIGHTNING DETECTION
SYSTEM RECORDED 17 STRIKES IN THE KILBUCK MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST OF
BETHEL. THE SYSTEM STOPPED RECORDING AROUND 6 PM ADT BUT IT
PROBABLY CAUGHT MOST OF THE LIGHTNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...CONTINUED COOL...QUIET AND INACTIVE. NIGHT FROSTS
REMAIN THE RULE. THE SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND DO NOT PROMISE TO DROP ANYWHERE NEAR
ENOUGH RAIN TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA RIVERS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

TF MAY 07