Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK63 PAFG 252354
RFWAFG

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTH
SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE NORTH SLOPES OF THE ALASKA 
RANGE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR...

AKZ225-261630-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070526T0600Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0008.070527T0000Z-070528T0600Z/
DENALI-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH SATURDAY 
EVENING ALONG THE PARKS HIGHWAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ226-261630-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070526T0600Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0008.070527T0000Z-070528T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH SATURDAY 
EVENING NEAR FORT GREELEY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ220-260100-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070526T0600Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 


$$

AKZ221-261630-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0008.070527T0000Z-070528T0600Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH SATURDAY 
EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ222-261630-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0008.070527T0000Z-070528T0600Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH SATURDAY 
EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

AKZ223-261630-
/X.NEW.PAFG.FW.A.0008.070527T0000Z-070528T0600Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
354 PM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO NEAR 25 MPH SATURDAY 
EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A RED FLAG EVENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THIS WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL IT IS UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING
OR THAT IT IS DETERMINED THAT THE RED FLAG EVENT WILL NOT
DEVELOP.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
450 AM ADT FRI MAY 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...
RIDGE ALOFT BUILDING OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH LOW ALOFT PARKED
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THIS BASIC PATTERN LOOKS TO HOLD FOR
SOME TIME TO COME THOUGH THE RIDGE WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE...1020 MB HIGH NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND WITH RIDGE
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE NW BERING SEA QSTNRY. 1006 MB LOW MACKENZIE BAY
MOVING EAST. THERMAL TROUGH OLD CROW TO GALENA AND SOUTHWESTWARD.
TREND WILL BE FOR TROUGH TO DRIFT SOUTH NEXT 36 HOURS.

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON BASIC PATTERN SHORT AND LONG TERM.

FOR THE NORTH SLOPE...WINDS BECOMING MORE EASTERLY WHICH
PRESUMABLY WILL MEAN MORE PERSISTENT STRATUS AND FOG ON THE COAST.
TEMPS NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS ON THE COAST TO WARMER THAN NORMAL IN
THE BROOKS RANGE...WHERE THERE WILL BE MUCH MORE SUNSHINE.

FOR THE WEST COAST...LOW IN BRISTOL BAY ONLY GRAZING SOUTHERN
ZONES WITH A FEW SHOWERS. BETWEEN THE LOW AND THERMAL TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN INTERIOR NE BREEZES WILL PREVAIL...THO LOCALLY SEA
BREEZES WILL KICK IN FOR A FEW HOURS LATE AFTERNOON.

FOR THE INTERIOR...QUIET WARM NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THO NO RECORDS
ARE EXPECTED. RIDGE FORECAST TO WEAKEN ON BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND
MODELS APPEAR TO BE USING THIS TO CREATE CONSIDERABLY MORE
CONVECTION. THIS IS NOT UNREASONABLE AND WE HAVE FOLLOWED THIS
IDEA IN THE FORECASTS. MORE PROBLEMATIC IS REALLY DRAMATIC LOW
LEVEL COOLING BEING FORECAST SOUTH OF THE YUKON RIVER. THIS MAY BE
AN ARTIFACT OF THE CONVECTIVE PRECIP...BUT IF TRUE THEN MONDAY
WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER THAN CURRENT FORECASTS. WE WILL HAVE
TO WATCH THIS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
QUITE WARM TEMPS WILL ALLOW RHS TO DROP SMARTLY ACROSS THE
INTERIOR BUT DEW POINTS APPEAR HIGH ENOUGH NOW THAT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS WOULD AT MOST ONLY BE REACHED IN A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS AND
THEN ONLY BRIEFLY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

RT MAY 07